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24,641,173 Views | 233293 Replies | Last: 2 hrs ago by Heineken-Ashi
SF2004
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AG
Market over cooked in the short term right before CPI.

Mother of all retail screwing's tomorrow.

Brewmaster
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oldarmy1 said:

BREwmaster said:

Bob Knights Liver said:

Holy crap, what a fakeout move. 3o minutes down with elevated volume and then 30 minutes up with elevatedor volume.
holy cow, no kidding, big volume coming in now
https://twitter.com/oldarmy1/status/1491503296095436800?s=20&t=5kTOTEXLqdSbNaphI1536Q
OA the legend.

Brewmaster
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SF2004 said:

Market over cooked in the short term right before CPI.

Mother of all retail screwing's tomorrow.


doubt it at this point, maybe a small pullback, nothing more. Bulls are throwing down here.
McInnis 03
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UBER nice little action too.
McInnis 03
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AG
TWLO TO MOON
wanderer
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McInnis 03 said:

McInnis 03 said:

Looking at playing Disney by buying some logner dated calls and selling some of this Fridays calls against them as the premium is high today with ER today.

Ok, just legged into a calendar spread.

Bought APR 155C for $4.25
Sold FEB11 155c for $1.48

This is a bullish (because obviously Permabull Mc is Permabull) play that buys me a little time and should DIS stay at or under 155 this Friday allows me to keep some premium that's inflated due to earnings.
You so dumb.
I'm assuming you're just bummed that you capped your gains by selling the 2/11 155? This will still be a successful trade.

BTW, I went with you in a similar way on this. bought 3/4 150c, sold 2/11 152.5c
TexasAg2017
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McInnis 03 said:

AG 2000' said:

Got this nagging feeling we run into close and tomorrow.

Everyone's expecting ****ty CPI numbers tomorrow and positioning short.
For you





Took a couple because I'm a degenerate
McInnis 03
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AG
You're right, it's the "oh man, darn" feeling; however there's a few days here and who knows what the proper play is. Perhaps a roll out and up to create some freebie verticals? I'll provide follow up in case anyone is interested.

But to be perfectly clear: AH would indicate this is a successful trade. If it's a double in the morning, maybe we just take and go.
Charismatic Megafauna
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What do you do if that short call gets exercised before you close it? You're stuck with 100 short sold shares and the one long call, so your only option is to exercise the long call to cover, right? Wouldn't that wipe out any profits? I guess if you have the cash you could sell the long call and harvest premium, and buy to cover the short shares at your convenience?
FTAG 2000
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Charismatic Megafauna said:

Taking the under i see. Good luck!
Ha, thanks.

Part of it, I already had grabbed some $1000C lottos. Had to go under (or I guess I could have done over) to make it work on a fly as I couldn't be long and short at the same strike on the fly order.

We'll see how it goes.
sts7049
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ROKU with a sympathy move too looks like. if she stays over 170 we might have found the bottom of it as well
Charismatic Megafauna
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Or you could work the spread by buying a 990 and a 1010, and selling 2 995s and 1005s to turn your 1000s into 2 flies!
FTAG 2000
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Charismatic Megafauna said:

Or you could work the spread by buying a 990 and a 1010, and selling 2 995s and 1005s to turn your 1000s into 2 flies!
59 South
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ROKU getting some DIS sympathy. I picked up some longer term lotto calls today. July 300c at $3.20. I had sold a couple hundred of my shares last year in the mid 300s so used some of those profits to re-enter after some basing and earnings play next week.

I'm starting to favour longer term options lately. Can really leverage up and set your loss tolerance (premium paid) and forget it. So ROKU goes to $375 in the next 5 months, I bank $70k+. Not as unpossible as you think. If not, I lose about $3k. And I'm off to southern Spain tomorrow and not worried about it. You chaps enjoy the stress of it all

FYI, you gotta take swings for the fences (controlled swings) sometimes. Look at ROKU back in Dec 2018-Mar 2019. It about tripled from brutal sell off bottom in 2.5 months. Not saying that's gonna happen but it's possible. What if the fed backs off and doesn't raise rates? What if they blow out earnings next week and again in Q1? It could be $400 in May. Not likely, but possible. But possible is all you need 3.20 to 100 if you can handle the risk of 3.20 going to zero? Oh god I'm starting to sound like crazy twitter Sam....
59 South
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sts7049 said:

ROKU with a sympathy move too looks like. if she stays over 170 we might have found the bottom of it as well
Jinx!
Charismatic Megafauna
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I'm telling you, this fly thing clicked and now I'm ruined
McInnis 03
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Charismatic Megafauna said:

What do you do if that short call gets exercised before you close it? You're stuck with 100 short sold shares and the one long call, so your only option is to exercise the long call to cover, right? Wouldn't that wipe out any profits? I guess if you have the cash you could sell the long call and harvest premium, and buy to cover the short shares at your convenience?
You are pretty much right here, but for someone to exercise a $5 ITM call 2 days before expiration would be pretty rare for me personally.
McInnis 03
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AG
Why is SQ moving up AH?
59 South
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McInnis 03 said:

Why is SQ moving up AH?
Maybe Jack shaved his beard and got serious?
Charismatic Megafauna
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*or is getting replaced
Touchless
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You have any updated thoughts on GOCO or what ended up happening with them? I know you were pretty excited about them a year and a half ago.
OutlawAG04
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My DIS leaps are going to look good in the morning! Have $125s and $130s I picked up earlier in Jan. For what it is worth, Disney isn't going anywhere. They have a revolving door of kids and adults that will want to continue to experience the Disney magic.

I know a few dads on here (like myself) go to Disney every year. A few things to note:

1. They are trimming excess costs (shuttle rides from the airport called Magical Express that used to be free now cost $160 round trip from the airport for a family of 5). Granted many drive to Disney, but I have to imagine over half the guest are flying in from other locations
2. They still don't have meal plans because they do not have enough restaurants open to justify it (or at least that is what they say)
3. They took away fast passes and now have this stupid thing called Genie pass that you have to pay additional money for.
4. They have one or two rides at each park that you can't use the genie pass and you have to pay additional cost on top of that (surge pricing can range from $7-14 per head)
5. All merchandise and food prices are up (as I suspect some is inflation related and some is because they are Disney and will take what they can get)
5. IT IS THEIR 50TH ANNIVERSARY

If this COVID stuff calms down as I suspect most people think it will, their attendance is going to be through the roof this year. Combine that with the fat they trimmed during COVID... numbers will continue to improve.

They averaged 57,000 guests per day prior to COVID at Disneyworld (most say it dropped to the mid 30k range during COVID). I just got back a week ago and asked various staff if they thought things were getting busier and they think this will be the busiest time they have had in years.

Disney plus will continue to be a winner. My kids use it every day and should be well positioned for live streaming
ProgN
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With the DIS report saying park traffic was solid, CZR could really go as well. They're up in AH and their charts look really good. I can see this going to $110 with the quickness.
ProgN
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OutlawAG04 said:

My DIS leaps are going to look good in the morning! Have $125s and $130s I picked up earlier in Jan. For what it is worth, Disney isn't going anywhere. They have a revolving door of kids and adults that will want to continue to experience the Disney magic.

I know a few dads on here (like myself) go to Disney every year. A few things to note:

1. They are trimming excess costs (shuttle rides from the airport called Magical Express that used to be free now cost $160 round trip from the airport for a family of 5). Granted many drive to Disney, but I have to imagine over half the guest are flying in from other locations
2. They still don't have meal plans because they do not have enough restaurants open to justify it (or at least that is what they say)
3. They took away fast passes and now have this stupid thing called Genie pass that you have to pay additional money for.
4. They have one or two rides at each park that you can't use the genie pass and you have to pay additional cost on top of that (surge pricing can range from $7-14 per head)
5. All merchandise and food prices are up (as I suspect some is inflation related and some is because they are Disney and will take what they can get)
5. IT IS THEIR 50TH ANNIVERSARY

If this COVID stuff calms down as I suspect most people think it will, their attendance is going to be through the roof this year. Combine that with the fat they trimmed during COVID... numbers will continue to improve.

They averaged 57,000 guests per day prior to COVID at Disneyworld (most say it dropped to the mid 30k range during COVID). I just got back a week ago and asked various staff if they thought things were getting busier and they think this will be the busiest time they have had in years.

Disney plus will continue to be a winner. My kids use it every day and should be well positioned for live streaming
I just hope they come to their senses and drop the vax mandate for their cruises. I really want to take my son (he's almost 7) on one but he's not taking that mRNA crap. If they drop the requirement, then I'll be reserving a trip.
McInnis 03
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ProgN said:

With the DIS report saying park traffic was solid, CZR could really go as well. They're up in AH and their charts look really good. I can see this going to $110 with the quickness.
CZR is piggy backing off MGM who reported AH today.
ProgN
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Then that's even better.
Dan Scott
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IRNT!! What happened
Charismatic Megafauna
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.gov contract. I think oa1 called out big flow on this the other day. Maybe it was irish
Dan Scott
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https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20220209005395/en/IronNet-Announces-Agreement-with-a-Gulf-Cooperation-Council-Country-to-Provide-Collective-Defense-for-Critical-National-Infrastructure

Go baby go. This is another nice spec stock. CEO on board of Amazon and former general. Need to get some government contracts
ProgN
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Dan Scott said:

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20220209005395/en/IronNet-Announces-Agreement-with-a-Gulf-Cooperation-Council-Country-to-Provide-Collective-Defense-for-Critical-National-Infrastructure

Go baby go. This is another nice spec stock. CEO on board of Amazon and former general. Need to get some government contracts


This should be your sig when one of your stocks does well.
59 South
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cgh1999
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McInnis 03 said:

UBER nice little action too.
I bought 200 shares earlier this week at $38 and sold covered calls at $42 and $43. I'll take 10% in 3 days.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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I have $120 DIS leaps and sold some put credit spreads. But I couldn't help myself and bought 4 shares today at $147 just to play. I sold those at $158. I plan on using my $44 for BBQ.
DavysApprentice
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ProgN said:

Dan Scott said:

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20220209005395/en/IronNet-Announces-Agreement-with-a-Gulf-Cooperation-Council-Country-to-Provide-Collective-Defense-for-Critical-National-Infrastructure

Go baby go. This is another nice spec stock. CEO on board of Amazon and former general. Need to get some government contracts


This should be your sig when one of your stocks does well.


Might get some action on those 2024 5 dollar leaps tomorrow. Maybe a chance to go net free
willowratio
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Noob question regarding cup and handle pattern. What time frame do you look at? I'm sure it depends on many factors, but generally?

I cant post a pic but if someone has time, could you look at BLND, 6 month time frame.

I'm seeing a cup starting right before December at 11.40ish.

Thanks In advance.
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