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24,800,862 Views | 233492 Replies | Last: 4 hrs ago by HoustonAg_2009
McInnis 03
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AG
ProgN said:

BREwmaster said:

ProgN said:

Well that explains the TTD sell off


Confession time: bought a call on the dip this morning for the hell of it, (looked like clean reversal and put volume evaporated, now up bigly!)
"Fly MFer, Fly MFer, Fly"
The Calendar that worked.

Sully Dog
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Diggity said:

Sully Dog said:

Absolutely there is a demand side element to this. 12% of US homeowners spent two years not paying their mortgages. Student loans still don't have to be repayed. We handed out billions in "child credits" We lowered interest rates to effectively zero. Where do you think the money went?
might be just a little bit of hyperbole here.



at it's peak it was close to that % but the numbers dropped pretty quickly.

Currently we're at around 2.5%
12% is the number that came out of the Atlanta Fed. and that was the peak, but the point still stands. That's billions of dollars that was added to the US economy just through that one program. Where do you think the money went? Because I think it went into a variety of investments from stocks to rental homes etc that have been a demand side driver of inflation.
Deplorable Neanderthal Clinger
Diggity
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AG
I think you're vastly overestimating the sophistication/means of the average mortgagee that entered a forbearance program.

The article I quoted above states that over 50% of homeowners in the program are FHA/VA borrowers (which makes up roughly 20% of the total mortgage pool)
Irish 2.0
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PLTR premiums are juiced going into ER in the morning
Talon2DSO
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AG
Diggity said:

I think you're vastly overestimating the sophistication/means of the average mortgagee that entered a forbearance program.

The article I quoted above states that over 50% of homeowners in the program are FHA/VA borrowers (which makes up roughly 20% of the total mortgage pool)


School me on this forbearance but I believe they will likely owe the entire amount in forbearance rather than having payments as though nothing ever happened. I doubt it's a "don't pay until you can" situation.
Diggity
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Talon2DSO said:

Diggity said:

I think you're vastly overestimating the sophistication/means of the average mortgagee that entered a forbearance program.

The article I quoted above states that over 50% of homeowners in the program are FHA/VA borrowers (which makes up roughly 20% of the total mortgage pool)


School me on this forbearance but I believe they will likely owe the entire amount in forbearance rather than having payments as though nothing ever happened. I doubt it's a "don't pay until you can" situation.
it varies but most of the programs I've read about add the missed payments to the end of the loan. They typically have a defined forbearance period that expires.
Irish 2.0
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Keep in mind that we have a 3 day weekend moving forward this week
Irish 2.0
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Because I'm long NVDA on those 4/18 250C here, I took NVDA 2/18 260P as a small hedge on the ER. I'll be ecstatic if it goes to zero
Brewmaster
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AG
I was just thinking this... that or Mancini said the same

Irish 2.0
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gougler08
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Isn't ROKU today too?
McInnis 03
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Lotto idea to shade off of NVDA

If you're bullish NVDA, you could buy a MU feb18 100c for $.39
If you're bearish NVDA you can probably find a similar put play.
sts7049
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ROKU shows as tomorrow after hours
Engine10
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PLTR before the bell tomorrow
Saltyag15
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AG
So we betting that NVDA explodes on good earnings now? Or does it get the MSFT treatment? I hate earnings.
planoaggie123
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Yes.
Irish 2.0
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Saltyag15 said:

So we betting that NVDA explodes on good earnings now? Or does it get the MSFT treatment? I hate earnings.
MSFT exploded after ER. It faded hard though because of the macro market
Saltyag15
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Maybe I'm getting MSFT confused with someone else. I thought I remember buying them on a 6% dip right after they released earnings. Then they recovered quickly. But I may be wrong.
Irish 2.0
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Saltyag15 said:

Maybe I'm getting MSFT confused with someone else. I thought I remember buying them on a 6% dip right after they released earnings. Then they recovered quickly. But I may be wrong.
Maybe the day before. It had some very messed up daily candles late Jan.

But on ER day it closed at 288.50 and opened the following day at 308
Engine10
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Either way I'm not holding any trades into ER again. I'll read results and ride the wave either way.

Good luck NVDA bros!
Engine10
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AG
DASH ROCKET - FCF positive now. Holy hell
McGibblets
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Our old friend ZOM took off this afternoon
Irish 2.0
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mc_shipman
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I might have gone ahead and bought the $QQQ Friday 360c this morning at $.56 and sold them at $1.30. Chalk one up to sheer dumb luck.
TecRecAg
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AG
And it's down 10%. I'll hold on as long as I can to not take a loss on it. We'll see.
Triple_Bagger
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Irish 2.0 said:

Saltyag15 said:

Maybe I'm getting MSFT confused with someone else. I thought I remember buying them on a 6% dip right after they released earnings. Then they recovered quickly. But I may be wrong.
Maybe the day before. It had some very messed up daily candles late Jan.

But on ER day it closed at 288.50 and opened the following day at 308
MSFT dipped to 270 after ER and rallied back over 300 after the conference call. The big moves happened outside of regular trading hours, so won't show on the daily candles.
Irish 2.0
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mc_shipman said:

I might have gone ahead and bought the $QQQ Friday 360c this morning at $.56 and sold them at $1.30. Chalk one up to sheer dumb luck.
Luck is all you need sometimes. As long as it didn't break that 350.70, it was worth a gamble
Irish 2.0
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Gotcha. Yeah, I didn't even thing about 60min candle
McInnis 03
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AG
NVDA to 250 before a bounce......
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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I made 185% profit on the 2/16 QQQ flies, selling at 2:57. I could have made another 100% more profit if I would have held on 1 more minute to hit my sell order instead of moving my ask to the buy price. I'm net free on the 2/18 QQQ and SPX flies. Those plus those VIX puts made for a nice green day.
Irish 2.0
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Ragoo
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AG
McInnis 03 said:

NVDA to 250 before a bounce......
McInnis 03
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AG
And now at 275, haha. ER candles are best candles.
Irish 2.0
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Irish 2.0 said:

Because I'm long NVDA on those 4/18 250C here, I took NVDA 2/18 260P as a small hedge on the ER. I'll be ecstatic if it goes to zero
GO TO ZERO *****!!!
Irish 2.0
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