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gougler08
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AG
CSTXAg92 said:

Has this been discussed?


I've had some alerts hit and I'm peeling back on AMD, DAL and TGT

I'm trying to learn from past mistakes and keep winners as winners and not chase for the 100% return and end up cratering
CSTXAg92
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He deleted his account after Tweeting that. He clearly thinks we're on the precipice of a big drop.
Colt98
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So why hot buy some 470calls or is this thing going to 460 before it bounces?
BaylorSpineGuy
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Colt98 said:

So why hot buy some 470calls or is this thing going to 460 before it bounces?


Prior support over past yr has been in the mid 450s. Question is if it will hold this time. Looks like there may be a rotation out of DOW stocks. DE and others following suit.
Triple_Bagger
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Burry deletes his twitter multiple times per week. He's either very moody or doesn't understand how Twitter works.
FTAG 2000
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Colt98 said:

So why hot buy some 470calls or is this thing going to 460 before it bounces?
There's a gap to fill up at 421.22ish.

Seems we are destined to fill that and tidy up all these gaps above.

trip98
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ASO just incredible!!

havent posted in a LONG time. I learned a lot on this thread and as still a newbie I'm coming here to thank folks for sharing knowledge. Here's how you've helped me:
Lets just start by saying what is going on with the tear that ASO is on!!!!
From here I learned the idea of going net free and utilizing covered calls. So a couple years ago I bought into ASO at 21.75. since then sold CC's to lower my cost to $19. That's a win!!
I've been following the timing of calls to be before earnings as they've been crushing it each quarter.
Bought some calls back when dips and pocket profits....sell when it spikes....another win!!
Did that again a month or so ago for Feb 17 calls at $60 strike for $85
Unfortunately did NOT repeat lesson I learned and didn't buy back when it dropped to $40 a few weeks ago. And now it's on an absolutely rocket to the moon!!
It's at $62 now and there's still time for it to settle below $60 but for now I'm looking at getting called out. While that stings I can't call it a loss b/c getting $60 on $21.75 in just 2 years is a great return!!
And it offsets a bunch of losses I have so I'll leverage those to lower taxes...thanks XL and WWR!! But I have the rest of the year to see what WWR can do

Anyways...thanks to all for sharing....just to name a few....OA...$30k....irish....guy from TN (can't remember handle) that used to post in the mornings

we'll see how it goes between now and the 17th...if called out I'll pour some of that gain into a few net free shares!! and learning the pattern they've been on maybe try buy/sell some calls but will tread light as past results don't indicate future performance!!
FTAG 2000
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I really want to get some U calls for the run to earnings.

But this move yesterday and today has me cautious. Feel like a breather is needed.
Towns03
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CSTXAg92 said:

He deleted his account after Tweeting that. He clearly thinks we're on the precipice of a big drop.
Who is he and what do people think he's talking about??
FTAG 2000
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Towns03 said:

CSTXAg92 said:

He deleted his account after Tweeting that. He clearly thinks we're on the precipice of a big drop.
Who is he and what do people think he's talking about??
Look up The Big Short.

He called the 2008 housing crash, invested his and his client's funds into shorting the housing market and stock market.

Made 800 million or so on the bet.
LMCane
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FTAG 2000 said:

Towns03 said:

CSTXAg92 said:

He deleted his account after Tweeting that. He clearly thinks we're on the precipice of a big drop.
Who is he and what do people think he's talking about??
Look up The Big Short.

He called the 2008 housing crash, invested his and his client's funds into shorting the housing market and stock market.

Made 800 million or so on the bet.
also lost many of his clients and was basically fired because his bet took so long to come to fruition...
CSTXAg92
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Towns03 said:

CSTXAg92 said:

He deleted his account after Tweeting that. He clearly thinks we're on the precipice of a big drop.
Who is he and what do people think he's talking about??


https://www.google.com/search?gs_ssp=eJzj4tLP1TdIyk0ry8g2YPTizc1MzkhMzVFIKi0qqgQAej0JPQ&q=michael+burry&rlz=1CDGOYI_enUS954US954&oq=michael&aqs=chrome.3.69i59j69i57j0i131i273i433j46i131i273i433j69i65l2.9326j0j4&hl=en-US&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8
CSTXAg92
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CSTXAg92 said:

Towns03 said:

CSTXAg92 said:

He deleted his account after Tweeting that. He clearly thinks we're on the precipice of a big drop.
Who is he and what do people think he's talking about??


https://www.google.com/search?gs_ssp=eJzj4tLP1TdIyk0ry8g2YPTizc1MzkhMzVFIKi0qqgQAej0JPQ&q=michael+burry&rlz=1CDGOYI_enUS954US954&oq=michael&aqs=chrome.3.69i59j69i57j0i131i273i433j46i131i273i433j69i65l2.9326j0j4&hl=en-US&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8


https://www.amazon.com/Big-Short-Christian-Bale/dp/B019969US8/ref=atv_pr_sw_sc?sprefix=the%20big%20%2Caps%2C285&keywords=the%20big%20short&crid=2ZCPG9N97XSW6&switchSuccess=1&qid=1675359875&sr=8-2
FTAG 2000
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LMCane said:

FTAG 2000 said:

Towns03 said:

CSTXAg92 said:

He deleted his account after Tweeting that. He clearly thinks we're on the precipice of a big drop.
Who is he and what do people think he's talking about??
Look up The Big Short.

He called the 2008 housing crash, invested his and his client's funds into shorting the housing market and stock market.

Made 800 million or so on the bet.
also lost many of his clients and was basically fired because his bet took so long to come to fruition...
Minor detail.
FTAG 2000
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/ES really bouncing at that 5185-5195 area.
jj9000
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FTAG 2000 said:

/ES really bouncing at that 5185-5195 area.
EngrAg14
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OA1 with the gap about to close are you entering short/month out puts for SPY?
$30,000 Millionaire
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Sold September 120C on Google for $5.9
$30,000 Millionaire
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Congrats!
Colt98
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AG
Should have went with my gut..lol
BaylorSpineGuy
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Good call. It's a pretty impulsive move tho. The push down may not be done.
Colt98
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AG
Kind of viewed it like Oa DE calls
M4 Benelli
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Oil the only red, we all know this is sus. I'm looking at XOM like a snack.
Chef Elko
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M4 Benelli said:

Oil the only red, we all know this is sus. I'm looking at XOM like a snack.
Got lucky opening OIH and HAL put spreads yesterday. E&Ps should be ok but I'm seeing operators lay down rigs since gas has cratered. Waiting for YE22 conference calls and FY23 capex/rig guidance that isn't as strong as expected. Oilfield service stocks should come down.
Dan Scott
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Rates off the lows and vix jumping. SOmething is about to happen imo.
oldarmy1
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Trimmed MSFT calls
wanderer
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SPY up ~1.5%
QQQ up ~3.5%

...........VIX up ~5%

smells fishy
oldarmy1
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wanderer said:

SPY up ~1.5%
QQQ up ~3.5%

...........VIX up ~5%

smells fishy


Definitely do not ignore
GreasenUSA
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wanderer said:

SPY up ~1.5%
QQQ up ~3.5%

...........VIX up ~5%

smells fishy


This should be a fun ride in a couple hours.
wanderer
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Yep

Dan Scott
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Beautiful pullback
FTAG 2000
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SPY's going to end up closing lower than yesterday's low, isn't it?
oldarmy1
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All the signals came in with good amount of time to take action.
oldarmy1
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Earnings by the big dogs could rip this right back through highs. I traded the signals on consolidation but had hedges do the heavy lifting. Might be worth a cheap Friday call of SPY day high
wanderer
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wanderer said:

SPY model-T from ATH (479.98 on 1/4/22) to recent low (348.11 on 10/13/22) is 414.05. We hit 413.67 today.

QQQ is a bit of a different story. Model-T from ATH (408.71 on 11/22/21) to recent low (254.26 on 10/13/22) is 331.49. We hit 303.43 today.
SPY intraday flew way past model-T, just flashed below and now heading back up.
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