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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to Bob Knights Paper Hands • 10:38a, 2/18/22
I suck at markets but can offer a little insight.

If wait for confirmation. Case and point is AMZN last fall. There was a massive H&S. I thought for sure it was gonna crumble. It rallied right off that neckline though. So it doesn't mean it will go through so confirmation is the way. A
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Aggie1391
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In reply to SF2004 • 10:40a, 2/18/22
I bought the stupid thing at $60 and was too stubborn to sell and take my losses
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TubTub
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In reply to FTAG 2000 • 10:40a, 2/18/22
AG 2000' said:
Dan Scott said:


Wish I saw this earlier
High IV on this, Sell April $10 P and get $1
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planoaggie123
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In reply to SF2004 • 10:46a, 2/18/22
AG
SF2004 said:
Ugh $DKNG...

Looks like I am taking assignment and the bottom is no where in sight.

Bad Trade.


Clay Travis trying to pump up the stock....


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Brewmaster
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 10:50a, 2/18/22
AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:
I suck at markets but can offer a little insight.

If wait for confirmation. Case and point is AMZN last fall. There was a massive H&S. I thought for sure it was gonna crumble. It rallied right off that neckline though. So it doesn't mean it will go through so confirmation is the way. A
speaking of AMZN, if it craters here, it will take the markets with it into the abyss.
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FTAG 2000
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10:56a, 2/18/22
AG
It's still darvas boxing going back to June 2020 (2880-3510 range)

But I get the sentiment.

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Bob Knights Paper Hands
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In reply to Charismatic Megafauna • 10:57a, 2/18/22
Charismatic Megafauna said:
Whoa there cowboy, before you go switching teams on us set your spy chart to weekly and monthly and zoom out a few years, then decide if you think all is lost
Signed
Insufferable Permabull

When I zoom out to weekly I see a big h&s threatening. When I zoom out to monthly I see this

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Charismatic Megafauna
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10:59a, 2/18/22
AG
Weekly and monthly bars i mean, and zoom out to look at 5-10 years of them
Edit: especially with all of yesterday's talk of calculated, coordinated selling. Plus i distinctly remember the agony of the december '18 sell off, followed by elation 3 months later that "my portfolio is already up 20% this year!" Just feels like manipulation and opportunity to me
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Irish 2.0
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11:30a, 2/18/22
I know I've harped on Chinese stocks a lot in here, but I couldn't help myself just now. NIO is getting tagged with decent size on the 9/16 30C at 2.65.

I like extra time, so grabbed 4 1/24 30C at 6.34.

Those are starting to get hit with some decent size now too. Guess I'm not alone
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Ccutamu
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In reply to Irish 2.0 • 11:40a, 2/18/22
Irish 2.0 said:
I know I've harped on Chinese stocks a lot in here, but I couldn't help myself just now. NIO is getting tagged with decent size on the 9/16 30C at 2.65.

I like extra time, so grabbed 4 1/24 30C at 6.34.

Those are starting to get hit with some decent size now too. Guess I'm not alone
IIRC, OA mentioned 3/18 30Cs yesterday or Wednesday as well.
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SF2004
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11:40a, 2/18/22
AG
Market doing absurd things today.

Always fun but this is starting to have the makings of just a rough year for equities.

Feels back with all of the oversold companies and not feeling confident that they won't rebound.
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Irish 2.0
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In reply to SF2004 • 11:41a, 2/18/22
SF2004 said:
Market doing absurd things today.

Always fun but this is starting to have the makings of just a rough year for equities.

Feels back with all of the oversold companies and not feeling confident that they won't rebound.
It is reacting to some asshat WH official anonymously saying that Russia will attack any moment now.

Rinse and repeat for the last two weeks
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Brewmaster
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11:42a, 2/18/22
AG
4280 next, 4340 was pretty weak. big boys loading SPY puts about 20 minutes ago
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Engine10
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11:45a, 2/18/22
AG
Im half cash going into the long weekend. Not playin with this Ukraine thing
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Irish 2.0
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11:45a, 2/18/22
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FTAG 2000
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11:45a, 2/18/22
AG
sure looks like h pattern on /es 10min.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to Bob Knights Paper Hands • 11:46a, 2/18/22
AG
Bob Knights Liver said:
Questions for the more experienced bears here:

1) Do you wait for confirmation of the h&s on SPX and QQQ before you start getting in or if we happen to have some run up here do you look for some speculative bear plays for next week, like call credit spreads or buying OTM puts?

2) How do you feel most comfortable playing downside - call credit spreads, buying puts or put spreads, or buying inverse ETFs?

3) Do you invert your charts in a bear market so everything looks similar to what you are used to in a bull market?
1) no different than a long play, but you need confirmation of a pattern or level break

2) NDX / QQQ puts, short NQ_F, or SPXU shares

3) no, but it's a good idea.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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11:46a, 2/18/22
AG
this has been a big move. be careful shorting down here.
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GreasenUSA
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11:47a, 2/18/22
AG
Leveraged and inverse mega-cap ETFs are on the way thanks to Direxion Funds

The firm plans to provide leveraged and inverse ETFs for individuals who are either bullish or bearish on mega-cap stocks, like Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:FB), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA).

Direxion has filed a prospectus with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for 21 exchange traded funds that will allow investors to take either a -1X, -2X, or +2X approach on each of the mega-cap names above. See below the breakdown of ETFs:

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Irish 2.0
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In reply to GreasenUSA • 11:50a, 2/18/22
Well...That'll blow up some Robinhood accounts!
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Whitehouse Road
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In reply to SF2004 • 11:50a, 2/18/22
AG
SF2004 said:
Ugh $DKNG...

Looks like I am taking assignment and the bottom is no where in sight.

Bad Trade.
Just curious what makes you say the bottom is nowhere in sight? I have ~17.40-17.60 area as pretty major support from the IPO low and the recent Jan low. As long as that holds I could see that as a potential double bottom.

Lose that though and then I agree the bottom is nowhere in sight. Looks like we are on our way to test it again.
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Irish 2.0
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In reply to Whitehouse Road • 11:51a, 2/18/22
Whitehouse Road said:
SF2004 said:
Ugh $DKNG...

Looks like I am taking assignment and the bottom is no where in sight.

Bad Trade.
Just curious what makes you say the bottom is nowhere in sight? I have ~17.40-17.60 area as pretty major support from the IPO low and the recent Jan low. As long as that holds I could see that as a potential double bottom.

Lose that though and then I agree the bottom is nowhere in sight. Looks like we are on our way to test it again.
Someone agrees with you.
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Spoony Love
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11:55a, 2/18/22
AG
If you're viewing the SPY daily chart 5min candles, the action today looks purposeful.

I believe there was a Friday recently where something similar like this happened and the last 15 minutes of the day, it rallied out of nowhere. We could be setup for the same response.
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ProgN
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In reply to Irish 2.0 • 11:55a, 2/18/22
Irish 2.0 said:
SF2004 said:
Market doing absurd things today.

Always fun but this is starting to have the makings of just a rough year for equities.

Feels back with all of the oversold companies and not feeling confident that they won't rebound.
It is reacting to some asshat WH official anonymously saying that Russia will attack any moment now.

Rinse and repeat for the last two weeks
Didn't help the ****tard at BOA saying we'll be a recession this year. I tend to agree but saying it on a Friday before a 3 day weekend with skittish markets was an ******* move.
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$30,000 Millionaire
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12:04p, 2/18/22
AG
selling algorithm, been on all day.

possible we get short covering later.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 12:06p, 2/18/22
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
this has been a big move. be careful shorting down here.
no real sign of buying volume yet though. and now this:

WSJ reports - U.S. Officials Expect Russian Attack on Ukraine Within Next Few Days; invasion Expected to Involve Tanks, Jets, Ballistic Missiles, Cyber, U.S. Officials Say; prospects for Averting War Appear Dim, U.S. Officials Say - as per WSJ
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$30,000 Millionaire
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12:06p, 2/18/22
AG
and there are 3 hours to go! LOL
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Ccutamu
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In reply to ProgN • 12:14p, 2/18/22
ProgN said:
Irish 2.0 said:
SF2004 said:
Market doing absurd things today.

Always fun but this is starting to have the makings of just a rough year for equities.

Feels back with all of the oversold companies and not feeling confident that they won't rebound.
It is reacting to some asshat WH official anonymously saying that Russia will attack any moment now.

Rinse and repeat for the last two weeks
Didn't help the ****tard at BOA saying we'll be a recession this year. I tend to agree but saying it on a Friday before a 3 day weekend with skittish markets was an ******* move.
And then add Brandon speaking at 3 should really top things off.
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Irish 2.0
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12:15p, 2/18/22
I know several in here are long FUBO (myself included)
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McInnis 03
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12:16p, 2/18/22
AG
both NQ and ES at daily support pivots.........interesting confluence.....

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McInnis 03
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12:17p, 2/18/22
AG
WTH happened to the NU hype???? Sheesh.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to Brewmaster • 12:17p, 2/18/22
AG
BREwmaster said:
PTON close to cratering... I added 1 lotto put for funsies
40% gainer, out! markets still in dump mode.

Tic thinks 4300?? I think we blow right past that. Zero buying so far.
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Irish 2.0
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12:18p, 2/18/22
338 on the QQQ is last line of defense before we wee the 334.15 lows again probably
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Spoony Love
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In reply to Brewmaster • 12:18p, 2/18/22
AG
BREwmaster said:
$30,000 Millionaire said:
this has been a big move. be careful shorting down here.
no real sign of buying volume yet though. and now this:

WSJ reports - U.S. Officials Expect Russian Attack on Ukraine Within Next Few Days; invasion Expected to Involve Tanks, Jets, Ballistic Missiles, Cyber, U.S. Officials Say; prospects for Averting War Appear Dim, U.S. Officials Say - as per WSJ
I mean, are you a buyer at these levels? We have room to drop on many stocks and if you're just waiting around for all the shaking out to stop, you're going to see it go lower still.

Plus every volume increase today in SPY has been selling.
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Chef Elko
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In reply to Ccutamu • 12:19p, 2/18/22
AG
We are just getting jerked around by those in power and bled dry.
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