Wow. Butchered this. Meant to say 6085 PUT lotto. Sorry for anyone who followed. Typed too fast.Heineken-Ashi said:
SPX ODTE $6058 lotto all or nothing. In at less than $1. Target $3-$5
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Last: 44 min ago by Heineken-Ashi
Hey Heineken- I sent the surveymonkey in OAs telegram chat. Looks like a handful of more people including OA filled it out. Where are the numbers now?
question on this Venture Global IPO...how often are IPO's done on a Friday with literally 20-30 before close done? seems odd to me to launch an IPO on a Friday after 2:30...
It seems IPO first day trading usually happens after noon Eastern time, so this isn't that strange. I have a $23.50 order for some shares that hasn't executed yet - we'll see if it gets there before the closing bell. I have had a UNG call option trade order every day for a while, but it hasn't hit my mark, yet. We'll see which one wins the race!EnronAg said:
question on this Venture Global IPO...how often are IPO's done on a Friday with literally 20-30 before close done? seems odd to me to launch an IPO on a Friday after 2:30...
Prop Joe with a sports betting analogy - who would have guessed?Proposition Joe said:
"Net free" can also sometimes lull people into looking at value incorrectly. Getting to "net free" isn't a bad thing, but that doesn't necessarily mean that the taking of the profits to get to that "net free" position was the best move to make.
You could sell those 2000 of your shares and keep your remaining 2000, but if the price doubles you've just missed out on a ton of money to get "net free".
It all depends on what your strategy was initially and where you still think the value lies. A guy might hedge his $100k Super Bowl bet to lock in $60k of profit, but unless something fundamentally changed about the way he viewed the wager in the first place, all he's actually done is reduce his expected value.
It's right on point, though - - you have to consider what you wanted out of the trade before determining your best course of action. However, for most people, taking your initial stake off the table enables them to have the staying power to "let it ride" without too much worry and angst.
I bleed maroon said:Prop Joe with a sports betting analogy - who would have guessed?Proposition Joe said:
"Net free" can also sometimes lull people into looking at value incorrectly. Getting to "net free" isn't a bad thing, but that doesn't necessarily mean that the taking of the profits to get to that "net free" position was the best move to make.
You could sell those 2000 of your shares and keep your remaining 2000, but if the price doubles you've just missed out on a ton of money to get "net free".
It all depends on what your strategy was initially and where you still think the value lies. A guy might hedge his $100k Super Bowl bet to lock in $60k of profit, but unless something fundamentally changed about the way he viewed the wager in the first place, all he's actually done is reduce his expected value.
It's right on point, though - - you have to consider what you wanted out of the trade before determining your best course of action. However, for most people, taking your initial stake off the table enables them to have the staying power to "let it ride" without too much worry and angst.
Agree 100%. Though I'd counter if anyone is investing with angst then they are already investing from a bad spot.
As you said, it all comes down to what you set out to do initially. If in October I feel like Ohio State +400 to win the title has great value, then hedging it in January to "lock in profits" is actually going against my prediction/projection. At the same time, if I say in October "Notre Dame's schedule is going to have them in the final four teams, so taking them at +700 to win it all will enable me to hedge once the semis roll around" is understanding what I wanted out of it. Investing no different.
As Heineken-Ashi has laid out in so many of his posts - having a plan and following it cuts through a lot of the emotion that is typically very bad in a numbers game.
6088 was the low. Was up 2x and didn't act in time. Full loss. That's a 1 hr lotto for ya.Heineken-Ashi said:Wow. Butchered this. Meant to say 6085 PUT lotto. Sorry for anyone who followed. Typed too fast.Heineken-Ashi said:
SPX ODTE $6058 lotto all or nothing. In at less than $1. Target $3-$5
tysker said:There is a difference between legal and illegal insider trading.aggies4life said:BREAKING: AOC has said there is insider trading in Congress.
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) January 24, 2025
"It's so crazy... we're supposed to act like money only corrupts Republicans? Give me a fucking break." pic.twitter.com/xuqHcKfITz
Also subject to any illegal insider trading allegations would be the person who provided the material, non-public information. So I question the accuracy and legitimacy of these conspiratorial allegations because, in the real world, people that actually have access to material non-public information generally don't want to lose their jobs and/or go to jail.
is any insider trading really illegal or is it just frowned upon like counting cards/tax evasion/farting in an elevator
Ask Martha Stewart!
SPY Update - Today made the first move toward the plan playing out. If we can get the b wave next week into the highlighted region, we can hope to kick off the next move into the expected top between late February and mid March.
I moved to F16 because thats a more proper place for this discussion. But to respond to SW AG80, Martha Stewart ultimately got in trouble for changing trade tickets/blotters in an attempt to cover up the activity. Its always the cover up that gets ya
There are three gaps from the last week that need to fill.
Nvm
Not all gaps fill. That said this market can try for the high on my chart as long as the Jan 13 low holds. It wouldn't be ideal, but would be possible.Ragoo said:
There are three gaps from the last week that need to fill.
No but I have found sending them a message from your account tends to get a response fairly quickly.
$WWR…Why would the CEO sell shares at $0.77?
He reads TexAgsJbKing45 said:
$WWR…Why would the CEO sell shares at $0.77?
🚨 BREAKING: DeepSeek open source AI outperforms OpenAI with only 3% of the hardware costs$NVDA may be in trouble here. https://t.co/2qpbD5hMGU
— Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) January 24, 2025
jamey said:🚨 BREAKING: DeepSeek open source AI outperforms OpenAI with only 3% of the hardware costs$NVDA may be in trouble here. https://t.co/2qpbD5hMGU
— Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) January 24, 2025
Good thing if you also have amd
I only have the SMH ETF now and sold 25% of that a few days ago. Sold all my XLU recently too so I think i got lucky if this has legs
Is this legit and time to sell or something for clicks?
agdaddy04 said:
Is this legit and time to sell or something for clicks?
No idea
It's all over Twitter so I could see a sell off early Monday if for no other reason than markets like to react to anything
I may go ahead and get out of my semiconductors anyway. If it comes down I'll buy again if it's cheap
This was a headline all over the place the same day Trump announced the AI project.agdaddy04 said:
Is this legit and time to sell or something for clicks?
Deepseek is not a “side project”.
— Prakash (Ate-a-Pi) (@8teAPi) January 24, 2025
At the same time employees are not lying when they say it is.
The story they are telling is myth making in the same vein in the Silicon Valley “we want to make the world a better place” but at the same time make billions of dollars.
The team… pic.twitter.com/E4meJPjgf8
Whats yalls lean with tech earnings and FOMC next week?
Rates hold, great earnings, wild card is guidance. Consensus on Bloomberg terminal shows 1 rate cut in June and that's it.
Heineken-Ashi said:This was a headline all over the place the same day Trump announced the AI project.agdaddy04 said:
Is this legit and time to sell or something for clicks?
Hey heine, happy Saturday. Do you use Renko charts in any of your analysis?
I never have actively but am familiar with them. They are a different way of thinking as time really doesn't mean anything. They are very simplistic way to smooth out price noise and just focus on if a trend is productive or not. I will check in on the renko from time to time but don't usually use it for any decision making as price almost always turns well before the renko alerts you.zgolfz85 said:Heineken-Ashi said:This was a headline all over the place the same day Trump announced the AI project.agdaddy04 said:
Is this legit and time to sell or something for clicks?
Hey heine, happy Saturday. Do you use Renko charts in any of your analysis?
Right now, a renko brick is 10c for WWR. To get the next brick up, price would have to finish a day at $1.20 or higher. To get the next brick down, price would have to finish at 90 cents or lower. The range between represents 25% of the current price. By the time you get a down brick, you're right back to the top of the last range before this week's breakout and don't know if its going to continue falling or just consolidate. But as long as you keep getting up bricks, you know price is staying constructive long term. Hard to base decisions on that. But cool background info for sure.
degen superbowl wk
Oracle $ORCL and a group of investors that includes Microsoft $MSFT are in talks to take over TikTok’s global operations - NPR
— Evan (@StockMKTNewz) January 25, 2025
Doesnt SMCI also have earnings on Jan 27?
cjo03 said:Heineken-Ashi said:
Based on the responses so far, we hold somewhere between 789,300 and 1,764,995 shares representing 1.31% to 2.94% of the float for a current market value of somewhere between $994,518 and $2,223,894.
multiplier on that if #6 gets a yes
Where we at now??
I found possible ER dates of 01/27/25, 01/30/25, or 02/03/25, but none are official release dates from SMCIthe only official date. I have seen that the audit must be turned in by 02/23/25. I would not be surprised if they don't release any ER until they finish the internal audit. Since they have no CFO, the audit company would be on the hook for the ER.
Talon2DSO said:
Doesnt SMCI also have earnings on Jan 27?
This article dated 1/25/25 shows their earnings on Feb 3
https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/smci/earnings
They haven't announced, so until then it's just guesses
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