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Dan Scott
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5:07p, 2/20/22
AG
The futures opening could be worse.
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lobwedgephil
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In reply to Dan Scott • 5:10p, 2/20/22
Just opened where spy traded down to AH Friday,
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to Dan Scott • 5:11p, 2/20/22
But DOW futures lost the critical 34000 support line. Get your popcorn ready.
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lobwedgephil
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 5:18p, 2/20/22
Around 33630 is the bigger area to watch on that.
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Ragoo
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5:19p, 2/20/22
AG
It is Sunday night and the market is closed tomorrow. Chill.
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ProgN
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 5:19p, 2/20/22
Yep, futures are meaningless right now especially since we can't trade until Tuesday but damn they took a huge **** right out of the gates.
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gougler08
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 5:20p, 2/20/22
AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:
But DOW futures lost the critical 34000 support line. Get your popcorn ready.


Seems too easy if the markets just follow the H&S that everyone can see. Normally when everyone is bearish it goes the other way (full scale invasion withstanding)
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mazag08
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 5:21p, 2/20/22
AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:
But DOW futures lost the critical 34000 support line. Get your popcorn ready.


33000 and then boom boom up
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to gougler08 • 5:30p, 2/20/22
Sure….but the whole idea of a H&S pattern is a function of fear and greed in the market in general. Certainly it can rally but all these prices are a function of buyers and sellers. Increasing spread on the B-A only leaves more doubt for the buyers.

It seems hardly anyone is talking about it anyway. Fear index isn't that high as we saw last week that someone posted. It needs to forcefully recapture 34,000 or I think the trend formally changes.

We will all look back and "the top of the market/bull run" was $3T AAPL.
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lobwedgephil
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In reply to ProgN • 5:32p, 2/20/22
Just trade futures. Kidding sort of, but I love trading futures.
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gougler08
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 5:34p, 2/20/22
AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:
Sure….but the whole idea of a H&S pattern is a function of fear and greed in the market in general. Certainly it can rally but all these prices are a function of buyers and sellers. Increasing spread on the B-A only leaves more doubt for the buyers.

It seems hardly anyone is talking about it anyway. Fear index isn't that high as we saw last week that someone posted. It needs to forcefully recapture 34,000 or I think the trend formally changes.

We will all look back and "the top of the market/bull run" was $3T AAPL.


I'm also bearish as I think all of the global unrest + Covid money is finally coming home to roost and I'm only looking at long positions right now, but I also have thought this many times over past 2 years and we just ripped instead so what do I know
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KT 90
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In reply to ProgN • 5:39p, 2/20/22
AG
ProgN said:
I'm weird I guess because I don't really like coffee and maybe have like 3 cups in a year. I do take a Vivarin when my alarm goes off every morning but I don't like drinking hot liquids except for soups.
Substitute Diet Coke for your Vivarin and that's me. No coffee unless it is freezing cold, and then it's just to warm me up a bit. I take my caffeine cold.
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to gougler08 • 5:40p, 2/20/22
Yeah….the last time I felt like this was Oct 3…..a massive rip then took off and a new high was reached by month's end.

I think it plays out differently this time. The last three giants still standing broke their support lines on Friday: AAPL, MSFT, and TSLA. Once these go down, it'll bring the rest with them.

Seems AMAT, MCD, HON and a few others have only mildly corrected, so I bet we get more excitement this week.

Did everyone see news that Credit Suisse has held over $100B worth of investments and cash across 18,000 accounts from some of the more nefarious characters this world has to offer.

Wonder if we find out more exciting stuff. They got rocked by Hwang hardly a year ago.
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ProgN
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 5:46p, 2/20/22
Times like this technicals go out the window. There's too much uncertainty and too many variables. Look back at 9/11, Lehman's implosion, Covid and now, there isn't support, resistance, H&S, RSI, oversold, falling wedge, bear/bull flag, animal sacrifice, Jobu, banging a slump buster, etc. The market is trading on emotion and doubt. I'm a huge proponent of technical analysis but it really is useless in times like this. The bright side is that fear will lead to capitulation and that will let us know we're close to the bottom.

Also, if that lying crying ******** Bill Ackman goes on CNBC and says to sell everything, then that definitely means the bottom is in. I can't stand that lying dick.




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ProgN
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In reply to KT 90 • 5:48p, 2/20/22
KT 90 said:
ProgN said:
I'm weird I guess because I don't really like coffee and maybe have like 3 cups in a year. I do take a Vivarin when my alarm goes off every morning but I don't like drinking hot liquids except for soups.
Substitute Diet Coke for your Vivarin and that's me. No coffee unless it is freezing cold, and then it's just to warm me up a bit. I take my caffeine cold.
I have a bottle of vivarin in my nightstand and a glass of water. When my alarm goes off I hit snooze and take a pill. I'm ready to get up when it goes off again. It's worked for me for years. I do like Diet Coke though.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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6:04p, 2/20/22
AG
Technical patterns are just setups and have to confirm with volume to be valid.

I wouldn't worry about the low volume action right now. I won't be surprised to see a dip into the 4200s overnight and for us to be right back at Friday close by the morning.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to ProgN • 6:05p, 2/20/22
AG
The nice language I use for this is that the market is in price discovery. I think that's true. I think sentiment net leans bearish right now. That itself tells me there is likely to be a retracement above here before a hard plunge.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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6:06p, 2/20/22
AG
So I'm looking at ideas and I came across $SKLZ. Obviously it can go lower but it's darn close to zero now. Thinking of picking some up and just seeing what happens. Earnings is this week, so we could see another 20-30% shock in either direction.
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ProgN
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 6:12p, 2/20/22
$30,000 Millionaire said:
The nice language I use for this is that the market is in price discovery. I think that's true. I think sentiment net leans bearish right now. That itself tells me there is likely to be a retracement above here before a hard plunge.
I agree with this and the market over corrects so targeting the bigs at a big discount is my primary focus.
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ProgN
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 6:15p, 2/20/22
$30,000 Millionaire said:
So I'm looking at ideas and I came across $SKLZ. Obviously it can go lower but it's darn close to zero now. Thinking of picking some up and just seeing what happens. Earnings is this week, so we could see another 20-30% shock in either direction.
Based off GOOG, AMZN and TTD earnings, I'm looking to buy a chunk of MGNI. They report earnings Wednesday and I think they'll be solid and I don't see that much downside risk at it's current price but if the market pukes Tuesday morning then I'll definitely take advantage of it. It's now a cheap stock with YUGE upside potential.
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BaylorSpineGuy
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6:16p, 2/20/22
PALL, a palladium ETF, could breakout if the Ukraine-Russia fallout deteriorates further.

Worth keeping an eye on. GLD has also broken out and gold is over $1900/oz now. Mancini is bullish on gold if the breakout holds this week. He's made several Twitter posts about it this week.
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ProgN
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6:37p, 2/20/22
Japan's Nikkei 225 drops 2% as investors continue watching Ukraine crisis

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/21/asia-markets-russia-ukraine-tensions-china-loan-prime-rate-currencies-oil.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.CopyToPasteboard

I like Mondays more than Fridays because of the market. I really don't like a holiday Monday when chaos is everywhere.
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Dan Scott
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7:00p, 2/20/22
AG
Futures blasting green all of a sudden
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tlepoC
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7:02p, 2/20/22
AG
Wait, vivarin is just a caffeine pill with some branding and an upcharge? Why can't I ever think of these basic product ideas to slap some fancy marketing around and make some easy money to dump into WWR.
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Dan Scott
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7:02p, 2/20/22
AG
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SF2004
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7:04p, 2/20/22
AG
Holy *****.. that green boner on the 5min...

P.S. I am a real degen for watching futures when our markets are closed tomorrow
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ProgN
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In reply to tlepoC • 7:08p, 2/20/22
tlepoC said:
Wait, vivarin is just a caffeine pill with some branding and an upcharge? Why can't I ever think of these basic product ideas to slap some fancy marketing around and make some easy money to dump into WWR.
Yes, and I just buy the generic HEB brand because it's the same *****
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aggiedaniel06
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7:08p, 2/20/22
AG
[url=https://ibb.co/cJd92mv][/url]
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Dan Scott
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In reply to SF2004 • 7:10p, 2/20/22
AG
SF2004 said:
Holy *****.. that green boner on the 5min...

P.S. I am a real degen for watching futures when our markets are closed tomorrow


Watching futures is how I follow the potential war. The markets will let me know before the media.
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aggiedaniel06
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7:11p, 2/20/22
AG
Just a graphical representation of what I posted a couple of weeks back - the liquidity in ES futures is the lowest since Covid crash.

It was interesting watching ROKU and SHOP Thursday. They were bidless.
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Bob Knights Paper Hands
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In reply to aggiedaniel06 • 7:17p, 2/20/22
With very low liquidity, if we get big selling, it quick drop quickly, right? However, if we get big buying pressure would it also tend to jump quickly?
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gougler08
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In reply to Dan Scott • 7:19p, 2/20/22
AG
Dan Scott said:


I still think this is going to end up being a whole bunch of nothing and the Donbas region will just become independent / part of Russia and we all move on with life
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Bob Knights Paper Hands
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In reply to Dan Scott • 7:20p, 2/20/22
Dan Scott said:

Who saw this coming? The unbiased US media as well as Biden continued to constantly stoke the Russia invasion story. Now Biden will fly in and magically save the day? Give me a break. I may have been born at night, but I wasn't born last night.

I realize this was a political ****-post and not market related, but I couldn't help myself.
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gougler08
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In reply to Bob Knights Paper Hands • 7:22p, 2/20/22
AG
Bob Knights Liver said:
Dan Scott said:

Who saw this coming? The unbiased US media as well as Biden continued to constantly stoke the Russia invasion story. Now Biden will fly in and magically save the day? Give me a break. I may have been born at night, but I wasn't born last night.

I realize this was a political ****-post and not market related, but I couldn't help myself.


It's definitely market related as the constant stoking of this fire from our leadership is pressuring markets down
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aggiedaniel06
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In reply to Bob Knights Paper Hands • 7:28p, 2/20/22
AG
Yes, ostensibly that's correct. But low liquidity tends to lean towards the downside.
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