PDEMDHC said:

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PDEMDHC said:

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Bought 250 shares of RDW at 11.30. Took a bathroom break and then found it at 10.40 less than 2 minutes later.

Most expensive piss of all time

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So lots of insider selling and reorganization is causing some insane volatility.

It went from 9.60 to 10.40 to 10 to 10.88 and now down to 10.10 all in 2 hours.

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higher low, higher highs!! Let'er rip!

Gaeilge said:

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PDEMDHC said:

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PDEMDHC said:

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Bought 250 shares of RDW at 11.30. Took a bathroom break and then found it at 10.40 less than 2 minutes later.

Most expensive piss of all time

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So lots of insider selling and reorganization is causing some insane volatility.

It went from 9.60 to 10.40 to 10 to 10.88 and now down to 10.10 all in 2 hours.

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higher low, higher highs!! Let'er rip!

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Can someone explain the XOM pop lately? I'm assuming Venezuela and Iran?

XOM said they're not touching Venezuela. However, all of the E&Ps are currently up.

Thanks!

flashplayer said:

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Bitcoin finally deviating from the indexes for a change. Made a big bet on MARA while waiting on my ETF losses to hit 31 days and prevent a wash sale. Figured BTC would spike while I was waiting so using MARA as a hedge for that for now.

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Bitcoin's about to tank. Bought IBIT 2/20 $51 puts this morning for $1.40. Looking for $3-$5.

Y'all may want to keep an eye on CLSK. Same sector as WULF, CIFR, and IREN.

For those of you still bagholding our old friend CLOV, they announced finally crossing a full year of profitability and large growth YoY. Hope this becomes a bright spot going forward.

Heineken-Ashi said:

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flashplayer said:

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Bitcoin finally deviating from the indexes for a change. Made a big bet on MARA while waiting on my ETF losses to hit 31 days and prevent a wash sale. Figured BTC would spike while I was waiting so using MARA as a hedge for that for now.

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Bitcoin's about to tank. Bought IBIT 2/20 $51 puts this morning for $1.40. Looking for $3-$5.

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You don't think there's a reasonable possibility it sees the high 50's before that happens? As in the next week or two?

flashplayer said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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flashplayer said:

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Bitcoin finally deviating from the indexes for a change. Made a big bet on MARA while waiting on my ETF losses to hit 31 days and prevent a wash sale. Figured BTC would spike while I was waiting so using MARA as a hedge for that for now.

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Bitcoin's about to tank. Bought IBIT 2/20 $51 puts this morning for $1.40. Looking for $3-$5.

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You don't think there's a reasonable possibility it sees the high 50's before that happens? As in the next week or two?

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I'd be very surprised if BTC clears above $98.2k

I don't recall seeing any shipping companies mentioned.
Currently making small additions with ASC.
Sold most of my INSW and NAT.
Still holding on to FRO and TRMD.
Even DSX might be worth a look see.
HAve some buy orders in for SFL.

Would that invalidate your short-term thesis?

flashplayer said:

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Would that invalidate your short-term thesis?

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What short-term thesis?

Need advice.

I'm a SMCI bag holder. 500 shares at around $65. Do I cut my losses or keep holding?

valvemonkey91 said:

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Need advice.

I'm a SMCI bag holder. 500 shares at around $65. Do I cut my losses or keep holding?

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It's a giant red mark on my holdings. I'm holding the few hundred shares I've got at $42 cost avg.

Heineken-Ashi said:

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Blueprint for ALB

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With ALB pushing higher since this post, do you see it being more likely to pull back now?

Heineken-Ashi said:

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flashplayer said:

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Would that invalidate your short-term thesis?

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What short-term thesis?

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Prognostication I should have said, that bitcoin is going to fall imminently and significantly.

What is that about a $17k loss? I'd hold it if it were me at least until end of this year. Then if I needed to harvest some tax losses in Dec. and it's still way down that'd be a good candidate. JMO and not financial advice.

Heineken-Ashi said:

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SPY is structured for a choppy move up to the $714 region over the coming weeks. Should it complete as diagrammed, the first reversal would target the $670 region by early to mid-March (or sooner), with the next reversal target being the $590-$600 level by October (or sooner).

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Do you still see SPY charting along the same as late 2024, just a couple of months earlier? December '24 to March '25 looks very similar to Nov '25 to current.

Gaeilge said:

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valvemonkey91 said:

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Need advice.

I'm a SMCI bag holder. 500 shares at around $65. Do I cut my losses or keep holding?

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It's a giant red mark on my holdings. I'm holding the few hundred shares I've got at $42 cost avg.

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I've owned these shares since before the split. I just don't know if that company will ever rebound.

flashplayer said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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flashplayer said:

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Would that invalidate your short-term thesis?

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What short-term thesis?

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Prognostication I should have said, that bitcoin is going to fall imminently and significantly.

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I had been watching for a corrective bounce top in BTC. Today satisfied the bare minimum with a little room left to go. I think $70k - $75k is up next.

Touchless said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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SPY is structured for a choppy move up to the $714 region over the coming weeks. Should it complete as diagrammed, the first reversal would target the $670 region by early to mid-March (or sooner), with the next reversal target being the $590-$600 level by October (or sooner).

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Do you still see SPY charting along the same as late 2024, just a couple of months earlier? December '24 to March '25 looks very similar to Nov '25 to current.

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I mean.. its progressing upward in very choppy fashion. Whether it's following the exact diagram doesn't matter. It's just a blueprint. But the thesis is playing out. No reason to change unless we start making lower lows.

valvemonkey91 said:

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Gaeilge said:

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valvemonkey91 said:

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Need advice.

I'm a SMCI bag holder. 500 shares at around $65. Do I cut my losses or keep holding?

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It's a giant red mark on my holdings. I'm holding the few hundred shares I've got at $42 cost avg.

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I've owned these shares since before the split. I just don't know if that company will ever rebound.

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I bought at $31. Bad news with the company for sure. According to AI, a senator dumped it on 12/31 which doesn't help right now. There is also a DOJ investigation on accounting practices.

But they supposedly have 70% of the market for direct liquid cooling racks. And they just got a $20 million order in the last few days.

I agree with the other poster to hold to the end of the year and see what happens. You could sell at the end of the year for tax loss harvesting.

Well I willl say I jumped back into SMCI right below $28, fwiw.

Damn water sewer authority just stole 4 acres of my property to increase the size the reservoir my house is on to give me deep water and better views and now with a sunset view over the water. Probably have to buy more sunglasses now. Grrrr. Now I'll also have all this extra damn cash laying around to have to figure out what stocks to buy.

More WWR which means more damn lambos to maintain and garage.

Those jerks!

Heineken-Ashi said:

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flashplayer said:

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Bitcoin finally deviating from the indexes for a change. Made a big bet on MARA while waiting on my ETF losses to hit 31 days and prevent a wash sale. Figured BTC would spike while I was waiting so using MARA as a hedge for that for now.

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Bitcoin's about to tank. Bought IBIT 2/20 $51 puts this morning for $1.40. Looking for $3-$5.

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I'm rolling with you!

I doubt it

Heineken-Ashi said:

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flashplayer said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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flashplayer said:

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Would that invalidate your short-term thesis?

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What short-term thesis?

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Prognostication I should have said, that bitcoin is going to fall imminently and significantly.

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I had been watching for a corrective bounce top in BTC. Today satisfied the bare minimum with a little room left to go. I think $70k - $75k is up next.

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What do you think about ZCash?

Care to elaborate instead of just disagreeing with HA?

1. I posed this on the crypto thread yesterday. BTC is breaking out of a decent consolidation. These daily candle.




2. The 88 level will serve as support now.

3. The biggest bear narrative was that the bull cycle was over ala following the 4 year cycle. Problem with that idea is the four year cycle was actually broken in 24 because we broke ATH prior to the halving.

4. Due to ETF the speed of liquidity able to enter BTC is at all time high. Especially now vanguard offers it.

5. Lower rates are coming and will be priced in.

6. BTC is near a multi year low compared to gold. Catch up trade started.

7. BTC was down on the year in 25. Never been two down years in a row.

Hope you're right. I'm pretty sure I caused the consolidation - as I finally went long at what turned out to be the record high, lol

That's the posts I like to see in here. Constructive ***** I don't care if people have different views on stocks/trade ideas if they provide context.

I also think 100k will be a tough line to break through

Yukon Cornelius said:

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I also think 100k will be a tough line to break through

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Agree somewhat. I think 101-103 could slap it back down a couple times, then 107-108 is the next big hurdle that will probably plateau the price for just a bit.

I am not seeing the same 98K resistance that HA is but to his credit ~ 97.7 has now slapped it back down twice today.

Ya where that line exactly is could certainly vary. But like you said I think be around those numbers.