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Rice and Fries
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Diggity said:

wonder how much this board has collectively lost off of CLOV,WWR & SNDL?
All I know is I am sure as **** wishing that I had put that money into VOO, VTSAX or some other basic index fund right now. I'm not selling but damn if it doesn't hurt at least.
FJ43
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TMOOSE said:

Lots of people think Arkk is going for a free fall. Let's see who ends up right.
Next few days will tell.

Not the best looking chart wise.

BrokeAssAggie
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Jet Black said:

I wonder if the current difficulty with trading this market pushes more people into trading crypto?
I threw $1,000 at ETH a couple weeks ago to dip my toe into crypto and it's already up to $1,400.
Jet Black
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Rice and Fries said:

Diggity said:

wonder how much this board has collectively lost off of CLOV,WWR & SNDL?
All I know is I am sure as **** wishing that I had put that money into VOO, VTSAX or some other basic index fund right now. I'm not selling but damn if it doesn't hurt at least.


I have a couple of accounts with vanguard. I'm thinking about moving the whole of it into VTI.
Ornithopter
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AG
FJ43 said:

TMOOSE said:

Lots of people think Arkk is going for a free fall. Let's see who ends up right.
Next few days will tell.

Not the best looking chart wise.




They are in a lot of illiquid names, and if they have to start selling due to withdrawals it will be very ugly very fast.

I would not be in anything ARKK owns.
FTAG 2000
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AG
Jet Black said:

I wonder if the current difficulty with trading this market pushes more people into trading crypto?


I read an article over the weekend that said something like two trillion in new money has been put into crypto over last two months. That is money that would have potentially been in the market.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
TMOOSE said:

How bearish are you 30k?
I'm not in an 80% position of June 400 SPY puts or anything, I think this is time to be cautious and to be open minded for a topping and gradual move down. I think this gradual move down is going to last a very long time and demotivate people. I don't think we're going to have a black swan ugly event, I think it could be a lot like '08 but without the huge downward catalyst. It might be like the same as the summer of 2020 but in reverse - relentless grind down. Real inflation fears, new taxes, and persistent unemployment will likely be a driver of some downward pressure. Real estate has come very far, very fast.

You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
$ARKK is at -3 ATR. Can it go lower? yes. Is it high probability to short from here? No. What do we do instead? We short the retracement to the mean.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
cisgenderedAggie
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****. Busy day and didn't get to see that my SPY $420 puts are rocking. Hope there's time to sell at open before we climb back up.
McInnis 03
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AG
Was expecting the high to low day today....There is room for continuation into tomorrow but wouldn't be surprised if it's a consol day. If so, scalp the S/R zones will be the play de jour for me.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
CLOV - I am -20% on these and will keep selling covered calls
WWR - profitable on it from selling cc and puts
SNDL - profitable on it from selling on spikes and cc

I don't see the point in selling WWR, CLOV, or SNDL at current prices.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
cageybee77
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AG
On the 30day chart, LPX finally crossed the 70% rsi-mod line (going down). Let's see if these squiggly lines work.
Boat Shoes
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AG
cageybee77 said:

On the 30day chart, LPX finally crossed the 70% rsi-mod line (going down). Let's see if these squiggly lines work.


What does that mean exactly? Time to exit my calls?
mazag08
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AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:

you guys know the top is sometimes in the next 30 trading days, right?
Nope.

Maybe the top to the current structure before the pullback. But we're not even close to the top.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Diggity said:

wonder how much this board has collectively lost off of CLOV,WWR & SNDL?
I own
CLOV, DNN. IMMR, NIO, PLTR, SINO and WWR

Total Invested
$108,010.07

Paper Loss
$39,345.57

Option Premiums take that Paper Loss down another $2,000 not in the math. I don't track it that close.

I don't like a loss, but I decided some days ago I'm keeping these til zero, or the moon. My holding power is to zero.

NIO, for reference, I entered probably way after everyone here.

PLTR, DNN, and WWR, I feel are the 3 that will fair the best out of this group.

And, .... it's only a loss if you sell.
Irish 2.0
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

$ARKK is at -3 ATR. Can it go lower? yes. Is it high probability to short from here? No. What do we do instead? We short the retracement to the mean.


I'm looking to sell naked puts on ARKK soon
ag94whoop
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AG
It figures that I got myself upside down and the market is going to starting sliding before I get a chance to right the ship
cageybee77
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AG
I'm just learning - hopefully an expert will weigh-in on how meaningful this may be. For me, I'll be a tad more hesitant to buy back in just yet. The recent history is that this stock doesn't stay down long.
Mostly Foggy Recollection
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I sold CLOV in the 12s in its initial fall. SNDL, I made money on.

WWR isn't being touched until next year most likely. I'm net free on it, but I have bought some back in the 4s and sub 4. I'm not going to sell any right now. It will bounce back when the time comes.
Diggity
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AG
someone posted it the other day but we are all living proof that humans tend to be much more patient with their losers than their winners.
cageybee77
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AG
I've made a few $ off of DNN and CLOV playing the dips and peaks. I would never hold them.
FJ43
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cisgenderedAggie said:

****. Busy day and didn't get to see that my SPY $420 puts are rocking. Hope there's time to sell at open before we climb back up.
You should do well.
Ornithopter
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AG
Bear chart!

Jet Black
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At this point you would probably just be selling one loser to by another.
cageybee77
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AG
" The Nasdaq suffered a 2-sigma loss today.

The same day that 44% of S&P 500 stocks hit a 52-week high...the most since 1943.

If you think you understand this market, think again."

Lol
jimmo
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been buying puts to cushion my losses
PLTR
CLOV
guess it's my first time buying puts
looks like it'll help a little
I'm just clumsy at it... but I'll be better for the next time hopefully
ClutchCityAg
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

TMOOSE said:

How bearish are you 30k?
I'm not in an 80% position of June 400 SPY puts or anything, I think this is time to be cautious and to be open minded for a topping and gradual move down. I think this gradual move down is going to last a very long time and demotivate people. I don't think we're going to have a black swan ugly event, I think it could be a lot like '08 but without the huge downward catalyst. It might be like the same as the summer of 2020 but in reverse - relentless grind down. Real inflation fears, new taxes, and persistent unemployment will likely be a driver of some downward pressure. Real estate has come very far, very fast.


How does one make money in a scenario like you are describing? Simply by being heavy cash and only scalping?
Let it ride
Brewmaster
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AG
ClutchCityAg
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BREwmaster said:


I bought $10 worth last week for fun.... now worth $165 SHBM
Let it ride
Lavender Gooms
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AG
Any thoughts on the volume on VEON today? Didn't really do much on the stock price.
Mostly Foggy Recollection
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FJ and I were discussing this. With the recent announcements (M&A guys coming on board) and volume being 7-8x what it normally is, that's typically a sign of insider buying.

It makes me think there is some looming news/catalysts. Whether that benefits the June call holders is TBD, but I think the September holders have a high probability of seeing a nice win.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
ClutchCityAg said:

$30,000 Millionaire said:

TMOOSE said:

How bearish are you 30k?
I'm not in an 80% position of June 400 SPY puts or anything, I think this is time to be cautious and to be open minded for a topping and gradual move down. I think this gradual move down is going to last a very long time and demotivate people. I don't think we're going to have a black swan ugly event, I think it could be a lot like '08 but without the huge downward catalyst. It might be like the same as the summer of 2020 but in reverse - relentless grind down. Real inflation fears, new taxes, and persistent unemployment will likely be a driver of some downward pressure. Real estate has come very far, very fast.


How does one make money in a scenario like you are describing? Simply by being heavy cash and only scalping?
if the market is trending down, the easiest move is to short the rallies, which is the corollary to buying the dip. If the market is flat, you sell premium through direction neutral moves like iron condors. Keep in mind that it is always a bull market in something. Stocks go up over time, so anything with a 2-5 year time horizon I would continue to play to the long side.

The question to ask in a time like this is "is there much more upside without a correction?".
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
TexasAg2017
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AG
I finally got around to watching the recording on OA1's seminar and I've made it about halfway through. After seeing so many illustrations and explanations of the Model T it makes sense. I took a break and just glanced over some crypto charts and other stocks on both the daily and 1 minute charts and now they just pop out. Now to get a handle on seeing them in real time and capitalizing on them.
McInnis 03
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AG
ClutchCityAg said:

BREwmaster said:


I bought $10 worth last week for fun.... now worth $165 SHBM


Get your capital out! Go net free!!
fightintxag13
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AG
Many of us on here like the commodities and are long in things like LPX, PCH, X, COPX, etc. What is everyone's opinion on what a potential correction would do to the price of these? Would a macro correction have enough weight to affect these stocks that are fundamentally as strong as they are right now?
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