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ChemAg15
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In reply to Whirligigs • 11:38a, 11/2/22
AG
Google IPO was 85 per share. The stock split ratio is about 40:1 so if you back into the IPO price then it would be about $2.12 per share.
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Brian Earl Spilner
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11:39a, 11/2/22
AG
I put in a buy at $85.50 for GOOGL. Didn't expect it to go this low but great call by that poster.
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Whirligigs
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11:39a, 11/2/22
Ahh yes the splits.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to BenRev09 • 11:46a, 11/2/22
BenRev09 said:
gap at 84?
Also, there's another gap at $64-ish.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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11:58a, 11/2/22
WTI up $1.51 to $89.88. ~$6 spread to Brent. ~$22 spread to XOM. CVX:XOM spread at ~$70. WTI reacted as I thought it would to EIA numbers and should be about $1.50 higher. I don't know what Powell will say today and yet I do believe CVX and XOM finish the day green. Light volume day for XOM and down $0.29. Not bad. Not bad at all.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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12:24p, 11/2/22
Last post. I feel like I'm a spammer today! LOL!

If you check that post I made about analysts calling for ~$190 CVX and ~$136 XOM. The spreads they used reflected $57 on the first PPS range and $54 on the second PPS range (highest prices per share for each). Basically, those ranges and spreads indicate a more bullish scenario for XOM than CVX. I think it will happen even with XOM having ~2X the number of shares than CVX.

Make a bunch of money!
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topher06
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12:39p, 11/2/22
22 minutes until market fakeouts and retail devastation
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Spoony Love
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 12:41p, 11/2/22
AG
Buy an ad!
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Wannabud
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12:42p, 11/2/22
AG
What was that?!?!?
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texAZtea
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In reply to Spoony Love • 12:42p, 11/2/22
AG
Spoony Love said:
Buy an ad!
alternatively, I would sign up for his newsletter
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Spoony Love
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In reply to texAZtea • 12:44p, 11/2/22
AG
Indeed, that would make two of us.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to topher06 • 12:44p, 11/2/22
AG
topher06 said:
22 minutes until market fakeouts and retail devastation
I'm hoping for a quick flush when the Fed starts talking, 381/ 380 area. Then chop, then start a big bounce - start a multi day squeeze. Just a thought on what could happen.

I don't like this move, Pre FOMC. would much prefer flat to down going into it.
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Charismatic Megafauna
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12:57p, 11/2/22
AG
Got a couple xsp 383/4/5 lotto flys filled for .1
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1:00p, 11/2/22
BlueTaze
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1:03p, 11/2/22
Fed acknowledges lags in data points, hikes 75
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Golf1
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1:08p, 11/2/22
AG
Is Powell going to shoot SPY back down to 380 or do we see 395 after he speaks?
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In reply to Golf1 • 1:09p, 11/2/22
topher06
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1:15p, 11/2/22
Flipped some AMZN calls, done with trading for the day.
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Brewmaster
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1:29p, 11/2/22
AG
TLT is... nevermind! all over the place

Powell should be on now
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topher06
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1:31p, 11/2/22
Not watching the speech, but judging by the SPY minute candle I'm assuming Jerome came in and immediately took a hot steamy dump on the market?

EDIT: Must have just been the initial bowel movement cause that last 2 minutes was the real action.
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irish pete ag06
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In reply to irish pete ag06 • 1:33p, 11/2/22
AG
irish pete ag06 said:
So I've been back testing and I've decided to do this. I will try to trade journal this here.



QQQ had the 8/21 EMA cross on the daily on Friday.

I scaled into TQQQ on Friday and Monday with a cost basis of 20.28.

My plan is to ride this the 8/21 EMA cross back on the daily. I plan to scale out along the way on any big rips and potentially sell calls as well (work had me away from my computer this morning or I definitely would have sold calls). But I will be fully out for sure when the 8/21 EMA cross to the downside.

This is a longer term swing... in my back testing, the EMA has triggered up or down 26 times over the last 2.5 years.

I cut this loose today for just a little above break even... Since I'm looking for more long term swings here, I want to let the post FOMC craziness settle down before longing TQQQ or SQQQ.
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Ag CPA
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1:38p, 11/2/22
AG
Terminal rates will be higher than previously expected, there goes the market.
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BlueTaze
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1:38p, 11/2/22
"Ultimate rate higher than originally expected"
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sts7049
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1:51p, 11/2/22
AG
down she goes
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Ag CPA
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1:52p, 11/2/22
AG
Premature to be thinking about pauses, have a ways to go.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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1:54p, 11/2/22
GOOGL
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Golf1
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1:59p, 11/2/22
AG
Decided to get some December 2nd 112 calls on the dip on XOM
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Brian Earl Spilner
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 1:59p, 11/2/22
AG
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
GOOGL
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to Brian Earl Spilner • 2:05p, 11/2/22
Brian Earl Spilner said:
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
GOOGL
L@@ky L@@ky

G@@GL

My first order to buy is $84.55
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irish pete ag06
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2:10p, 11/2/22
AG
LABU continues to show relative strength...

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Brewmaster
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In reply to Golf1 • 2:23p, 11/2/22
AG
Golf1 said:
Is Powell going to shoot SPY back down to 380 or do we see 395 after he speaks?
not trading advice, but usually fade the opening move and you make $. I played a couple puts a week out on the opening spike. Then once JPow got into the meat of his talk, TLT started dumping and SPY quickly followed.

hopefully those in XOM calls took profits!
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Brian Earl Spilner
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2:23p, 11/2/22
AG
Well there's my second TQQQ limit hit. Now let's see if GOOGL hits.
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Bonfire1996
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2:27p, 11/2/22
AG
You will be able to get GOOGL next Spring in the 70s yall.

This market hasn't priced in stagflation or $125 oil. Biden is going to stop the SPR when Republicans take office and straight up demonize big oil and Repubs for the 2023 recession.
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topher06
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2:29p, 11/2/22
Market is absolutely imploding. Glad I dumped those Amazon calls
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Golf1
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In reply to Brewmaster • 2:29p, 11/2/22
AG
Yeah that's what I did. Had some 381 puts when spy was in the 387 range and I was listening to Powell and kept hearing things that didn't sound good but the market wasn't going down so I got a little worried and got out. Then it dropped. Those puts would be up 200% if I stayed in it.
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