GOOG in straight up price discovery mode

EliteZags said:

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GOOG in straight up price discovery mode

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up 52% in 3 months...no big deal

Maximus Johnson said:

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I have about 100K from an old employer 401K that I transferred over to Fidelity. About 50% of this is in a Roth IRA and the other 50% is in a standard IRA. I am in my early 30's and this money is going to be used for retirement only. I know the general consensus is to not try to time the market, but with the anticipated lows in the very short term, would you guys suggest I old onto the cash for a few weeks before deploying it all at one time?

I want to be very aggressive with my investments as I have a ways to go until retirement. What funds do you suggest I look into? Right now, I am looking into sector ETF's and Growth & Aggressive Growth mutual funds with low expense ratios. Any other suggestions?

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QUBTS

IONQ

RIGETTI

VERTIV

OKLO

NVIDIA

AMD

TSMC

POWELL

ETH

retirement funds aggressive =/= degen

So this week I should:

Not invest the regular IRA funds, invest 100% of the Roth funds, and transfer 50% of the regular IRA funds into the Roth?

Just want to make sure I have the order of ops correctly here.

Really had to fight FOMO today after selling most of my SOXL/TQQQ last Friday. (And some this morning.)

Don't even open your brokerage. It's Thanksgiving. Just enjoy the holiday week.

Maximus Johnson said:

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So this week I should:

Not invest the regular IRA funds, invest 100% of the Roth funds, and transfer 50% of the regular IRA funds into the Roth?

Just want to make sure I have the order of ops correctly here.

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You can either invest in both and then roll it over or you can invest the Roth and transfer the cash from the Ira to a Roth and then invest in the Roth. Goal would be to move it all to the Roth.

Heineken-Ashi said:

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Mr.Milkshake said:

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If S&P doesn't hold here, will be looking for around 6180 support if things get extreme. Low volume nodes between here and there though.

A -3.5% intraday swing is quite extreme, especially this close to ATH. Haven't pulled numbers but know it's rare as we had one of these before the tariff crash

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Genuinely curious. You still think 7000+?

I'm 50/50 right now.

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We already got quite close, +-6925.

I've been in a big Bend the past several days so haven't dug in. Last Thursday volume looks higher than anything during the tariff 'crisis'? With that volume and the size of the drop right near ATH, not gonna have many analogs (though already almost retraced it all) - market keeps getting more violent to the downside and upside. While I think this is the trend since 2020, it's worrisome to not have much in the way of market history to base directional bias upon. I positioned into S&P futures during tariff ordeal and not trying to get flat or short the top

Mr.Milkshake said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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Mr.Milkshake said:

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If S&P doesn't hold here, will be looking for around 6180 support if things get extreme. Low volume nodes between here and there though.

A -3.5% intraday swing is quite extreme, especially this close to ATH. Haven't pulled numbers but know it's rare as we had one of these before the tariff crash

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Genuinely curious. You still think 7000+?

I'm 50/50 right now.

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We already got quite close, +-6925.

I've been in a big Bend the past several days so haven't dug in. Last Thursday volume looks higher than anything during the tariff 'crisis'? With that volume and the size of the drop right near ATH, not gonna have many analogs (though already almost retraced it all) - market keeps getting more violent to the downside and upside. While I think this is the trend since 2020, it's worrisome to not have much in the way of market history to base directional bias upon. I positioned into S&P futures during tariff ordeal and not trying to get flat or short the top

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Yes, that phenomenon of wild swings in both directions that seem to be gaining in ferocity as we go higher is the classic signs of a pattern I've highlighted here many times, the ending diagonal. This one just happens to be the most massive in stock market history, having started at the 2022 low, and being closer to its top with each new high. I first mentioned the potential in 2024 but it was an alternate scenario I was watching, needing the upcoming retracement to hold the 5,000 region. We got just under that and rebounded strongly and confirmed it with the new highs this year. When ED's reverse, they target their point of origin within 50%-100% of the time that it took them to complete. Hence my insistence on the SPX 3500 range being inevitable no matter how high we go. At this point, if the top were in, it could hit anywhere between late 2026 and late 2028. That timing extends if we make new highs. You usually see these patterns on shorter timeframes. Google looks to be completing one right now that would reverse by March. NVDA completed one recently and needs one more low to $165 to be fully reversed and has until the end of the year to do it. TLT completed one on a nano timeframe a couple weeks ago and reversed in 3 days. I'll post chart examples later.

You see SPX losing 5+ years of gains?

sure glad I at least got to experience them while they last then

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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You see SPX losing 5+ years of gains?

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Yes. I posted this back in June. The only thing that didn't play out is the clean B wave. We went directly into the box. Can still go higher. And maybe we get a deep B now before recovering one more time. But nothing has changed the long-term view.

Stock Markets - Page 7015 | TexAgs

Heineken-Ashi said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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You see SPX losing 5+ years of gains?

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Yes. I posted this back in June. The only thing that didn't play out is the clean B wave. We went directly into the box. Can still go higher. And maybe we get a deep B now before recovering one more time. But nothing has changed the long-term view.

Stock Markets - Page 7015 | TexAgs

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https://substack.com/inbox/post/179453867?r=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=post-publish&triedRedirect=true


BTC dropping to $52 and the SP dropping quickly to 3500 would flip the midterms to the democrats.

i know you stated by 2028 but if the crash happens in 2026 it would be the end of MAGA and Trump.

5Amp said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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You see SPX losing 5+ years of gains?

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Yes. I posted this back in June. The only thing that didn't play out is the clean B wave. We went directly into the box. Can still go higher. And maybe we get a deep B now before recovering one more time. But nothing has changed the long-term view.

Stock Markets - Page 7015 | TexAgs

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https://substack.com/inbox/post/179453867?r=6p7b5o&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=post-publish&triedRedirect=true


BTC dropping to $52 and the SP dropping quickly to 3500 would flip the midterms to the democrats.

i know you stated by 2028 but if the crash happens in 2026 it would be the end of MAGA and Trump.

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Dems are already going to win the midterms bigly.

For weeks now I keep seeing this SP 500 devil number 666 on my phone. Kind of Spooky…

days like today

make me realize how much overweight I am to the tech/NASDAQ stocks

Buying NVDA here.

UNG dropped on Russia and oil news. Haven't been in the $13 range for a while. If we touch 12 I'll add more.

this volatile chop this morning is coming to the end of this little wedge pattern...which way we breaking?!?!

Kohls $KSS up 32% today! Yay, I sold all my positions in my HSA for only a tiny loss.

MSAI in the 0.60 range. Risky, hasn't seen a dollar in a couple weeks.

techno-ag said:

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MSAI in the 0.60 range. Risky, hasn't seen a dollar in a couple weeks.

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As the person who brought this stock to the table, I do need to make it very clear that it is a 100% gamble stock (IMO). I'm sitting on a few thousand shares that are net free from the last run up.

Thinking about buying some more shares around here, but won't go too deep into the well. My total cost on this stock won't exceed 1-2% of my trading account.

Man, it's really bad when I put what you guys say into ChatGPT and I can't even understand it's explanation.

LMCane said:

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days like today

make me realize how much overweight I am to the tech/NASDAQ stocks

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Yeah, I got a little over exuberant. I need to try to get out of it. I keep hoping for a sort of rebound and yesterday gave me hope.

I should just pick some reasonable limits and go sit on the sidelines. The one hope I have is that this administration is going to want to pump it up as much as it can to the midterms.

Thanks much for bringing it. It's an interesting one for sure.

ANF up over 30% on earnings. TJX trying to go ATH. AAPL trying to go for price discovery on ATH. Would expect it to visit $300

Stay calm and remember a lot of selling right now is tax loss harvesting. If we can come out of this volatility without sliding too much more (maybe say 6500 on S&P as a low) there is at least a decent chance we rally a la April Liberation Day style.

Hope isn't a strategy

I haven't even looked at charts much this week. I set some buy orders yesterday, and letting things play out.

Not overly concerned about missing some of the bounce as much as I'm doing a bit of capital preservation.

I have some big gains I already banked, so I could tax loss harvest on some of my dumb/emotional buys. I know hope isn't a strategy, nor is panic selling. Most of what I bought wasn't for short term anyway. Just need to sit tight.

harge57 said:

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NVDA is obviously selling like freaking hot cakes, however I do think the news this week that Gemini 3 was trained exclusively on googles TPUs is a pretty big deal. There is plenty of demand to go around, but at some point the chip market has to get competitive. I also wonder what the useful life of these chips will be and what the refresh cycle will look like. Do these things all need refreshed in 2 years on top of future growth for NVDA. or are these chips going to be useful 5 years from now?

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Seems like the market priced in this news over the last week.

I followed Michael Burry and bought some NVDA puts @ $140 March 2026.

This seems incredibly risky if you ask me.

Can someone help me out and take a look at the chart of LUMN? When I look at the daily chart from October 2024 till today, it looks like a cup and handle pattern is forming? Unfortunately I am unable to paste a screenshot.