Mean tweets down 99.9% YOY, all is well.
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Last: 13 min ago by Charismatic Megafauna
Futures pulling back
M4 Benelli said:
Mean tweets down 99.9% YOY, all is well.
This is what really matters.
could get quite ugly, if this holds...
$VIX weekly https://t.co/7RxnN1m9En pic.twitter.com/8Wu8a01vXp
— HiddenPivots (@HiddenPivots) March 8, 2022
I've been watching VIX the last few weeks and trying to look at longer trends (that cup has been my main focus). In my opinion (worth two cents), most of this will be driven above and beyond the TA on VIX. Intraday trends seem to be safer but you play VIX way more than I do. I wouldn't mind buying some longer dates puts if we get above 35 again, but curious what you see on your side.BREwmaster said:
could get quite ugly, if this holds...$VIX weekly https://t.co/7RxnN1m9En pic.twitter.com/8Wu8a01vXp
— HiddenPivots (@HiddenPivots) March 8, 2022
Folks, I know it's populist to blame Biden for inflation. Truth is the Fed is really to blame but if you want to assign presidential blame, it's Trump. Biden isn't helping obviously. Inflation was coming before any Ukraine conflict. All of you are too smart to be binary red/blue thinkers.
I did some totally non-technical work on SPY last night. I looked at the point increase from June of each year for the last 6 years. Average 27.6 points YoY (until you get to 2020). June of 2020 was only a 15 point increase from 2019. June 2021 is a 100 point increase over '20. I'm not telling anyone anything in here that doesn't already know this, but the future looks bleak when I did this.
If you were to keep the average increase over the course of '20 and '21 (like Covid never happened) it lands us at SPY 352. Weekly 200EMA currently... 354.
When retail finally taps out, I think that's where we are headed.
Signed,
Not an expert on anything.
If you were to keep the average increase over the course of '20 and '21 (like Covid never happened) it lands us at SPY 352. Weekly 200EMA currently... 354.
When retail finally taps out, I think that's where we are headed.
Signed,
Not an expert on anything.
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Folks, I know it's populist to blame Biden for inflation. Truth is the Fed is really to blame but if you want to assign presidential blame, it's Trump. Biden isn't helping obviously. Inflation was coming before any Ukraine conflict. All of you are too smart to be binary red/blue thinkers.
Trump and Obama. Fed has been printing money for the last 12 years
Inflation was indeed inevitable after all the COVID money printing, but the current administration has exacerbated the effects of it with their policies and positions.$30,000 Millionaire said:
Folks, I know it's populist to blame Biden for inflation. Truth is the Fed is really to blame but if you want to assign presidential blame, it's Trump. Biden isn't helping obviously. Inflation was coming before any Ukraine conflict. All of you are too smart to be binary red/blue thinkers.
Blame is shared by both and several in congress should fry in hell for what they've done or have not done.
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I didn't like us printing trillions of dollars for stimulus when Trump was in the office and didn't agree with the extent we did it, but that was under initial shut downs of a pandemic we knew little about. Under this administration we've continued to print money and push fear all for the sake of power. We've also hindered domestic energy production and been weak regarding foreign policy. All of those things massively contribute to the inflation and weak economy we are facing now. So yes the Trump administration and the Fed get some blame, but the majority of it is directly related to decisions made by this administration. Sorry for the political banter here.
It all started with QE back in 2008.
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The Nikkei 225 was green today and both the Hang Seng and Korea KS11 ended their days with a move up. I do think we'll be red but maybe we have a mini rally sometime today.
And the daily dose of politics discussion has been fulfilled for the day….back to trading.
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boyz05 said:
And the daily dose of politics discussion has been fulfilled for the day….back to trading.
Sorry, it's like this itch that I can't help scratch. "Someone said something I disagree with on the internet!"
Agree.
I think about 90% of the people on this board understand it is a combo of Fed + Stimulus issue.
Is Trump a part of that? 100%. Was Trump fiscally conservative as far as budgets / spend? Nope.
However....I do cut some (but not all) slack due to the early COVID unknowns.
Joe Biden's unnecessary extra stimulus (he just had to say he gave everyone money) + the monthly child payments along with the increase in amount + his refusal to act on supply chain and open up the energy market....Biden's Admin bears a "far more than Trump" blame for what is going on....
edit: sorry, no more politics...
I think about 90% of the people on this board understand it is a combo of Fed + Stimulus issue.
Is Trump a part of that? 100%. Was Trump fiscally conservative as far as budgets / spend? Nope.
However....I do cut some (but not all) slack due to the early COVID unknowns.
Joe Biden's unnecessary extra stimulus (he just had to say he gave everyone money) + the monthly child payments along with the increase in amount + his refusal to act on supply chain and open up the energy market....Biden's Admin bears a "far more than Trump" blame for what is going on....
edit: sorry, no more politics...
I don't blame Biden for anything, but mostly b/c he didn't even know who he was running against (and probably doesn't know what year it is). He kept saying Bush in one of his interviews.$30,000 Millionaire said:
Folks, I know it's populist to blame Biden for inflation. Truth is the Fed is really to blame but if you want to assign presidential blame, it's Trump. Biden isn't helping obviously. Inflation was coming before any Ukraine conflict. All of you are too smart to be binary red/blue thinkers.
the latest pork, trillion $ bill that passed overnight is more of the same. Our kids will be paying the bill for years.
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Folks, I know it's populist to blame Biden for inflation. Truth is the Fed is really to blame but if you want to assign presidential blame, it's Trump. Biden isn't helping obviously. Inflation was coming before any Ukraine conflict. All of you are too smart to be binary red/blue thinkers.
Really weird how it's never the Dems' fault for anything negative.
The same folks that are pushing like hell for another $5 Trillion for "infrastructure" that's not infrastructure. The same folks that have pushed for lockdowns of the economy for as long as possible. The same folks that have demonized the oil industry and encumbered domestic drilling at every turn. The same folks that love them some Federal regulations on everything that can be regulated. The same folks who regularly take the side of a foreign power over their own electorate.
Nope, not their fault at all and never will be. Personally, I blame Ronald Reagan.
Even Hellen Keller could see inflation was going to get worse. I don't see why that has to sell off the markets today, should have been priced in. The markets just want to sell.
Yep, SPY to 420 is coming.
This. Biden's just the empty vassal for Obama, Jarrett, and the WEF asshats.BREwmaster said:I don't blame Biden for anything, but mostly b/c he didn't even know who he was running against (and probably doesn't know what year it is). He kept saying Bush in one of his interviews.$30,000 Millionaire said:
Folks, I know it's populist to blame Biden for inflation. Truth is the Fed is really to blame but if you want to assign presidential blame, it's Trump. Biden isn't helping obviously. Inflation was coming before any Ukraine conflict. All of you are too smart to be binary red/blue thinkers.
the latest pork, trillion $ bill that passed overnight is more of the same. Our kids will be paying the bill for years.
Closed these at 5.5Irish 2.0 said:
Great moves today. Picked up some 3/11 QQQ puts at 3.15 for my hedge
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Folks, I know it's populist to blame Biden for inflation. Truth is the Fed is really to blame but if you want to assign presidential blame, it's Trump. Biden isn't helping obviously. Inflation was coming before any Ukraine conflict. All of you are too smart to be binary red/blue thinkers.
So if Democrats were in power during Covid, they would have printed less money, is that your opinion
Oof.
TexAgs: Die a hero by being banned in an F16 topic or live long enough to become the villain.
TexAgs: Die a hero by being banned in an F16 topic or live long enough to become the villain.
Whoo, it does not like that 422 line. Angry bounces off there so far in the first 10 minutes.Spoony Love said:
Yep, SPY to 420 is coming.
Spoony Love said:Whoo, it does not like that 422 line. Angry bounces off there so far in the first 10 minutes.Spoony Love said:
Yep, SPY to 420 is coming.
Red to Green Day if it holds up the first 30 minutes
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
Is anybody going to talk about the yield curve!?
The 1min from 8:33 to 8:40 is beautiful.
Haven't seen that dude in a bit. Maybe he ran off?
I keep watching this channel... I'm not sure if HP has seen this, but I noticed even yesterday we bounced off the lower trend line. So VIX continues to march upward.OutlawAG04 said:I've been watching VIX the last few weeks and trying to look at longer trends (that cup has been my main focus). In my opinion (worth two cents), most of this will be driven above and beyond the TA on VIX. Intraday trends seem to be safer but you play VIX way more than I do. I wouldn't mind buying some longer dates puts if we get above 35 again, but curious what you see on your side.BREwmaster said:
could get quite ugly, if this holds...$VIX weekly https://t.co/7RxnN1m9En pic.twitter.com/8Wu8a01vXp
— HiddenPivots (@HiddenPivots) March 8, 2022
Did anyone catch and sell LGVN when it was $12 in the early overnight session?
We've been printing money for a long time, so Biden doesn't shoulder all the blame, but:
-Fed should have started raising rates last summer, fall at the latest
-Too much pressure/restriction on oil and gas companies
-Ridiculous extended unemployment benefits
-Ridiculous deferment of student loan payments
-Politicizing COVID to retain power and control, driving fear and shutdowns.
There's a ton of blame on this administration
-Fed should have started raising rates last summer, fall at the latest
-Too much pressure/restriction on oil and gas companies
-Ridiculous extended unemployment benefits
-Ridiculous deferment of student loan payments
-Politicizing COVID to retain power and control, driving fear and shutdowns.
There's a ton of blame on this administration
AMZN casually doing 50% of it's 10d avg vol in the first 15 minutes.
Hell of a gap up.
Hell of a gap up.
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
TecRecAg said:
The 1min from 8:33 to 8:40 is beautiful.
We're buying the f out of this, right? Nice green bars with volume each followed by a couple minutes of low volume red bars walking it down?
bear/bull fight going on, let's see who wins.
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