Farmer1906 said:

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I was messing around on Savant this morning with wOBA vs xwOBA and came up with some names that either hit the ball well and didn't get the results expected or the reverse.

Player of Interest
Joc Pederson - He already was someone to consider for his LF platoon abilities, but it could be even better to "buy low". His wOBA was about league average. His xwOBA was 26th in baseball, basically the same of Tatis Jr.

Tommy Pham - It was fishy that he kind of peaked so late, but he's another guy who had "bad luck" so the peak could have been that much better. I know his reputation is as a psycho, but a lot of hhis teammates really seem to enjoy playing with him. At his age, it might be a nice cheap buy in LF. He was 40th in baseball sandwiched between Wander & Jose Ramirez.

David Peralta - He didn't have a large gap like Pederson or Pham, but if he played to his expected #s, he'd go from slightly below average to slightly above. Plus he's another older cheap lefty who can be a nice budget platoon.

Jorge Soler - He had a strong year and it could have been even better. I fully expect him to opt out of his $9 M player option for 2024. He's been in the league for 10 years and only made 68 M. At 30 he was only offered 3/36,(with opt-outs). Will anyone go higher at 32?

Players to Avoid
Adam Duvall - I know he killed Houston, but he also had a below-league average xwOBA. If we sign old guys, we need to make sure it's on the super cheap with some reason to believe they'll succeed in 24.

Cody Bellinger - He went nuts in a contract year. I don't trust it, especially after the down 20-22 seasons.

Brandon Belt - He seems like a good platoon option to help DH and play some 1B, but he was also near the top of "lucky" players in 2023.

Jason Heyward - My pick already is losing some shine. I dug even deeper to look at the RHP-only match-ups and it's actually slightly worse. He was just slightly above league average based on expected wOBA.

Kevin Kiermaier - It looks like "luck" kept him league average. His xwOBA was more in line with Dubon & Pena.

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Farmer1906 said:

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agproducer said:

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Farmer1906 said:

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I was messing around on Savant this morning with wOBA vs xwOBA and came up with some names that either hit the ball well and didn't get the results expected or the reverse.

Player of Interest
Joc Pederson - He already was someone to consider for his LF platoon abilities, but it could be even better to "buy low". His wOBA was about league average. His xwOBA was 26th in baseball, basically the same of Tatis Jr.

Tommy Pham - It was fishy that he kind of peaked so late, but he's another guy who had "bad luck" so the peak could have been that much better. I know his reputation is as a psycho, but a lot of hhis teammates really seem to enjoy playing with him. At his age, it might be a nice cheap buy in LF. He was 40th in baseball sandwiched between Wander & Jose Ramirez.

David Peralta - He didn't have a large gap like Pederson or Pham, but if he played to his expected #s, he'd go from slightly below average to slightly above. Plus he's another older cheap lefty who can be a nice budget platoon.

Jorge Soler - He had a strong year and it could have been even better. I fully expect him to opt out of his $9 M player option for 2024. He's been in the league for 10 years and only made 68 M. At 30 he was only offered 3/36,(with opt-outs). Will anyone go higher at 32?

Players to Avoid
Adam Duvall - I know he killed Houston, but he also had a below-league average xwOBA. If we sign old guys, we need to make sure it's on the super cheap with some reason to believe they'll succeed in 24.

Cody Bellinger - He went nuts in a contract year. I don't trust it, especially after the down 20-22 seasons.

Brandon Belt - He seems like a good platoon option to help DH and play some 1B, but he was also near the top of "lucky" players in 2023.

Jason Heyward - My pick already is losing some shine. I dug even deeper to look at the RHP-only match-ups and it's actually slightly worse. He was just slightly above league average based on expected wOBA.

Kevin Kiermaier - It looks like "luck" kept him league average. His xwOBA was more in line with Dubon & Pena.

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Any analysis on Lourdes? JD Martinez? I hadn't thought about Peralta. Isn't he old?

I wouldn't be surprised if Dana went after Joc.

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Gurriel was a little above league avg without falling too much on the lucky or unlucky side. He was a reverse split guy until this year. Lots of contact, not a lot of walks. He seems solid across the board. Not fast, but not slow. Decent hitter, but nothing special. Plus arm. I wouldn't be mad if we signed him, but I think what you see is what you get.

JD had a very strong year. He's a full-time DH and we need Yordan and Diaz there a bunch. While it would be awesome to add him, I think someone who can play the field some would be a better fit.

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Coaches leaked Dusty's private ranting about Chas's weight to the media, Chandler ran an article on it, and Dusty decided to retire. Hilarious.

— Mike Mitchell (@MikeMitchNH) October 26, 2023

Wabs said:

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Ausmus??? Hell to the **** no.

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bearkatag15 said:

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Ragnar Danneskjoldd said:

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Does anyone else think Pena is a huge problem? Im not saying he's someone we should be upgrading with the other glaring holes we have, but sheesh he's approaching maldanado level of production.

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That's a bit ignorant. In the tweet I posted above, he hit .281 with a .709 OPS from July 1st this year. I'll take that all day from a bottom 3rd of the order type. I really like him in the 9 hole next year

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Ragnar Danneskjoldd said:

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Does anyone else think Pena is a huge problem? Im not saying he's someone we should be upgrading with the other glaring holes we have, but sheesh he's approaching maldanado level of production.

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RealTalk said:

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What's Bo Porter doing these days? Let's bring him back.

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TarponChaser said:

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RealTalk said:

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What's Bo Porter doing these days? Let's bring him back.

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I realize this is tongue-in-cheek but Bo Porter is running a youth baseball academy disguised as a charter school down off 288 near Rosharon.

https://boporteracademy.com/

https://boporterfutureallstarsbaseball.com/

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Ragnar Danneskjoldd said:

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Does anyone else think Pena is a huge problem? Im not saying he's someone we should be upgrading with the other glaring holes we have, but sheesh he's approaching maldanado level of production.

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wangus12 said:

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texasaggie2015 said:

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This Ausmus thing is bugging me and I'm gonna try to pry every bit of info I can to get to the bottom of it lol

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Suck some D if you have to

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TarponChaser said:

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RealTalk said:

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What's Bo Porter doing these days? Let's bring him back.

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I realize this is tongue-in-cheek but Bo Porter is running a youth baseball academy disguised as a charter school down off 288 near Rosharon.

https://boporteracademy.com/

https://boporterfutureallstarsbaseball.com/

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Astros OF Chas Mccormick’s fiancé Courtney posted a pic of his bruise on her Instagram stories last night 😳.. Chas was hit in the leg by a 104mph pitch in game 7 of the ALCS @FOX26Houston https://t.co/DsvKNx5Hpv pic.twitter.com/P6yxhUs39G

— maggie mckethan (@maggiemckethan) October 26, 2023