***Official Houston Astros 2023-24 Offseason Thread*** [Staff Warning - OP]

1,021,394 Views | 11245 Replies | Last: 10 mo ago by Lonestar_Ag09
Farmer1906
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MaxPower said:

I'm not paying market value (aka whatever the single stupidest, most desperate billionaire will pay) for Bregman. Maybe for Altuve I'd do that but not bregman.

The market is 34+ year olds ain't that much.
redline248
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Farmer1906 said:

That sounds right. The early 90s weren't as hot. The bats were more like clubs. They started to get more balanced (longer barrel). I found the pic of mine. It's a Redline which is supposed to be one of the hottest. Even after that era, the BESR ones were hot too. I think they talked about it in that video (watched it a while back).
you found the origin of my username. I still have mine from '98. The first one I had cracked at the cap for about 2 inches down the barrel. The replacement lasted, but it's dented and warped, now.
Farmer1906
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Maybe some trade targets.

Quote:

OF: Anthony Santander, Orioles

Santander is entering his fourth and final year of arbitration and likely to earn a nice raise. The Orioles have Cedric Mullins and Austin Hays returning, with Colton Cowser and Heston Kjerstad -- the team's No. 2 and 3 prospects, respectively -- ready to seize an opportunity in the Majors.

Buzz factor: Medium. Baltimore figures to invest in pitching this offseason, so unloading Santander's salary would help free up some payroll. Santander has averaged 30 home runs with 92 RBIs and a .785 OPS since the start of 2022, a power bat many contenders would be interested in obtaining.

OF: Alex Verdugo, Red Sox

The Red Sox have depth in the outfield, and Verdugo is headed for his final crack at arbitration. With Masataka Yoshida and Jarren Duran locked in and Ceddanne Rafaela and Wilyer Abreu ready to make an impact, Verdugo -- the centerpiece of the Mookie Betts trade -- could be expendable.

Buzz factor: Low. Verdugo's numbers won't overwhelm anybody, but his strikeout rate is strong and his outfield play remains above average. If Boston wants to free up an outfield spot -- and the payroll associated with it -- Verdugo could be dangled in deals this offseason.
Farmer1906
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I went to look up the defensive #s and they were clearly the highest OAA in the AL and only second to the Brew Crew. To my surprise we were 2nd in the AL grouped closely with the Mariners & Rangers.

I'm pretty sure we take a hit when you factor in OF arms and framing. Our blocking, scooping (don't think savant tracks that) and throwing were all good tho.
W
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I didn't know there was a team gold glove award

that and a nickel will get you (the Blue Jays) a cup of coffee

edit for clarification
bearkatag15
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This really sucks. Cobos is awesome. Likely impacts little Woodrow's in Eado as well
Fightin' Texas Aggie and Sam Houston State Bearkat
chlavinka
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Money
Farmer1906
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Statcast has a new metric on holding runners. To no one's surprise we absolutely suck at it. Only Maton & Pressly we're positive.



redline248
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That will be fun to see what they do to improve in 24
Mathguy64
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I said it multiple times this season. I don't think we care. I really think we told our pitchers to focus on pitching and not worry about it. Couple that with really slow deliveries and a catcher who was getting older and slower and you get run on a lot.
MosesHallRAB04
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Mathguy64 said:

I said it multiple times this season. I don't think we care. I really think we told our pitchers to focus on pitching and not worry about it. Couple that with really slow deliveries and a catcher who was getting older and slower and you get run on a lot.


As bad a season as maldy had the running was not on him. It was all on the pitchers. A bazooka couldn't have gotten many of those steals at 2nd
MaxPower
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All the more reason why he's who you extend.
MaxPower
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Farmer1906 said:

Statcast has a new metric on holding runners. To no one's surprise we absolutely suck at it. Only Maton & Pressly we're positive.




Anyone know how they differentiate the pitcher from the catcher in this metric?
linkdude
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Pop time already separates the catcher out, so I'm guessing it's something to do with varying the start of delivery and average time of delivery from the pitcher.
Farmer1906
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https://www.mlb.com/news/baseball-savant-metric-pitcher-stolen-base-prevention

But also straight from savant.

What is this? A Statcast metric designed to express the skill of pitchers at preventing base runners from advancing on the bases, via steal attempts or pickoffs/balks.

How this works: Each steal opportunity (currently runners at 1B only) is assigned a probability of being successful or not based on several inputs about the situation, most notably the speed of the runner. "Lead distance gained" expresses the distance gained by the runner between the pitcher's first move and the release of the pitch.

How to read it: Pitcher Base Advances Prevented is the difference between advances allowed (vs. avg) and outs created (vs. avg). Pitcher Stealing Runs is a translation of that to a run value, where an advance allowed is -.2, an out created is +.45, and opportunities where a runner did not attempt to run are given a sliding scale based on the situation.

To be qualified a pitcher must have at least one stolen base opportunity per team game. A stolen base opportunity is defined as a pitcher thrown with a runner on first (and no other runners on).
Farmer1906
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linkdude said:

Pop time already separates the catcher out, so I'm guessing it's something to do with varying the start of delivery and average time of delivery from the pitcher.


Not only pop time, but they have gotten to the point where they track how close the runner is to second when they get the ball and how fast the runner is.
tjack16
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Thats a lot of money for no defense and 80 games per year on the IL

6 seasons in NY, 1 all star appearance and 2
healthy seasons
Beat40
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Mathguy64 said:

I said it multiple times this season. I don't think we care. I really think we told our pitchers to focus on pitching and not worry about it. Couple that with really slow deliveries and a catcher who was getting older and slower and you get run on a lot.


I thought Diaz and Maldy were both really close in pop time and arm strength and that both were near, if not in the top 5.

Am I misremembering? Could have sworn I saw that stat through the season.
AgLA06
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MosesHallRAB04 said:

Mathguy64 said:

I said it multiple times this season. I don't think we care. I really think we told our pitchers to focus on pitching and not worry about it. Couple that with really slow deliveries and a catcher who was getting older and slower and you get run on a lot.


As bad a season as maldy had the running was not on him. It was all on the pitchers. A bazooka couldn't have gotten many of those steals at 2nd


Yet Diaz' numbers were nowhere near as bad the last time I checked.

Here's how it ended.

Diaz was 13th in MLB in caught stealing (top 15).


Diaz threw out 10 of 32 attempts to steal second.
Maldy threw out 11 of 70 attempts to steal second.

One could project that Diaz would have thrown out twice as many runners as Maldy if equal attempts.

This of course doesn't get into past balls or framing, or other stats that go into comparing catchers.

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/catcher-throwing?game_type=Regular&n=q&season_end=2023&season_start=2023&split=yes&team=&type=Cat&with_team_only=1

MosesHallRAB04
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Diaz often caught brown and France who weren't the worst Astros starters.
Farmer1906
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Maldy was good. Diaz was very good.
AgLA06
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MosesHallRAB04 said:

Diaz often caught brown and France who weren't the worst Astros starters.
True. However, if Maldy was the coach on the field for the pitchers. That's on him, no?
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Beat40
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AgLA06 said:

MosesHallRAB04 said:

Diaz often caught brown and France who weren't the worst Astros starters.
True. However, if Maldy was the coach on the field for the pitchers. That's on him, no?


No.

It's on the pitching staff and organizational philosophy.

We get it. You hate Maldy.
MAROON
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Going to the Astros foundation gala tonight. I'll see if I can't corner Crane and get him to commit to a manger!

Might even bring my little league managerial resume just in case!
AgLA06
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Beat40 said:

AgLA06 said:

MosesHallRAB04 said:

Diaz often caught brown and France who weren't the worst Astros starters.
True. However, if Maldy was the coach on the field for the pitchers. That's on him, no?


No.

It's on the pitching staff and organizational philosophy.

We get it. You hate Maldy.
I don't hate Maldy. I just don't think he was the best option for us to win behind the plate. It's not an emotional "you don't want him to start so you hate him" childish argument

The justification for looking past his atrocious hitting, inability to frame pitches, high amount of past balls, and base runners on a merry go round was that he was handling the pitchers like a coach on the field / sports psychologist. He got lots of credit for it regardless of the result. Yet, none of the negatives of our pitching staff regressing throughout the year nor our inability to keep runners out of scoring position seem to fall to him.
Beat40
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AgLA06 said:

Beat40 said:

AgLA06 said:

MosesHallRAB04 said:

Diaz often caught brown and France who weren't the worst Astros starters.
True. However, if Maldy was the coach on the field for the pitchers. That's on him, no?


No.

It's on the pitching staff and organizational philosophy.

We get it. You hate Maldy.
I don't hate Maldy. I just don't think he was the best option for us to win behind the plate. It's not an emotional "you don't want him to start so you hate him" childish argument

The justification for looking past his atrocious hitting, inability to frame pitches, high amount of past balls, and base runners on a merry go round was that he was handling the pitchers like a coach on the field / sports psychologist. He got lots of credit for it regardless of the result. Yet, none of the negatives of our pitching staff regressing throughout the year nor our inability to keep runners out of scoring position seem to fall to him.


The thing is, absolutely no one on this board, in Houston, or in Astros management thought he was the best option. Only Dusty did.

Man, a catcher can only do so much when a pitcher refuses to hold a runner on and the Astros organization refuses to make it a priority by not holding their pitchers accountable.

Maldy was bad, but his measurables in pop time and arm strength are on par with Diaz, maybe slightly less. So as far as throwing runners out, it's quite literally not on Maldy.

Maybe I made a childish "you hate him" comment, but the droning on, and on, and on all season and then trying to ascribe to him something the organization didn't seem to care about is just exhausting. People wanted him to voluntarily step down and then called him a bad guy for not doing it. So, maybe you don't hate him, but a guy that was trying his best, and by all accounts is a great teammate, got a crapload of hate this year because the only guy in Houston who had the daily roster power preferred him over Diaz.

I'm just ready to move on from the Maldy discussion and, honestly, the bashing. He did a lot of good for the organization. I dislike a lot of the bashing because he's just playing when his name is written on the card.
The Porkchop Express
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I'm not asking you guys to stop talking about how bad Maldy was, but can you give me a finite date in the future when you're going to stop griping about him?

Like can we say, no bagging on Maldy after December 31, 2026? Is that enough time to get it out of your system?
texasaggie2015
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It's damn near thanksgiving and we're still doing this?
gambochaman
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The Porkchop Express said:

I'm not asking you guys to stop talking about how bad Maldy was, but can you give me a finite date in the future when you're going to stop griping about him?

Like can we say, no bagging on Maldy after December 31, 2026? Is that enough time to get it out of your system?


That seems fair
EastCoastAgNc
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https://www.instagram.com/reel/CyzAScISc82/?igshid=MTc4MmM1YmI2Ng==
Blackbeard94
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AgLA06
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EastCoastAgNc said:

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CyzAScISc82/?igshid=MTc4MmM1YmI2Ng==
Bioish
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Can we please name Espada as our head coach already?! The longer this lingers on the more anxiety I get we'll hire Ausmus or Dusty has a change of heart and decides he wants to come back for one more year lol
Snake Farmer
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Farmer1906 said:

texasaggie2015 said:

Farmer1906 said:

Those drop 5s with the 2-3/4 barrel were unreal. I still have one somewhere. I need to bust it out.
My season starts in the spring. Let's go take BP.
I am so down. I swung in the cage the other day because my little softball players wanted to watch me hurt myself. I was surprised I was able to make decent contact. Way too line drives. Zero tanks.


I was crushing bombs over the bluejack green monster the other day. Had all the other dads jealous.
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