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$30,000 Millionaire
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mazag08 said:

$30,000 Millionaire said:

My plan if we get assigned on TTD is to sell covered calls if the move isn't extremely crazy (eg 60). If the unthinkable happens and it goes to 30, well, that sucks but it would be shocking.
I think it's going to at least $50. In log scale a 38% retrace of OTH and OTL is at $23. Don't forget that with stocks like this.. they spent most of their life in the low value range and then went parabolic. And we're living in the destroy parabolic value times.


Ad tech isn't going away.
lobwedgephil
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Based on google ad revenue, TD should destroy their earnings.
ProgN
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lobwedgephil said:

Based on google ad revenue, TD should destroy their earnings.
Yep and that's why I've been layering into the MGNI 1/23 $20c, but TTD shares is my largest position by far.
$30,000 Millionaire
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Anyway, I felt worth the risk. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. Just don't want anyone to feel I didn't caution.
Dan Scott
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RBLX, TTD, and NVDA. It could be the best of weeks or worst of weeks for me
$30,000 Millionaire
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Dan Scott said:

RBLX, TTD, and NVDA. It could be the best of weeks or worst of weeks for me


I believe in all three but didn't want to be that binary.
HoustonAg2014
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I love the commentary on groceries. My wife and I split bills where she pays for groceries and utilities and I pay for our nights out. She realized real quick the other day that she wins that side of the bargain lol. One peak at a dinner plus bar tab equating to the monthly electric bill can humble someone real quick hahah
Sully Dog
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I'll buy a round of bourbon to celebrate
Deplorable Neanderthal Clinger
Chipotlemonger
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mazag08 said:

Saw this thread on 16. Key Supplier of Wafers for computer chips Has Sold Out Through 2026 | TexAgs

My opinion is that while capacity has likely ramped up for the major chip producers, they are limited in production capability by the availability of parts and supplies, like these silicon wafers.

Based on what I've been charting for chip stocks (AMD, NVDA, etc), and what I've looked into today with other semiconductor charts, I think this whole segment is in a major down wave and will be losing a ton of value. Some will bottom soon, and some might take longer. But I think these shortages in supplies and materials are going to affect everything up and down the supply line. But rising prices due to shortages might actually lead to a major rebound after this bottom. It will then explode higher once more capacity and production starts to come back.





Love chip talk. I am long on the chip industry as a whole. Not all will be winners, but with my investment horizon I can weather some of the potential cycling.
SF2004
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I still think the CPI report is still being digested and we gap down tomorrow.

Everyone is focusing on Russia and if they haven't invaded by open the we just rally back.

I think 4300ish could be inbound tomorrow.
SF2004
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Also, I may bail on some of my open naked puts tomorrow but will risk assignment on $TTD and $DKNG

Both of those will be good covered call opportunities and low enough where I could double down once to get the cost basis down.

Just my opinion.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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SF2004 said:

I still think the CPI report is still being digested and we gap down tomorrow.

Everyone is focusing on Russia and if they haven't invaded by open the we just rally back.

I think 4300ish could be inbound tomorrow.

My gut says we don't and that Monday may even end up being a small green day. We had two big red candles so a third seems less likely without bad news, much of Friday's selling could have been exiting before the weekend in case we had Ukraine or some other terrible news, and it's OPEX week and we have a lot of retail buying puts so I think we chop this week to crush premium.

But a retest of those previous lows early in the week wouldn't surprise me either.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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If we do gap down and get a VIX spike on Monday, I will be buying VIX puts for 1.5 and 2.5 weeks out.
FJ43
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Bob Knights Liver said:

If we do gap down and get a VIX spike on Monday, I will be buying VIX puts for 1.5 and 2.5 weeks out.

I like this as a trade.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

FTAG 2000
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Feel like unless Russia invades Ukraine in the next 24 hours, we'll be green.
FJ43
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Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

$30,000 Millionaire
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This is really simple, I think:

- Putin has created a lot of attention and is demanding either a concession to him or he plans to take territory by force
- He's put himself in a position where he can't get nothing without losing major face, therefore he will ensure he gets something
- He will invent a provocation by Ukraine as a reason to attack, whether it happened or not. The world will do nothing when he attacks and just let it happen. He committed to this when he amassed troops at the border for "security"
SF2004
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Seems market talk is all on Russia intentions.

While we also have record inflation announced Thursday still looming.

Then opex and expiration week brings volatility.
ProgN
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https://www.foxnews.com/health/paralyzed-men-walk-spinal-cord-implant

Hey Doc, have you read this?
BrokeAssAggie
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Thinks it's time to get a bigger smoker!

BaylorSpineGuy
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I knew there were some things out there like this. Spinal cord stimulation traditionally has more of a role in pain modulation than reanimating of paralyzed limbs.

Brain-machine interfacing is most certainly a growing area of interest and exciting discoveries happening there all the time. I'm more cautious that spinal cord stimulation would reanimate paralyzed limbs the Mayo Clinic neurosurgeon voiced same concerns I had.

I do have one or maybe two patients that presented with very severe spinal cord injuries (including one "complete" SCI), and he walked in my office just 3 months ago. He's a real highlight reel case of aggressive and quick surgery, good rehabilitation and great family/supportive environment.
ProgN
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BaylorSpineGuy said:

I knew there were some things out there like this. Spinal cord stimulation traditionally has more of a role in pain modulation than reanimating of paralyzed limbs.

Brain-machine interfacing is most certainly a growing area of interest and exciting discoveries happening there all the time. I'm more cautious that spinal cord stimulation would reanimate paralyzed limbs the Mayo Clinic neurosurgeon voiced same concerns I had.

I do have one or maybe two patients that presented with very severe spinal cord injuries (including one "complete" SCI), and he walked in my office just 3 months ago. He's a real highlight reel case of aggressive and quick surgery, good rehabilitation and great family/supportive environment.
That's awesome Doc.
FJ43
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Dip and rip or new low this week?
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

Bob Knights Paper Hands
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Could even be both. If I had to guess, I'd say we end the week 4500-4550 barring any major catastrophes. Whatever it does there will be some major fake moves!
FJ43
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Bob Knights Liver said:

Could even be both. If I had to guess, I'd say we end the week 4500-4550 barring any major catastrophes. Whatever it does there will be some major fake moves!
I'll be on the road but this is my plan on SPY if can execute from a phone app while driving. I won't be able to make quick trades so weekly trade.

Whether we gap down or not I'll be watching the levels at the arrows. Preferably the mid of the top 2 or better yet 450ish. I'll buy ATM puts for 2/18 at that level area for a rejection. Cut above 453 and take the L.


Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

Brewmaster
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FJ43 said:

Dip and rip or new low this week?
Rip then dump. We're quite oversold now... Tomorrow good rip, bull trap, then Tuesday rug pull. I haven't seen any second round of capitulation type moves yet.
FJ43
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Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

FJ43
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BREwmaster said:

FJ43 said:

Dip and rip or new low this week?
Rip then dump. We're quite oversold now... Tomorrow good rip, bull trap, then Tuesday rug pull. I haven't seen any second round of capitulation type moves yet.

Hope you're right as that aligns with my trade plan for the next day or so. But….needs to confirm.

Be nimble and trade what the tape says.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

ProgN
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BrokeAssAggie said:

Thinks it's time to get a bigger smoker!


We got the before, where is the after pic?
BrokeAssAggie
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Full spread pic coming soon
BrokeAssAggie
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I like to cook like I treat my women, slow and steady until it's really moist.
ProgN
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BrokeAssAggie said:

Full spread pic coming soon



Looks great brother!
BaylorSpineGuy
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A question for the advanced index traders on the board here:

How much does one index influence the other? I know many stocks are in multiple of the major indexes (SPY/QQQ/DIA), but how much does one chart directly influence the others?

The chart of the DIA looks absolutely awful. It has nearly completed a 6 month H&S and looks severely bearish. QQQ and SPY don't look quite the same so I was curious if DIA goes down, will it bring the other two down further?

Thanks in advance.
KT 90
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BrokeAssAggie said:

I like to cook like I treat my women, slow and steady until it's really moist.

look at you dishin' out the "how to succeed in life" tips!

FJ43
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BaylorSpineGuy said:

A question for the advanced index traders on the board here:

How much does one index influence the other? I know many stocks are in multiple of the major indexes (SPY/QQQ/DIA), but how much does one chart directly influence the others?

The chart of the DIA looks absolutely awful. It has nearly completed a 6 month H&S and looks severely bearish. QQQ and SPY don't look quite the same so I was curious if DIA goes down, will it bring the other two down further?

Thanks in advance.


A good exercise to see the correlation is overlay them on one chart in line chart form. Add comparisons it typically what you'll see as the option. I also overlay VIX on top as well.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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