West Roxbury said:

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BTKAG97 said:

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stoneca said:

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I don't understand why we only need 1 more win to clinch. We only have a 1 game lead on Seattle and they hold the tiebreaker.

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If Seattle Sweeps, they get the Division and Houston gets a WC.
If Texas wins 1, they get the Division and Houston gets a WC.

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If Seattle sweeps and we sweep, it's our division. We hold a one game lead over the M's. They can't catch us unless we lose.

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His question was "How do the Astros make the playoffs with only 1 more win?"

Tie breakers be hurting the magic number game

BadAggie said:

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iamtheglove said:

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Farmer1906 said:

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Wabs said:

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So if the Astros OR the Mariners win tomorrow we have a spot. Correct?

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Astros win or Mariners loss.

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I don't think that is right. Per the chart if the mariners only win 3 vs Arlington and we only win 1 of 3 vs d backs we're out

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Magic number v Seattle is 2. Need an Astro win and a Mariner loss tomorrow to clinch.

If Astros then won on Sunday and Rangers lose then Astros win division.

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Not per the chart. If we win a total of 2 vs dbacks we are in. There is no scenario we get left out of the payoffs with one more win vs AZ

If France comes back does he go Sunday? Or do we stick with CJ?

Aggie8587 said:

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BadAggie said:

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If Astros their final two games they are in the playoffs.

If Astros go 1-1 they need Seattle to lose a game to make the playoffs.

If Astros go 0-2 they need Seattle to lose their last two games to make the playoffs.

Assuming Arlington loses tonight, if they lose one more and Astros win their final two games then Astros win the division.

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This isn't right. If the Astros win one of the final 2 games, we're in the postseason

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Astros are 1 game ahead of Seattle who has the tiebreaker. Need more than one more win.

Farmer1906 said:

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Kelly is very good. His change up is one of the toughest pitches in baseball. He has a true 5 pitch mix. We're going to have our hands full. It would have been nice to have AZ clinch already so they'd pull him early. Reds play just 55 min before us.

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Would be nice for STL to do the Astros a favor, but I like the Astros in a playoff type game.

If JV pitches like he did his last start, I really like the Astros' chances tomorrow.

JDUB08AG said:

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If France comes back does he go Sunday? Or do we stick with CJ?

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CJ but it's all hands on deck at that point.

Got it. Would love to see the Reds lose and have the D-Backs clinch tomorrow.

I've been staring at the Cubs and Marlins so long the Reds creeped up on me. Marlins and Reds have the tiebreaker over the Dbacks. Cubs do not. And the Reds get these last two against 69-91 St. Louis

need that twitter guy to update the chart

JDUB08AG said:

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If France comes back does he go Sunday? Or do we stick with CJ?

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I think that depends on the situation.

if the Astros win tomorrow and the division is on the line Sunday or they lose tomorrow, I'm starting CJ.

If the Astros win tomorrow and the division is not on the line Sunday, I'm starting France.

Who's going to start Sunday?

Wabs said:

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Who's going to start Sunday?

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Dusty won't say but the expectation is Javier.

JDUB08AG said:

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We are 10000% positive a 3 way tie means the rangers are out, correct?

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Yes

https://www.mlb.com/news/2023-mlb-postseason-three-team-and-four-team-tiebreaker-scenarios?partnerID=mlbapp-android_article-share

Scenario: Blue Jays claim 2nd Wild Card; Astros, Mariners, Rangers tie
Result: Mariners and Astros IN; Rangers OUT

If the three AL West clubs finish tied with worse records than the Blue Jays, Toronto would win the second AL Wild Card spot. The tie for the AL West title would be settled first using the same three-team tiebreaker steps mentioned above (Mariners win). The tie between Houston and Texas for the third AL Wild Card spot would go to the Astros, who won their season series against the Rangers, 9-4.

Farmer1906 said:

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JDUB08AG said:

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If France comes back does he go Sunday? Or do we stick with CJ?

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CJ but it's all hands on deck at that point.

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Just depends on the situation. If we need the win for division or post season spot, CJ starts. If post season is locked and you can't win the division, it's France.

Such big wins these last two. JV please ice it tomorrow. Then we just see how things play out Sunday.

That Moreno ball was out in 28/30 parks ... cant complain though b/c we can say the same (even worse) about Abreu's

I'm too drunk to do math. I'll try again tomorrow. Goodnight

JDUB08AG said:

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We are 10000% positive a 3 way tie means the rangers are out, correct?

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Depends on what Toronto does. They are odd man out.

R-Dog said:

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JDUB08AG said:

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We are 10000% positive a 3 way tie means the rangers are out, correct?

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Yes

https://www.mlb.com/news/2023-mlb-postseason-three-team-and-four-team-tiebreaker-scenarios?partnerID=mlbapp-android_article-share

Scenario: Blue Jays claim 2nd Wild Card; Astros, Mariners, Rangers tie
Result: Mariners and Astros IN; Rangers OUT

If the three AL West clubs finish tied with worse records than the Blue Jays, Toronto would win the second AL Wild Card spot. The tie for the AL West title would be settled first using the same three-team tiebreaker steps mentioned above (Mariners win). The tie between Houston and Texas for the third AL Wild Card spot would go to the Astros, who won their season series against the Rangers, 9-4.

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Scenario: Rangers win AL West; Astros, Mariners, Blue Jays tie

Result: Mariners and Blue Jays IN; Astros OUT


This scenario can no longer happen. If Texas wins the West then there will NOT be a 3-way tie between Houston, Seattle, and Toronto.

Still can't believe that if we sweep and the Mariners sweep, the Mariners are out of the playoffs. Crazy.