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24,961,280 Views | 233721 Replies | Last: 20 min ago by El_duderino
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Bulls need to break through, c'mon!
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Oh yeah brother, I know you were jacking with me. All good. Every time I hear or get involved in a beer conversation it reminds me of a story with a company I worked for. We were the largest malt supplier at the time. Sometime around 2005, the VP of the business unit and I got into a discussion. Basically, he told me that all beers were going light colored and malting business was going to die. I told him I thought the market was going dark colored and away from light. It was a lively discussion. At the time, I was an internal company consultant, but I wasn't on assignment to the malting business. So, this was just a "conversation". In the end, the VP convinced the company to sell the assets and cut "potential asset losses" of a dying business.....the market trended dark in less than 12 months. I've always done my best to take the high road in business; however, this is one guy I wouldn't have mind telling him, "I told you so". His self-importance was off the chart. That's my real beer story..
oldarmy1
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AG
Remember seminar on the triple descending triangles? Look at the minute chart on SPX SPY

wanderer
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SPX/SPY trying to form an inverse H&S on the 1min
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
90 minutes for magic. Let's see.
wanderer
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Neck line would be at the support line for earlier bounces in the day.
oldarmy1
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Yup and we flashed below for a tricksy potential.
oldarmy1
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oldarmy1 said:

Yup and we flashed below for a tricksy potential.
Zero follow through on the initial flash bounce and now melting away below.
topher06
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So much for that. Melting down now.
$30,000 Millionaire
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Wrong kind of magic.
TheVarian
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It makes me just want to give you my fidelity account and say help. You can have 10ish%. I'm easy, we can negotiate.
Brian Earl Spilner
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Still think we might rally into a mildly green close here.
Churlish Sambino
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oldarmy1 said:

Just bought 200k shares of OVV. Crushed like all oil but the cash position they have is just too strong to pass it up under $4. Absolutely brutal bear tear down of these stocks.

This went in retirement accounts so no concern over short term volatility from here.


Just wanted to say thanks for posting this on 3/9/2020. I liked the numbers, so I bought at $3, sold 10% when it hit $30 in summer 2021 and still have the rest. I'm about to sell another 10-20%. I only have a fraction of the shares you posted, but the gains and dividends have been significant for me and my family. I never would have heard of it without this thread.

Thanks!!
$30,000 Millionaire
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TheVarian said:

It makes me just want to give you my fidelity account and say help. You can have 10ish%. I'm easy, we can negotiate.


What are you struggling with?
$30,000 Millionaire
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

Still think we might rally into a mildly green close here.


Downward pressure is pretty great at the moment. It either resolved itself quickly or it's going to puke the close.
Charismatic Megafauna
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You're an even more insufferable optimist than i am! But i think any calls carried overnight will pay. Trying to figure out what right now. Maybe OA's meta or fsly?
$30,000 Millionaire
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I've posted trades I've taken here:

Bought LUMN at 7.45. Could have managed at 8+. Analyst downgrade sent it back down

Bought ENVX and sold 20C against it. This looks good.

Sold CCL 7.5P. Fine to take assignment at net cost of 6.6.

Sold CVX 160P. Also fine with taking assignment
topher06
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Charismatic Megafauna said:

You're an even more insufferable optimist than i am! But i think any calls carried overnight will pay. Trying to figure out what right now. Maybe OA's meta or fsly?
I'm just not sure how the jobs report will be anything better than neutral. If more jobs than expected (i) no one believes the report anyway because it is manipulated and (ii) it will be taken as a sign that the economy is too hot and needs more rate increases. If fewer jobs than expected, well we have Vokler 2.0 anyway so the "wait and see" means more rate hikes. This might be overly negative, but I think anything other than CPI coming in lower than expected is irrelevant right now.

But I agree that thinking this could end green today is way too optimistic.
wanderer
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what just happened with SNDL?
Charismatic Megafauna
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Didn't realize that jobs was in the morning... maybe we're pricing that in right now
oldarmy1
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Excellent! OVV paid for quite a bit of property. I sold out at $55 last time it was there. Went to $60 before to $40 but I didn't trade it again.
topher06
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Charismatic Megafauna said:

Didn't realize that jobs was in the morning... maybe we're pricing that in right now
ADP report was yesterday. The "official" government report is tomorrow.
wanderer
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ah, there ya go
South Platte
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wanderer said:

what just happened with SNDL?
The opposite effect of TGGI.
Brewmaster
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Churlish Sambino said:

oldarmy1 said:

Just bought 200k shares of OVV. Crushed like all oil but the cash position they have is just too strong to pass it up under $4. Absolutely brutal bear tear down of these stocks.

This went in retirement accounts so no concern over short term volatility from here.


Just wanted to say thanks for posting this on 3/9/2020. I liked the numbers, so I bought at $3, sold 10% when it hit $30 in summer 2021 and still have the rest. I'm about to sell another 10-20%. I only have a fraction of the shares you posted, but the gains and dividends have been significant for me and my family. I never would have heard of it without this thread.

Thanks!!
Let us know when you trade WWR too, will ya? asking for a friend, lol
oldarmy1
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I see you!
Brewmaster
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oldarmy1 said:

I see you!
lol, sorry, sore topic round here! I may dabble in it again one of these days.
oldarmy1
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SNDL TLRY moving on biden
Charismatic Megafauna
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I'm lottoing CLF calls and vxx puts
Churlish Sambino
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BREwmaster said:

Churlish Sambino said:

oldarmy1 said:

Just bought 200k shares of OVV. Crushed like all oil but the cash position they have is just too strong to pass it up under $4. Absolutely brutal bear tear down of these stocks.

This went in retirement accounts so no concern over short term volatility from here.


Just wanted to say thanks for posting this on 3/9/2020. I liked the numbers, so I bought at $3, sold 10% when it hit $30 in summer 2021 and still have the rest. I'm about to sell another 10-20%. I only have a fraction of the shares you posted, but the gains and dividends have been significant for me and my family. I never would have heard of it without this thread.

Thanks!!
Let us know when you trade WWR too, will ya? asking for a friend, lol


Any day now … right? My only regret with WWR is not selling more when it was over $10 last year. I could have easily made money and be sitting with some net free shares, but instead I'm in the red. Guess that's what happens when you get greedy!!

TheVarian
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

TheVarian said:

It makes me just want to give you my fidelity account and say help. You can have 10ish%. I'm easy, we can negotiate.


What are you struggling with?


Yes.

Was joking, mostly. I am a lurker on this thread and am just learning. It has been eye opening as to what can be done with time, precision, analytics, and sometimes, luck.

Y'all are great!
wanderer
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FIFY

It has been eye opening as to what can be done with wrong time, wrong precision, wrong analytics, and sometimes, bad luck.
topher06
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It's not really power hour anymore, it's power 3-5 minutes. The bear algos have been working it the past few days.
wanderer
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I was able to work my way into a SPY 10/12 $375 strangle. Orders were executed at different times throughout the day and I was able to get the puts and calls for $4.50 each. I feel decent about the price I paid, you willing to share where you're in at?
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