TUP

I missed this but dang. Again does someone know something …? Note volume and earnings on 2/23

This is interesting. If you look at the history of TUP, consider RGS.

Longtime American staples, both heavily shorted below 1.50 at all time lows, changed their model to be more franchised based, etc. both have small float with heavy short interest.

Look what TUP did 2 yrs ago to rally from 1.40ish back to $40. I don't think RGS goes to $40 (except by prayer lol), but I believe it's an $8-10 stock. Hoping my thesis is right.

Love your charts today!

Nice find on RCON FJ! Not sure if shares or leaps would be the better play off that volume.

BaylorSpineGuy said:

---

This is interesting. If you look at the history of TUP, consider RGS.

Longtime American staples, both heavily shorted below 1.50 at all time lows, changed their model to be more franchised based, etc. both have small float with heavy short interest.

Look what TUP did 2 yrs ago to rally from 1.40ish back to $40. I don't think RGS goes to $40 (except by prayer lol), but I believe it's an $8-10 stock. Hoping my thesis is right.

Love your charts today!

---

Wasn't it you that shared TUP a while back in 2021 on the board? I had some charting done on it posted a long time ago then kept it on my watch list. Unfortunately I didn't set alerts at SRs or for volume.

OutlawAG04 said:

---

Nice find on RCON FJ! Not sure if shares or leaps would be the better play off that volume.

---

I'm todays market I tend to be more shares with defined stops. Risk management approach. Can possibly sell calls on it with any pop or just exit. IV is high on this one.

Yes that was me. Chart looks interesting for sure.

Did WWR actually report? Thought it was later and couldn't find any news. Stock didn't move 1 cent from what I can see

Something I have learned, and this is different than how OA trades. Small caps with options will not typically get mega moves like thin float with no options because the dealers aren't messing with everyone constantly. Just something to keep in mind.

Bob Knights Liver said:

---

Add a zero and you sound like the folks on Stocktwits.

---

"The real price will come out soon"

I believe they report Monday before the open. I need to verify that.

How did we all miss CTRM?

Have a great weekend! Headline heavy week (& more ahead) but 0 coincidence where #ES_F closed: At its core trendline from Jan low. Decision Time

Plan next week: Looking for 4460. It clears, Friday was bear trap & we run. Rejects to lose 4400: Its "sell the bounce" to 4275, 4160s pic.twitter.com/Qnt5AMtQ9n

— Adam Mancini (@AdamMancini4) February 12, 2022

I was eyeing VIX last night. Good opportunity for a put. I believe you posted in the past about these levels and how they don't stay elevated long.

Bold claim here.. and kind of random. I stumbled on this stock searching for something else and just spend an hour charting it. LANC. I've got massive convergence at $90 in early to mid 2023. No leaps available yet for 2023. But when they come out, and assuming the downward trend holds, I'll be buying far out of the money mid 2023 puts on this.

Monthly candle chart showing the entire history first. You can see my fib extensions for the large degree waves (1)-(5), middle degree waves 1-5, small degree waves (i)-(v) and smallest degree waves i-v. You can also see the upward channel (2nd chart below) which is tracking the middle degree 5th wave and the (i)-(v) within it. Then you will notice how it overlaps with the downward channel that tracks the (a) wave of the current trend (we just finished the (b) wave and are in the downward (c) wave now. At that same overlap point you will notice the 38% retracement. That is a retracement of the smaller degree wave (iii).. it's top from it's bottom.



5th waves tend to take the shape of diagonals. And when they do, you get these perfect overlaps and can draw exact channels. Don't ask me WHY sentiment works this way. It just does. (Or maybe it doesn't and this was all a really cool presentation for something that will be dead ass wrong).

Zoomed in view of the current 5th wave and the (i)-(v) that make it up. The faint purple extension down is the 5-wave downward (c) wave that just so happens to ALSO have its 200% extension converge with all the other convergence points.



P.S.

I'v recently migrated all of my EW charting to tradingview. I can convert charts AND fib calculations to log scale now which is massively important when things don't happen in tight channels. And my EW charting has REALLY started to make more sense. You can get yourself ack basswards if you're looking at stocks that have spent serious time at both small $ levels and 3-digit dollar levels.. and you aren't adjusted in log scale.

Yup

Saw this thread on 16. Key Supplier of Wafers for computer chips Has Sold Out Through 2026 | TexAgs

My opinion is that while capacity has likely ramped up for the major chip producers, they are limited in production capability by the availability of parts and supplies, like these silicon wafers.

Based on what I've been charting for chip stocks (AMD, NVDA, etc), and what I've looked into today with other semiconductor charts, I think this whole segment is in a major down wave and will be losing a ton of value. Some will bottom soon, and some might take longer. But I think these shortages in supplies and materials are going to affect everything up and down the supply line. But rising prices due to shortages might actually lead to a major rebound after this bottom. It will then explode higher once more capacity and production starts to come back.

ProgN said:

---

This was posted in premium but I thought I'd share it here.

Quote:

---

I have no clue why, but I've often wondered who the 5* posters and high 4* posters are on TexAgs. There's no list that I've seen that allows you to see who is blue starred the most on here. So I decided to absolutely waste my time to do a little digging and put together the list that has absolutely zero meaning. Here are the current standing of the top 100 most blue starred posters on TexAgs. I'm still missing a handful, but will fill them in when I find the names.

This is why we shouldn't have offseason in football. Meaningless lists like this.

1. Gary79Ag (1,175,000 stars)
2. aggiehawg (405,000 stars)
3. Rapier108
4. rocky the dog
5. Maroon Dawn
6. aggierogue
7. Ag87H2O
8. annie88
9. FriscoKid
10. ProgN / ProgNightmare
11. C@LAg
12. Gigem314
13. Bo Darville / Joe Exotic
14. DenverAg91 / TXMatt15
15. CanyonAg77
16. captkirk
17. PJYoung
18. Love Gun
19. IrishTxAggie
20. Muy
21. Guitarsoup
22. Manchild50
23. coastag227
24. Ellis Wyatt
25. YouBet
26. aginlakeway
27.
28. MouthBQ98
29. DannyDuberstein
30.
31. gigemJTH12
32. Jet Black
33. Whitetail
34. I Have Spoken
35. Good Poster
36. BMX Bandit
37. powerbelly
38. aTm2004
39. BenFiasco14
40.
41. oh no
42. titan
43. BigRobSA
44. El Nino in Londontown
45. Aggie_fever
46. 4stringAg
47. SWC Ag / Yelnick McWawa
48. JDCAG (NOT Colin)
49. Prosperdick
50. Champ Bailey
51.
52. BQ_90
53. beerad12man
54. AgGrad99
55. Ag12thman
56. e=mc2
57. Paradise Ag
58. Zombie Jon Snow
59. @coopercuffe
60. Daddy-O5 / J.D. c/o 05
61. MooreTrucker
62.
63. SpreadsheetAg
64. Tanya 93
65. Keegan99
66. Ag_07
67. aggiedata
68. BohunkAg
69. DifferenceMaker Ag
70. goodAg80
71. DTP02
72. backintexas2013
73. FrioAg 00
74.
75. StringerBell
76. Orlando Ayala Cant Read
77. ABATTBQ11
78. TAMUHighlights
79.
80. bmks270
81. Brian Earl Spilner
82.
83. TexAgs91
84. Geralt of Rivia
85. vander54
86. MenOfKyle
87. Rockdoc
88. TexAgsSean
89. Boo Weekley
90. WestTexasAg
91. wbt5845
92.
93. DallasAg 94
94. astros4545
95.
96. Bruce Almighty
97. Squadron7
98. Ragoo
99. BrokeAssAggie / CrazyRichAggie
100.

You're on deck, will25u - sitting at 101.

That's all I've got. TexAgging gone too far.

---

Ragoo and BrokeAss at 98,99 ?

---

I'm at 140. Need to go call out some libs on 16 real quick and get my EPS blue star count up.

Any truth to this???

I'm finally making something of myself

We don't order fast food much, but it's incredible what has happened to "combo meals". It's oftentimes much cheaper to order what ever they have on sale. The other day I was traveling for work and got an egg McMuffin combo and upsized the coffee to large. That added another $.89 even though they have $1 any size drinks now. So essentially I was about to pay $5 for a single hash brown.

It can. We were ordering all our groceries through instacart for convenience. I now go myself every Sunday evening, I'm saving at least $600 to $700 a month.

BIMS O1 said:

---

It's almost like the adage that combo meal prices end up being the hourly minimum wage.

---

Can you still buy a nice suit of clothes with an ounce of gold?
What's the corrolary with bitcoin? Hooker and an 8ball?