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Last: 2 hrs ago by Heineken-Ashi
Yeah I just have it on my short list. Plan to watch it for when/if it looks to be about to break out again and have some alerts set. When it does I will enter an options position.Tomas Hermensa said:FJ43 said:
UPST
This is on my short list.
Offering at $120 executes 4/13. Is this one to wait for a down day and buy some 140 or 150 calls out a few months?
That 4/13 date will be good day to watch it or the following day. Will set myself a reminder....
BlueTaze said:
Hate to post a CNBC talking head, but Tom Lee has had some good calls over last 12 months. He sees a potential melt up to 4200 area in near term, potential high for 21'. Lots of institutions moving to cash also.
I think OA called 4200 months back.
Wow!
I love when network talking heads call things that have already been confirmed.
Now if he would have called December 5,000 that would be something.
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Aggies75455 said:
Jury deliberation on Zest starts this morning. Heading to Little Rock now. Should have the result today.
Any doubts? Despite being net free you're still sitting on a very significant position, right? Imagine we'll get a shake today no matter which way it goes, trying to decide whether or not to add. The fact that buyout or settlement hasn't happened yet is concerning...
is CLOV gonna leak back down below 8 again? or we think it will have some momentum?
FJ43 said:
McInnis....Friday lotto day!
Can you please get your green hammer out and pound the crap out of SHOP at the bell?
SHOP to the moon please.
Warning, I'm off today and hammer is at work.
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***
B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
She blew up this morning.jimbo9821 said:
Has anyone heard of GLSI? Major volume back on 12/9 has settled in around mid $30s since, still below 50 and 20 SMA.
Middle of a phase 3 breast cancer trial.
I think XL has hit bottom and is reversing. Might enter some calls here.
The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
Maybe look at buy/write on it. Low is about $7.25 and shares are at 8.46FbgTxAg said:
I think XL has hit bottom and is reversing. Might enter some calls here.
There is still premium built into 4/16 and 5/21 calls.
Or maybe a credit spread? And then let it play out and if you get assigned then roll it into a wheel strategy?FJ43 said:Maybe look at buy/write on it. Low is about $7.25 and shares are at 8.46FbgTxAg said:
I think XL has hit bottom and is reversing. Might enter some calls here.
There is still premium built into 4/16 and 5/21 calls.
30k may get his pit bull low today
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***
B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
Master's Friday Macros. Enjoy
Treasuries Hit Wall of Supply....Equities Showing Signs of Weakness...Trouble ?
Treasuries hit a wall of supply and have turned back after hitting our first line of objectives..10 year reached our 1.62 level and stalled... The 1.58 and the hopeful Fibonacci retracement level of 1.47, no longer look good... Starting Monday we have a boatload of supply to bid on...3 years and 10 years Monday, and then long bonds on Tuesday...all to be settled by the 15th...the Chinese PPI number this morning, 4.4% , up from the previous month of 1.7%, did not help... Treasuries hit 1.62 at 9PM last night and are now over 1.67...1.77 is the recent high...we will not take that out today, but the higher rates mantra we have been pushing, while correctly pointing out that the window of no coupon supply for 18 days, where rates could correct back and did, is now over...
Equities... They are showing weakness... And we are starting to get a bit concerned... Volumes have been anemic as equities hit new record highs..Vix is in a good place, and we do not see a correction just yet, but higher highs on lower volumes is a red flag of concern...in the last week we have seen volumes off in the S+P and the Russell 2000 by 20%, while the Nasdaq is off 18%...not a determining factor but a red flag. Add in today's FT story " Spacs is drying up threatening the boom as investors balk at sky high valuations" https://on.ft.com/39VzjHD Stocks have been reaching stalling speed as it has not taken into perspective the stimulus side affects,1) a bump in the tax bill, 2)rising input costs and 3) higher financing expenses. Goldman points out that higher corporate taxes may cut benchmark earnings by 9% in 2022...JP Asset management says increases in taxes will eat up 5% of after tax profits..
Treasuries Hit Wall of Supply....Equities Showing Signs of Weakness...Trouble ?
Treasuries hit a wall of supply and have turned back after hitting our first line of objectives..10 year reached our 1.62 level and stalled... The 1.58 and the hopeful Fibonacci retracement level of 1.47, no longer look good... Starting Monday we have a boatload of supply to bid on...3 years and 10 years Monday, and then long bonds on Tuesday...all to be settled by the 15th...the Chinese PPI number this morning, 4.4% , up from the previous month of 1.7%, did not help... Treasuries hit 1.62 at 9PM last night and are now over 1.67...1.77 is the recent high...we will not take that out today, but the higher rates mantra we have been pushing, while correctly pointing out that the window of no coupon supply for 18 days, where rates could correct back and did, is now over...
Equities... They are showing weakness... And we are starting to get a bit concerned... Volumes have been anemic as equities hit new record highs..Vix is in a good place, and we do not see a correction just yet, but higher highs on lower volumes is a red flag of concern...in the last week we have seen volumes off in the S+P and the Russell 2000 by 20%, while the Nasdaq is off 18%...not a determining factor but a red flag. Add in today's FT story " Spacs is drying up threatening the boom as investors balk at sky high valuations" https://on.ft.com/39VzjHD Stocks have been reaching stalling speed as it has not taken into perspective the stimulus side affects,1) a bump in the tax bill, 2)rising input costs and 3) higher financing expenses. Goldman points out that higher corporate taxes may cut benchmark earnings by 9% in 2022...JP Asset management says increases in taxes will eat up 5% of after tax profits..
CNBC said today is the first time in 40+ years an administration has delayed the reporting of cost increases (across the board). Biden and Kamala actively trying to suppress the numbers so nobody knows. Hyperinflation is here.
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Thanks as always. Are there parallels to the SPY, QQQ, and IWM ETFs in the bond world? If so what are the major categories segregated by - company size like stocks or by credit rating or what? My goal is to have some benchmarks for bond prices to track in order to get a feel for the macro market. For me this wouldn't be tradable data right now but part of my education process
Thanks for this. I still have so much to learnFJ43 said:Morning,AG 2000' said:
Can someone take a look at NNDM and give me thoughts on this one?
Got into it in January around 12. Dropped like a rock at the end of February.
Model T from 3/5 looks to be around $9.09, which it bounced off of earlier this week. This thing headed back down?
I'll take a stab for you.
- Broken at the moment below all EMAs except 200.
- It is below a support level around $8.30
- Finding next level down of $7.60s and possibly consolidating here in blue box with declining volume.
- After this down to $7.08 likely.
- I see Risk Level 1 (R1) of below $7.08 and would really watch this level where it flashed to previously and held. Lose this and you see R2.
- Risk Level 2 (R2) of possibly $6.50 but for sure $6.02.
- 'Recent' MT (MT2) I show at $9.88 using 3/15 & 4/7.
- MT 1 of $12.35 using 1/26 & 3/5
- RSI looks oversold.
- -1+ ATR
If me and I have been in it to here, I would hold and stop out at $6.50 (-2% not to get caught in previous flash down). Below that and no telling.
If it consolidates here and regroups for a bit I might even be adding trading shares, selling covered calls on spike days, selling puts, etc. to lower share cost.
Edit: If I would see consolidation in the channel bouncing top to bottom, this is an example where I am buying shares in the 7.60/70s and selling those shares in the 8.70/9.00 range and lowering share cost.
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McInnis 03 said:
30k may get his pit bull low today
I was made to believe we were all bullish now
12/31 5000C is about $10.70 right now.
Got a promotion at work and the Master's is on.. not much time for fun money account trading. May scalp a thing or two today. I'm open to intraday ideas if anyone has any.
PPI Much Higher Than Expected...Fed in a Quandry...Watch Nasdaq as Rates Higher
The Fed would like you to believe that today's PPI numbers, which were released 35 minutes late, were transitory... As El- Arian said on BB, Transitory was built into the expectations... These were blown away... Rates should grind higher through the day and the Nasdaq should under-perform...CPI on Tuesday, right after the 3 and 10 year auction, and just before the long bond auction, should be interesting... Nothing like being socked with supply as inflation starts to soar... Fed is in a Quandry as to how to interpret these numbers, but that Quandry could lead to a quick spike in rates
The Fed would like you to believe that today's PPI numbers, which were released 35 minutes late, were transitory... As El- Arian said on BB, Transitory was built into the expectations... These were blown away... Rates should grind higher through the day and the Nasdaq should under-perform...CPI on Tuesday, right after the 3 and 10 year auction, and just before the long bond auction, should be interesting... Nothing like being socked with supply as inflation starts to soar... Fed is in a Quandry as to how to interpret these numbers, but that Quandry could lead to a quick spike in rates
Excuse the ignorance. What do you mean by scalp?TecRecAg said:
Got a promotion at work and the Master's is on.. not much time for fun money account trading. May scalp a thing or two today. I'm open to intraday ideas if anyone has any.
The way it sounds to me is a intraday trade where you are in and out for a few pennies win or lose?
Just trying to catch some intraday positive price action?
SIAP
* EGOC rumor -
Merging May 12 with HRAA.
Anybody else have information?
* EGOC rumor -
Merging May 12 with HRAA.
Anybody else have information?
My wife and I are getting ready to build a house. I can definitely vouch that hyperinflation is already here. Most material costs have increased by 25-50% just since the beginning of this year.peacedude said:
CNBC said today is the first time in 40+ years an administration has delayed the reporting of cost increases (across the board). Biden and Kamala actively trying to suppress the numbers so nobody knows. Hyperinflation is here.
Pretty much. Try to catch runs and use extremely tight stops.
I'm a base hits > home runs guy
I'm a base hits > home runs guy
LatinAggie1997 said:
SIAP
* EGOC rumor -
Merging May 12 with HRAA.
Anybody else have information?
Apologies, might be another Lazaar RM.
time to add puts!austinAG90 said:
PPI Much Higher Than Expected...Fed in a Quandry...Watch Nasdaq as Rates Higher
The Fed would like you to believe that today's PPI numbers, which were released 35 minutes late, were transitory... As El- Arian said on BB, Transitory was built into the expectations... These were blown away... Rates should grind higher through the day and the Nasdaq should under-perform...CPI on Tuesday, right after the 3 and 10 year auction, and just before the long bond auction, should be interesting... Nothing like being socked with supply as inflation starts to soar... Fed is in a Quandry as to how to interpret these numbers, but that Quandry could lead to a quick spike in rates
thanks so much for your posts by the way, great info!
Starting CIDM again at 1.29
Adding a few CLOV May 10c
Categories I can think of and a highly-traded ETF example for each:Tomas Hermensa said:
Thanks as always. Are there parallels to the SPY, QQQ, and IWM ETFs in the bond world? If so what are the major categories segregated by - company size like stocks or by credit rating or what? My goal is to have some benchmarks for bond prices to track in order to get a feel for the macro market. For me this wouldn't be tradable data right now but part of my education process
Corporate Bonds:
- Investment Grade (Good Credit Ratings) - LQD
- High-Yield (Poor Credit Ratings) - HYG
- Emerging Markets - EMB
Government Bonds:
- US Treasuries (20+ Year - TLT; 7-10 Year IEF; Short term - SHY)
- Municipal - TFI
- Foreign government is a major category too it's just one I don't ever follow
I'm probably missing something but this would be a decent set to search through.
Or for something super-macro that would be representative of bond sentiment in general, AGG is a blend of lots of types and is the most-popular bond ETF.
Thoughts on doing a vertical for MVIS. They obviously spiked the other day on the news of a new contract and a month ago, they said they anticipated "the A-Sample hardware and benchmarked data, for demonstration to interested parties, will be available in the April 2021 timeframe". You can get the 5/21 15/30 vertical for under $2 right now. Doesn't take a huge run up to to be in the money and if it really runs, you have a lot of room for it.
deadbq03 said:Categories I can think of and a highly-traded ETF example for each:Tomas Hermensa said:
Thanks as always. Are there parallels to the SPY, QQQ, and IWM ETFs in the bond world? If so what are the major categories segregated by - company size like stocks or by credit rating or what? My goal is to have some benchmarks for bond prices to track in order to get a feel for the macro market. For me this wouldn't be tradable data right now but part of my education process
Corporate Bonds:
- Investment Grade (Good Credit Ratings) - LQD
- High-Yield (Poor Credit Ratings) - HYG
- Emerging Markets - EMB
Government Bonds:
- US Treasuries (20+ Year - TLT; 7-10 Year IEF; Short term - SHY)
- Municipal - TFI
I'm probably missing something but this would be a decent set to search through.
Or for something super-macro that would be representative of bond sentiment in general, AGG is a blend of lots of types and is the most-popular bond ETF.
Excellent summary and perfect starting point.
PLTR with a strong opening 15-minute candle. Maybe Cathie was on to something.
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Mvis and crwd verticals are pretty much my bread and butter. I have had may 30/35s for a while (bought as buyout lottos before the pentagon contract) and loaded up on next weeks 15/16s yesterday
welp
so much for CLOVs immediate rally. LOL.
I was hoping for another day of climbing and breaking through several resistance levels and establishing a new much higher support.
I remember seeing they have their next earnings report in either May or June so there may be a small run up prior to that. I was hoping to get back to the $11+ support levels in short order to establish a new norm for the stock and allow opportunity for short runs into the $14s and $15s
so much for CLOVs immediate rally. LOL.
I was hoping for another day of climbing and breaking through several resistance levels and establishing a new much higher support.
I remember seeing they have their next earnings report in either May or June so there may be a small run up prior to that. I was hoping to get back to the $11+ support levels in short order to establish a new norm for the stock and allow opportunity for short runs into the $14s and $15s
SNDL at 1.08 Nice quick pickup for those that got in low .90s yesterday.
FJ43 said:
SNDL at 1.08 Nice quick pickup for those that got in low .90s yesterday.
I was a little late and scooped 0.98
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