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FJ43
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In reply to Maedan86 • 4:04p, 3/16/21
Maedan86 said:
FJ43 said:
Aggie118 said:
$REI earnings out I believe
-

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Note to self (me)

NEVER hold through earnings ever again. Just sell it the morning early, early, early, premarket when it has peaked. Buy back if I feel like it.
I held too, but we might be OK on this one. Went down to $2.67 AH now back to 2.94. If guidance good tomorrow and oil sustains, it might be goin back up
Oh I think this will be fine as the overall chart looks good. Its right at a long term cup completion and believe in it to move up.

I just have a hard time swallowing I could have sold at 4:50EST for $3.30 or at 9:10 for $3.39 and bought it back on the dip after earnings for 2.60s or 2.70s. Basically could have 20% more shares for free.

Just a me thing and my own 'demon'.
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FJ43
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In reply to Charismatic Megafauna • 4:06p, 3/16/21
NRD09 said:
FJ43 said:
Aggie118 said:
$REI earnings out I believe

Note to self (me)

NEVER hold through earnings ever again. Just sell it the morning early, early, early, premarket when it has peaked. Buy back if I feel like it.

Unless you're holding crwd, that is!
That's a good one!

I've just had bad luck with earnings. Doesn't matter who for me including AAPL.
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FJ43
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4:14p, 3/16/21

Man I love y'all and all but no SPY chart this evening. I would have to get rid of all the lines I have on it that make it hard to see the daily candle for ya.

However...

SPY closed just below yesterday's close although slightly over it now AH.

Qs closed above yesterday's close and above 320. Pretty encouraged with the Qs.

IWM tested some levels back to Feb today and first day in a while we've seen some pullback. Still above 8/21/50 so all good IMO. Probably healthy for it.


Tomorrow will be interesting I think.
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cageybee77
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In reply to FJ43 • 4:29p, 3/16/21
AG
I don't own that but if it finds a floor tomorrow/ I'm in.

Edit: if the market finds a floor...
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Ornithopter
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In reply to FJ43 • 4:36p, 3/16/21
AG


IWM might be interesting
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Brewmaster
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In reply to FJ43 • 4:40p, 3/16/21
AG
FJ43 said:

Man I love y'all and all but no SPY chart this evening. I would have to get rid of all the lines I have on it that make it hard to see the daily candle for ya.

However...

SPY closed just below yesterday's close although slightly over it now AH.

Qs closed above yesterday's close and above 320. Pretty encouraged with the Qs.

IWM tested some levels back to Feb today and first day in a while we've seen some pullback. Still above 8/21/50 so all good IMO. Probably healthy for it.


Tomorrow will be interesting I think.
Jerome speaks tomorrow, that's all you guys need to know! I don't know his % in making the markets tank, but when he talks it is an incredible hit rate on a drop.
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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4:42p, 3/16/21
Is the NNOX presentation tomorrow?
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FJ43
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4:43p, 3/16/21

REI - Just my 2 cents

It is in a good spot. May be a tad bit overbought but supported IMO

Arrows are resistance going back to Jan 20 and Jul 19.
At cup completion here.
May consolidate and handle out.
Volume solid.
Some resistance levels I see shown and also Tiers/Levels.

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FJ43
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In reply to Brewmaster • 4:44p, 3/16/21
BREwmaster said:
FJ43 said:

Man I love y'all and all but no SPY chart this evening. I would have to get rid of all the lines I have on it that make it hard to see the daily candle for ya.

However...

SPY closed just below yesterday's close although slightly over it now AH.

Qs closed above yesterday's close and above 320. Pretty encouraged with the Qs.

IWM tested some levels back to Feb today and first day in a while we've seen some pullback. Still above 8/21/50 so all good IMO. Probably healthy for it.


Tomorrow will be interesting I think.
Jerome speaks tomorrow, that's all you guys need to know! I don't know his % in making SPY tank, but when he talks it is an incredible hit rate on a drop.
Awesome! SPY 397P locked and loaded after close.
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cageybee77
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In reply to FJ43 • 4:52p, 3/16/21
AG
I wonder how the change In the price of crude effects how this company's stock moves.
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tramaro1
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In reply to Mostly Foggy Recollection • 5:00p, 3/16/21
AG
Mostly Foggy Recollection said:
Is the NNOX presentation tomorrow?

Yes
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FJ43
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5:04p, 3/16/21

UPWK

I'm on board with 30k here as the more I look at this as well the more I like it.

5, 8 & 21 EMAs all converging and get 5 & 8 to cross the 21 and we may be off to the races. Arrows show last time this occurred after a downward trend and where we are now.

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FJ43
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5:11p, 3/16/21


DS

Could be interesting. Has Options to work with as well.

Check out that volume past few days. They are still in it for sure.


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Chef Elko
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In reply to FJ43 • 5:43p, 3/16/21
AG
Finally someone brings up $DS! This has been my accumulation stock but nobody on here seems to be interested haha.

It's attempting to breakout and had volume, markets just had to rollover. I'll continue to be patient with this one.
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Ragoo
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5:47p, 3/16/21
AG
What does it mean when the skew is high and the ViX is low?
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FJ43
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In reply to Chef Elko • 5:57p, 3/16/21
Danwell Home said:
Finally someone brings up $DS! This has been my accumulation stock but nobody on here seems to be interested haha.

It's attempting to breakout and had volume, markets just had to rollover. I'll continue to be patient with this one.
Good call on it and sorry I missed it.

Think I like this view even better.

I will look to start a position here on this one.

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AgCPA95
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5:58p, 3/16/21
AG
ONTX with some AH volume and price bump
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Brewmaster
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In reply to Ragoo • 6:19p, 3/16/21
AG
Ragoo said:
What does it mean when the skew is high and the ViX is low?
risk and hedging are high but volatility is low... hmmm. Powell is going to talk tomorrow, maybe they are JPow hedging!
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$30,000 Millionaire
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6:23p, 3/16/21
AG
I held REI shares through earnings with a 2.5 covered call against them. I've roundtripped this twice so getting assigned at 2.5 makes me net free.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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Chef Elko
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In reply to FJ43 • 6:25p, 3/16/21
AG
No need to be sorry, I'm just happy someone else is seeing what I am. I appreciate you posting charts!
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AgsnFly
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In reply to cageybee77 • 6:33p, 3/16/21
AG
cageybee77 said:
I wonder how the change In the price of crude effects how this company's stock moves.

E&P company's stock prices are highly correlated with CL and or NG. Always have been.
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AgCPA95
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6:56p, 3/16/21
AG
$ZOM sold its first "Truforma" animal diagnostic device per this announcement. This is slightly ahead of schedule of the initial projected sales dates. Stock shot up to $2.86 pre-market early today, but then was hammed down to as low as $2.09 this afternoon closing at $2.26. AH down to as low as $2.07 but recovered to $2.19 as I post this.

Side note that the DMV that purchased it is Aggie DMV, Jason Berg who founded Guardian Veterinary Specialists in NY. Also has some quotes on from Texas A&M school of Veterinary Medicine, Audrey Cook.

Truforma sales

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McInnis 03
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In reply to Ragoo • 7:01p, 3/16/21
AG
Ragoo said:
What does it mean when the skew is high and the ViX is low?


Go look at OI on VIX for tomorrow. They are tampering it down to cause max pain
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FTAG 2000
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 7:05p, 3/16/21
AG
McInnis 03 said:
Ragoo said:
What does it mean when the skew is high and the ViX is low?


Go look at OI on VIX for tomorrow. They are tampering it down to cause max pain

We talking bite the pillow pain, or bite the head off a bat pain?
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AgsnFly
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In reply to Ragoo • 7:15p, 3/16/21
AG
Ragoo said:
What does it mean when the skew is high and the ViX is low?
Skew refers to the shape of implied volitiltiy across all strikes and generally looks like a "smile" (ie. OTM strikes have higher implied vol than near money strikes). If the skew is high, the market is saying that near money strikes are not being "bid up" while further OTM strikes are more highly valued (at least within the expiry window for VIX, which is on average 30 days). This is common in low vol environments. I would speculate that a relative positive change in the ATM vs OTM implied vol could be driven by the gamma positions of the dealers who are probably very short vol around key near-money strikes (most likely 4000 SPX); which will act like a magnet towards those strikes. However, if there is big news that moves the SPX then all bets are off and the negative gamma associated with OTM strikes will be become toxic and exasperate the move - which also lends to the increasing skew. Hope this helps.
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FJ43
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7:36p, 3/16/21
Great post by Mancini

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FJ43
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In reply to AgsnFly • 7:54p, 3/16/21
AgsnFly said:
Ragoo said:
What does it mean when the skew is high and the ViX is low?
Skew refers to the shape of implied volitiltiy across all strikes and generally looks like a "smile" (ie. OTM strikes have higher implied vol than near money strikes). If the skew is high, the market is saying that near money strikes are not being "bid up" while further OTM strikes are more highly valued (at least within the expiry window for VIX, which is on average 30 days). This is common in low vol environments. I would speculate that a relative positive change in the ATM vs OTM implied vol could be driven by the gamma positions of the dealers who are probably very short vol around key near-money strikes (most likely 4000 SPX); which will act like a magnet towards those strikes. However, if there is big news that moves the SPX then all bets are off and the negative gamma associated with OTM strikes will be become toxic and exasperate the move - which also lends to the increasing skew. Hope this helps.
Am I understanding your post correctly?

The lower the SKEW the flatter the 'smile' or lower variance in the volatility (IV) is between all strikes? Then the higher the SKEW the more pronounced the 'smile' or higher variance in IV between each end of strikes and ATM/ITM?
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DeangeloVickers
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8:00p, 3/16/21
AG

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gunan01
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8:15p, 3/16/21
AG
PLUG yikes
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chaca5151
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8:17p, 3/16/21
Can someone help me understand this... from my company.

The company match is normally based on the first 6% that you contribute from each paycheck and ranges from 25% to 75% of your match able contributions during the Plan Year.

I don't understand the 25% to 75% part. I currently invest 11% of my paycheck.
Not everyone gets the same version of me. One person might tell you I have an amazing beautiful soul. Another might tell you I’m a cold-hearted a$$^ole. Believe them both. I don’t treat people badly. I treat them accordingly - unknown
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FbgTxAg
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In reply to gunan01 • 8:20p, 3/16/21
AG
gunan01 said:
PLUG yikes


I absolutely love it. To be able to re-enter that stock in the mid 30s is a gift from the Gods.
The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
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In reply to FbgTxAg • 8:43p, 3/16/21
AgsnFly
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In reply to FJ43 • 8:43p, 3/16/21
AG
FJ43 said:
AgsnFly said:
Ragoo said:
What does it mean when the skew is high and the ViX is low?
Skew refers to the shape of implied volitiltiy across all strikes and generally looks like a "smile" (ie. OTM strikes have higher implied vol than near money strikes). If the skew is high, the market is saying that near money strikes are not being "bid up" while further OTM strikes are more highly valued (at least within the expiry window for VIX, which is on average 30 days). This is common in low vol environments. I would speculate that a relative positive change in the ATM vs OTM implied vol could be driven by the gamma positions of the dealers who are probably very short vol around key near-money strikes (most likely 4000 SPX); which will act like a magnet towards those strikes. However, if there is big news that moves the SPX then all bets are off and the negative gamma associated with OTM strikes will be become toxic and exasperate the move - which also lends to the increasing skew. Hope this helps.
Am I understanding your post correctly?

The lower the SKEW the flatter the 'smile' or lower variance in the volatility (IV) is between all strikes? Then the higher the SKEW the more pronounced the 'smile' or higher variance in IV between each end of strikes and ATM/ITM?

Yes, higher skew equals bigger smile. This is normal volatility characteristics. High vol stocks will see a flatter skew due to the increased gamma ATM vs OTM. Convexity is the key.
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