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Boat Shoes
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Bob Knights Liver said:

SPY up 1% and SPXS up .9%. I may switch my hedges from SPXS calls to SPY puts or SQQQ.


With a lot of the recent run up being in tech, if were concerned about a bubble popping, wouldnt SQQQ be the better play?
FbgTxAg
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third coast.. said:

Landrys going public again with a SPAC.
God I hate Tillman Fertitta.
The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
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BrokeAssAggie
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AAPL back below $134
CPDAggie10
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I'll say it. I like him. He has done great things for the Houston/Galveston/Lake Charles area.

eta: I'll like him even more if he can get a hockey team to Houston and open a casino in Galveston.
Boat Shoes
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NRD09 said:

Trade wars are good and easy to win

If we're talking about oil embargoes i don't see how that doesn't light a bonfire on our domestic production, create tons of jobs (especially with increased regulations), and generally stimulate all parts of the economy that don't rely on cheap petroleum feedstock to support already thin margins.

If we're talking about fed rate increases i don't understand how that is even on the table until 2023.

What am i missing?

(Regardless i am going to get more disciplined with spxs hedges, and protective puts on my cash secured puts, and especially since i watched the big short last night and it brought back some nasty memories)


So are we talking banning imports or exports? Im guessing exports in an effort to curb domestic production (frac'ing). That seems negative to WTI and good for the international players, right?
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Rice and Fries
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Boat Shoes said:

NRD09 said:

Trade wars are good and easy to win

If we're talking about oil embargoes i don't see how that doesn't light a bonfire on our domestic production, create tons of jobs (especially with increased regulations), and generally stimulate all parts of the economy that don't rely on cheap petroleum feedstock to support already thin margins.

If we're talking about fed rate increases i don't understand how that is even on the table until 2023.

What am i missing?

(Regardless i am going to get more disciplined with spxs hedges, and protective puts on my cash secured puts, and especially since i watched the big short last night and it brought back some nasty memories)


So are we talking banning imports or exports? Im guessing exports in an effort to curb domestic production (frac'ing). That seems negative to WTI and good for the international players, right?


The concern here would be the dollar used as the reserve currency of the world and it's what oil prices are pegged to valuation wise. There's no secret about some other countries preference to remove petrodollars and buy it without needing the US dollar.
BrokeAssAggie
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third coast.. said:

CrazyRichAggie said:

AAPL back below $134
not no mo'


Nice! But going off nothing more than a gut feeling, I'm worried this will be a green to red day.
TexasAg2017
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Going to be without internet access for most of the day. Looks like I'll be setting some sell orders on SNDL and we'll see if they hit.
CPDAggie10
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Wow. PHUN hit $3.85 earlier and now back down to $3.09. I hope somebody was able to take advantage of that. I need to open an IBKG account asap.
Charismatic Megafauna
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Rice and Fries said:

Boat Shoes said:

NRD09 said:

Trade wars are good and easy to win

If we're talking about oil embargoes i don't see how that doesn't light a bonfire on our domestic production, create tons of jobs (especially with increased regulations), and generally stimulate all parts of the economy that don't rely on cheap petroleum feedstock to support already thin margins.

If we're talking about fed rate increases i don't understand how that is even on the table until 2023.

What am i missing?

(Regardless i am going to get more disciplined with spxs hedges, and protective puts on my cash secured puts, and especially since i watched the big short last night and it brought back some nasty memories)


So are we talking banning imports or exports? Im guessing exports in an effort to curb domestic production (frac'ing). That seems negative to WTI and good for the international players, right?


The concern here would be the dollar used as the reserve currency of the world and it's what oil prices are pegged to valuation wise. There's no secret about some other countries preference to remove petrodollars and buy it without needing the US dollar.

Banning exports didn't even cross my mind. The crude export ban was lifted under the Obama administration, why would biden bring it (or similar for gas) back?
Boat Shoes
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NRD09 said:

Rice and Fries said:

Boat Shoes said:

NRD09 said:

Trade wars are good and easy to win

If we're talking about oil embargoes i don't see how that doesn't light a bonfire on our domestic production, create tons of jobs (especially with increased regulations), and generally stimulate all parts of the economy that don't rely on cheap petroleum feedstock to support already thin margins.

If we're talking about fed rate increases i don't understand how that is even on the table until 2023.

What am i missing?

(Regardless i am going to get more disciplined with spxs hedges, and protective puts on my cash secured puts, and especially since i watched the big short last night and it brought back some nasty memories)


So are we talking banning imports or exports? Im guessing exports in an effort to curb domestic production (frac'ing). That seems negative to WTI and good for the international players, right?


The concern here would be the dollar used as the reserve currency of the world and it's what oil prices are pegged to valuation wise. There's no secret about some other countries preference to remove petrodollars and buy it without needing the US dollar.

Banning exports didn't even cross my mind. The crude export ban was lifted under the Obama administration, why would biden bring it (or similar for gas) back?


To limit the incentive to drill domestically for export purposes, thus reducing local impact on climate change? It would put a big dent in demand, Id think.
Charismatic Megafauna
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I don't buy it. Climate change was a priority during the Obama administration, and it's not like climate change recognizes geopolitical boundaries. And fossil fuels are produced here far more responsibly than that produced in third world countries. Stopping fracking domestically isn't gonna make Sudan go solar
BrokeAssAggie
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NRD09 said:

I don't buy it. Climate change was a priority during the Obama administration, and it's not like climate change recognizes geopolitical boundaries. And fossil fuels are produced here far more responsibly than that produced in third world countries. Stopping fracking domestically isn't gonna make Sudan go solar


Exactly, but they don't care about that or the massive amounts of energy and damage mining will have to produce all these batteries and where are we going to dispose of all these batteries and solar panels that contain large amounts toxic chemicals?
txaggie_08
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NRD09 said:

I don't buy it. Climate change was a priority during the Obama administration, and it's not like climate change recognizes geopolitical boundaries. And fossil fuels are produced here far more responsibly than that produced in third world countries. Stopping fracking domestically isn't gonna make Sudan go solar

You act like any of those facts matter to climate change activist sociopaths. We're killing American industry in the name of climate change and sending it off to China and other third world countries where their standards are much worse and pollution much higher.
Talon2DSO
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CrazyRichAggie said:

third coast.. said:

CrazyRichAggie said:

AAPL back below $134
not no mo'


Nice! But going off nothing more than a gut feeling, I'm worried this will be a green to red day.


I think today and this week will be ugly
FJ43
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Those are some long wicks/shadows on SPY and Qs on the 5 minute.
CPDAggie10
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$UXIN

Anyone in still in this? Chinese used car play. I'm down from my original entry at $1.30 and had in my notes to add more at $1. It's currently at $1.10 and I still like the way the chart looks, but would like to see it re-claim the 50DMA.

Also, it does have options and the premiums are not very high...there could be an opportunity to buy calls on the cheap if the setup presents itself.
tremble
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Starting an IBKR account. Do people just fudge the liquidity/years of experience tickers to enable options?
Rice and Fries
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I turn 30 next month but I've been trading naked options for almost 35 years with fidelity.
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AgCPA95
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tremble said:

Starting an IBKR account. Do people just fudge the liquidity/years of experience tickers to enable options?
Just use dog years.
FJ43
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Rice and Fries said:

I turn 30 next month but I've been trading naked options for almost 35 years with fidelity.
If you have fewer years I think they have a secondary pathway to take a quiz on the options type you are selecting. Same for complex securities.
59 South
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Lots of thoughts and feelings and politics talk all of a sudden. Just an observation.
If this post is on the B&I forum, lighten up it's just money!

Disclaimer: I'm not that smart.
FJ43
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Hottest trending stocks premarket today from Captain Solutions...

AMC - 1
SNDL - 2
FUBO - 3
GME - 4
SLV - 5
CLOV - 6

Goes to 20 but will spare the thread the rest.
FbgTxAg
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If I wanted to both "hedge" and possibly accumulate more WWR, selling 2/5 & 2/19 $5 WWR puts would accomplish this AND make a little scratch on premiums, correct?
The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
E
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Glad I bought some SLV calls on Friday afternoon
FJ43
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FbgTxAg said:

If I wanted to both "hedge" and possibly accumulate more WWR, selling 2/5 & 2/19 $5 WWR puts would accomplish this AND make a little scratch on premiums, correct?
Selling puts would gain you shares if assigned. You would have to buy puts to hedge against your shares.
Mostly Foggy Recollection
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Sold mine at open Friday, but that's okay. I'll take the 85% gain and be happy with it.

You SLV holders go wild this morning!
Mostly Foggy Recollection
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Wow, okay.

I'm going to ask Brandon to take TA public via SPAC under the ticker WKS. We Know Stuff.
Running with the Bulls
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$SNSS has pulled back to Model T area and is up over that number this morning in premarket.

I may start a new position. I have a small amount of net free shares from the recent run up.
FbgTxAg
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FJ43 said:

FbgTxAg said:

If I wanted to both "hedge" and possibly accumulate more WWR, selling 2/5 & 2/19 $5 WWR puts would accomplish this AND make a little scratch on premiums, correct?
Selling puts would gain you shares if assigned. You would have to buy puts to hedge against your shares.
Right - but I actually want more shares at $5. I guess it's not really a hedge, but I just want more WWR at a lower price, and I get paid a premium to do it (if the price gets down to 5).
The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
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