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SF2004
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 2:51p, 5/13/23
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
SF - Mancini is clear he reacts vs predicts.

I don't think he double talks in any way.
Yeah... he just "reacts" and it always works. Never posts how he had a stop out.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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4:07p, 5/13/23
AG
Of course he takes stops.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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sts7049
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In reply to SF2004 • 2:18a, 5/14/23
AG
yes he does. not in Twitter but in his newsletters
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oldarmy1
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7:40p, 5/14/23
AG
ES_F #ES_F S&P futures positioning

Commercials +397,887 contracts (record long)
Speculators -376,023 contracts (record short)

who is going to be right?
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bmoochie
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 7:44p, 5/14/23
AG
What is your opinion?
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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7:50p, 5/14/23
SPX 4250ish this week.

My take.
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Charismatic Megafauna
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In reply to Mostly Foggy Recollection • 8:35p, 5/14/23
AG
L
F
G
!!!!!!
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frankm01
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8:37p, 5/14/23
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$30,000 Millionaire
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9:34p, 5/14/23
AG
4130 and 4170 will continue to matter until there is a break.

4130 has been tested many times now so I am less confident in it as a bounce / hold point. It will become material resistance if it breaks.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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7:39a, 5/15/23
AG
Latest version does OK. Still a lot of "false positives" and it sometimes misses bigger moves.





You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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7:44a, 5/15/23
AG
I'll post latest source where I added on balance volume.

Doesn't work as well on NQ
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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oldarmy1
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In reply to bmoochie • 7:45a, 5/15/23
AG
bmoochie said:
What is your opinion?


I still think we fill that last upward gap and push higher before any large downside. Big money had defended support levels multiple times and generally get paid for doing so.
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FJ43
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8:33a, 5/15/23
Still monitoring this odd SKEW pattern. Shot up a little out of the pattern Friday.


Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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$30,000 Millionaire
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8:41a, 5/15/23
AG
Scalped AI a little bit for 10%. This could run, maybe. Would size small.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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8:48a, 5/15/23
AG
Coming into the overnight low.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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South Platte
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8:50a, 5/15/23
Appreciate the MARA suggestion, that was a really nice return on the earnings report. Is this going to make another run back up?
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Philip J Fry
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 9:03a, 5/15/23
AG
oldarmy1 said:
bmoochie said:
What is your opinion?


I still think we fill that last upward gap and push higher before any large downside. Big money had defended support levels multiple times and generally get paid for doing so.


What upward gap?
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$30,000 Millionaire
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9:38a, 5/15/23
AG
4130 again
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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Brian Earl Spilner
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9:53a, 5/15/23
AG
SCHW with the nice gap up and now recovery.
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Brewmaster
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10:00a, 5/15/23
AG
whoa, huge TSLA seller, a few minutes ago
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oldarmy1
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In reply to Philip J Fry • 10:18a, 5/15/23
AG
Philip J Fry said:
oldarmy1 said:
bmoochie said:
What is your opinion?


I still think we fill that last upward gap and push higher before any large downside. Big money had defended support levels multiple times and generally get paid for doing so.


What upward gap?
4218 8/19 to 8/22
A Friday to Monday gap. We hit 4195 on 2/2 and I missed the initial drop because I was counting on both the magnet 4200, that would then lead to gap fill for layering large put positions then. It was a great bear victory to use that gap as a false target. I bet a lot of traders missed entry opportunities. That's why I think if it gets filled this time markets will push a decent amount higher. Everybody and their dog will be shorting on the gap fill.

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oldarmy1
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10:21a, 5/15/23
AG
My lone real time given trade this morning was AMD. Had two screens on it and caught the acceleration low into volume for pivot entry. Some of you will recognize this pattern.




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Talon2DSO
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11:55a, 5/15/23
AG
ALLO is looking interesting. Anyone else following it?
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oldarmy1
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 11:59a, 5/15/23
AG
Exited the AMD expiring call trade at $2.44
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ProgN
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12:12p, 5/15/23
Quote:
Implied Volatility Surging for Western Alliance Ban (WAL) Stock Options
7:42 am ET May 15, 2023 (Zacks) Print

Investors in Western Alliance Bancorporation WAL need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the Jun 16, 2023 $45 Put had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.

What is Implied Volatility?
Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. It could also mean there is an event coming up soon that may cause a big rally or a huge sell-off. However, implied volatility is only one piece of the puzzle when putting together an options trading strategy.

What do the Analysts Think?
Clearly, options traders are pricing in a big move for Western Alliance Ban shares, but what is the fundamental picture for the company? Currently, Western Alliance Ban is a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) in the Banks - West industry that ranks in the Bottom 3% of our Zacks Industry Rank. Over the last 60 days, no analysts have increased their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while six analysts have revised their estimates downward. The net effect has taken our Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter from $2.57 per share to $2.02 in that period.

Given the way analysts feel about Western Alliance Ban right now, this huge implied volatility could mean there's a trade developing. Oftentimes, options traders look for options with high levels of implied volatility to sell premium. This is a strategy many seasoned traders use because it captures decay. At expiration, the hope for these traders is that the underlying stock does not move as much as originally expected.
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oldarmy1
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1:16p, 5/15/23
AG
AMD churned through a consolidation and hit a new high. It might be getting ready for that $100 burst.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:02p, 5/15/23
AG
if we get a rally, +15 from here is my target.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:09p, 5/15/23
AG
bidding $5 on 4130C. I would stop below $3.7
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:10p, 5/15/23
AG
going to trim at $7 if we get there
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:11p, 5/15/23
AG
it went 20%, still flopping around
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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Charismatic Megafauna
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In reply to FJ43 • 2:12p, 5/15/23
AG
FJ43 said:
Still monitoring this odd SKEW pattern. Shot up a little out of the pattern Friday.



Back into vix june calls?
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:13p, 5/15/23
AG
took a couple 4140C @0.7 as lottos. will sell half at $1.5
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:16p, 5/15/23
AG
i'd like to see this move soon.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:20p, 5/15/23
AG
come on, give papa a push.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:23p, 5/15/23
AG
you know you want to SPX. DO IT
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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