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24,028,712 Views | 231616 Replies | Last: 8 hrs ago by ProgN
bhanacik
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AG
Thanks FJ, I'm going to continue to monitor PEP to see what happens between now and mid April. I feel like I noticed this one a bit too late and it's moved pretty quick

I haven't toured with Fib levels but also something I'll keep an eye on
ProgN
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AgEng06 said:

BrokeAssAggie said:

Let's go power hour
I don't know why Prog is being stingy with the rally today...
I was away almost all day with real life ****, sorry brother, I'll try to do better.
FJ43
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FJ43
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Another short lister for me.

CRM

Lots of volume and OI on April 230C today. Looks ripe and flagging.

ProgN
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Thriller said:

Talking out loud. Respond if you want, but mainly this is diarrhea of the keyboard, trying to learn and put my thoughts on "paper".

I'm trying to figure out when/where to take profits. I had a few positions in a 50K account at around 2K each. I bought these prior to jumping into the conversation and can't really tell you why I bought them except for the fact that i "felt" they had been hit too hard in recent months. "That's not a great reason to buy, but I do feel like it's a good reason to start research.

However, now that I have them, I'm trying to follow some of the recent guidance and lock in some profits, set some stops, and then reevaluate when/where to get invested again.

What I'm trying to avoid is selling for the same reasons I nought - gut feeling. I have the following (all long, no options yet).

TSLA: Bought at $790. I sold a fractional share at $911 (15% gain), leaving 2 shares. I sold another today at 25%, leaving 1. I'm tempted to put a stop in (where???) and just let it ride. Should I sell this last piece or let it ride?

NVDA: Bought 9 shares at $221. Sold 4 at $265 (~20%). Current stop is at B/E.

Similar sized positions in AMZN, AAPL, MSFT, DIS, FDX, APA, and LOW. Those aren't up enough to to sell (or are they - all less than 10%). Stops are set at 80% of entry price.

Companies on my radar from a macro perspecctive: CSX (or another railroad), KR, and possibly a bank (BAC maybe)

I also followed 30K into a couple of smaller plays for less than 1%.

Thanks for posting and welcome.

I've had a long day away from the market and I'm too tired to give your request the proper attention. I should have more time tomorrow afternoon or evening and will address it then, if that's cool with you.
McInnis 03
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AG
McInnis 03 said:

BaylorSpineGuy said:

McInnis 03 said:





What does this mean? Talk to me in simple terms. Is this a reference to the Carl Icahn trade from a couple months ago where he bet like $2B on deep OTM calls when market was at like 4200?
You can google the "JPM Protective Collar" to get the gist, but it's hard to find a better explanation than this

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1444085220173623296.html

then go look at the SPX 3/31 expriy, look at the 3810p OI and the 4510p OI. Finally take a gander at the 4920c OI. This is the JPM collar and it affects how things end on 3/31, at least that's the thesis.


Sergey put out a new thread on the collar tonight

cptthunder
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I understand all of those words but I sure as heck don't understand them in that order
My brain hurts after reading that and highlights my true lack of understanding on option mechanics
Thriller
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AG
All good, Prog. I'll take in whatever is offered with gratitude.

I'm trying to soak things in here, which I is sometimes difficult given the speed at which things move during the trading day. At least some of the jargon is starting to make sense.

The mind-boggling thing I realize this afternoon are all the variables that need to line up to make moves work:
  • Macro Factors
  • Position Size
  • Direction
  • Timing
  • Proper Entry Point
  • Multiple Exit Strategies
  • RiskManagement (R/R)
  • Proper strategy to take advantage of the above
  • Oh - and identifying a good setup, of course

I know they don't all have to be good to make a good trade happen, but you can't get many wrong and hope to succeed long term, I would imagine.
cptthunder
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FJ - I think you need to add this to your collection
https://bringatrailer.com/listing/1996-toyota-land-cruiser-fj80-56/
Add some custom plates: SPY SCALP
You would be set
FJ43
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Mornun!

Mixed markets around the horn.

US - slightly red
EU - mixed
Asia - Green
VIX - slightly rising to 23.67



Today I would like to see some cool off and consolidation honestly.

SPY will watch 443.59-445.01 on downside. Don't think we want below 440.74 to trade.

Upside watching 451.30. If we go up and reject that, may scalp to the short side.
Probably quick in and outs is my guess. Above that I see 453.48 & 457.03.

May look for entry into CRM and/or AMD for April 14th calls.

Even though I get this week to scalp......



Trade wisely!


FJ43
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cptthunder said:

FJ - I think you need to add this to your collection
https://bringatrailer.com/listing/1996-toyota-land-cruiser-fj80-56/
Add some custom plates: SPY SCALP
You would be set
I could go for that! Both the FJ80 AND the plates!

I think Mrs FJ might may me sleep in it though with the $$$$ I have plowed into the 43.

Have my eye on the next project though...

BrokeAssAggie
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That's a good looking jeep. Go for it and tell her to stay in her lane..
ProgN
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BrokeAssAggie said:

That's a good looking jeep. Go for it and tell her to stay in her lane..
So, when is FJ moving into your sanctuary, ahem "get away place"?
BrokeAssAggie
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ProgN said:

BrokeAssAggie said:

That's a good looking jeep. Go for it and tell her to stay in her lane..
So, when is FJ moving into your sanctuary, ahem "get away place"?


cageybee77
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AG
On and off
McInnis 03
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AG
Memory banked

McInnis 03
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AG
McInnis 03 said:

Bought a 3/25 1000p/975p/950p as insurance against my TSLA longs for $4.30. Not expecting much, but even a slight breather pullback would make it workable. This may be a lost trade but would be made up for by the longs so it's really a small hedge.
Breather pullback here overnight......may try to unload this just after open and take the pop.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Thriller said:

All good, Prog. I'll take in whatever is offered with gratitude.

I'm trying to soak things in here, which I is sometimes difficult given the speed at which things move during the trading day. At least some of the jargon is starting to make sense.

The mind-boggling thing I realize this afternoon are all the variables that need to line up to make moves work:
  • Macro Factors
  • Position Size
  • Direction
  • Timing
  • Proper Entry Point
  • Multiple Exit Strategies
  • RiskManagement (R/R)
  • Proper strategy to take advantage of the above
  • Oh - and identifying a good setup, of course

I know they don't all have to be good to make a good trade happen, but you can't get many wrong and hope to succeed long term, I would imagine.

This is the case for TA. Even with a team of researchers for an individual stock, it would be hard to get all of these factors correct. So instead of making discrete assumptions or statically varying the factors, you focus on analysis of what you do know. Historical price and volumes. This data is the resulting output of all of those inputs. The trick is to correctly use that data to forecast likely future behavior. We use price and volume trend analysis and pattern diagnostics, price pivots, moving averages, and other indicators based on price and volume to attempt to understand the historical behaviors and predict future behavior.

You can throw in options behavior as well if you want to get really fancy.
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
I was promised a gap up.
FTAG 2000
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AG
Oil looks to be starting another run.
Saltyag15
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AG
Yuuppp...VLO, EOG, COP and others are sitting above their 52wk highs.
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
What was the 30k/50k short oil play? Gush? Calls or shares?
McInnis 03
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AG
McInnis 03 said:

McInnis 03 said:

Bought a 3/25 1000p/975p/950p as insurance against my TSLA longs for $4.30. Not expecting much, but even a slight breather pullback would make it workable. This may be a lost trade but would be made up for by the longs so it's really a small hedge.
Breather pullback here overnight......may try to unload this just after open and take the pop.
took the slightest of gains. Still holding longs.
AgShaun00
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AG
GO GME GO!!!!! meme stocks are so fun

i paid 4.50 for next weeks 150, and now 200 are the same price. unreal juiced premiums
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Too early for rally ass?
FJ43
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Bought AMD 4/14 125C at 1.71
FJ43
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Bought CRM 4/14 230C at 1.48 average
FJ43
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Selling SPY lotto puts for the double
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Well, gave up yesterday's gains right quick.
FJ43
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Lotto size SPY 450 Friday expiry
Saltyag15
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AG
The 'ol switcheroo
McInnis 03
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AG
AgShaun00 said:

GO GME GO!!!!! meme stocks are so fun

i paid 4.50 for next weeks 150, and now 200 are the same price. unreal juiced premiums
you crazy fudgers. Buying this weeks 150c/200c/250c for $4.40
Boy Named Sue
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AG
First time to post on this thread, as I'm still learning the lingo. Can I ask a few dumb questions?

Is VLO going to benefit if prices fall, too, since they're in refining?

And I've been investing in LNG (both the symbol and others like RRC) thinking it'll be a good long-term play. Any thoughts on that for a 1-year or so hold?
Tumble Weed
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Took profits on OAS this morning. Building up cash and ready to buy again.

Chop, chop, chop
AgEng06
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AG
Did you cut LOW?
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