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khaos288
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In reply to ryanhnc10 • 9:49p, 4/26/20
AG
ryanhnc10 said:
khaos288 said:
ryanhnc10 said:
khaos288 said:
CrazyRichAggie said:
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Futures flat - we will see what happens.


Yeah, think everyone waiting to see what cities and states "open up" this week.
1-2 percent moves until we get confirmation that society can handle soft open.

Market is on the edge right now though. Just look at what a fake GILD article did last week in 30 seconds.

I saw a few polls about people willing to do certain activities. Dine in restaurant was 71% NO. There's going to be a lot of fear for awhile.


Doesn't seem like the market cares much about reality anyway so beware of what you're observing doesn't jive with the market


What about my specific example that the market reacted to violently super recently?


If anything, that event just confirms the market is either artificially propped up or is pricing in a lot of good news already


Are we agreeing? The market does seem propped up. Low volume and retail buyers have sustained the minor rally, and the only bit of bad news showed the market react viciously.
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badharambe
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In reply to khaos288 • 11:32p, 4/26/20
AG
I feel like the market will continue upwards until it's evident that reopening the country is not going to help the economy that much. 3000 feels much in the cards

Remdesivir positive news = overnight pop that sold off
Remdesivir bad news = mid-day sell off bought back up.

Alternatively, we could continue up indefinitely as all central banks pump more liquidity into the system in a few months than in all QEs before.
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La Bamba
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In reply to badharambe • 11:41p, 4/26/20
AG
badharambe said:
I feel like the market will continue upwards until it's evident that reopening the country is not going to help the economy that much. 3000 feels much in the cards

Remdesivir positive news = overnight pop that sold off
Remdesivir bad news = mid-day sell off bought back up.

Alternatively, we could continue up indefinitely as all central banks pump more liquidity into the system in a few months than in all QEs before.
Pretty much agree with all of it. The other risk I would add that could buck the trend is if something pops up that significantly stunts the opening up process - like a flare up in a majority of the states expected to achieve Phase 1 in May (God forbid it).
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khaos288
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In reply to badharambe • 12:08a, 4/27/20
AG
badharambe said:
I feel like the market will continue upwards until it's evident that reopening the country is not going to help the economy that much. 3000 feels much in the cards

Remdesivir positive news = overnight pop that sold off
Remdesivir bad news = mid-day sell off bought back up.

Alternatively, we could continue up indefinitely as all central banks pump more liquidity into the system in a few months than in all QEs before.
Yeah agree, retail FOMO and all the different government programs will drive us up I think.

REALLY bad virus news will mess us up, and several bad ER from big boys would bring us down a bit.
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texagbeliever
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7:02a, 4/27/20
On Friday my ERI limit wasnt hit so I held it over the weekend. Time to see if I was patient or greedy!
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Baby Billy
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7:41a, 4/27/20
AG
Good news is priced in just like the bad news was. The market doesn't reflect current circumstances
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gougler08
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In reply to texagbeliever • 7:41a, 4/27/20
AG
texagbeliever said:
On Friday my ERI limit wasnt hit so I held it over the weekend. Time to see if I was patient or greedy!
18.50 in premarket
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McInnis 03
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7:43a, 4/27/20
AG
Manic people, what's the most important aspect to the service? The private twitter stream? The live stream?
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

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ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
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Exsurge Domine
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 7:49a, 4/27/20
McInnis 03 said:
Manic people, what's the most important aspect to the service? The private twitter stream? The live stream?


I just use the twitter stream
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texagbeliever
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7:49a, 4/27/20
Question about pre-market and AH transactions. Are those trades included in the opening trading period for VWAP? I guess it could depend of the service platform or it may just be insignificant volume.
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fairviewcrew
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7:59a, 4/27/20
UNITED STATES OIL FUND FILES FOR 8 BILLION SHARES
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McInnis 03
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In reply to fairviewcrew • 8:13a, 4/27/20
AG
fairviewcrew said:
UNITED STATES OIL FUND FILES FOR 8 BILLION SHARES
Dilution much?
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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texagbeliever
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In reply to gougler08 • 8:16a, 4/27/20
ERI will be a good example on the truth of the VWAP. Since 4/24 the buyers started to dominate and the price jumped above the 10 day. I think it will be interesting to see when/if big volume hits. That will be my indicator to get out within 24 hours.
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TChaney
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8:21a, 4/27/20
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Harkrider 93
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In reply to khaos288 • 8:27a, 4/27/20
AG
khaos288 said:
ryanhnc10 said:
khaos288 said:
ryanhnc10 said:
khaos288 said:
CrazyRichAggie said:
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Futures flat - we will see what happens.


Yeah, think everyone waiting to see what cities and states "open up" this week.
1-2 percent moves until we get confirmation that society can handle soft open.

Market is on the edge right now though. Just look at what a fake GILD article did last week in 30 seconds.

I saw a few polls about people willing to do certain activities. Dine in restaurant was 71% NO. There's going to be a lot of fear for awhile.


Doesn't seem like the market cares much about reality anyway so beware of what you're observing doesn't jive with the market


What about my specific example that the market reacted to violently super recently?


If anything, that event just confirms the market is either artificially propped up or is pricing in a lot of good news already


Are we agreeing? The market does seem propped up. Low volume and retail buyers have sustained the minor rally, and the only bit of bad news showed the market react viciously.
Fund flow data (latest data through 4/15) still shows outflows for US Equity mutual funds. They do show inflow for US Equity ETFs.

Are most saying due to light volume, it is likely retail?

I know mutual funds are largely considered retail, I guess ETFs are largely becoming retail also?
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McInnis 03
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8:28a, 4/27/20
AG
Decent selloff into the open?
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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OverSeas AG
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In reply to Harkrider 93 • 8:30a, 4/27/20
AG
Every knee shall bow and every tongue shall confess
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gougler08
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In reply to texagbeliever • 8:40a, 4/27/20
AG
texagbeliever said:
ERI will be a good example on the truth of the VWAP. Since 4/24 the buyers started to dominate and the price jumped above the 10 day. I think it will be interesting to see when/if big volume hits. That will be my indicator to get out within 24 hours.
Earnings in a few days...I'm going to take a bit off here over $19 and then save the rest to see if it runs like LVS
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Exsurge Domine
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8:43a, 4/27/20
Manic's nvidia calls just made me 200+%
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khaos288
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In reply to Harkrider 93 • 8:46a, 4/27/20
AG
That makes sense. I was mostly thinking hedge fund exposure that was posted here last week that is very very low.
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Rice and Fries
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In reply to Exsurge Domine • 8:49a, 4/27/20
Exsurge Domine said:
Manic's nvidia calls just made me 200+%
You know, I was drinking my morning cup of coffee thinking about joining Manic....Figured mmm maybe idk.

Then I see this and I'm like why not
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gougler08
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8:50a, 4/27/20
AG
What in the world is going on with HEAR
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AgEng06
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In reply to Exsurge Domine • 8:51a, 4/27/20
AG
Should be even higher now, depending on how much you sold/held...
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McInnis 03
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In reply to Rice and Fries • 8:51a, 4/27/20
AG
Rice and Fries said:
Exsurge Domine said:
Manic's nvidia calls just made me 200+%
You know, I was drinking my morning cup of coffee thinking about joining Manic....Figured mmm maybe idk.

Then I see this and I'm like why not
Join the club, I think they got 4-5 TexAg folk this weekend. Beware, i"m in this.
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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McInnis 03
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8:52a, 4/27/20
AG
So the NVDA call Manic made (along with a few others) Friday to buy in at 1.6 is like 4.90 now.
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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YNWA_AG
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In reply to gougler08 • 8:53a, 4/27/20
AG
The numbers of people gaming again are crazy. Should have known to play this.
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Carlo4
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In reply to gougler08 • 8:53a, 4/27/20
AG
gougler08 said:
texagbeliever said:
On Friday my ERI limit wasnt hit so I held it over the weekend. Time to see if I was patient or greedy!
18.50 in premarket
$19.25 now
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oldarmy1
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8:55a, 4/27/20
AG
SPY daily $286 call under $0.75 is a great risk/reward for today IMO. This early churning bodes well for recapturing $286.

Also DIS has move up during the down churning and actually rejected the selloff of $100.65. Watch for it to pop.
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McInnis 03
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8:58a, 4/27/20
AG
n/m
***If this post is on Business and Investing, take it with a grain of salt. I am wrong way more than I am right (but I am less wrong than I used to be) and if you follow me you will be too.***

B&I Key:
ETH - Extended Trading Hours --- RTH - Regular Trading Hours
ORH - Opening Range (1st 30min) High --- ORL - Opening Range Low
R1, R2, R3 - Resistance 1, 2, or 3 --- S1, S2, S3 - Support 1, 2 or 3
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Rice and Fries
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 9:00a, 4/27/20
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Ranger222
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 9:01a, 4/27/20
AG
Are they primarily weekly calls that he plays? Or mix weekly/longer dated calls
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AgShaun00
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9:01a, 4/27/20
AG
how long is everyone riding FB calls?
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AgEng06
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In reply to Rice and Fries • 9:03a, 4/27/20
AG
I know you put it in quotes... but did you match the case? I had to do that to get it to work.
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fightintxag13
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In reply to Ranger222 • 9:04a, 4/27/20
AG
Ranger222 said:
Are they primarily weekly calls that he plays? Or mix weekly/longer dated calls
I'd say about 90% are weeklies.
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Rice and Fries
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In reply to AgEng06 • 9:05a, 4/27/20
That's what I was doing wrong lol
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