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oldarmy1
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9:21a, 4/4/23
AG
SPY VWAP with a great clean signal. Explosion move as the slow build erupted but no buyers and back to VWAP line with support attempt into failure.

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BaylorSpineGuy
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9:22a, 4/4/23
TNX in a nosedive. May finally break and hold below 3.3.

Maybe another good short signal for the market
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oldarmy1
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9:22a, 4/4/23
AG
Not a perfect looking Dreaded h but we have one now from premarket to current.
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wanderer
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9:45a, 4/4/23
This just hit model-T at 14.80. June 15c going for 70-75cents. (not a ton of volume, but has decent OI at 5k)

OA this still a decent play with macros starting to waffle?

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Boy Named Sue
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10:09a, 4/4/23
AG
We buying SPY puts from here? I'm stuck in some bad calls that are probably a lost cause
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cryption
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10:11a, 4/4/23
Seems like trend is down today, but I'm waiting for a reversal before I enter puts. RSI is below 27 on the 5min. I've got YLOD at 408.45 and would expect at least a little cooling off there before entering puts.
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Boy Named Sue
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10:13a, 4/4/23
AG
I bought a small lot of 410Ps for $1.05. Wish I'd bought more
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Golf1
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In reply to Boy Named Sue • 10:27a, 4/4/23
AG
I bought 1 at .54 for fun
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cryption
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10:32a, 4/4/23
Respect the lines. Cooling like I thought, we'll see if we continue down from here. If we get a break under YLOD I could see more downward pressure. May be a quick call scalp in the works with RSI so low before continuing down

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BaylorSpineGuy
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10:34a, 4/4/23
Question will be if arresting a former US president is a black swan event. Certainly a first in history.

I bought 400 P for 4/21 when SPY was around 410.
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Boy Named Sue
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11:01a, 4/4/23
AG
408.20 is my go for shorts
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cryption
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In reply to Boy Named Sue • 11:04a, 4/4/23
I'm watching the S/R flip on YLOD - just waiting to see how she breaks before I enter something. Still pretty oversold to go short right now ... maybe I'll just go to lunch

Though the 4/6 407p I'm watching and thought about entering at 1.39 is 1.50 right now so maybe I should have lol.
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Boy Named Sue
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11:08a, 4/4/23
AG
Come to Poppa
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oldarmy1
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11:17a, 4/4/23
AG
Exited all ES puts at $27 wow!
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Boy Named Sue
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11:32a, 4/4/23
AG
I scalped a couple of 30-50% gainers there. Helps make up for the calls I was holding from yesterday, but I'm still not whole. Looking for new setups here but this low volume is making it tough
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oldarmy1
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 11:33a, 4/4/23
AG
Right before the pivot. Man days like these are my fav
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oldarmy1
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In reply to wanderer • 11:40a, 4/4/23
AG
wanderer said:
This just hit model-T at 14.80. June 15c going for 70-75cents. (not a ton of volume, but has decent OI at 5k)

OA this still a decent play with macros starting to waffle?

I think it might take a day or two of further consolidation, but pulled the trigger on 20 of those.
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oldarmy1
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11:44a, 4/4/23
AG
Can anyone tell me why I chose to exit the $ES Put trade? This is a test for seminar and forum.
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oldarmy1
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11:58a, 4/4/23
AG
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krosch11
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 12:01p, 4/4/23
AG
Stairstep followed by steep drop, bottomed to go for model T retrace up?

Also looks to be a pretty clean right shoulder it was going to form.
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oldarmy1
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 12:01p, 4/4/23
AG
oldarmy1 said:
BaylorSpineGuy said:
oldarmy1 said:
RBLX breakout above resistance


I always find it hard to reconcile a tech stock breakout as major indices look to be reversing. If a major selloff starts, shouldn't this drag RBLX down?
Yes......it could easily signal, then drop back to retest the breakout (loading zone) over a few days, so when the markets aren't moving upward best to wait.
RBLX approaching its broken resistance retest. Acceleration into it would be a decent level 1 buy of $50 Apr 21 calls. Model T off the last wave is $45.21 if waiting to see macro markets trend tomorrow.
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Boy Named Sue
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12:05p, 4/4/23
AG
SPY keeps testing 408.50 on the 1-minute. May be a scalp opportunity if it busts through?
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oldarmy1
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In reply to Boy Named Sue • 12:08p, 4/4/23
AG
Boy Named Sue said:
SPY keeps testing 408.50 on the 1-minute. May be a scalp opportunity if it busts through?

VWAP is around $409.70, so that would be a reasonable scalp.
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Boy Named Sue
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12:12p, 4/4/23
AG
Yeah, I just missed it because I didn't set my limit price correctly. That's ok though, it didn't last long. Probably lucked out, in fact
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 12:13p, 4/4/23
So are you going to re-enter shorts there?
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oldarmy1
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 12:27p, 4/4/23
AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:
So are you going to re-enter shorts there?
I just entered a few on breaking 4105. Yesterday and today, even though markets pressed higher 4105 appears to be setting up as a major resistance level.
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oldarmy1
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In reply to krosch11 • 12:32p, 4/4/23
AG
krosch11 said:
Stairstep followed by steep drop, bottomed to go for model T retrace up?

Also looks to be a pretty clean right shoulder it was going to form.
I think what you are saying is spot on. If you take todays high and the low from Friday we flashed just below Model T. I was anxiously waiting for the flash to exit!


Also, Check out RBLX....spot on reversal pivot!
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oldarmy1
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12:35p, 4/4/23
AG
You guys see that? 4105 breaks and it shoots quickly to 4106.65 and then hammered to a quick reversal. Watch the bull/bear battle over this line.
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Boy Named Sue
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 12:37p, 4/4/23
AG
oldarmy1 said:
You guys see that? 4105 breaks and it shoots quickly to 4106.65 and then hammered to a quick reversal. Watch the bull/bear battle over this line.


Yep I watched it closely. Bid at the surge and missed, then was pissed, then relieved
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oldarmy1
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In reply to Boy Named Sue • 12:39p, 4/4/23
AG
Boy Named Sue said:
oldarmy1 said:
You guys see that? 4105 breaks and it shoots quickly to 4106.65 and then hammered to a quick reversal. Watch the bull/bear battle over this line.


Yep I watched it closely. Bid at the surge and missed, then was pissed, then relieved
Well "worded"...
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Boy Named Sue
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12:44p, 4/4/23
AG
In other news, ATLX is up 6% today, and VLO is down 7.5%. Neither makes sense to me
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oldarmy1
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12:48p, 4/4/23
AG
I'm trading with confidence off that 4105 mark. It's setting up as major resistance, so any pressing up above I am thinking of it as stretch band that will snap back down quickly.
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oldarmy1
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1:08p, 4/4/23
AG
House Finance Committee Member says the infusion by the Fed was intentionally designed to create a major market lift synced up with Trump's arraignment. Just wow if true. And I note that Trump was initially expected to turn himself in Friday, until his own Secret Service delayed it.
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oldarmy1
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 1:11p, 4/4/23
AG
Frankly I'm a little disappointed in myself for not thinking about this possibility. We are living in the world of "OPTICS" means everything.
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 1:26p, 4/4/23
oldarmy1 said:
House Finance Committee Member says the infusion by the Fed was intentionally designed to create a major market lift synced up with Trump's arraignment. Just wow if true. And I note that Trump was initially expected to turn himself in Friday, until his own Secret Service delayed it.

Irony that the markets begin the give up the day he is cuffed.
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