Prayers lifted up my man. Hope it all turns out well for you.
If you think it would help to talk feel free to reach out.
If you think it would help to talk feel free to reach out.
Said a prayer for you this morning and will continue to do so, my friend.texasaggie2015 said:
Hey guys, I normally don't do things like this but if you could send some prayers and good vibes my way it would be greatly appreciated. I don't want to go into too much detail but I'm getting some medical tests done and I'm currently in the weird waiting stage and I am beyond stressed out. Hoping for the best outcome.
Given Altuve's proclivities to swing away early in the count, I doubt any decent pitcher is throwing him anything worth hitting in those first couple of pitches. If they do, they are a fool. He seems to swing at a lot of fastballs way above the zone, and sliders way outside on P1. I wonder if statcast has the ability to tell us which team swings at the most pitches that would be called balls? I would bet we are way up there.Beat40 said:
I guess the question is what if pitch 1 or 2 is the only pitch in the AB you could drive? The elite guys will throw whatever they want in whatever count they want. And they usually go 6 regardless of your approach.
I'm pro taking some pitches, but I also understand the idea of hit the best pitch against elite pitching, especially if you are a good-to-great hitter. Taking pitches might only cap their outing at 6 innings.
Check out the below. I set it to the entire league, all balls in play and strikeouts for everything outside of the zone.txags92 said:Given Altuve's proclivities to swing away early in the count, I doubt any decent pitcher is throwing him anything worth hitting in those first couple of pitches. If they do, they are a fool. He seems to swing at a lot of fastballs way above the zone, and sliders way outside on P1. I wonder if statcast has the ability to tell us which team swings at the most pitches that would be called balls? I would bet we are way up there.Beat40 said:
I guess the question is what if pitch 1 or 2 is the only pitch in the AB you could drive? The elite guys will throw whatever they want in whatever count they want. And they usually go 6 regardless of your approach.
I'm pro taking some pitches, but I also understand the idea of hit the best pitch against elite pitching, especially if you are a good-to-great hitter. Taking pitches might only cap their outing at 6 innings.
Every team has flaws. This one just seems to have more than previous versions.cone said:
consider for a moment that this team is really not that great
They've been one of the best teams since like mid-May.cone said:
consider for a moment that this team is really not that great
cone said:
consider for a moment that this team is really not that great
cone said:
just my opinion
they don't have the bats and the pen isn't deep enough
starting pitching is fine, good enough
top half of the order is fine
bottom half of the order is just woeful
Brother, you're describing all of MLB teams, except for maybe the Padres at the moment.cone said:
just my opinion
they don't have the bats and the pen isn't deep enough
starting pitching is fine, good enough
top half of the order is fine
bottom half of the order is just woeful
When you sort that "chases outside zone by team" by percentage instead of raw #, we are only behind Miami in percentage chased outside the zone. We see fewer pitches than pretty much any other team and swing and miss at a higher percentage on pitches outside of the zone than anybody except Miami. Those metrics ought to get Cintron fired by themselves.Beat40 said:Check out the below. I set it to the entire league, all balls in play and strikeouts for everything outside of the zone.txags92 said:Given Altuve's proclivities to swing away early in the count, I doubt any decent pitcher is throwing him anything worth hitting in those first couple of pitches. If they do, they are a fool. He seems to swing at a lot of fastballs way above the zone, and sliders way outside on P1. I wonder if statcast has the ability to tell us which team swings at the most pitches that would be called balls? I would bet we are way up there.Beat40 said:
I guess the question is what if pitch 1 or 2 is the only pitch in the AB you could drive? The elite guys will throw whatever they want in whatever count they want. And they usually go 6 regardless of your approach.
I'm pro taking some pitches, but I also understand the idea of hit the best pitch against elite pitching, especially if you are a good-to-great hitter. Taking pitches might only cap their outing at 6 innings.
There are some big names on the list. Astros have 2 in the top 10, Altuve (3) and Diaz (9). Ohtani is top 20. Outside of Altuve and Diaz, the next Astro on the list is Yordan at 40.
Astros are #5 at swinging at putting balls in play outside the zone. Lot of playoff teams in top 10, specifically 5-10.
Chases outside zone
Chases outside zone by team
I think the link below is the page you're really looking for. You can sort multiple columns - from chase, whiff, 1st pitch swinnging, etc. You can make numbers say whatever you want to say, but if you look at chase %, while the Astros are really high, there are some other solid playoff teams in the top 10. Also some in the lower 3rd. My takeaway is chasing is all over the board and not a great thing to base an offense off of.
Plate Discipline
Astros are swapping relievers today. Shawn Dubin is coming up for Seth Martinez, who was optioned after last night’s game.
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) September 24, 2024
Should have sent Turd Ferguson down instead. I hope to God they keep him off the playoff roster so Joe isn't able t trot him out there in a 1-run game. Give his spot to JV if you want. I would trust JV to come out of the pen before I would trust Ferguson at this point.EastCoastAgNc said:Astros are swapping relievers today. Shawn Dubin is coming up for Seth Martinez, who was optioned after last night’s game.
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) September 24, 2024
I'm pretty much with you, but I think getting through the WC series will be tough depending on who we play. And of course whether Yordan comes back. He's obviously a critical piece of the lineup. It seems without him there is a steep and early drop off.tjack16 said:
I personally don't think we have enough to win 3 straight series to get to the World Series
I'd pick us against anybody in the wild card, and then I'd give us the slight edge over Cleveland just given our "been there done that" experience.
However unless there's an upset in an earlier round I don't see us out slugging New York or Baltimore in an ALCS. Especially if our offense does what it tends to do and not hit with RISP. Also our bullpen maybe has good stats but they've been making me very weary the past few weeks
My prediction would be losing the ALCS to either New York/Baltimore in 6 games
txags92 said:When you sort that "chases outside zone by team" by percentage instead of raw #, we are only behind Miami in percentage chased outside the zone. We see fewer pitches than pretty much any other team and swing and miss at a higher percentage on pitches outside of the zone than anybody except Miami. Those metrics ought to get Cintron fired by themselves.Beat40 said:Check out the below. I set it to the entire league, all balls in play and strikeouts for everything outside of the zone.txags92 said:Given Altuve's proclivities to swing away early in the count, I doubt any decent pitcher is throwing him anything worth hitting in those first couple of pitches. If they do, they are a fool. He seems to swing at a lot of fastballs way above the zone, and sliders way outside on P1. I wonder if statcast has the ability to tell us which team swings at the most pitches that would be called balls? I would bet we are way up there.Beat40 said:
I guess the question is what if pitch 1 or 2 is the only pitch in the AB you could drive? The elite guys will throw whatever they want in whatever count they want. And they usually go 6 regardless of your approach.
I'm pro taking some pitches, but I also understand the idea of hit the best pitch against elite pitching, especially if you are a good-to-great hitter. Taking pitches might only cap their outing at 6 innings.
There are some big names on the list. Astros have 2 in the top 10, Altuve (3) and Diaz (9). Ohtani is top 20. Outside of Altuve and Diaz, the next Astro on the list is Yordan at 40.
Astros are #5 at swinging at putting balls in play outside the zone. Lot of playoff teams in top 10, specifically 5-10.
Chases outside zone
Chases outside zone by team
I think the link below is the page you're really looking for. You can sort multiple columns - from chase, whiff, 1st pitch swinnging, etc. You can make numbers say whatever you want to say, but if you look at chase %, while the Astros are really high, there are some other solid playoff teams in the top 10. Also some in the lower 3rd. My takeaway is chasing is all over the board and not a great thing to base an offense off of.
Plate Discipline
Those aren't just swings and misses. That included hits, balls in play for outs, and strike outs. Respectively, the Astros are 1st in hitting balls outside the zone, 3rd in putting balls in play for outs outside the zone, and 21st in strikeouts outside the zone.txags92 said:When you sort that "chases outside zone by team" by percentage instead of raw #, we are only behind Miami in percentage chased outside the zone. We see fewer pitches than pretty much any other team and swing and miss at a higher percentage on pitches outside of the zone than anybody except Miami. Those metrics ought to get Cintron fired by themselves.Beat40 said:Check out the below. I set it to the entire league, all balls in play and strikeouts for everything outside of the zone.txags92 said:Given Altuve's proclivities to swing away early in the count, I doubt any decent pitcher is throwing him anything worth hitting in those first couple of pitches. If they do, they are a fool. He seems to swing at a lot of fastballs way above the zone, and sliders way outside on P1. I wonder if statcast has the ability to tell us which team swings at the most pitches that would be called balls? I would bet we are way up there.Beat40 said:
I guess the question is what if pitch 1 or 2 is the only pitch in the AB you could drive? The elite guys will throw whatever they want in whatever count they want. And they usually go 6 regardless of your approach.
I'm pro taking some pitches, but I also understand the idea of hit the best pitch against elite pitching, especially if you are a good-to-great hitter. Taking pitches might only cap their outing at 6 innings.
There are some big names on the list. Astros have 2 in the top 10, Altuve (3) and Diaz (9). Ohtani is top 20. Outside of Altuve and Diaz, the next Astro on the list is Yordan at 40.
Astros are #5 at swinging at putting balls in play outside the zone. Lot of playoff teams in top 10, specifically 5-10.
Chases outside zone
Chases outside zone by team
I think the link below is the page you're really looking for. You can sort multiple columns - from chase, whiff, 1st pitch swinnging, etc. You can make numbers say whatever you want to say, but if you look at chase %, while the Astros are really high, there are some other solid playoff teams in the top 10. Also some in the lower 3rd. My takeaway is chasing is all over the board and not a great thing to base an offense off of.
Plate Discipline
ETA: And having the 3rd highest chase % and highest first pitch swing % just paints the picture of an undisciplined set of batters to me. The fact that we swing that much at crap pitches, yet aren't highest in meatball swing % also suggests we aren't seeing enough pitches from a pitcher to know the difference. The real impact of watching pitches comes in either letting a pitcher with bad control give you free baserunners, or in later at bats, having seen all of his pitches, you know what you are looking for. When you get two outs on 3-4 pitches in your first 2 at bats against a guy, you still don't know what you are looking for when you see him again for the 3rd time.
They good thing is you don't have to outslug them. You have to outpitch them. I'd put Astros pitching up against New York or Balitmore any day, especially the starters.tjack16 said:
I personally don't think we have enough to win 3 straight series to get to the World Series
I'd pick us against anybody in the wild card, and then I'd give us the slight edge over Cleveland just given our "been there done that" experience.
However unless there's an upset in an earlier round I don't see us out slugging New York or Baltimore in an ALCS. Especially if our offense does what it tends to do and not hit with RISP. Also our bullpen maybe has good stats but they've been making me very weary the past few weeks
My prediction would be losing the ALCS to either New York/Baltimore in 6 games
cone said:
just my opinion
they don't have the bats and the pen isn't deep enough
starting pitching is fine, good enough
top half of the order is fine
bottom half of the order is just woeful
We might need to refresh our view on BAL. They have slowed down a ton.Beat40 said:They good thing is you don't have to outslug them. You have to outpitch them. I'd put Astros pitching up against New York or Balitmore any day, especially the starters.tjack16 said:
I personally don't think we have enough to win 3 straight series to get to the World Series
I'd pick us against anybody in the wild card, and then I'd give us the slight edge over Cleveland just given our "been there done that" experience.
However unless there's an upset in an earlier round I don't see us out slugging New York or Baltimore in an ALCS. Especially if our offense does what it tends to do and not hit with RISP. Also our bullpen maybe has good stats but they've been making me very weary the past few weeks
My prediction would be losing the ALCS to either New York/Baltimore in 6 games
From there, it's timely hits. It's post-season baseball, anything can happen.
The effect of swinging at all of those pitches outside the zone is that the Astros are last in the league in percentage of pitches seen in the strike zone. If pitchers don't have to put it in the zone to get us to swing at it, they won't.Beat40 said:txags92 said:When you sort that "chases outside zone by team" by percentage instead of raw #, we are only behind Miami in percentage chased outside the zone. We see fewer pitches than pretty much any other team and swing and miss at a higher percentage on pitches outside of the zone than anybody except Miami. Those metrics ought to get Cintron fired by themselves.Beat40 said:Check out the below. I set it to the entire league, all balls in play and strikeouts for everything outside of the zone.txags92 said:Given Altuve's proclivities to swing away early in the count, I doubt any decent pitcher is throwing him anything worth hitting in those first couple of pitches. If they do, they are a fool. He seems to swing at a lot of fastballs way above the zone, and sliders way outside on P1. I wonder if statcast has the ability to tell us which team swings at the most pitches that would be called balls? I would bet we are way up there.Beat40 said:
I guess the question is what if pitch 1 or 2 is the only pitch in the AB you could drive? The elite guys will throw whatever they want in whatever count they want. And they usually go 6 regardless of your approach.
I'm pro taking some pitches, but I also understand the idea of hit the best pitch against elite pitching, especially if you are a good-to-great hitter. Taking pitches might only cap their outing at 6 innings.
There are some big names on the list. Astros have 2 in the top 10, Altuve (3) and Diaz (9). Ohtani is top 20. Outside of Altuve and Diaz, the next Astro on the list is Yordan at 40.
Astros are #5 at swinging at putting balls in play outside the zone. Lot of playoff teams in top 10, specifically 5-10.
Chases outside zone
Chases outside zone by team
I think the link below is the page you're really looking for. You can sort multiple columns - from chase, whiff, 1st pitch swinnging, etc. You can make numbers say whatever you want to say, but if you look at chase %, while the Astros are really high, there are some other solid playoff teams in the top 10. Also some in the lower 3rd. My takeaway is chasing is all over the board and not a great thing to base an offense off of.
Plate Discipline
W said:
the general issue...
the Astros' championship teams...2017 and 2022...won 101 and 106 regular season games
the Astros' runner-up teams...2019 and 2021...won 107 and 95 regular season games
the 2024 team is going to win 87 or 88 games