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24,748,693 Views | 233447 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by Heineken-Ashi
$30,000 Millionaire
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irish pete ag06 said:

Checking in. The overnight gap down killed those AMZN calls I accidentally overnighted. Ended up dragging account down another 10%. (this may seem like a lot, but my account is plankton sized... for good reason)

Traded QQQ to breakeven. So -10% back to back days...

The lesson learned here is to just not trade when you're busy.

I shall be back tomorrow.


You're trading too big if you're losing 10% on an overnight trade.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
Ranger222
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RBLX up 8%
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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I didn't have time to post, but I got in TSLA759C around 8:41. I've still got 1 runner, but I'll sell that if we come off the top of the channel. I'm looking at TSLA720P if we do break down from here. If we hold or break upward, SPX4160C looks interesting.
Saltyag15
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XOM bounced off $105 like it was mad at it

Edit - pushed through 45 minutes later.
LMCane
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ProgN said:

Jet Black said:

Debating the cause? Seems pretty simple. Everything is expensive, including gas. People can't afford it so they are using credit.

https://www.marketwatch.com/amp/story/u-s-consumer-credit-growth-stays-strong-in-april-11654629287
If you're right then that's a very bad omen for the markets. Instead of curtailing their spending and changing their habits, they're incurring more debt at the worst possible time. People with high credit card debts should be focusing on paying them down and eliminating them outright when the fed started raising rates. Those are variable and have been increasing. I've seen some cards as high at 24.99% which is predatory and will continue to increase, people are just putting themselves in an inescapable death spiral. This will lead to numerous defaults and bankruptcies. This will destroy their credit and will effect renters and even some job opportunities.

Unfortunately, our economy is consumer based and when that dries up because no one can borrow or buy on credit, it's going to get very ugly. It will solve the inflation problem but a lot of lower and middle class working families will suffer because they've not recognized the risk. I don't want that. It saddens me because it didn't have to be this way, but this isn't the forum to go any further.

If anyone in here knows someone that's on that path, then you should help advise them if you really care about their wellbeing.

savings rate and total savings have dropped to lows- according to Steve Liesman on CNBC last night.

of course Americans will be trying to use the "buy now pay later" apps for as long as they possibly can.

do you not remember in 2007 when bus drivers owned four houses?!
Spoony Love
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ProgN said:

Jet Black said:

Debating the cause? Seems pretty simple. Everything is expensive, including gas. People can't afford it so they are using credit.

https://www.marketwatch.com/amp/story/u-s-consumer-credit-growth-stays-strong-in-april-11654629287
If you're right then that's a very bad omen for the markets. Instead of curtailing their spending and changing their habits, they're incurring more debt at the worst possible time. People with high credit card debts should be focusing on paying them down and eliminating them outright when the fed started raising rates. Those are variable and have been increasing. I've seen some cards as high at 24.99% which is predatory and will continue to increase, people are just putting themselves in an inescapable death spiral. This will lead to numerous defaults and bankruptcies. This will destroy their credit and will effect renters and even some job opportunities.

Unfortunately, our economy is consumer based and when that dries up because no one can borrow or buy on credit, it's going to get very ugly. It will solve the inflation problem but a lot of lower and middle class working families will suffer because they've not recognized the risk. I don't want that. It saddens me because it didn't have to be this way, but this isn't the forum to go any further.

If anyone in here knows someone that's on that path, then you should help advise them if you really care about their wellbeing.
I'm beginning to think my recent HS graduate is smarter than he makes out. He is turning down acceptance into A&M and turning his attention to welding. Just a few thousand dollars will get him through certifications and complete an associates in welding, setting him up for a bachelors later on if he so chooses. But he will be done in 3 semesters and no debt. Will be able to work part - full time depending on the company schedule and likely able to buy his own place before his peers even sniff a bachelors.

We talk a lot around the dinner table about money decisions and the kid is really simple in his vices. Doesn't spend much and works for fast food.

I am starting to believe it's kids like this who will pull the economy out of the dregs. Here's to those kids who are engaging this economy as producers more than consumers.
TecRecAg
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Not a bad idea. Welding, plumbing, etc... will never run out of a job.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Saltyag15 said:

XOM bounced off $105 like it was mad at it

Edit - pushed through 45 minutes later.
This morning another analyst gave an upgrade to $120(...welcome to the club pal) and down graded Oxy and Devon.

CVX and XOM spread has been approximately $80 for a long time. If XOM target is $120 then CVX should be $200 thereabouts...me likey a lot!

Holding the XOM's and CVX's longer term are probably the thing to do, but I'll lighten my load and move into more PDI and T.

I'm waiting on any credit rating agency to step up and upgrade XOM. Double dog dare them. Politically, I don't think they'll touch it until being forced to in 2Q results announcement or 3Q. This Administration won't like it one iota.

The biggest kicker of them all is - will the DOW30 bring XOM back into the fold? If so, the scramble to readjust portfolio's will absolutely drive XOM to $120.
Charismatic Megafauna
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Such a great plan, congrats and good job fostering it! I have a buddy who dropped out of college, got a couple welding certs, worked his butt off for several years then decided to go back to school. Got his me degree while making good money working odd hours supervising a production fab shop (where he could study on the job), got a great job from there and i believe he has his mba now (that his current employer paid for)
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In my current neck of the woods, Tech Schools have been booming for the last 5 years. Today, there are electrician and plumbing companies awarding HS graduates $10,000 scholarships and a guaranteed job after successful completion of a Tech School program. If you don't finish Tech School or go to work for someone else, the $10,000 is to be paid back to the scholarship donor.
BrokeAssAggie
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SPY starting to form a little bull flag and VIX dropping. Rippy?
Spoony Love
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It would be welcomed over here.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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I made a little on TSLA puts but gave that back getting chopped up on TSLA and SPX for a bit. I haven't done my P/L, but I think I'm up ~1k. Probably done for the day.
docaggie
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Fixed.
Class of 1998;
Husband of an Aggie, Class of 1999;
Father to future Class of 2029 and 2031
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Maybe remove your post and DM him..
Philip J Fry
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PED
Tumble Weed
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

Saltyag15 said:

XOM bounced off $105 like it was mad at it

Edit - pushed through 45 minutes later.
This morning another analyst gave an upgrade to $120(...welcome to the club pal) and down graded Oxy and Devon.

CVX and XOM spread has been approximately $80 for a long time. If XOM target is $120 then CVX should be $200 thereabouts...me likey a lot!

Holding the XOM's and CVX's longer term are probably the thing to do, but I'll lighten my load and move into more PDI and T.

I'm waiting on any credit rating agency to step up and upgrade XOM. Double dog dare them. Politically, I don't think they'll touch it until being forced to in 2Q results announcement or 3Q. This Administration won't like it one iota.

The biggest kicker of them all is - will the DOW30 bring XOM back into the fold? If so, the scramble to readjust portfolio's will absolutely drive XOM to $120.


I just added more OXY and I own DVN.
Disagree on both about the downgrade.

My biggest 3 holdings right now are Oxy, mro, and fang.

I based my buying the smaller guys on pe and margins and drilling reports in the Permian Basin.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Tumble Weed said:

Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

Saltyag15 said:

XOM bounced off $105 like it was mad at it

Edit - pushed through 45 minutes later.
This morning another analyst gave an upgrade to $120(...welcome to the club pal) and down graded Oxy and Devon.

CVX and XOM spread has been approximately $80 for a long time. If XOM target is $120 then CVX should be $200 thereabouts...me likey a lot!

Holding the XOM's and CVX's longer term are probably the thing to do, but I'll lighten my load and move into more PDI and T.

I'm waiting on any credit rating agency to step up and upgrade XOM. Double dog dare them. Politically, I don't think they'll touch it until being forced to in 2Q results announcement or 3Q. This Administration won't like it one iota.

The biggest kicker of them all is - will the DOW30 bring XOM back into the fold? If so, the scramble to readjust portfolio's will absolutely drive XOM to $120.


I just added more OXY and I own DVN.
Disagree on both about the downgrade.

My biggest 3 holdings right now are Oxy, mro, and fang.

I based my buying the smaller guys on pe and margins and drilling reports in the Permian Basin.
I think you can't go wrong on most anything O&G today. But,...who am I, not a noted analyst.

I'd hazard to guess that Warren had one of his people give that analyst a call regarding OXY..."just to check in" of course.
Red Pear Luke (BCS)
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Biden talking about removing Tariffs on some Chinese made products...
BaylorSpineGuy
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Appreciate that. Was not sure but since no identifying info, i thought would be safe. Taken down as a measure of caution.
docaggie
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BaylorSpineGuy said:

Appreciate that. Was not sure but since no identifying info, i thought would be safe. Taken down as a measure of caution.
Even something that has been removed from a patient, does not include a patient in the image, and that has no identifying info can put you at risk if you don't have express written permission on how that image will be used and are not using an approved medical photography device / uploading to an approved medical electronic record.

For example, we can use our personal cell phones to take pictures of a patient / device / injury / etc though the Haiku app for EPIC, because that image is not being stored locally on your phone, it's being entered into the electronic medical record, and it's being used in the conduct of medical care.

And while I could DM about this, we aren't the only physicians on this thread. This might just save someone from losing their job. As I've said, I've seen it happen. Administrations don't show a lot of mercy on this, depending on the circumstances.
Class of 1998;
Husband of an Aggie, Class of 1999;
Father to future Class of 2029 and 2031
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Brewmaster
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Feed this desire to learn hands on and potentially skip college! He sounds driven, and if so could make one helluva stainless steel, titanium etc. welder, get specialized at it and make Big Bucks.

The older I get (and the more "progressive" etc. colleges get) the more I appreciate kids that want to be great at a trade (and skip it!)

Also, breweries! many of them need great SS welders. Very specialized, lots of $ to be made.
Brad Jerry Mitch
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Can anyone explain ARDDF's explosion today?
Chipotlemonger
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ROKU up 10+% today.
docaggie
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Chipotlemonger said:

ROKU up 10+% today.
Could it be because of the rumor that Netflix was going to buy them?
Heard it on CNBC earlier, though several people 'in the know' said it was nothing more than a rumor and wouldn't make sense.
Class of 1998;
Husband of an Aggie, Class of 1999;
Father to future Class of 2029 and 2031
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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XOM

Sold 6/10 $111 CC's for $0.10

Ag CPA
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On CNBC Kelly Evans looks like she is about to pop.
LMCane
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

Saltyag15 said:

XOM bounced off $105 like it was mad at it

Edit - pushed through 45 minutes later.
This morning another analyst gave an upgrade to $120(...welcome to the club pal) and down graded Oxy and Devon.

CVX and XOM spread has been approximately $80 for a long time. If XOM target is $120 then CVX should be $200 thereabouts...me likey a lot!

Holding the XOM's and CVX's longer term are probably the thing to do, but I'll lighten my load and move into more PDI and T.

I'm waiting on any credit rating agency to step up and upgrade XOM. Double dog dare them. Politically, I don't think they'll touch it until being forced to in 2Q results announcement or 3Q. This Administration won't like it one iota.

The biggest kicker of them all is - will the DOW30 bring XOM back into the fold? If so, the scramble to readjust portfolio's will absolutely drive XOM to $120.
I have a bunch of XOM and CVX and energy ETFs

but my concern is that once the energy market falls, it will fall quickly. I am just holding for now.
Ranger222
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Some fun weeklies rest of week

RBLX 36C .2
CHWY 32C .09
NKE 128C .08
Brewmaster
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Ranger222 said:

Some fun weeklies rest of week

RBLX 36C .2
CHWY 32C .09
NKE 128C .08
I like!

think we bounce off 4100? or maybe they close it on 4100. I have it as the bottom trend line of a wedge. Top of the range could still be 4150's tomorrow.
Ranger222
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think we see another test of 412-413 here EOD....my bias is still up. Maybe we get another crap-and-go like yesterday's open tomorrow.
cptthunder
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Added some $SWN @ $9.30 after taking a hit this afternoon whith the Freeport LNG problems. Watching the live feed doesnt look too major and HH is still holding at over $8.50
Brian Earl Spilner
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Chipotlemonger said:

ROKU up 10+% today.
I sold the last of my shares today, so look for it to rocket from here.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Had to leave. Placed order to buy T shares at $20.99. Got filled. Yea! Low of the day. So far...

Have order to sell CVX 6/10 $190 CC's at $0.06. Don't think I'll get that one. Maybe tomorrow.

This thing feels toppy. Even CVX and XOM feel toppy. Might be a time to pullback a little and rest. (?)
ProgN
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

Had to leave. Placed order to buy T shares at $20.99. Got filled. Yea! Low of the day. So far...

Have order to sell CVX 6/10 $190 CC's at $0.06. Don't think I'll get that one. Maybe tomorrow.

This thing feels toppy. Even CVX and XOM feel toppy. Might be a time to pullback a little and rest. (?)
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