***** Official Houston Astros 2026 Season Thread *****

2,364,565 Views | 36387 Replies | Last: 8 min ago by Farmer1906
W
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Skubal is starting tonight for Detroit -- so the 'stros won't see him this weekend

however the Tigers are 4-1 on their current homestand -- they are a good home team
txags11
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Rangers lose again. We can pass them up tonight with a W
CharleyKerfeld
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Cubs sit Bregman down today. He's on pace to play 160 games, hit 12 HR, and drive in 52 runs. OPS down to .682. His career low is .768 in '24.

He had 2 HR on March 29th, the fourth game of the season. Since then, he's had 1 in April, 2 in May, and 1 so far in June.
W
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father time

fans know it exists -- general managers do not
SpaceCityAg05
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Plus ballpark factors. More guys are ballpark impacted than people acknowledge.

Everyone focuses on Daikin as great for pull-happy righties, but on the flip side, I don't think it is a coincidence that Cam Smith keeps hitting HR and doubles to the power alleys on the road, whereas that is the place baseballs go to die in Houston.

Fenway was always the best place for Bregman to hit and Wrigley is one of the worst.
Hornbeck
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If they magically made all dimensions the same, I think you'd be surprised at how some folks do.
Farmer1906
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I was adamant that Bregman needed to be in Houston or Boston to finish his career if he wanted to make a run at the HOF. But this year, it doesn't look like an issue. Savant has him hitting only 4 HRs in Houston based on this year's hits.

Bregman never had elite tools when it came to speed, bat speed, exit velos, etc. He was a savvy hitter who didn't K a bunch, took his walks, and pulled the ball for cheap home runs. He's kind of always lived on the margins post-2019. When the walks tick down just a little and the strike outs tick up and the little power he had drops bit, he goes from good player to bad player quickly.

I do think long-term Wrigley is a bad spot for him. He constantly tinkers with the swing. I think he tinkered the wrong way, not too dissimilar from what he did back in 23 or 24 (I forget which season). I don't think he's done, but I also think his ceiling will continue to lower as he ages and plays in the windy city.
W
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top 5 today:

Altuve
Yordan
Pena
Paredes
Loperfido

interesting -- sticking with the hot bats
SpaceCityAg05
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It is not just the HR, though. Note the home/road splits for Bregman. His marginal power needs short dimensions to LF and LCF to allow his line drives to hit walls and not fall lazily into gloves. And struggles at home inevitably affect your whole game and approach at the plate.

Frankly, Bregman has never been a legit HR hitter except when the balls have been juiced. He doesn't even do the one thing that can help at Wrigley which is get high launch angle when it is hot and let the call carry. But he is a disciplined line-drive and slash hitter. Like many, he would also do well in Colorado where the giant outfield would help him to collect more hits.

CharleyKerfeld
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Bregman was never the same guy after the cheating scandal got exposed.

Not saying his success was all cheating (unlike Marwin), but he definitely lost his swagger where he acted like an elite player all the time.

Him in the 2017 post-season through the 2019 regular season made it seem like he was going to be a perennial top 5 MVP candidate.
Moe Jzyslak
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I dunno, he did get engaged and married in 2020...
tjack16
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That 2019 Bregman 42 homerun season is still wild to me all these years later. He hasn't even sniffed 30 since then
Farmer1906
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I think it was a combination of a lot of things. He was super cocky because he hit awesome and could drop 40 bombs. And he could drop 40 bombs because they played with juiced balls. Then the balls got dead, the sign-stealing got made public, and some soft tissue injuries started. Even with all that, he was a dang good player. From 2020 to 2025 he had a wRC+ of 124 and 20.9 WAR. His worst season was 114, which isn't terrible at all.
Mathguy64
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Bregman was massively benefited by a juiced ball and the short porch.

I also the leg issues caught up with him.
Farmer1906
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tjack16 said:

That 2019 Bregman 42 homerun season is still wild to me all these years later. He hasn't even sniffed 30 since then

There are a lot of WTF #s at the end of that year.

Bellinger - 47
Glebar Torres - 37
Max Kepler - 36
Eduardo Escobar - 35
Trey Mancini - 35
Kole Calhoun - 33
Renato Nñez - 31 (I seriously have no idea who this is)
Eloy Jimnez - 31
Farmer1906
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W said:

top 5 today:

Altuve
Yordan
Pena
Paredes
Loperfido

interesting -- sticking with the hot bats

Giving Walker the day off and getting another LHH in the lineup with Delgado.
tjack16
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Normally I'm against giving one of the core 5 guys a day off, but Walker might need it
JYDog90
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Farmer1906 said:

W said:

top 5 today:

Altuve
Yordan
Pena
Paredes
Loperfido

interesting -- sticking with the hot bats

Giving Walker the day off and getting another LHH in the lineup with Delgado.


He needs an attitude adjustment if nothing else.
Formerly Willy Wonka
linkdude
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Pena batting third is an interesting strat, he'll have plenty of baserunners on hitting behind Yord and Tuve.
ruxin98
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W said:

top 5 today:

Altuve
Yordan
Pena
Paredes
Loperfido

interesting -- sticking with the hot bats

Good to see Pena back in there.
CharleyKerfeld
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Walker has been on 18 HR and 52 RBI for a longggggggggg time
Wabs
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CharleyKerfeld said:

Walker has been on 18 HR and 52 RBI for a longggggggggg time


He has taken a nose dive, especially in the past 10 games or so. Strike out or fly out machine.
tjack16
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Walker in June

15-79 (.190) with 2 HR 9 RBI and 26 K
.598 OPS

Not ideal for your 3/4 hitter. Also 5 of his 9 RBI came in two games
CharleyKerfeld
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OK HOFA is going wire to wire tonight. Will probably need at least 5-6 runs to win with Burrows pitching
BTKAG97
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Interesting... broadcast just showed the Astros have the 2nd best record in the AL and 5th best record in baseball since May 19th (almost a month and a half). Perceptually that is surprising, but it makes sense why the organization has been talking about being buyers instead of sellers.
W
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Pena walks
BTKAG97
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Pena with a 9 pitch walk after a fast 2 outs from Altuve and Alvarez. We'll done.
tjack16
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Land of my ancestors is getting smoked by Brazil right now so the Astros need to step it up

Also one of these years Ireland needs to qualify. That's where the bulk of mine is. Irish/Scottish/Welsh
W
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Paredes doubles off the leftfielder

1-0
BTKAG97
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2 out, RBI Doible by Paredes.
CharleyKerfeld
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ESOCK HOFA baby

W
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40 RBI for Paredes

and he was supposed to be a sub this year
CharleyKerfeld
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O/U on Burrows' HR allowed tonight: 2.5
tjack16
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Under. But I'll say 2 but they have runners on base
BTKAG97
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CharleyKerfeld said:

O/U on Burrows' HR allowed tonight: 2.5
2 in 5.1 innings.
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