Ault Global Holdings?

Larry J. Holy 81 said:

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H-town ag said:

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MavsAg said:

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Anyone going to hold $NIO through the long weekend? The 2/19 $65C doesn't look like it's going to make it.

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Beginner here - I am still holding and looking for strategy ideas? Cut losses now?

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Dont know if this helps you or not.

Own 200 shares at $61.25
Sold 1 Call - Feb 19 - $66 @ $2.00 - (I believe that happened yesterday)
Sold 1 Call - Feb 19 - $58 @ $3.84 - today

I liked the premiums and invested elsewhere. Don't care if I get exercised or not.

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I'm in since $3. Think I'll just continue to hold.

That's usually a good sign for a move northward.

FJ43 said:

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khaos288 said:

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FJ43 said:

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Cloud said:

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FJ43 said:

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I added some SPY March 350 Puts here. Feeling a bit uneasy.

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how do you size this? % of total equity?

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There are guys on here much better at hedging than I am so this is just what I am doing. Probably one of my weaknesses and something I need to get a lot stronger with in both knowledge and execution. .

Short term - I buy SPY puts with no more than 3% of profits of the week. While these may be sacrificial I will 'trade' them out if decaying or roll them out. I buy these when we hit tops or highs.
Mid Term - I buy SPY puts out 6-8 weeks. Same when riding tops. Today was March 31st 350 as example. These I will use same almost as position sizing. 1-2% of account value loss ratio When they are at a point I will sell or roll. I have also used Options on SPXS.
Long Term - I have some shares of SPXU (a 30k favorite) that to a degree I just have and 'forget'. Was using UVXY as well for shares but I think Mostly Foggy is the expert on these. They should probably be traded vs set and forget them.

Weekly hedging is like insurance. I may pay the premium and not get anything for it. But be really happy if I need them.

Hope that helps and hope someone on here that is the Hedge Master chimes in so we can both learn.

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I'm not condoning anything at all, but as a thought experiment, what would you say you're projected to spend in hedges this year? And what's your breakeven correction needed for those to be worth it?

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I approach this maybe a bit differently than breakeven correction for worth.

I keep about 5% of account value in hedges on or $500 per $10,000 of account value (trading accounts but not IRAs). That is split approximately 3% in shares (always on) of the likes of SPXU and 2% in options (in and out trades) that are 'active'. The options I don't ride to zero on the 'loss' side and I will sell the put (or call) for a gain when a recovery occurs within short time spans.

The options I 'trade' where the shares I do not. This is more than likely not the best approach as an example I bough UVXY shares at about $10 to have it go north of $14 a few weeks later. I did not sell them for a 40% gain but let come back to $10. Why do I not trade them...Beats me but I should use it to generate income if I can I guess. Mostly Foggy I think trades this particular one frequently up and down.

If I exclude the rise and fall of the shares values unrealized loss or gain, I would estimate the 'short' term hedges cost me about 0.5-1% of account value a year. I have not tracked that to be exact.

I am sure there are better and more sound hedge strategies overall. This is where I have migrated to today but as always subject to change as I school up more on hedging.

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This is almost exactly what I do. I really need to do the math and see if my risk tolerance supports just quitting the hedges and weathering the storm. I spend a lot of time, capital, and emotional capital on hedge strategy. If I could reasonably just say "eff it. Bad week, close the app". I'd be a lot happier haha

tsuag10 said:

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I've asked this a few times, but I'll ask one more time:

What's the deal with DPW? I know it's associated with crypto, but it was ~$4000 in December 2018 and now its $5-$6

They did 2 different reverse stock splits in 2019. 1 for 20 and 1 for 40. Then they had some stock offerings in 2019 and 2020.

https://ir.aultglobal.com/investor-relations/

This all might be completely normal to some of you who have been around a while, but to this novice trader, it looks strange to me.

Anyone have any insights or analysis?

TIA

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DPW is on the google doc spreadsheet of crypto/blockchain plays that was put together earlier this week. OA has stated that he took a position in it

The reverse splits were to keep the stock listed.

It's a crypto company with employees, cash on hand, institutional ownership, and who files reports. Its a way to get exposure to crypto but in a company we don't think is fake.

There are definitely some fake crypto companies out there.

Nvm

khaos288 said:

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FJ43 said:

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khaos288 said:

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FJ43 said:

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Cloud said:

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FJ43 said:

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I added some SPY March 350 Puts here. Feeling a bit uneasy.

---

how do you size this? % of total equity?

---

There are guys on here much better at hedging than I am so this is just what I am doing. Probably one of my weaknesses and something I need to get a lot stronger with in both knowledge and execution. .

Short term - I buy SPY puts with no more than 3% of profits of the week. While these may be sacrificial I will 'trade' them out if decaying or roll them out. I buy these when we hit tops or highs.
Mid Term - I buy SPY puts out 6-8 weeks. Same when riding tops. Today was March 31st 350 as example. These I will use same almost as position sizing. 1-2% of account value loss ratio When they are at a point I will sell or roll. I have also used Options on SPXS.
Long Term - I have some shares of SPXU (a 30k favorite) that to a degree I just have and 'forget'. Was using UVXY as well for shares but I think Mostly Foggy is the expert on these. They should probably be traded vs set and forget them.

Weekly hedging is like insurance. I may pay the premium and not get anything for it. But be really happy if I need them.

Hope that helps and hope someone on here that is the Hedge Master chimes in so we can both learn.

---

I'm not condoning anything at all, but as a thought experiment, what would you say you're projected to spend in hedges this year? And what's your breakeven correction needed for those to be worth it?

---

I approach this maybe a bit differently than breakeven correction for worth.

I keep about 5% of account value in hedges on or $500 per $10,000 of account value (trading accounts but not IRAs). That is split approximately 3% in shares (always on) of the likes of SPXU and 2% in options (in and out trades) that are 'active'. The options I don't ride to zero on the 'loss' side and I will sell the put (or call) for a gain when a recovery occurs within short time spans.

The options I 'trade' where the shares I do not. This is more than likely not the best approach as an example I bough UVXY shares at about $10 to have it go north of $14 a few weeks later. I did not sell them for a 40% gain but let come back to $10. Why do I not trade them...Beats me but I should use it to generate income if I can I guess. Mostly Foggy I think trades this particular one frequently up and down.

If I exclude the rise and fall of the shares values unrealized loss or gain, I would estimate the 'short' term hedges cost me about 0.5-1% of account value a year. I have not tracked that to be exact.

I am sure there are better and more sound hedge strategies overall. This is where I have migrated to today but as always subject to change as I school up more on hedging.

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This is almost exactly what I do. I really need to do the math and see if my risk tolerance supports just quitting the hedges and weathering the storm. I spend a lot of time, capital, and emotional capital on hedge strategy. If I could reasonably just say "eff it. Bad week, close the app". I'd be a lot happier haha

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I don't 'like' hedges but will always keep them on. Kind of like certain insurance. Will I ever really need that kind of question in my head. But, better safe than sorry as I truly believe its not if but when.

Just as an FYI this past 3-4 weeks or so I have tried to keep my trading account to 60% stock (primarily MA plays), 20% options (includes all forms) and 20% cash. Moves around a little here and there but close. Cash is a 'position' to me and is a hedge of sorts.

I've gotten out of the prediction business as all I ever was was wrong......and I have long positions scattered all over with the fruit.......but in the interest of talking on a message board.....

Working it's favor? :
Today's candle AS IT STANDS NOW looks a bit like the 1/19 candle and the 11/25 candle. The upper wick is kissing the 20 day MA while looking to close under the MA itself. In both cases there was an ascent very soon after.

Working against it? :
Again, I don't predict, and for a variety of other reasons my short term outlook on the fruit would be cautious with it under the 5 day, 10 day, and 20 day MA's. Honestly, there is really nothing between it and the 50 day MA.

But:
But.....it's the fruit, and it leads by example so I don't look to other things to tell me what the fruit is going to do, I look to the fruit to tell me what other things are going to do.

I have enough longs to help me if I'm on the right side, but I may put on a butterfly around the 50 day MA just to help me if I'm wrong.

I think I'm going to roll my AAPL weekly (again) to Mar 12 136 for $3.50. thoughts? With my previous positions, that brings brings my break even to 141. Thoughts? Or is that just wishful thinking and I should just exit?

$RUN coiling decently here, hopefully we are about to get the pop

FJ43 said:

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khaos288 said:

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FJ43 said:

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khaos288 said:

---

FJ43 said:

---

Cloud said:

---

FJ43 said:

---

I added some SPY March 350 Puts here. Feeling a bit uneasy.

---

how do you size this? % of total equity?

---

There are guys on here much better at hedging than I am so this is just what I am doing. Probably one of my weaknesses and something I need to get a lot stronger with in both knowledge and execution. .

Short term - I buy SPY puts with no more than 3% of profits of the week. While these may be sacrificial I will 'trade' them out if decaying or roll them out. I buy these when we hit tops or highs.
Mid Term - I buy SPY puts out 6-8 weeks. Same when riding tops. Today was March 31st 350 as example. These I will use same almost as position sizing. 1-2% of account value loss ratio When they are at a point I will sell or roll. I have also used Options on SPXS.
Long Term - I have some shares of SPXU (a 30k favorite) that to a degree I just have and 'forget'. Was using UVXY as well for shares but I think Mostly Foggy is the expert on these. They should probably be traded vs set and forget them.

Weekly hedging is like insurance. I may pay the premium and not get anything for it. But be really happy if I need them.

Hope that helps and hope someone on here that is the Hedge Master chimes in so we can both learn.

---

I'm not condoning anything at all, but as a thought experiment, what would you say you're projected to spend in hedges this year? And what's your breakeven correction needed for those to be worth it?

---

I approach this maybe a bit differently than breakeven correction for worth.

I keep about 5% of account value in hedges on or $500 per $10,000 of account value (trading accounts but not IRAs). That is split approximately 3% in shares (always on) of the likes of SPXU and 2% in options (in and out trades) that are 'active'. The options I don't ride to zero on the 'loss' side and I will sell the put (or call) for a gain when a recovery occurs within short time spans.

The options I 'trade' where the shares I do not. This is more than likely not the best approach as an example I bough UVXY shares at about $10 to have it go north of $14 a few weeks later. I did not sell them for a 40% gain but let come back to $10. Why do I not trade them...Beats me but I should use it to generate income if I can I guess. Mostly Foggy I think trades this particular one frequently up and down.

If I exclude the rise and fall of the shares values unrealized loss or gain, I would estimate the 'short' term hedges cost me about 0.5-1% of account value a year. I have not tracked that to be exact.

I am sure there are better and more sound hedge strategies overall. This is where I have migrated to today but as always subject to change as I school up more on hedging.

---

This is almost exactly what I do. I really need to do the math and see if my risk tolerance supports just quitting the hedges and weathering the storm. I spend a lot of time, capital, and emotional capital on hedge strategy. If I could reasonably just say "eff it. Bad week, close the app". I'd be a lot happier haha

---

I don't 'like' hedges but will always keep them on. Kind of like certain insurance. Will I ever really need that kind of question in my head. But, better safe than sorry as I truly believe its not if but when.

Just as an FYI this past 3-4 weeks or so I have tried to keep my trading account to 60% stock (primarily MA plays), 20% options (includes all forms) and 20% cash. Moves around a little here and there but close. Cash is a 'position' to me and is a hedge of sorts.

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Yeah, I know everyone has their own style, but that's seriously exactly how I feel. I've been pretty cash heavy this year, but then I look at my positions, and if I had that cash in my MA/conservative stuff, I'd be up 12-15% more. So, did I fail there, or because I could sleep at night, call it a win? haha

oldarmy1 said:

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Lt. Joe Bookman said:

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I think I'm going to roll my AAPL weekly (again) to Mar 12 136 for $3.50. thoughts? With my previous positions, that brings brings my break even to 141. Thoughts? Or is that just wishful thinking and I should just exit?

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It's the questions everyone, including me, is asking. The correct answer is likely do the markets breakout like it appears they will, having held consolidation levels? Or fail? If breakout AAPL will rip out of these and has twice the short volume for fuel to squeeze. If not, then AAPL would likely be one of the quicker stocks to drop due to piling on.

It looks like we will pop upward on macros. That's what others in my network think as well. I saw Mancini is also thinking a holding serve today on the macro's should see us pushing upward next week.

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So it sounds like I'll wait until the final 15 mins to see that we are holding, and if there isn't a huge drop, to go for it.

Mostly Foggy Recollection said:

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That's usually a good sign for a move northward.

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Would like to hear more. I always thought premium increasing with sideways movement was a potentially bullish move indicator.

jj9000 said:

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Ragoo said:

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I think if you are playing AAPL you buy the 135c near close today for $2.40ish out two weeks.

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I went ahead and bought them now.

One of my twitter follows just told me I should check out "EXPI" becuase it splits next week.

We need to find some way to alert us anytime a split is announced. 1/19 EXPI announced the split, look at the chart since 1/19. Buy at the split announcement. Sell in the runup.

McInnis 03 said:

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One of my twitter follows just told me I should check out "EXPI" becuase it splits next week.

We need to find some way to alert us anytime a split is announced. 1/19 EXPI announced the split, look at the chart since 1/19. Buy at the split announcement. Sell in the runup.

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2/16 is split date

Yeah, so that juice is squeezed. Look at the vol bars on 1/20 and on about 3 days ago.

When a stock is sideways on little volume but the options is outside the implied move, it's MMs trying to create volume for a move northward.

As long as markets stay dead absolutely.


The Crypto stocks are responding to the bull flag that is breaking upward. I would expect all those we've been working on will follow suit. Most already are trending up.

McInnis 03 said:

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Yeah, so that juice is squeezed. Look at the vol bars on 1/20 and on about 3 days ago.

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Um yeah, see 'em now.

McInnis 03 said:

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Playing off of the PINS call flow....

$PINS
Bullish Call Butterfly
2/12 expiry
80/85/90
$.45 cost for max return of $5.

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Thanks for this post last week! Closed out at $4.00 around noon today.

Did anyone here ride the API boat? Good grief.

Run up to earnings much?

YES! You did better than I did Mr. Diamond Hands.

oldarmy1 said:

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NIO has a stair step consolidation wedge. This is the 3rd one since topping $65 on Jan 11. Crystal clear resistance at that $65 on Jan 11 top and close. 2 successive days after couldn't reclaim it and on Jan 25th 2nd wave peaked at $64.80.

It looks perfectly primed to breakout. Again, see AAPL and macro markets comments to apply here as well - as with 90% of other stocks.

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alert set at $58 to touch the 21EMA. We will see if the 8EMA squeezes there or crosses over. Could be another move back to retest $65 at the 2ATR.

KIQ drifting back towards $1. I'm looking to re-buy all the shares sold I sold up around $1.40 the other day.

Well, I went net free on day 2 with full intention of riding the rest until today.