Farmer1906 said:
Snell turned down 6/150, reportedly. Assume he is willing to accept the Rodon deal - 6/162.
That moves CBT payroll from 255 to 282. If I am doing the math right it would increase our tax bill from 3.6 M to 13.625 M. Its more like we'd be paying Snell 37 M this year instead of 27 M. I would think, Crane would want to offload salary at that point. Who makes sense to offload?
JV - 40.5 M (but only 17 M) - not happening. We need him.
Aluve - 23.3 M - LOL
Bregman - 20 M - not this late and without Chapman to replace him.
Abreu - 19.5 M - I wish but this contract is a boat anchor.
Alvarez - 19.1 M - LOL
Hader - 19 M - just signed
LMJ - 17 M - damaged goods will have no takers
Pressly - 15 M - i guess this is technically a possibility, but we can't take any hits to this bullpen.
Javier - 12.8 M - We'd be selling low. We have him 4 more years.
Montero - 11.5 M - Same as Abreu
Graveman - 8 M - IL
Caratini - 6 M - we need him
Valdez - 12.1 M - Would fetch a Cease like haul. But interested parties would be NY and Arlington. No thanks.
Tucker - 12 M - Would fetch an incredible haul. But we need him.
Everyone else makes less than 4 M.
No one to offload. If Crane wants Snell he's going to have to stomach a payroll we'd never been anywhere close to before.
With all that said, I feel like if there was/is a time in this dynasty run to shell out that kind of money, it's 2024-25. Especially if you can add a guy that materially changes the complexion of our pitching staff. Not just his ability to be a potential game 1-2 starter, but other guys the rotation get slotted down and turn France/Urquidy into top-end bullpen middle innings eaters/depth guys.
I'm not a huge fan of our rotation with Framber, Javier and Brown as our 1-3. But if you're telling me that they're (arguably) our 3-5 when JV gets back + Snell, sign me the F up. I say that trepidatiously because slotting the precise pitcher rotation is kind of pointless, but you get my general drift.
My question would be whether or not we could feasibly get back under the cap in 2026. It doesn't seem like we have much room to maneuver after 2024 either, but we'll be defending a title in 2025... so guessing Crane will be willing to pay the bill again.
But 2026, we lose Abreu, Montero, JV, Pressly, Framber would likely be gone if we make a big commitment to Snell, and maybe Tucker too. That seems like good opportunity to get back under and reset. Could be wrong though.
