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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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10:10a, 5/12/21
I exited SPY positions a few days back. Sitting on cash. When it's time to re-enter I don't think I'm returning to SPY, I believe I am going the RSP route. Going with - equal weight vs market cap - due to tech dominance in the market cap math. I think the RSP route will be a better to finish to calendar year 2021.

HNDL - my Tech/Bond barometer looked like things might stabilize as it was holding at down .09. (To me, if it got to .08 I would say stabilizing would be occurring in Tech/Bonds) Since then, the bottom dropped out and it's down .21. More negative stuff ahead in my opinion. I was looking at staking a large position in HNDL today for a dividend capture of ~$0.13/share paid on Monday. Not touching it - too risky versus reward.

My dividend side of the portfolio of XOM +$1.44, CVX+$2.47 and ABBV+$0.61 are showing solid performance today. T is vacillating -$0.13.

Some stocks with inflationary plays to consider would be with PG and CL. Those performed during the 70's-80's inflationary times.

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FTAG 2000
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In reply to mazag08 • 10:26a, 5/12/21
AG
mazag08 said:
60-min SPX MacD showing way oversold. We either already hit the low or we see one more lower low.
How's the Elliott waves looking?
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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 10:28a, 5/12/21
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
$30,000 Millionaire said:
SQ 215C for $4.30. I think this one is starting to bottom. Stop loss low of day.
Trying again.
didn't work, but got out for B/E
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to FJ43 • 10:28a, 5/12/21
FJ43 said:

VIX at 23.49. Be careful....
24.26, but that is a 10 minute delayed number.
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SF2004
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10:28a, 5/12/21
AG
RSI on the 5-day showing oversold.

Anything to it?
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$30,000 Millionaire
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10:29a, 5/12/21
AG
$DVN keeps having problems with 27. I'm going to go ahead and take my gain in the vertical.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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ClutchCityAg
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10:32a, 5/12/21
FJ, just wanna thank you for your tips on scalping. It has been very effective for me!
Let it ride
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Brian Earl Spilner
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10:32a, 5/12/21
AG
Considering unloading all my ROKU stock (~$5k) once I break even at $325/share, to take advantage of the QQQ/GOOGLE/AAPL dips.

Thoughts? Or y'all think ROKU will continue to recover and tech continue to fall?
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FJ43
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 10:33a, 5/12/21
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
FJ43 said:

VIX at 23.49. Be careful....
24.26, but that is a 10 minute delayed number.
I keep setting my "Uh Oh" voice alert and it won't leave me alone.

Didn't know it was 10 min delayed. How do we play that? I have been trending like anything else.
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FJ43
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In reply to ClutchCityAg • 10:35a, 5/12/21
ClutchCityAg said:
FJ, just wanna thank you for your tips on scalping. It has been very effective for me!
Awesome! Glad some of them helped.
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McInnis 03
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10:35a, 5/12/21
AG
Paper shorting /VX (vix) for a swing trade......
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McInnis 03
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10:38a, 5/12/21
AG
SpY intraday "h"
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Maroon Elephant
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10:38a, 5/12/21
AG
Thoughts on HCMC? If they win their lawsuit against Phillip Morris or get a massive out of court settlement, shouldn't this stock jump significantly?
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ClutchCityAg
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In reply to FJ43 • 10:39a, 5/12/21
double bottom at your 408.74 level
Let it ride
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Ags2013
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In reply to Maroon Elephant • 10:40a, 5/12/21
AG
Maroon Elephant said:
Thoughts on HCMC? If they win their lawsuit against Phillip Morris or get a massive out of court settlement, shouldn't this stock jump significantly?
I think I'm bag holding and waiting (somewhat impatiently) on the next court update
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mazag08
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In reply to FTAG 2000 • 10:42a, 5/12/21
AG
AG 2000' said:
mazag08 said:
60-min SPX MacD showing way oversold. We either already hit the low or we see one more lower low.
How's the Elliott waves looking?
Needs to turn up here and we might see 4050 tomorrow before the leg back up. If it goes down from here, then we're looking at an alternative count that might see us below 4000.

4400 on the next leg up is still in play, but if we move to the alternative, it becomes less likely or pushed out much farther in the year.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to FJ43 • 10:44a, 5/12/21
FJ43 said:
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
FJ43 said:

VIX at 23.49. Be careful....
24.26, but that is a 10 minute delayed number.
I keep setting my "Uh Oh" voice alert and it won't leave me alone.

Didn't know it was 10 min delayed. How do we play that? I have been trending like anything else.
Your number might be more current. I am running a "free" system so I am usually fishing behind the net on CBOE.

All I can say on how to play it - I'd be long now, but I would ALWAYS close my position same day regardless of the outcome.

I think you'd have an easier time trying to shove soft butter up a wildcat's arse with a hot poker then play VIX.
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BenRev09
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10:47a, 5/12/21
AG
grabbed some SPY 411 expiring today, will cut if we visit 409 again though
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FJ43
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In reply to ClutchCityAg • 10:48a, 5/12/21
ClutchCityAg said:
double bottom at your 408.74 level
Could very well be on a 2 min. But keeps rejecting downtrend lines. No power...yet. Technically lower lows even by a few cents.
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FJ43
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 10:49a, 5/12/21
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
FJ43 said:
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
FJ43 said:

VIX at 23.49. Be careful....
24.26, but that is a 10 minute delayed number.
I keep setting my "Uh Oh" voice alert and it won't leave me alone.

Didn't know it was 10 min delayed. How do we play that? I have been trending like anything else.
Your number might be more current. I am running a "free" system so I am usually fishing behind the net on CBOE.

All I can say on how to play it - I'd be long now, but I would ALWAYS close my position same day regardless of the outcome.

I think you'd have an easier time trying to shove soft butter up a wildcat's arse with a hot poker then play VIX.
The last part made my day!
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FJ43
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 10:49a, 5/12/21
I'm on IBKR Pro so not sure if delayed on VIX or not.
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ClutchCityAg
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In reply to FJ43 • 10:52a, 5/12/21
FJ43 said:
ClutchCityAg said:
double bottom at your 408.74 level
Could very well be on a 2 min. But keeps rejecting downtrend lines. No power...yet. Technically lower lows even by a few cents.
Theres another test. Looking at 406.7 (per tic) level next if we get some selling volume
Let it ride
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FJ43
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10:52a, 5/12/21
SPY NLOD

Feels like we want 406
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BrokeAssAggie
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10:53a, 5/12/21
TSLA just blew through $600
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$30,000 Millionaire
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10:53a, 5/12/21
AG
$MS has a 30 minute squeeze that I think fires long. Scalping weekly 84C.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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AgEng06
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10:53a, 5/12/21
AG
Any idea what just caused the spike in MBIO?
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tsuag10
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10:54a, 5/12/21
AG
ASO looks wound pretty tight to me.
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FJ43
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In reply to BrokeAssAggie • 10:56a, 5/12/21
CrazyRichAggie said:
TSLA just blew through $600
Missed my second round of TSLA puts by a nickel at $6.55
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BrokeAssAggie
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In reply to FJ43 • 10:57a, 5/12/21
FJ43 said:
CrazyRichAggie said:
TSLA just blew through $600
Missed my second round of TSLA puts by a nickel at $6.55
$600 is going to be the new resistance
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Maroon Elephant
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In reply to Ags2013 • 10:57a, 5/12/21
AG
Cozen O' Conner is the firm handling this case for HCMC. From what I've heard, they almost always come out on the winning side of patent suits.
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10:57a, 5/12/21
AG
$UBER is below -3 ATR. I am going to get into June calls for a reversion to -1 ATR.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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bmoochie
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 11:00a, 5/12/21
AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:
$UBER is below -3 ATR. I am going to get into June calls for a reversion to -1 ATR.
what time period do you set your ATR and how far out do you typically look for these reversion plays?
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In reply to bmoochie • 11:03a, 5/12/21
AG
bmoochie said:
$30,000 Millionaire said:
$UBER is below -3 ATR. I am going to get into June calls for a reversion to -1 ATR.
what time period do you set your ATR and how far out do you typically look for these reversion plays?
daily, i bought june calls to give plenty of time, but I want to see forward progression this week.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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11:03a, 5/12/21
AG
SPX I think needs to bounce. Ticks representing high selling pressure and SPX has moved from the mean to -1.5 ATR.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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11:04a, 5/12/21
AG
be cautious about short covering, folks. they will try to reclaim the 21 today.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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