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24,767,224 Views | 233466 Replies | Last: 47 min ago by ProgN
Ags2013
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AG
gougler08 said:

Just to top off a rough market day, doing 2021 taxes and while it's great that I had so many gains...woof on paying the govt
I choose to have very few gains so the govt can't have any
SF2004
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AG
Ags2013 said:

gougler08 said:

Just to top off a rough market day, doing 2021 taxes and while it's great that I had so many gains...woof on paying the govt
I choose to have very few gains so the govt can't have any
I tried to see if they would pay me on my red trades like I have to pay them on my green trades...

Haven't heard back yet.
McInnis 03
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AG 2000' said:

McInnis 03 said:

McInnis 03 said:

McInnis 03 said:

both NQ and ES at daily support pivots.........interesting confluence.....


^^^ How it started

vvv How it's going

Unsure if anyone besides me even cares, but just in the event someone else does......that support daily pivot was MONEY and BOTH ES and NQ rejected on yesterdays Low Of Day (LOD, yellow line).....Now we see if they trend it out for the rest of the day......


You still using woodies?

I'm trying to figure out why I don't have the same yellow lines.

Got the blue but not yellow.
The yellow line is the high/low study in TOS, you can set for daily, or weekly, or monthly. Remind me to look up what it's actually called for you.
McInnis 03
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AG
The study is called "DailyHighLow" and you can pick quite a few display options.

I like to plot the daily high low from the previous day as it's often revisited, and then on longer times (daily chart) i'll plot the weekly high/low because it can give directional clues. Retest the previous week high and reject? Could be a balancing week. Same on the low. Break previous week high or low, could be sign of trend.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
50K account:

Not that great of a week.

  • Profit on CENX (about $170)
  • Profit on TTD (about $230)
  • Stopped on XSP and VXX plays (-$30 on VXX, -$150 on XSP)
  • Collected premium on DKNG ($90 this week $155 total). Our net cost basis is about $20 on this, so not horrible. I'd like to exit on some gap fill retracement next week
  • Collected premium on APA ($220). We are underwater still by about $1 per share or $200, we can work with this and I don't think the energy market is done
  • Loss on $SHOP (-$400)
  • KO is in profit, about $100
  • NEM is in profit and we sold the 66C for next week. It will be about $300 in profit if we get assigned
  • MTTR we are taking assignment on, so we will be underwater about $0.30 per share or $90 on 300 shares. That isn't horrible and we can work with that
  • PLTR we are taking assignment on with a base of $11.68, which puts us about $120 total under water on that, but we can also work with that

Wins: $710
Losses: ($580)
Unrealized Loss: ($1,010)
  • $420 on DKNG
  • $120 on PLTR
  • $90 on MTTR
  • $380 on APA
Unrealized Gain: $400
  • $100 on KO
  • $300 on NEM

Net position: 710 - 580 - 1010 + 400 = ($480)

I think the positive thing is we are getting bottom basement prices on MTTR and PLTR. They could go lower, but these are not bad spots to take entries. Secondly, having a net difference of <1% week to week in a week like this one isn't horrible, and we own the shares in all cases.

FTAG 2000
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McInnis 03 said:

The study is called "DailyHighLow" and you can pick quite a few display options.

I like to plot the daily high low from the previous day as it's often revisited, and then on longer times (daily chart) i'll plot the weekly high/low because it can give directional clues. Retest the previous week high and reject? Could be a balancing week. Same on the low. Break previous week high or low, could be sign of trend.
Thank you McInnis, will check it out.
Brewmaster
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BaylorSpineGuy said:

I always get chided for this….but there was about a 2 min right shoulder on the 1 min candles. Not seen on 5 min.

Someone on here always busts balls for looking at 1 min candles but I see pattern recognition much easier on that
Yeah I would only look for H&S intraday zoomed out. Irish isn't a 1 minute fan, but he plays further out expirations. I usually watch 3 minute when I scalp SPY or Q's, but I'll occasionally look at 1 minute to see volume or to see a reversal. I saw it bear flagging when you posted the mini H&S and the majority of it was sell volume and VIX was starting to curl upward.

On the dip today, I saw a green hammer reversal on the 1 minute, not seen on any other time frame and volume bars 6 out of 7 1 min were green. That hammer with the wick down and the volume told me we might have a momentum shift to the bulls. It pulled back there a tad, then before we broke 4340 on 2nd try, I went long 435C's. I held til blow off top around 4378.

mifune22
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I had this happen earlier this month. Went under 25k and completed a day trade. TD Ameritrade limited by account to closing positions only, I couldn't open any new position including covered calls.
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
I think i have 2% of my net worth in stocks that start with t.
T, TSLA, TTD
Yikes
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
I am buying $PXD A/H in my main account.
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
I swear you used to be able to see a day trade count on td desktop but for the life of me i can't find it anymore. It's right there in the upper left hand corner in tos but i can't find it on td desktop. Allay the frequently asked questions section was hilarious today. "What is pdt designation" "what is a margin call" etc
sts7049
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AG 2000' said:

Well, February OPEX is friggin' over.

And we got a three day weekend.

Will take those as positives.

Now if Putin can dunk on Biden and then pull his troops back over the weekend, we can get back after it next week.

Have a good one everyone.
the negative news is still flowing unfortunately





Bob Knights Paper Hands
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It really feels like the US media and US Government are trying so hard to make this fight happen. This might all be real, but it's very weird behavior by them.
gougler08
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Bob Knights Liver said:

It really feels like the US media and US Government are trying so hard to make this fight happen. This might all be real, but it's very weird behavior by them.
I agree, I feel like it's 50/50 at this point that Putin just backs off completely or goes balls to the wall ground war. I don't know what to think
ProgN
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gougler08 said:

Bob Knights Liver said:

It really feels like the US media and US Government are trying so hard to make this fight happen. This might all be real, but it's very weird behavior by them.
I agree, I feel like it's 50/50 at this point that Putin just backs off completely or goes balls to the wall ground war. I don't know what to think


Putin is taking Ukraine
MaroonDynasty
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We are now in year 7 of RUSSIA RUSSIA RUSSIA! Distracting from what is actually going on here in America.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Coincidentally, there is a 6 mo H&S that just completed on the DJIA. I don't wonder if this is a headfake by the administration to gin up a war to cover for a massive market crash that is largely created by deficit spending, money printing, etc.

Would fit the narrative well. Convenient time for Russia to attack. All the while Putin denying anything. I'm
Not saying he is a respectable gentleman by any means, but to think our government is any less nefarious….I'd like some of that Kool-Aid please.

#conspiracytheories
ProgN
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BaylorSpineGuy said:

Coincidentally, there is a 6 mo H&S that just completed on the DJIA. I don't wonder if this is a headfake by the administration to gin up a war to cover for a massive market crash that is largely created by deficit spending, money printing, etc.

Would fit the narrative well. Convenient time for Russia to attack. All the while Putin denying anything. I'm
Not saying he is a respectable gentleman by any means, but to think our government is any less nefarious….I'd like some of that Kool-Aid please.

#conspiracytheories
Putin wants Ukraine to prevent them from ever being accepted into NATO and create a buffer zone. He knows Biden is weak and won't defend them. He has Germany under control because he can turn off most of their energy. This is the time to take it. This same scenario applies to China and Taiwan as well. I expect them to move on Taiwan within the next month once they see the world rollover for Russia. Weak US leadership has left a void. I hated Obama's policy but he was stronger than the dip**** in DC right now.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Wow. You really think China is coming for Taiwan? Has long been rumored but never thought it would happen. US gonna have to fight for Taiwan though. We need those chips.

I did see someone buying 75P like 1 mo out on TSM. Maybe your spidey sense is locked in.
gougler08
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ProgN said:

gougler08 said:

Bob Knights Liver said:

It really feels like the US media and US Government are trying so hard to make this fight happen. This might all be real, but it's very weird behavior by them.
I agree, I feel like it's 50/50 at this point that Putin just backs off completely or goes balls to the wall ground war. I don't know what to think


Putin is taking Ukraine


I highly doubt he takes Kiev, maybe the outer regions they always squabble about but I doubt he goes full invasion to take it all
ProgN
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BaylorSpineGuy said:

Wow. You really think China is coming for Taiwan? Has long been rumored but never thought it would happen. US gonna have to fight for Taiwan though. We need those chips.

I did see someone buying 75P like 1 mo out on TSM. Maybe your spidey sense is locked in.
Not spidey sense, I'm a voracious reader of news. China has been violating Taiwan's airspace with multiple fighters and bombers, their last sortie was 39 planes, for the last 2 months. These were occurring weekly until the Olympics started. Putin and Xi had a very public event solidifying their mutual interests, allies. I think we have/had 2 carrier groups in the region but Xi knows Biden is weak and vulnerable politically. Once Russia rolls over Ukraine, I expect Xi to move on Taiwan, that's when SHTF for the markets. Olympics end on Sunday. I hope I'm wrong, but it's lining up the way I've posted.
ProgN
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gougler08 said:

ProgN said:

gougler08 said:

Bob Knights Liver said:

It really feels like the US media and US Government are trying so hard to make this fight happen. This might all be real, but it's very weird behavior by them.
I agree, I feel like it's 50/50 at this point that Putin just backs off completely or goes balls to the wall ground war. I don't know what to think


Putin is taking Ukraine


I highly doubt he takes Kiev, maybe the outer regions they always squabble about but I doubt he goes full invasion to take it all
I disagree and I hope your right.
McInnis 03
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AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:

Wow. You really think China is coming for Taiwan? Has long been rumored but never thought it would happen. US gonna have to fight for Taiwan though. We need those chips.

I did see someone buying 75P like 1 mo out on TSM. Maybe your spidey sense is locked in.


TSM will soon mean Texas Semiconductor
BaylorSpineGuy
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Love the word voracious. I remember their meeting quite distinctly when the Olympics started.

The chip maker in Taiwan (TSM) is probably the most important country in the world.

And yeah sure, the markets will crater if China goes and takes Taiwan, but is that really the underlying threat to the market? It seems the macro fundamentals are so trashed with $30T in debt and so much more lending. Moreover, it seems the velocity of money may be slowing.

This may all coincide with the CPI numbers next month. If there is a drop in the CPI next month, it may signal emerging deflation or stagflation. Will be interesting to see how next month plays out.

I'm trying to get my contract renewed and get a signing bonus before the world comes off the hinges soon. Lol.

Have enjoyed this board more and more every week with all the intelligent folks on here.
ProgN
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Likewise Doc.
Ag CPA
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AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:

50K account:

Not that great of a week.

  • Profit on CENX (about $170)
  • Profit on TTD (about $230)
  • Stopped on XSP and VXX plays (-$30 on VXX, -$150 on XSP)
  • Collected premium on DKNG ($90 this week $155 total). Our net cost basis is about $20 on this, so not horrible. I'd like to exit on some gap fill retracement next week
  • Collected premium on APA ($220). We are underwater still by about $1 per share or $200, we can work with this and I don't think the energy market is done
  • Loss on $SHOP (-$400)
  • KO is in profit, about $100
  • NEM is in profit and we sold the 66C for next week. It will be about $300 in profit if we get assigned
  • MTTR we are taking assignment on, so we will be underwater about $0.30 per share or $90 on 300 shares. That isn't horrible and we can work with that
  • PLTR we are taking assignment on with a base of $11.68, which puts us about $120 total under water on that, but we can also work with that

Wins: $710
Losses: ($580)
Unrealized Loss: ($1,010)
  • $420 on DKNG
  • $120 on PLTR
  • $90 on MTTR
  • $380 on APA
Unrealized Gain: $400
  • $100 on KO
  • $300 on NEM

Net position: 710 - 580 - 1010 + 400 = ($480)

I think the positive thing is we are getting bottom basement prices on MTTR and PLTR. They could go lower, but these are not bad spots to take entries. Secondly, having a net difference of <1% week to week in a week like this one isn't horrible, and we own the shares in all cases.


Put your remaining $49k in a money market account for the next month and you will have a better return than 80% of the posters on this thread.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Btw, never saw your response on that video about the stem cells in stroke. Clearly nothing has panned out so far, and that mechanism isn't well understood, but wow, if they figure that out, peoples' lives will be changed forever!!
ProgN
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I've been busy with life things but it's fascinating. I pray that advances are on the horizon that can heal people and give them a second chance.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Yeah….the effects of major stroke are devastating. I did a decompressive craniectomy for stroke last weekend. Saved life but morbidity always persists
ProgN
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You're a blessing doc.
Brewmaster
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AG
ProgN said:

gougler08 said:

Bob Knights Liver said:

It really feels like the US media and US Government are trying so hard to make this fight happen. This might all be real, but it's very weird behavior by them.
I agree, I feel like it's 50/50 at this point that Putin just backs off completely or goes balls to the wall ground war. I don't know what to think


Putin is taking being given Ukraine
FIFY, lol
Brewmaster
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AG
Xi's eyes are fixed on Russia/ Ukraine. If they are handed Ukraine on a silver platter, then China will absolutely take Taiwan. This is what happens when you have incompetence in the WH that's more determined to run off good soldiers than it is to keep a strong military.
FJ43
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ProgN said:

BaylorSpineGuy said:

Death cross on Nasdaq today. First time since April 2020. Keep your powder dry.
I hope your bedside manner is better than your market pep talks on a Friday because your pep talks suck.


Driving back from Destin area and my Whataburger fell on the floor laughing at this. Thanks bro!
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

FJ43
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Y'all did it again. Looks like I need to loan Gus out soon.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

ProgN
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FJ43 said:

Y'all did it again. Looks like I need to loan Gus out soon.
Alas, if war occurs then we need Gus and the cutoffs, stained wife beater, blown out boots and Copenhagen to save us. I'll PM you my address bro. I'll deploy the redneck bat signal if there's war. Help us FJ43, You're our only hope.
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