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24,679,260 Views | 233381 Replies | Last: 17 min ago by Chef Elko
$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 8:33a, 9/12/22
AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:
TLT appears to have reached a double bottom as well around 108ish. Interesting to see if this bottom holds. Will be curious to watch what Fed does next week.


I don't think we've seen the bottom but it won't go too much below.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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topher06
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8:39a, 9/12/22
Damn GOLD had a bad opening 10 minutes
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Ragoo
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 8:45a, 9/12/22
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Not taking long trades up here. Maybe post gapfill.
4070 on SPX?
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HtownAg92
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8:50a, 9/12/22
AG
Edit: Wrong Thread
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$30,000 Millionaire
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9:19a, 9/12/22
AG
This is like panic buying.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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Chef Elko
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 9:29a, 9/12/22
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
This is like panic buying.

I refuse to be cannon fodder
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Brewmaster
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 9:30a, 9/12/22
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
This is like panic buying.
this is nuts. and RSI almost meaningless now
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topher06
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9:43a, 9/12/22
Sold 420 9/16 calls on my SPY shares and bought a handful of puts.
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Golf1
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In reply to Brewmaster • 9:49a, 9/12/22
AG
I'm to the point where I wish I could forget anything I know about TA and start over
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topher06
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In reply to Golf1 • 9:51a, 9/12/22
Golf1 said:
I'm to the point where I wish I could forget anything I know about TA and start over
Saturday has had that effect on many of us.
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topher06
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In reply to topher06 • 10:03a, 9/12/22
topher06 said:
Sold 420 9/16 calls on my SPY shares and bought a handful of puts.
Just sold the puts.

EDIT: And bought back the calls, mostly cause I don't want to deal with realizing SPY gains in 2022. Would leave these in place otherwise.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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10:52a, 9/12/22
AG
its opex, just remember that.

Nothing wrong with buying time with your options. easier to hold that way.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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Bob Knights Paper Hands
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10:57a, 9/12/22
I made ~$100 on TSLA calls this morning. Big spender there. I got in late when the RSI dipped and started curving back up, but went lotto size. Sold at a good spot as well. Very small green day is probably fine for me today.
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Ragoo
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In reply to Bob Knights Paper Hands • 10:58a, 9/12/22
AG
I made $160 selling TSLA short at 304.50
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irish pete ag06
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10:59a, 9/12/22
AG
Waiting to see how SPX responds to 4100. I think it's gonna reject it like Mutumbo.
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Golf1
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11:01a, 9/12/22
AG
spy going to fill the gap down today?
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Lake08
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12:46p, 9/12/22
Any economic or fed news this week?
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ProgN
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In reply to Lake08 • 12:48p, 9/12/22
CPI
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Lake08
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In reply to ProgN • 12:52p, 9/12/22
ProgN said:
CPI
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topher06
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1:15p, 9/12/22
Making another run at 411. May load some puts to hold overnight. (edit: didn't do it, unfortunately)
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BaylorSpineGuy
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1:45p, 9/12/22
VIX up like 4% today and SPY also up. Interesting given financial news this week, etc.
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FJ43
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1:45p, 9/12/22

Not saying it will but typically an extension this far above the 5EMA backtests within 2 days.

Lots going on this week though.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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BaylorSpineGuy
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1:57p, 9/12/22
Gonna hedge a 9/16 415C against my longer dated 400P. Don't wanna get burned unidirectionally - getting burned bidirectionally is much more pleasant.
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Charismatic Megafauna
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2:41p, 9/12/22
AG
I got a couple wed 405 puts and a couple 415 calls, hopefully both sides pay in the morning
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topher06
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In reply to Charismatic Megafauna • 2:43p, 9/12/22
Charismatic Megafauna said:
I got a couple wed 405 puts and a couple 415 calls, hopefully both sides pay in the morning
How do you figure both sides pay? Just volatility spike?
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Charismatic Megafauna
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In reply to topher06 • 2:47p, 9/12/22
AG
Big news days usually swing both ways, fakeout move then the real one. Believe that's an old oa1 play. Usually i cut the "real move" side too early, we'll see how tomorrow goes
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BaylorSpineGuy
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2:57p, 9/12/22
Edit: n/m.
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topher06
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3:01p, 9/12/22
Going with a few puts overnight, if only to hedge the potential bloodbath on long SPY shares.

EDIT: This are 9/16 405 puts.
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Charismatic Megafauna
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3:29p, 9/12/22
AG
I gradually cut all but one of those calls after close, couldn't pass up 20-25% in 30 minutes
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topher06
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In reply to Charismatic Megafauna • 3:44p, 9/12/22
Charismatic Megafauna said:
I gradually cut all but one of those calls after close, couldn't pass up 20-25% in 30 minutes


Well done. Market does seem to be expecting good news on inflation - I'm not sure what that means in our current bizarro world but whatever is good the market is expecting it
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Ag CPA
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4:46p, 9/12/22
AG
Tomorrow should be interesting, have no idea how the markets are going to react given how the past couple of months have gone.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to topher06 • 5:05p, 9/12/22
AG
topher06 said:
Charismatic Megafauna said:
I gradually cut all but one of those calls after close, couldn't pass up 20-25% in 30 minutes


Well done. Market does seem to be expecting good news on inflation - I'm not sure what that means in our current bizarro world but whatever is good the market is expecting it
I like Mancini's thesis, he thinks we initially rocket on CPI, then dump after the rip fades. (regardless of news) and that could push us to 4150 area (his next target I think).
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to Brewmaster • 5:27p, 9/12/22
That's my guess. Which means it probably won't happen that way lol.

I have calls and puts bath in place
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Bonfire1996
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5:36p, 9/12/22
AG
4115-4119 is decision making time. Upper bound of 9 month descending channel, but still in mid range of 3.5 month ascending channel.

It's the perfect day for it too, with CPI.
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topher06
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5:40p, 9/12/22
Watch China pull some **** and CPI become "other news"
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