Odd price action and volume in /ES since ~2am
Per Bloomberg, Hedge funds have loaded record high short position in the US treasuries ahead of the FOMC tomorrow- they expect yields to spike, $DXY to surge and $SPY to crash.
— TIC TOC TIC (@TicTocTick) January 31, 2023
This could be epic . pic.twitter.com/YoGmDyvlE7
FJ43 said:Per Bloomberg, Hedge funds have loaded record high short position in the US treasuries ahead of the FOMC tomorrow- they expect yields to spike, $DXY to surge and $SPY to crash.
— TIC TOC TIC (@TicTocTick) January 31, 2023
This could be epic . pic.twitter.com/YoGmDyvlE7
Take the 30% and run.Boy Named Sue said:
Maybe today's a good day for a lesson from you, $30k. I keep looking for topping action on MSFT but I'm not seeing it yet (edit to add since I started this post it might've happened). Watching the top and bottom shadows on 5 minute candles. I don't want to get greedy like I did on the last few calls I bought, where I could've had singles and doubles if I had exited when I thought about it. Any thoughts on it?
Second edit: still no topping action that I see, as of 9:37 AM. My 2/3 255C are up 30+% at the moment. I think my psychological downfall in options trading so far is getting greedy. Entry has been well timed, generally, but I hang on too long and end up breaking even basically.
FOMC is tomorrow.FTAG 2000 said:Take the 30% and run.Boy Named Sue said:
Maybe today's a good day for a lesson from you, $30k. I keep looking for topping action on MSFT but I'm not seeing it yet (edit to add since I started this post it might've happened). Watching the top and bottom shadows on 5 minute candles. I don't want to get greedy like I did on the last few calls I bought, where I could've had singles and doubles if I had exited when I thought about it. Any thoughts on it?
Second edit: still no topping action that I see, as of 9:37 AM. My 2/3 255C are up 30+% at the moment. I think my psychological downfall in options trading so far is getting greedy. Entry has been well timed, generally, but I hang on too long and end up breaking even basically.
It's FOMC day. Trading volume is going to start drying up at some point here mid-morning, and stay dead until FOMC time (2 eastern). Then it's going to be a wild ride and who knows where those end up.
Take your winnings, get back in after once the market digests the minutes from today if it makes sense.
wanderer said:
FOMC meetings are today/tomorrow but I'm fairly certain the press conference/release isn't until tomorrow afternoon.
You should be happy with that. really hard to hit homers in the bear market.Boy Named Sue said:
That's the advice I needed, FTAG. Made 27%. Thanks.
maybe the best way to answer is to ask a question:Boy Named Sue said:
Maybe today's a good day for a lesson from you, $30k. I keep looking for topping action on MSFT but I'm not seeing it yet (edit to add since I started this post it might've happened). Watching the top and bottom shadows on 5 minute candles. I don't want to get greedy like I did on the last few calls I bought, where I could've had singles and doubles if I had exited when I thought about it. Any thoughts on it?
Second edit: still no topping action that I see, as of 9:37 AM. My 2/3 255C are up 30+% at the moment. I think my psychological downfall in options trading so far is getting greedy. Entry has been well timed, generally, but I hang on too long and end up breaking even basically.
Upgrade + 35 price target.Philip J Fry said:
FGEN rocket
OXY is easiest to trade via short puts or shares in my opinion. very finnicky intra-dayBoy Named Sue said:
Bought OXY 2/10 66Cs at .97, just based on EMA cross.
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Setup is there for a long but it's a bad time of day
MROD92 said:
Can anyone post the name of the book OA 1 suggested getting?