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irish pete ag06
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 9:58a, 3/29/23
AG
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
Yesterday API numbers showed a draw. A biggun.

I'm sure folks are waiting for the EIA numbers this morning for confirmation.

Outlook ahead,.....energy going higher.


I have found myself more and more trading leveraged ETFs since it's easier to DCA into them over time for swing type trades. Some folks would say just trade longer dated options, but I like that the leveraged ETFs tend to be more liquid.

Starting to DCA into ERX today. Plan to continue to buy 10% of my position each day over the next 10 trading days.



We almost have a buy signal on 30K's 5/12 cross too.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to MavsAg • 10:07a, 3/29/23
The 2 week's ago report,....this current - last week's report,....and the next 3 should be "BUILD"(s) not draws. This is the Build period before driving season begins. The next 3 reports will be draws - book it.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to irish pete ag06 • 10:08a, 3/29/23
That $30K buy signal will trigger. Good luck!
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FJ43
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In reply to FJ43 • 10:39a, 3/29/23
FJ43 said:
Evening Gents!

I could argue this both directions. Forget all the SRs for now.

For me lose the trend line and we trade into the blue zone. I have had those zones pegged for a while. You can look back at charts I have posted.

We traded into the lower first one for a nice trade. We are in the upper one now and holding.

Lose the trend line and we trade into the blue zone (at least) IMO. Not necessarily by the blue vertical line.That's just a place holder for me of intersections.

Notice volume profile. Think market wants to see Fed next steps.







Hmmmmmmm


Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to FJ43 • 11:00a, 3/29/23
I bought the 390P for 4/17. Bought the position at 399.15. Bad move? Seems we are at upper end of channel….
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Golf1
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 11:06a, 3/29/23
AG
I'm also in puts. I didn't like that it doubled bottom at 398.70 with premarket. Probably will be cutting losses if it hits a NHOD.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to FJ43 • 11:07a, 3/29/23
AG
c'mon reversal! looks like bearish doji star so far.
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to Golf1 • 11:12a, 3/29/23
Golf1 said:
I'm also in puts. I didn't like that it doubled bottom at 398.70 with premarket. Probably will be cutting losses if it hits a NHOD.


Was thinking exactly same thing.
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Boy Named Sue
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11:16a, 3/29/23
AG
I was in 0dte puts this morning but got out. I think it's headed up from here or will bounce between 400 and 398.8-ish all day
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BaylorSpineGuy
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11:23a, 3/29/23
Will buy some hedge 403C for 3/31 in case the stupid JHEQX thing comes in to play and magnets this thing to 4065.
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Towns03
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 11:35a, 3/29/23
AG
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
The 2 week's ago report,....this current - last week's report,....and the next 3 should be "BUILD"(s) not draws. This is the Build period before driving season begins. The next 3 reports will be draws - book it.
Did I screw up going with DINO? it's down 4.3% since I bought in.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to Towns03 • 11:52a, 3/29/23
Towns03 said:
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
The 2 week's ago report,....this current - last week's report,....and the next 3 should be "BUILD"(s) not draws. This is the Build period before driving season begins. The next 3 reports will be draws - book it.
Did I screw up going with DINO? it's down 4.3% since I bought in.
How long have you owned DINO? I would not say it's a wrong choice, but their debt looked a bit strange. They should be printing money - all refiners should. Div, PE and forward PE look okay. Do you follow closely? Is there anything odd going on? Otherwise, refiners are a money ticket.

ETA: Did they acquire an asset?
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techno-ag
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In reply to irish pete ag06 • 12:04p, 3/29/23
AG
irish pete ag06 said:
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
Yesterday API numbers showed a draw. A biggun.

I'm sure folks are waiting for the EIA numbers this morning for confirmation.

Outlook ahead,.....energy going higher.


I have found myself more and more trading leveraged ETFs since it's easier to DCA into them over time for swing type trades. Some folks would say just trade longer dated options, but I like that the leveraged ETFs tend to be more liquid.

Starting to DCA into ERX today. Plan to continue to buy 10% of my position each day over the next 10 trading days.



We almost have a buy signal on 30K's 5/12 cross too.
Right there with you, man. That's the way to do it, IMO.
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Boy Named Sue
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1:55p, 3/29/23
AG
Bought SPY 400c at .65. LFG
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topher06
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1:57p, 3/29/23
We gonna soar or tank in the last 5-10 minutes, which is all that matters anymore.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:00p, 3/29/23
AG
want to wait for 2:50 for lottos. OK day today, but really boring with small range.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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topher06
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In reply to Boy Named Sue • 2:11p, 3/29/23
Looks like a good buy, assume you've taken some off?
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Boy Named Sue
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In reply to topher06 • 2:14p, 3/29/23
AG
topher06 said:
Looks like a good buy, assume you've taken some off?
Waiting. Moved stop up
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Charismatic Megafauna
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In reply to Boy Named Sue • 2:19p, 3/29/23
AG
Boy Named Sue said:
Bought SPY 400c at .65. LFG

We're going Sizzler!
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Carioca Corredor
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2:26p, 3/29/23
AG
Sold a bunch of the MLP ET @12.25 figuring a bit of dilution is coming. ET is buying Lotus Midstream for cash and 44.5 MM new shares. Once the dust settles I will buy again
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FTAG 2000
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2:29p, 3/29/23
AG
We are at the top of the 2023 channel on SPY. Be careful.
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Boy Named Sue
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2:35p, 3/29/23
AG
Bust through 401.30 and run up to 402+? IDK, just thinking out loud
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topher06
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In reply to Boy Named Sue • 2:36p, 3/29/23
401 is holding well, but do feel a rug pull might be incoming
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Carioca Corredor
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2:39p, 3/29/23
AG
Sold 3/31 SPY 396c @5.05 for 21%
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:40p, 3/29/23
AG
all about context and time horizon.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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FTAG 2000
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2:41p, 3/29/23
AG
SPY up against downtrend line and top of 2023 channel.

QQQ is up against downtrend line and top of 2023 channel.

VIX against uptrend support line going back to February.

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Boy Named Sue
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In reply to topher06 • 2:42p, 3/29/23
AG
Yeah they just kept testing the top. Agree, rug pull may be coming now after failed attempts
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Boy Named Sue
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 2:43p, 3/29/23
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
all about context and time horizon.
You're my Jeremiah Wright, so lend some counsel here
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CheladaAg
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2:50p, 3/29/23
AG
MU up 8% after reporting record loss?
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$30,000 Millionaire
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2:52p, 3/29/23
AG
low probability, but I am betting closing on highs.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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Boy Named Sue
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3:00p, 3/29/23
AG
Touched 401.6 after it got through 401.3, but didn't run as much as I expected
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topher06
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3:04p, 3/29/23
Light volume today, lets see what the bull**** jobs report looks like tomorrow.
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jimmo
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3:24p, 3/29/23
was itching to buy puts at the close..
TSLA and SPY
oh well.
what date you guys use when you want to scalp some options?
nearest? or ...?
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Brewmaster
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In reply to jimmo • 3:35p, 3/29/23
AG
jimmo said:
was itching to buy puts at the close..
TSLA and SPY
oh well.
what date you guys use when you want to scalp some options?
nearest? or ...?
YMMV, but I don't scalp same day anymore. I'd rather go out a day or 2. I also wouldn't buy puts into a close like this. It is buying against the trend. Next level per Mancini is 4050, we could run up to that before any sell off.

the only thing I held overnight are some XOM calls.
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jimmo
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In reply to Brewmaster • 3:46p, 3/29/23
thanks
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