Stock Markets

26,251,170 Views | 236165 Replies | Last: 4 min ago by El Chupacabra
BaylorSpineGuy
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I'm impressed you see such bullish potential here. It literally has not made one higher high since making ATH.

Moreover, it's still almost 50% away from its preceding recent high (around $27).
Ragoo
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AG
MARA, love the move but come back to me a little.
$30,000 Millionaire
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looks like a snooze fest today waiting for CPI.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
Boy Named Sue
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

looks like a snooze fest today waiting for CPI.


Good, because I'm in court all day
$30,000 Millionaire
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two questions, choose your own adventure:

1) what crime did you commit?

2) what type of lawyer are you?
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
RenoAg
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Blast from the past. Something happening at ELOX? I sold my shares quite a while back.
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
Lol, or jury duty?
JuanDurfel
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Boy Named Sue said:

$30,000 Millionaire said:

looks like a snooze fest today waiting for CPI.


Good, because I'm in court all day
Sued Sue sues during snooze
Charismatic Megafauna
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Oa's june 16 qqq puts worked well for me a week or so ago. I held 299s for less than a week and made 20%. Starting to ease into 300s now
Boy Named Sue
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

two questions, choose your own adventure:

1) what crime did you commit?

2) what type of lawyer are you?


1- I exercise my right under the 5th Amendment, but that's not why I'm here

2- I'm board certified in oil and gas, and I handle litigation and appeals
Golf1
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AG
Puke and rally?

Looks like Tesla dropped spy but it's already recovering
BaylorSpineGuy
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I suspect a short term rally. I imagine dealers are well hedged for CPI/PPI. I don't anticipate a rally above 418. And likely only to about 415 or so. But with VIXperation next week, we may be rangebound till then.

Just guessing….
BaylorSpineGuy
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VIX is dropping today and SKEW staying at bay for now.

Other interesting moves today include the DXY rallying further, breaking out of the bullish falling wedge. I guess rumors of the demise of the US Dollar are for now on hold. What's curious is the market is rallying with it today. They are usually inversed.

Bond yields are up slightly with 3 mo bond now at 5.034%. Not a terrible place to park some money for a minute. I have some money coming open next month and will likely put money in that if it's still high next month.

But like 30K, after this week, my outlook is extremely bearish, but need to see confirmation that market doesn't break the Feb high.
Carioca Corredor
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Closed on $SPX calls for 18% and opened a single $SPX4100 put
Golf1
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Lost a good amount holding on to puts and getting out when spy kept hitting 411 just for it to tank when I sell.
Chef Elko
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Dang, meltdown. Nobody wants to hold for tomorrow?
Carioca Corredor
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Closed the $SPX 4100 put for 14%. Got nervous before today's close and tomorrows action
(single put)
Charismatic Megafauna
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Nice trades!
Carioca Corredor
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Charismatic Megafauna said:

Nice trades!
Thx! Well needed after losing BIG at last expiry.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Tricky ass close. That drop at the end invalidates it as a wave 4. So either crash wave is on from here as wave 5 is done, or it's a continuation of wave 3 and we move higher. It's closing in middle of bollinger band on daily and in middle of the channel.

Best thing to do when it's not clear is to wait! Plenty of money to be made from here but no point rolling dice. Option spreads are an option here OTM in both directions but I had clinic and couldn't get orders in. I'll wait for direction.
Brian Earl Spilner
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So you're saying it goes either up, down, or sideways from here?
BaylorSpineGuy
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

So you're saying it goes either up, down, or sideways from here?


Lol Touche. Last two days have been fairly predictable IMO, but direction unclear so far.
FJ43
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Let's shoot for 416.32

BaylorSpineGuy
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I came up with a 415.04 someway or another this morning, but your number seems reasonable. In the 415-418 range, I'll start adding to a short position on SPY. Stop loss above early Feb high.
FJ43
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I've traded that 416 level a bunch. Just my lucky range. I'd pick 416.72 but that would be too exact.


BaylorSpineGuy
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Avg number of advances in this current uptrend is 6-7 with drawdowns lasting 2-3 sessions on avg. if trend holds, we should advance/consolidate for another 2-4 sessions.
Talon2DSO
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Anyone here watching CNHI?
wanderer
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has recovered a bit this week, but still below MT

Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

This just hit model-T at 14.80. June 15c going for 70-75cents. (not a ton of volume, but has decent OI at 5k)

OA this still a decent play with macros starting to waffle?


Hasn't aged well
It must be the 9.2 PE Ratio or the $1.49 EPS
It was actually the news of a $600M debt offering. Successful too. I bought shares, not being in a hurry with a down market.
irish pete ag06
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irish pete ag06 said:

Heineken-Ashi said:

Long auto insurance stocks

Car insurance rates to rise 8.4% in 2023: Report - ABC News (go.com)
I can provide some real insight here.

Insurance companies got smoked last year (apparently one major carrier lost $ on their investments for the first time in their history). So yes they are going to use this opportunity to raise rates.

If the market has also recovered quite a bit by the end of 2023 then you will see some major profits in this year.

Take a look at Chubb (CB)



Steady uptrend. Not many stocks have a chart like this since the COVID crash.


Also if you have a high earner, you should definitely look at Chubb for insuring your stuff. You are their targe market and they really differentiate themselves in this segment. I would gladly look at it for you (shameless plug), but our home/auto insurance division is not up and running yet (still got hoops and a little red tape to clear)






I think now is a good time to long CB.
AgCPA95
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SF2004
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AgCPA95 said:


They even cooked the books by changing the calculation.

This ain't good but once again the scam markets pump.
FTAG 2000
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SF2004 said:

AgCPA95 said:


They even cooked the books by changing the calculation.

This ain't good but once again the scam markets pump.
How did they change the calcs? Cut out everything but cost of air to breathe?
gougler08
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JD looks like a good spot to buy, stop/loss at $35
Charismatic Megafauna
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Charismatic Megafauna said:

Oa's june 16 qqq puts worked well for me a week or so ago. I held 299s for less than a week and made 20%. Starting to ease into 300s now

Grabbed another for 5.85
FTAG 2000
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What the heck just happened? Everything bombing.
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