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topher06
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BaylorSpineGuy said:

Ag CPA said:

Charismatic Megafauna said:

I'm calling a $7 day tomorrow. In the up direction.
I'll go the opposite direction, if we have a strong jobs report (I hate a good news is bad news market) tomorrow, combined with a long weekend, I think that the S&P could drop 100. We will see…




I've given up predicting what the market will determine to be good or bad. But here's some interesting numbers.
Yeah but jobs report is basically the only positive report that has come out over the last year or so, and we have midterms in a few months.
BlueTaze
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Why is McCarthy vilifying day traders and putting them in same category as DC beauracrats? He needs to go. Im buying more SPY calls tmrw just to steal from middle class.

25 sec mark
FJ43
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BlueTaze said:

Why is McCarthy vilifying day traders and putting them in same category as DC beauracrats? He needs to go. Im buying more SPY calls tmrw just to steal from middle class.

25 sec mark


I'm think he meant insider traders (Nancy says hello)
lobwedgephil
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BaylorSpineGuy said:

Ag CPA said:

Charismatic Megafauna said:

I'm calling a $7 day tomorrow. In the up direction.
I'll go the opposite direction, if we have a strong jobs report (I hate a good news is bad news market) tomorrow, combined with a long weekend, I think that the S&P could drop 100. We will see…




I've given up predicting what the market will determine to be good or bad. But here's some interesting numbers.
Bad jobs number, good for equities. Good jobs number, bad for equities. Good jobs number gives Fed more reason to keep the pedal down.

But yeah, never actually know the reaction until you see it.
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:

Rally hat till OpEx and VIXperation?



My mental monolog is all messed up since learning that Cem rhymes with Jim, and he actually uses "vol" as a word in conversation
Brewmaster
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AG
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

Previously mentioned, Saudi not liking WTI & Brent action. One of the best things that could happen is, on Monday when the market is closed, Saudi should announce a production cut from OPEC+ Sep 5th meeting. Talk about September 6th fireworks when the market opens!....This might actually happen.. I wouldn't be short energy over the long weekend.
there was massive XOM buying into the close. It was right at the close, 16 mil shares, looking at 1 minute candle chart on my app (dark pool maybe? I have no idea).
OXY didn't see the same for what it's worth. and WTI had a big sell at the close 290k I believe.
wanderer
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I wish that were the case with XOM, but I'm not seeing it on the chart. 16M is about a daily average volume
Brewmaster
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AG
FJ43 said:


Did y'all win today?
Yes sir only traded the first hour or so, but should've traded this downtrend break... I need to grow bigger balls and just trust the stops.



FJ43
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Hmmmmm Nov 10,11 or 12c might be calling my name here.

LUMN

Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

Brewmaster
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AG
wanderer said:

I wish that were the case with XOM, but I'm not seeing it on the chart. 16M is about a daily average volume
dark pool maybe? I have no idea, but it does show on my app (doesn't show in other places). and my app has been accurate before on dark pool buys.
lobwedgephil
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Good call.

FJ43
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lobwedgephil said:

Good call.


Gap and go please. Tuesday.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

HtownAg92
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AG
FJ43 said:


Did y'all win today?


Did well on QQQ 297.5p early then a 299c late in the day.
FJ43
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HtownAg92 said:

FJ43 said:


Did y'all win today?


Did well on QQQ 297.5p early then a 299c late in the day.
Well played. No bias.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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BREwmaster said:

Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

Previously mentioned, Saudi not liking WTI & Brent action. One of the best things that could happen is, on Monday when the market is closed, Saudi should announce a production cut from OPEC+ Sep 5th meeting. Talk about September 6th fireworks when the market opens!....This might actually happen.. I wouldn't be short energy over the long weekend.
there was massive XOM buying into the close. It was right at the close, 16 mil shares, looking at 1 minute candle chart on my app (dark pool maybe? I have no idea).
OXY didn't see the same for what it's worth. and WTI had a big sell at the close 290k I believe.
I got a buddy on a different site that sent me a message that all major oils were getting bought in the last 10 minutes. Large green candles on XOM, CVX, COP, EOG, OXY, SLB, WMB, DVN and some others into the close. I don't have the ability to see those trades, so I guess dark pool.

Also, he noted that XOM Nov 18th expiration on 100's and 105's Calls saw 4,500 contracts of combined activity today ~$1 million, but yesterday was $2 million. I asked if he deemed as bearish and the reply was in normal cases yes, but in this case the number of buyers would indicate bullish.

Hope you're doing well!
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Last post for the night. My Corona is getting warm.

I'm picking up that the Iran deal will likely not make it. Should this be true, it's wildly bullish for energy. Who knows if the deal is dead or going to be signed, just chatter..

This article link below is great! I agree 100% with this fellow. All of this (article suggestions) could have happened if Brandon did not align himself with the Green Energy Hoax. Brandon made major enemies with U.S. Big Oil. I highly recommend this article. If I was POTUS, the Fed would be gone and I would have done the exact plan this fellow outlined. It's easy to agree with someone with like thinking..

https://www.foxbusiness.com/energy/billionaire-oil-refinery-owner-reveals-simple-solution-lower-inflation

Hope y'all make a lot of money tomorrow!

Lake08
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I'll play on the sept 9 calls on XOM. I trust your honest opinions on this. Makes sense.

It's a gamble
topher06
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I may need to buy back my sold calls on XOM expiring in October. Or I guess I could just buy some nearer term calls to offset
Lake08
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If lucky next week. Food/drinks on me in Waco. If we lose, oh well. Chalk it up

XOM sept 9 calls. Prob 100/105's
lobwedgephil
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

BREwmaster said:

Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

Previously mentioned, Saudi not liking WTI & Brent action. One of the best things that could happen is, on Monday when the market is closed, Saudi should announce a production cut from OPEC+ Sep 5th meeting. Talk about September 6th fireworks when the market opens!....This might actually happen.. I wouldn't be short energy over the long weekend.
there was massive XOM buying into the close. It was right at the close, 16 mil shares, looking at 1 minute candle chart on my app (dark pool maybe? I have no idea).
OXY didn't see the same for what it's worth. and WTI had a big sell at the close 290k I believe.
I got a buddy on a different site that sent me a message that all major oils were getting bought in the last 10 minutes. Large green candles on XOM, CVX, COP, EOG, OXY, SLB, WMB, DVN and some others into the close. I don't have the ability to see those trades, so I guess dark pool.

Also, he noted that XOM Nov 18th expiration on 100's and 105's Calls saw 4,500 contracts of combined activity today ~$1 million, but yesterday was $2 million. I asked if he deemed as bearish and the reply was in normal cases yes, but in this case the number of buyers would indicate bullish.

Hope you're doing well!
Not really as clean as your friend says. No real notable flow on XOM today. Though I am in oil so I hope he is correct. Nothing notable today on 100's Nov, but Nov 105's was a spread, buying 105's but also buying 65 puts as protection.

FJ43
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FJ43 said:

Buying XOM 100c for next week expiry. Lotto size and will manage them.
If you followed or took this trade yesterday when posted they will be up close to 50%+ at open should it maintain premarket.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

BaylorSpineGuy
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OA has also been on the GOLD train yesterday. Well, it double bottomed yesterday with an inverted red hammer, and is trading up PM.

Could be time for to buy those LEAPS if not already done.
FJ43
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BaylorSpineGuy said:

OA has also been on the GOLD train yesterday. Well, it double bottomed yesterday with an inverted red hammer, and is trading up PM.

Could be time for to buy those LEAPS if not already done.
I already loaded those. I liked the trade after he originally posted and checked out the chart. Sat at the bid and lowered accordingly this week and filled like a sniper. Jan 24' 22C
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

BaylorSpineGuy
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Nice. I will look to join here. He called out the $20/22 call LEAPS but really all of the strikes are getting pounded and the deltas on all of them are attractive relative to price. The $17's looked nice to me but I'll follow smart money (you guys!).
topher06
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FJ43 said:

BaylorSpineGuy said:

OA has also been on the GOLD train yesterday. Well, it double bottomed yesterday with an inverted red hammer, and is trading up PM.

Could be time for to buy those LEAPS if not already done.
I already loaded those. I liked the trade after he originally posted and checked out the chart. Sat at the bid and lowered accordingly this week and filled like a sniper. Jan 24' 22C


I'm in GOLD too. Down on the first loads but got more yesterday. Leaps so have plenty of time to come back on those first buys anyway. Need a weaker dollar on this one
BaylorSpineGuy
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What was your avg fill on those if you don't mind my asking?
Dan Scott
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AG
Unemployment rate starting to rise. Markets go up
topher06
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Dan Scott said:

Unemployment rate starting to rise. Markets go up


Think it's a signal that the interest rates are impacting the inflation caused by the massive domestic overspending, so maybe the rate increases won't come so fast
Spoony Love
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AG
Is this a fade the first move day or this is the trend day?
Dan Scott
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AG
Yep and looking at bonds, rates are unchanged from the news so bond market expecting further rate hikes. Until rates come down this makes me think equity markets jumping will be temporary.
Dan Scott
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AG
I'd love to see a gap and run Friday that gives good opportunity for puts again next week. RSI right now in the 30s and allows it to reset for next move down.
Spoony Love
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AG
I think I'm with you on that. A rip today might provide for some 0dte scalps but also for some good put entries next week.
Dan Scott
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AG
We put in a nice bottoming candle yesterday. If you pull up a daily SPY chart, whenever there is a bottoming candle after a down trend, it usually results in a gap up the next day with at least 1 day of follow.
Ragoo
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AG
If SPY breaks 400 we run. If not we fade.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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I'm out today, so y'all keep the market between 3950 and 4020 for me today. I got my ass kicked a bit yesterday, trying to momentum trade too early. I gave up my entire profits for the week plus a couple hundred. Patience is a virtue, I guess.
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