Charismatic Megafauna said:
I love when i spot the same things that the smart guys here do, even if the way they act on it is smarterer
Charismatic Megafauna said:
I love when i spot the same things that the smart guys here do, even if the way they act on it is smarterer
That's because NVDA's earnings on Thursday is going swing SMCI, up or down, worse than Thor did Rabbit.EnronAg said:
I double dog dare someone on this thread to sell a SMCI straddle for next week (look at those premiums!!!!)
$SMCI Oh no... pic.twitter.com/rQpFEx8SMP
— Cheddar Flow (@CheddarFlow) February 16, 2024
Everyone that struggles with FOMO and just have to hit it big like "everyone else" needs to screenshot this and print it out in color. Then frame it and put it next to your computer screen. This is how you blow up your accounts and if married, get served divorce papers by your former soulmate.AgEng06 said:
You SCMI guys don't let this happen to you...$SMCI Oh no... pic.twitter.com/rQpFEx8SMP
— Cheddar Flow (@CheddarFlow) February 16, 2024
A tale as old as timeBonfire.1996 said:
SMCI buyers beware. This buy the dip area is where retail FOMO investors have historically gotten crushed.
A macro correction, which is way overdue, is the time to buy SMCI, not these intraday dips when the market is reacting to monthly PPI reporting and treasury rates.
Philip J Fry said:
This is why I don't allow myself to trade with options.
Heineken-Ashi said:
And just like in blackjack, you will come across times when you are betting with house money on high probability winners and might even get a chance to double down. The odds are in your favor. But never ever ever ****ing double down when your hand is 16. Stay consistent and play the smart hand.
I did once when hammered at 3 am on a major heater. And it worked. And I've never done it again.bmoochie said:Heineken-Ashi said:
And just like in blackjack, you will come across times when you are betting with house money on high probability winners and might even get a chance to double down. The odds are in your favor. But never ever ever ****ing double down when your hand is 16. Stay consistent and play the smart hand.
I'm more of a splitting 10s guy myself
Heineken-Ashi said:I did once when hammered at 3 am on a major heater. And it worked. And I've never done it again.bmoochie said:Heineken-Ashi said:
And just like in blackjack, you will come across times when you are betting with house money on high probability winners and might even get a chance to double down. The odds are in your favor. But never ever ever ****ing double down when your hand is 16. Stay consistent and play the smart hand.
I'm more of a splitting 10s guy myself
I used to play the corner bases and bail on a table when people didn't do their job. I've found over time that my strategy doesn't need people playing by the rules. But just like with trading, it requires time at the table and strict discipline to the method. The only home runs are on doubles and splits. Otherwise, its a methodical grind up.Bocephus said:Heineken-Ashi said:I did once when hammered at 3 am on a major heater. And it worked. And I've never done it again.bmoochie said:Heineken-Ashi said:
And just like in blackjack, you will come across times when you are betting with house money on high probability winners and might even get a chance to double down. The odds are in your favor. But never ever ever ****ing double down when your hand is 16. Stay consistent and play the smart hand.
I'm more of a splitting 10s guy myself
My second cousin sits on 3rd base and always does it. My father will not play at his table
Heineken-Ashi said:I did once when hammered at 3 am on a major heater. And it worked. And I've never done it again.bmoochie said:Heineken-Ashi said:
And just like in blackjack, you will come across times when you are betting with house money on high probability winners and might even get a chance to double down. The odds are in your favor. But never ever ever ****ing double down when your hand is 16. Stay consistent and play the smart hand.
I'm more of a splitting 10s guy myself
Heineken-Ashi said:I used to play the corner bases and bail on a table when people didn't do their job. I've found over time that my strategy doesn't need people playing by the rules. But just like with trading, it requires time at the table and strict discipline to the method. The only home runs are on doubles and splits. Otherwise, its a methodical grind up.Bocephus said:Heineken-Ashi said:I did once when hammered at 3 am on a major heater. And it worked. And I've never done it again.bmoochie said:Heineken-Ashi said:
And just like in blackjack, you will come across times when you are betting with house money on high probability winners and might even get a chance to double down. The odds are in your favor. But never ever ever ****ing double down when your hand is 16. Stay consistent and play the smart hand.
I'm more of a splitting 10s guy myself
My second cousin sits on 3rd base and always does it. My father will not play at his table
El Chupacabra said:Heineken-Ashi said:I did once when hammered at 3 am on a major heater. And it worked. And I've never done it again.bmoochie said:Heineken-Ashi said:
And just like in blackjack, you will come across times when you are betting with house money on high probability winners and might even get a chance to double down. The odds are in your favor. But never ever ever ****ing double down when your hand is 16. Stay consistent and play the smart hand.
I'm more of a splitting 10s guy myself
$3/hand black jack in North Dakota is the place to split tens
Enzomatic said:El Chupacabra said:Heineken-Ashi said:I did once when hammered at 3 am on a major heater. And it worked. And I've never done it again.bmoochie said:Heineken-Ashi said:
And just like in blackjack, you will come across times when you are betting with house money on high probability winners and might even get a chance to double down. The odds are in your favor. But never ever ever ****ing double down when your hand is 16. Stay consistent and play the smart hand.
I'm more of a splitting 10s guy myself
$3/hand black jack in North Dakota is the place to split tens
It's also where the worst players will sit down. I refuse to do the $1-3 dollar tables anywhere. It's literal chaos and you can never get into a groove and play with any consistency that works. Great place to goof off and get drunk, but not to try to walk away with any money. Pretty much applies to the few $5 out there nowadays, and starting to be $10 tables on the strip. I have to start at $15 to find consistency of players, which is key, but during the busiest hours I have to play the greens or blacks.
Not to mention, now that there are automatic shufflers, it makes it less impactful. Wonder if those type of people ever say thanks for taking an extra card when it helps them out.Charismatic Megafauna said:
Ok since it's the weekend, i was playing free blackjack at a company thing and since I'm a degenerate and it was free i split something dumb and this dude at the table got on me with that "hey man you're stealing his cards" silliness. Now you guys, who i have come to believe are intelligent, logical dudes who have a decent understanding of probabilities, are talking about it. You're saying that in a multi deck game, you honestly believe that me taking an extra card (or two or 3) by splitting does anything to materially change what the following card or two or three will do for your hand?
Chef Elko said:
Any craps players here? That game is my jam
In a single deck game, I'd be pissed if you hit a 16 with the dealer showing a 5 and ended up getting an ace or face card. Or if you split something stupid.Charismatic Megafauna said:
Ok since it's the weekend, i was playing free blackjack at a company thing and since I'm a degenerate and it was free i split something dumb and this dude at the table got on me with that "hey man you're stealing his cards" silliness. Now you guys, who i have come to believe are intelligent, logical dudes who have a decent understanding of probabilities, are talking about it. You're saying that in a multi deck game, you honestly believe that me taking an extra card (or two or 3) by splitting does anything to materially change what the following card or two or three will do for your hand?
Really the only game to play in a casino if you understand math (lose less money over time than any other game), Card-counters at BlackJack and Inside Info sports betters excluded. It's by far the most fun and interactive experience, as well.ProgN said:Chef Elko said:
Any craps players here? That game is my jam
That's the only game I play!
I bleed maroon said:Really the only game to play in a casino if you understand math (lose less money over time than any other game), Card-counters at BlackJack and Inside Info sports betters excluded. It's by far the most fun and interactive experience, as well.ProgN said:Chef Elko said:
Any craps players here? That game is my jam
That's the only game I play!
I play the pass line, and then a couple come bets, always with full odds. Then a few 6 and 8 place bets if I feel like it. Theoretical loss is less than 1% of amounts bet. BJ is 2%ish, Video poker can be 2%ish, Roulette 5%+, Slots 7-10%.
You?
Charismatic Megafauna said:
Ok since it's the weekend, i was playing free blackjack at a company thing and since I'm a degenerate and it was free i split something dumb and this dude at the table got on me with that "hey man you're stealing his cards" silliness. Now you guys, who i have come to believe are intelligent, logical dudes who have a decent understanding of probabilities, are talking about it. You're saying that in a multi deck game, you honestly believe that me taking an extra card (or two or 3) by splitting does anything to materially change what the following card or two or three will do for your hand?
khkman22 said:Not to mention, now that there are automatic shufflers, it makes it less impactful. Wonder if those type of people ever say thanks for taking an extra card when it helps them out.Charismatic Megafauna said:
Ok since it's the weekend, i was playing free blackjack at a company thing and since I'm a degenerate and it was free i split something dumb and this dude at the table got on me with that "hey man you're stealing his cards" silliness. Now you guys, who i have come to believe are intelligent, logical dudes who have a decent understanding of probabilities, are talking about it. You're saying that in a multi deck game, you honestly believe that me taking an extra card (or two or 3) by splitting does anything to materially change what the following card or two or three will do for your hand?