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25,605,220 Views | 234769 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by Heineken-Ashi
Heineken-Ashi
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giddings_ag_06 said:

Am I the only one thinking Callaway Topgolf (MODG) is severely oversold? Callaway is still the leading golf name and since it peaked during the Rona, it's steadily tanked. I'm not saying they will ever hit those prices again any time soon (or even half of it), but I do feel they are due for a bounce. They've been buying over Big Shots and opening new Topgolf ranges all over. I've been in them a little while and am currently down about 20%, but I just can't part with it and am thinking it may just wind up a long term hold. Any other thoughts?
If it hasn't bottomed, then there's a real chance of $4.50. I'd have stop at $7 if you enter a position.
giddings_ag_06
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AG
But what's the glass half full scenario?
Heineken-Ashi
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giddings_ag_06 said:

But what's the glass half full scenario?
$70 within 5 years
South Platte
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ZIM seems to be moving up again after the dividend date.
DC901
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Powl trying to break through 300 again.
DC901
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I bleed maroon
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AG
Heineken-Ashi said:

ETX_Ag_22_24 said:

SOUN has a very interesting look on the daily. Maybe to 9.50 range?
Maybe. But I think there's a big drop looming. I'm not messing with it.
Well, looks like it overachieved today. $12.92 at the moment. I bought a strangle a few weeks ago, and the calls are now up 350%. Going to do a slow unwind of the call side to take gains.

Several people mentioned SOUN over the past couple of months, so thanks to all for the heads up!
Diggity
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AG
with a market cap of $4M

Quote:

The focus of FinCapital will be on improved balance sheet fundamentals, revenue and profitability metrics, and establishing improved liquidity pathways between the U.S. and Latin America.
stay far away unless you're just into straight gambling. these idiots just completely ditched their original business plan and got into the South American commodities biz.
The Pilot
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AG
Anyone else in $SOUN? It's been on a tear the last two days.

Doh, looks like I completely missed the post above.
Heineken-Ashi
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I bleed maroon said:

Heineken-Ashi said:

ETX_Ag_22_24 said:

SOUN has a very interesting look on the daily. Maybe to 9.50 range?
Maybe. But I think there's a big drop looming. I'm not messing with it.
Well, looks like it overachieved today. $12.92 at the moment. I bought a strangle a few weeks ago, and the calls are now up 350%. Going to do a slow unwind of the call side to take gains.

Several people mentioned SOUN over the past couple of months, so thanks to all for the heads up!
Nicely done. I'm pretty risk adverse right now outside of a couple promising setups.
El_duderino
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ALB holding $101. Potentially entering here with a stop at $93. Targeting $137 if it can break $111. Nice 35% reward to 8% risk for a little over 4:1
LatinAggie1997
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AG
Bullish.

Heineken-Ashi
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El_duderino said:

ALB holding $101. Potentially entering here with a stop at $93. Targeting $137 if it can break $111. Nice 35% reward to 8% risk for a little over 4:1
I don't see much above $120 before a pullback if it were to get going again.
AgShaun00
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AG
WestTexasAg
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AG
AgShaun00 said:


You buying?
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Grabbing more SOXL.
Heineken-Ashi
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67k call volume on tomorrow's $28.5 SLV calls and 47k on $29's. That's insane and represents over 10M shares. Barely 10M dhares have even traded today, meaning dealers haven't yet hedged that position by buying calls. $29 tomorrow gets you a 2.5x on the $28.5 calls. All or nothing if you want to jump in. Risky. But that's insane flow for a one day turn around.
AgShaun00
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AG
WestTexasAg said:

AgShaun00 said:


You buying?
i bought 1 jan call. i had a good day on tsla calls
bmoochie
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AG
AgShaun00 said:


Might need to put me in a straight jacket. I had bought December calls a few weeks back (dumb mistake of not selling when they were green I know) but I had held them through this week. Felt like methodical pressure down and decided to preserve capital to avoid my gambling mistakes of old and holding to Zero. I cut at 12:26 this afternoon and go figure 20 minutes later this happens.
Brewmaster
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AG


Bitcoin channel... pullback to about 94,5k is bottom of the channel. It could still be on track to 110k by end of the month. I know the top line doesn't touch today's high, but I'm leaving this as a channel or flag for now.

replying to my old roomie b/c I know he's long a bunch of bitcoin!
Quacked
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got in for 15 contracts @ .21
CC09LawAg
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Well, I threw $100 at it and will try to go net free if it has another jump or two in it and then just let it sit and see what happens.
Heineken-Ashi
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Maybe wishful thinking here. But I noticed the CLOV chart was reminding me a lot of PLTR earlier this year. Timeframes don't match, but the trajectory and timing of pullbacks do..

EnronAg
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AG
good call on whoever it was that unloaded their PATH...I held and thought I had a rocket launch on ER a few min after 3pm...but it's tanking now...I'm assuming bad guidance as they beat on both top and bottom...
WestTexasAg
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AG
Thoughts on HOOD?
Lee Van Cleef
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AG
PATH Guidance for the fiscal fourth quarter 2025 met/exceeded consensus (424.03) with a guide between $422 million to $427 million. I just finished reading the earnings call transcript and the company feels execution is strong and the tone was confidently bullish for first quarter 2026 fiscal performance moving into full 2026.
CC09LawAg
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Looking for FUBO to break 1.85 today - if it doesn't break through may be another selloff back down to 1.45-1.50. Then I'll probably buy more and keep selling covered calls. Seems to have pretty good support down there.
EnronAg
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AG
more goldilocks jobs numbers...enjoy the December rate cut and ripper through the new year!!! stonks only go up!!!
Heineken-Ashi
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So I got cute with my TSLA. Approaching the Nov top, I sold a $345 call expecting $275-$300 range. I made a ton of premium on it. But I was early, and could have gotten significantly more premium. But it did come down. the premium didn't. TSLA almost got to $300, but had the look that it needed one more move down. So I sat on the call. Well it never did go back down. So now I'm waiting on target in the low to mid $400's knowing that if it happens before January, I won't be able to sell, and it if does happen on Jan expiration, I lose my shares for significantly less than I should. The basis of my call is $365.

So what do I do? When you get yourself in a situation like this, it's nice to have so many options. Yesterday, on confirmation of breakout, I bought TSLL which is the 2x ETF. While TSLA might go from $365 - $415, TSLL should go from $24 to $33. That's a 37% gain instead of a 14%. I would lose $5k by getting called out. So buying $13k worth of TSLL would get me that $5k. Of course, I have a stop on the TSLL should it fall back below the breakout point. The worst thing that can happen is falling back and expiring above $345 but below $365. But it wouldn't be that bad, as I wouldn't have lost much profit. And should it fail from here and fall way back, well, I keep my shares and premium, get stopped on TSLL, and go forward from there.

Even when your thesis for a stock is playing out perfectly, there's no guarantee it will continue to. Selling calls can be lucrative, but it traps you in time. I am not advising this strategy, just outlining the thought process that went into it. Notice that I have a very defined plan still. I'm not throwing caution to the wind. Especially with a levered ETF.
bhanacik
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AG
thanks for sharing; very insightful
Ags2013
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AG
Obligatory PLTR can't stop won't stop post
aggies4life
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AG
Pltr - just keeps on trucking. Surely we get a correction soon?
EnronAg
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AG
up almost 50% in a month...this market is just insane...

I sold in the 30's lol
Heineken-Ashi
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SOFI update - I'm out, so doing this purely to help those who are still in. There are two support boxes. Ideally, it would hold the higher one and target $23. But nothing is broken as long as above the lower one. Since the 3rd wave got VERY extended, I expect a shorter retracement and one that could take a significant part of the month, possibly becoming a triangle even. No guarantees there. But there's a rule of alternation in EW where if the 2nd wave is short in time and deep in price (as a retracement of the first wave), then the 4th would be expected to be longer in time and shorter in price (retracing the 3rd wave).



Here's the chart


And here's the longer term view and why I got out. 5th waves are never guaranteed. Neither is my assumption that this is a 5-wave move as shown. Perhaps I'm one wave behind and its already topped. This is the stock market and mass sentiment. Anything can ultimately happen. So watch your support and know when to get out. If this holds the first box and gets above $20, sure, it could extend higher. But every day that goes by is a day that a top and reversal could come.

BucketofBalls99
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aggies4life said:

Pltr - just keeps on trucking. Surely we get a correction soon?

Same thing keeps being said over these last couple of months now
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