Forgot we were facing Cy Young tonight
txags92 said:I'd be shocked to see Ted strikeout anywhere close to 35+%.The Porkchop Express said:Rusty Tucker is the new Yuey GuperfidoAg_07 said:
Why send him to SL?
Just send throw him out there in the lineup and let him find his feet.
Rusty Tucker can't be any worse than Chas
Rule#2 said:
Forgot we were facing Cy Young tonight
I think it is a misleading stat because whether or not Bregman scores is more about how the hitters behind him are doing than anything he does unless he is hitting dingers. If Yordan, Tucker, and Diaz are having good nights, Bregman is likely to be scoring since he is hitting in front of them, and the team is likely to do a lot better than if the 3/4/5 hitters are cold.AggieDub04 said:This seems like a very misleading stat.EastCoastAgNc said:In his 9th @MLB season, Alex Bregman is more essential than ever to the @Astros lineup.
— Jon Morosi (@jonmorosi) August 27, 2024
When he starts and scores a run, Houston is 42-11.
When he starts and doesn't score, the team is 23-46. @MLBNetwork
Astros have scored 597 runs this year of which Bregman has scored 67. That means Bregman has scored 67 runs in 53 games or 1.3 runs per game, when he scores. When he starts and doesn't score that's one spot in the order with zero runs which will artificially lower the expected output.
If you completely take Bregman's scoring away the team drops from 4.6 runs per game down to 4.0. Thus, all else held equal, the difference between him scoring a run and not gives a run differential of 5.3 vs 4.0 which is massive. How big? Prorated for the year the higher average would put the Astros at 695, no team has scored that many runs so far this year. If you take the lower number you get 530. Only 6 teams have scored fewer runs than that. So treating Bregman scoring a run as a different team is the difference between the 25th best offense in the league and the best offense in the league by far.
I'd be interested to see the same stat on other players. Altuve and Yordan have more runs than Bregman and Pena is tied. I would guess Altuve and Yordan have a bigger impact while Pena is roughly the same.
Beau Holder said:
Imagine a RISP hit.
Beau Holder said:
I really sit down to watch this offense every night.
Maybe he'll round into form over the next few weeks but right now he doesn't have anything close to ace stuffRule#2 said:
Verlander not making it through 5 and no Hader. RIP