gigem1223 said:
htxag09 said:
Cyp0111 said:
Gas public equities are very overvalued at current strip. Need less oil and gas independents. Combine and lay down rigs
Pretty interesting hearing the power trip of service companies. Lots are publicly saying they'll lay down rigs/equipment before dropping prices. Better be careful what they wish for.
Can you blame them? Operators are the ones with record high stock prices, not the service companies.
Eh, that's a popular talking point but not every operator has record high stock prices. It also has a lot to do with wells already drilled and now producing. Forward looking, it doesn't make a lot of sense to continue drilling and completing wells at 2022 service prices if commodity prices are 20-70% lower. Especially when those providers' quality has gone down and inefficiencies are up (broadly speaking).
If they think it's better for their business to lay employees off and park equipment vs lowering prices a few percent more power to them. Nobody thinks prices are going to go back to 2020/2021 levels. But it's just as silly to expect to maintain pricing from 100% utilization levels of 2022 when crews are being let go and actively seeking work regularly.
If they think operators are bluffing and just waiting to see who breaks first, again, more power to them. But I think we all know, especially in gas heavy plays, what that will mean right now.
There is a reason this was the first sentence of a market update article I just received:
Quote:
The US onshore rig count posted its steepest weekly fall since mid-2020