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Dr. Not Yet Dr. Ag
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In reply to Bob Knights Paper Hands • 7:34a, 10/8/21
Tomas Hermensa said:
Dr. Not Yet Dr. Ag said:
My 1500 shares of CCXI at a $13 basis are doing quite well this morning. Thank you FDA for being the rubber stamp I knew you would be.

Is this going back to $70?

I think it's stays $40-50 today at most, but could see it realistically getting back to $70 with potential EU approval in a couple weeks for avacopan.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
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AgShaun00
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In reply to GreasenUSA • 7:38a, 10/8/21
AG
GreasenUSA said:
Didn't someone post in this thread a week or two ago that the gigafactory in Austin was suspending/shutting down? Seems like they may need to ramp up.
they shut us and everyone down to minimum for 3 weeks.
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Troy91
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7:42a, 10/8/21
AG
Was the slowdown in Tesla construction affected by the onsite shareholder meeting that was yesterday?

Wondering if there was some strategy around yesterday's announcements that affected the work.

We are watching this closely since we just moved to Bastrop.
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LOYAL AG
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In reply to FJ43 • 7:44a, 10/8/21
AG
FJ43 said:
How ridiculously important is the federal government? We get "good news" Wednesday with an increase in the debt ceiling and rally. Today we get "bad news" with yet another anemic jobs report and we rally. Well we look like we will rally. Logic reigns.
A fearful society is a compliant society. That's why Democrats and criminals prefer their victims to be unarmed. Gun Control is not about guns, it's about control.
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FriskyGardenGnome
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In reply to LOYAL AG • 7:46a, 10/8/21
AG
Rally because this miss delays any fed taper in December. A beat may have increased the odds of them tightening the faucets a bit.

ETA: I'm looking to fade it on the short bars.
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AgShaun00
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In reply to Troy91 • 7:47a, 10/8/21
AG
Troy91 said:
Was the slowdown in Tesla construction affected by the onsite shareholder meeting that was yesterday?

Wondering if there was some strategy around yesterday's announcements that affected the work.

We are watching this closely since we just moved to Bastrop.
not sure. Was just told that we will ramp up again in January. So maybe the cash situations is for 4th qtr.
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LOYAL AG
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In reply to FriskyGardenGnome • 7:48a, 10/8/21
AG
gotsand said:
Rally because this miss delays any fed taper in December. A beat may have increased the odds of them tightening the faucets a bit.

ETA: I'm looking to fade it on the short bars.
Yeah that was my point. All that really seems to matter these days is how many shares the Fed buys/holds.
A fearful society is a compliant society. That's why Democrats and criminals prefer their victims to be unarmed. Gun Control is not about guns, it's about control.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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7:59a, 10/8/21
...and the conga line dance continues!

Bullish until the end of the year.

Yep, you get some retreats, but the trend is up.

This is absolute insanity.

Let's make money!
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Triple_Bagger
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In reply to LOYAL AG • 8:00a, 10/8/21
LOYAL AG said:
FJ43 said:
How ridiculously important is the federal government? We get "good news" Wednesday with an increase in the debt ceiling and rally. Today we get "bad news" with yet another anemic jobs report and we rally. Well we look like we will rally. Logic reigns.
Wild swings pre-market. Seems like the market doesn't know what to do with this jobs report. I would have expected us to rally on this news, but the market dropped, then went up, then dropped again. I plan to play the opening range today with tight stops. Don't try to predict moves, wait for confirmation.
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McInnis 03
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In reply to Triple_Bagger • 8:06a, 10/8/21
AG
Double_Bagger said:
LOYAL AG said:
FJ43 said:
How ridiculously important is the federal government? We get "good news" Wednesday with an increase in the debt ceiling and rally. Today we get "bad news" with yet another anemic jobs report and we rally. Well we look like we will rally. Logic reigns.
Wild swings pre-market. Seems like the market doesn't know what to do with this jobs report. I would have expected us to rally on this news, but the market dropped, then went up, then dropped again. I plan to play the opening range today with tight stops. Don't try to predict moves, wait for confirmation.
Fading the initial move has been the theme and it would have gotten you solid pts on the futures.......that being said.......we're recovering to the higher levels already.

But.....open high.......you sure you wanna buy?

ES at 4420 has been a road block......I'd like to see us get back up there and watch what happens.
NQ at 15020 can be trouble too.

The bears will have a chance to flip things early I think.........question is will they. They haven't been present for too many Fridays
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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H-town ag
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8:28a, 10/8/21
AG
This is interesting ...

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Red Red Wine
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In reply to H-town ag • 8:34a, 10/8/21
AG
Couldn't be "vaccine mandate" related at all. Could it?!

Color me shocked.
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FTAG 2000
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In reply to H-town ag • 8:52a, 10/8/21
AG
H-town ag said:
This is interesting ...


Need to add a zero to that government jobs number and it'll be a good start.
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Triple_Bagger
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8:52a, 10/8/21
Pretty tight opening range on SPX.
ORH: 4412
ORL: 4395

We're sitting near the low now. I'll go short under 4390.
On the upside, I'd like to see through yesterday's hight of 4430 before taking any long positions.
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austinAG90
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9:07a, 10/8/21
AG
We said this morning that to fade the first move in the employment number and go with the trend of the bond market at 45 minutes to an hour later... That seems to be working as the employment number is looking more flukish and few expect the Fed to reverse tapering next month... 10 year treasuries are now at 1.60... A level that has held up in the overnight session... Now the true trading starts... Will we see convexity selling from mortgage players?... Not just yet, but the fast money knows that if they push the 10 and bond hard from here, convexity asset managers will be forced in to sell... So the real action starts to take place. The household survey showed gains of the 526,000 and unemployment dropped to 4.8%...wage growth remained elevated..leisure and hospitality took a hit due to delta, but we see that coming back quickly..we do not see these numbers taking the Fed out of tapering mode... So now we wait and see if the treasury market can take out 1.60... And we will see if the strangler trader can make money on his 1.60 short puts leg
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Philip J Fry
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9:17a, 10/8/21
AG
SDC is running this morning.
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cjo03
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In reply to Dr. Not Yet Dr. Ag • 9:33a, 10/8/21
AG
Dr. Not Yet Dr. Ag said:
My 1500 shares of CCXI at a $13 basis are doing quite well this morning. Thank you FDA for being the rubber stamp I knew you would be.

thanks for the heads-up yesterday...





jk, that's a fun morning, congrats.

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Triple_Bagger
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In reply to Triple_Bagger • 9:38a, 10/8/21
Double_Bagger said:
Pretty tight opening range on SPX.
ORH: 4412
ORL: 4395

We're sitting near the low now. I'll go short under 4390.
On the upside, I'd like to see through yesterday's hight of 4430 before taking any long positions.

Still inside the opening range. (Need to learn how to post charts from TradingView if anyone has any tips)
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FTAG 2000
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In reply to Dr. Not Yet Dr. Ag • 9:40a, 10/8/21
AG
Dr. Not Yet Dr. Ag said:
My 1500 shares of CCXI at a $13 basis are doing quite well this morning. Thank you FDA for being the rubber stamp I knew you would be.
So what else is in the approval pipeline we should be grabbing shares of?
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La Bamba
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In reply to austinAG90 • 10:03a, 10/8/21
AG
austinAG90 said:
We said this morning that to fade the first move in the employment number and go with the trend of the bond market at 45 minutes to an hour later... That seems to be working as the employment number is looking more flukish and few expect the Fed to reverse tapering next month... 10 year treasuries are now at 1.60... A level that has held up in the overnight session... Now the true trading starts... Will we see convexity selling from mortgage players?... Not just yet, but the fast money knows that if they push the 10 and bond hard from here, convexity asset managers will be forced in to sell... So the real action starts to take place. The household survey showed gains of the 526,000 and unemployment dropped to 4.8%...wage growth remained elevated..leisure and hospitality took a hit due to delta, but we see that coming back quickly..we do not see these numbers taking the Fed out of tapering mode... So now we wait and see if the treasury market can take out 1.60... And we will see if the strangler trader can make money on his 1.60 short puts leg
Not sure you need to be told this but thanks for posting.
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Dr. Not Yet Dr. Ag
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In reply to FTAG 2000 • 10:06a, 10/8/21
I got no other recs regarding meds nearing their PDUFA dates. CCXI was a very unique situation where market cap dropped 80% after a split advisory committee recommendation for their drug that was prior to the adcom split expected to easily pass through the approval process. I figured it was a ridiculous overreaction given the FDA has basically been approving everything over the last couple years regardless of questionable data, Biogen's Aduhelm being the most recent prior example (several physicians on the FDA advisory committee quit after Aduhelm was still approved after they voted against approval). Was still a gamble, as 20% of drugs that pass phase 3 will not receive approval, but I figured the upside far outweighed the potential downside at my low cost basis.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
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KY-AG 10
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10:40a, 10/8/21
AG
SPY in a nice symmetrical triangle pattern today. Wonder which way it breaks
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mazag08
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10:44a, 10/8/21
AG
Is the market about to puke?
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Triple_Bagger
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In reply to mazag08 • 10:49a, 10/8/21
mazag08 said:
Is the market about to puke?
There is a gap it needs to fill from yesterday (4383-4366). That's my target if we lose 4394.
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Andy07
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10:55a, 10/8/21
AG
I'm voting for chop around 4400 all day
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ClutchCityAg
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11:09a, 10/8/21
From a friend, fwiw:

Quote:
I think btc will definitely get mainstream adoption in 2-3 years. Especially after this next halving event. Got off a call with a client of mine whose starting to use excess gas from oil rigs that are normally just burned off, but instead are using it to power generators to mine BTC. Said she had a s*** ton of Chinese companies contacting her trying to buy oil fields to do this cause of the ban in China.
Let it ride
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Brewmaster
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In reply to mazag08 • 11:09a, 10/8/21
AG
mazag08 said:
Is the market about to puke?
I think they want to kill premium today, puke Monday. (and OPEX next week slow grind down). I think this is pretty consistent with most weeks leading into OPEX (either Thursday or Friday hit highs, then down from there).
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LOYAL AG
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In reply to ClutchCityAg • 11:18a, 10/8/21
AG
ClutchCityAg said:
From a friend, fwiw:

Quote:
I think btc will definitely get mainstream adoption in 2-3 years. Especially after this next halving event. Got off a call with a client of mine whose starting to use excess gas from oil rigs that are normally just burned off, but instead are using it to power generators to mine BTC. Said she had a s*** ton of Chinese companies contacting her trying to buy oil fields to do this cause of the ban in China.
This is a bizarre dynamic and why we should not allow Chinese companies to buy anything tangible in the US. The Chinese government banned BTC so Chinese companies want to buy US oil wells to set up their BTC mines. OK but the Chinese government owns the majority of those companies!

It's just not a legit transaction in my mind. The world's most important resource is oil and China has very, very little of it compared to their needs. What better way to address that than to buy up American wells?
A fearful society is a compliant society. That's why Democrats and criminals prefer their victims to be unarmed. Gun Control is not about guns, it's about control.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to Brewmaster • 11:27a, 10/8/21
BREwmaster said:
mazag08 said:
Is the market about to puke?
I think they want to kill premium today, puke Monday. (and OPEX next week slow grind down). I think this is pretty consistent with most weeks leading into OPEX (either Thursday or Friday hit highs, then down from there).
I agree with everything except the bolded.

Earnings season should be cranking up right at that time to save this market from spiraling down. My 2 cents.
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McInnis 03
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11:33a, 10/8/21
AG
ES at Overnight Low
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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FJ43
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11:35a, 10/8/21
Just did a quick check on the markets. You guys are clearly not buying enough.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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Socialism Sucks
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In reply to FJ43 • 11:55a, 10/8/21
AG
Someone is buying $ORCL pretty hard today.
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H-town ag
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In reply to Socialism Sucks • 11:58a, 10/8/21
AG
Socialism Sucks said:
Someone is buying $ORCL pretty hard today.
I am in the 10/15 95C. Hoping to get out before the end of the day.
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Brewmaster
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12:12p, 10/8/21
AG
SPY 10/15 415P has some volume to it. 38k, and the most volume for that expiration. I know that's way OTM, but interesting.
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H-town ag
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12:16p, 10/8/21
AG
Anyone adding to ELOX here ahead of the call next Tuesday?
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