***** Official 2022 Houston Astros Season Thread *****

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All I do is Nguyen
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In reply to texasaggie2015 • 10:13a, 10/31/22
texasaggie2015 said:
All I do is Nguyen said:
Current line is Astros -135 and Phillies +115, Vegas thinks this is basically an even match with the O/U being 8. I think it goes under and if the Astros come out like they did last game, Syndergaard gets pulled early the Stros win
Not sure how familiar you are with handicapping, but that's not an even match at all.
Going to be completely honest, I am not that familiar with handicapping, but what little understanding I have I took that to be a pretty even match up.

I am apparently way off. Oh well, c'est la vie
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texasaggie2015
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In reply to All I do is Nguyen • 10:13a, 10/31/22
AG
All good. FWIW, that's about a 60% chance of Houston winning.
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Red Five
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In reply to BeowulfShaeffer • 10:21a, 10/31/22
AG
BeowulfShaeffer said:
Red Five said:
KC_Ag14 said:

Still can't believe I was in the Juice Box that night. A pleasurable thread to enjoy on travel day!
The Dodger tears in the replies are delicious.
Dodger's fans still assume that the 'Stros were "cheating" in game five. Given how quick Roberts rolled through his bullpen in every game before that, the Astros' batters all knew what pitches they were gonna see at the plate without any camera/trash can assistance.

You wanna blame that loss on anything, Doyers, blame it on over-managing.
Kenta Maeda threw 25 pitches in Game 2 and 42(!) pitches in Game 3. Came in Game 5 and got Altuve to a full count before giving up the game tying homer on his 74th pitch of the series. Brandon Morrow pitched in every single game of the WS. He went 10, 14, 13, 14 pitches Games 1 through 4 before coming in Game 5. His Game 5 pitch log:

1. Home Run (Springer)
2. Single (Bregman)
3. Strike
4. Double (Altuve)
5. Wild Pitch
6. Ball
7. Home Run (Correa)

Roberts completely cooked his bullpen in that series. No trash cans needed.
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Farmer1906
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10:21a, 10/31/22
AG
65% of the bets & 75% of the money are on Houston.

55% of the bets & 76% of the money are on Houston covering.

The biggest bet right now is the over. 83% of the bets & 96% of the money.
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Farmer1906
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10:23a, 10/31/22
AG
Fangraphs has us with a 51.9% chance of winning today & 56% of winning the series.
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Red Five
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In reply to Farmer1906 • 10:23a, 10/31/22
AG
Astros would have to go over 5 runs to both cover and exceed 8 total game runs.
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Marvin
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10:24a, 10/31/22
AG
I like all those numbers.
I love Texas Aggie sports, but I love Texas A&M more.
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Proudag06
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In reply to Farmer1906 • 10:24a, 10/31/22
AG
Farmer1906 said:
Marvin said:
Any stats on LMJ pitching in the rain?
Anything for Marvin.





No idea how Fangraphs categorizes these. I have a hard time believing Lance pitched 48 innings in wet weather last year.


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Beat40
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10:32a, 10/31/22
I just want to win game 1 in Philly tonight. Get the whole undefeated at home narrative over with and set a tone for the next two games.

I also really hope for the "F Altuve" chants and then him going 3/4 while blasting a HR.
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Ragnar Danneskjoldd
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In reply to Beat40 • 10:41a, 10/31/22
AG
Beat40 said:
I just want to win game 1 in Philly tonight. Get the whole undefeated at home narrative over with and set a tone for the next two games.

I also really hope for the "F Altuve" chants and then him going 3/4 while blasting a HR.
stros will win

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Beerosch
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In reply to All I do is Nguyen • 10:41a, 10/31/22
AG
All I do is Nguyen said:
Current line is Astros -135 and Phillies +115, Vegas thinks this is basically an even match with the O/U being 8. I think it goes under and if the Astros come out like they did last game, Syndergaard gets pulled early the Stros win
-135 is implied odds of 57.5%. I'd also like to add the Astros are currently -180 (64%) to win the series on Bovada. If you happened to get the Astros on Saturday when they were down 0-1 in the series they were +105 (49%) to win the series. I'm patting myself on the back for taking the bet Saturday after that gut wrenching loss on Friday.
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All I do is Nguyen
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10:42a, 10/31/22
all the MLB network guys are talking about 2015 Syndergaard, like that is at all relevant to this year. They are trying so hard to make him sound good.
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Furlock Bones
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10:46a, 10/31/22
AG
All of this talk about Framber rubbing his hands. His head etc. Everyone knows superstars don't have tics.

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Ag_07
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In reply to All I do is Nguyen • 10:47a, 10/31/22
AG
Weird

The guys on the MLB postgame the other night were worried about him and surprised he was announced as the starter.

Maybin even said he thought he would be more of an opener. Said he'd be shocked and the Phillies would be excited if he can get them 4 IP.
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KTAG05
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10:48a, 10/31/22
AG
I didn't realize that Syndergaard hadn't thrown more than 35 pitches in a game since October 1st.

Since Oct 1st, he has 3 appearances totaling 5.1 innings and 68 pitches.

I know others have said it, but I dont see how he lasts long tonight
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BeowulfShaeffer
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In reply to KTAG05 • 10:52a, 10/31/22
AG
I'm wondering if he left Suarez in for too long on Friday, and feels uncomfortable starting him today?
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Farmer1906
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In reply to Ag_07 • 10:53a, 10/31/22
AG
Ag_07 said:
Weird

The guys on the MLB postgame the other night were worried about him and surprised he was announced as the starter.

Maybin even said he thought he would be more of an opener. Said he'd be shocked and the Phillies would be excited if he can get them 4 IP.
Little more than an opener.

Last few games:
1.1 IP, 17 Pitches - relief
3.0 IP, 35 Pitches
1.0 IP, 16 Pitches - relief
----
5.2 IP, 78 Pitches
2.0 IP, 28 Pitches - relief
6.0 IP, 82 Pitches
6.0 IP, 86 Pitches
4.1 IP, 75 Pitches (Sept 3rd)

It's been 4 weeks since he threw more than 35 pitches.
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Farmer1906
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In reply to BeowulfShaeffer • 10:53a, 10/31/22
AG
BeowulfShaeffer said:
I'm wondering if he left Suarez in for too long on Friday, and feels uncomfortable starting him today?
Yes, they pushed Saurez to 4 because of his outing in game 1.
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Wabs
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In reply to Furlock Bones • 10:55a, 10/31/22
AG
Furlock Bones said:
All of this talk about Framber rubbing his hands. His head etc. Everyone knows superstars don't have tics.

Breaking news y'all: Players sweat during games and occasionally they wipe the sweat from their face.
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EastCoastAgNc
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10:57a, 10/31/22
AG
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mm98
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In reply to BeowulfShaeffer • 10:58a, 10/31/22
AG
BeowulfShaeffer said:
Red Five said:
KC_Ag14 said:

Still can't believe I was in the Juice Box that night. A pleasurable thread to enjoy on travel day!
The Dodger tears in the replies are delicious.
Dodger's fans still assume that the 'Stros were "cheating" in game five. Given how quick Roberts rolled through his bullpen in every game before that, the Astros' batters all knew what pitches they were gonna see at the plate without any camera/trash can assistance.

You wanna blame that loss on anything, Doyers, blame it on over-managing.

Yep. On Springer's lead off HR (I think 7th or 8th inning), the broadcast team was even commenting on how Morrow pitched 4 games in a row and Springer might be sitting fastball right before the first pitch was thrown.
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aggie813
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10:59a, 10/31/22
And 2-2 in game 3s...in case anyone was wondering.
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Ag_07
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In reply to BeowulfShaeffer • 11:02a, 10/31/22
AG
BeowulfShaeffer said:
I'm wondering if he left Suarez in for too long on Friday, and feels uncomfortable starting him today?


I think Thomson said that was planned. He knew he was gonna throw Suarez one of GM 3 or 4 and the situation dictated that he go longer in GM 1 so they knew he would be bumped to GM 4.

Not a bad move honestly. He realized how crucial GM 1 was and knew it wasn't really gonna change much to bump him.
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Texaggie7nine
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In reply to Beat40 • 11:07a, 10/31/22
Beat40 said:
I just want to win game 1 in Philly tonight. Get the whole undefeated at home narrative over with and set a tone for the next two games.

I also really hope for the "F Altuve" chants and then him going 3/4 while blasting a HR.


7nine
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redline248
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In reply to Texaggie7nine • 11:11a, 10/31/22
AG
There is some truth to this. Tucker, Yordan, Framber, Pena, Chas...these guys have been booed on the road their entire careers. Chas was literally born ~25 miles from boo-town Philly
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Beat40
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In reply to redline248 • 11:12a, 10/31/22
redline248 said:
There is some truth to this. Tucker, Yordan, Framber, Pena, Chas...these guys have been booed on the road their entire careers. Chas was literally born ~25 miles from boo-town Philly
And I hope Chas hits 3 HRs this series!
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redline248
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In reply to Beat40 • 11:13a, 10/31/22
AG
Beat40 said:
redline248 said:
There is some truth to this. Tucker, Yordan, Framber, Pena, Chas...these guys have been booed on the road their entire careers. Chas was literally born ~25 miles from boo-town Philly
And I hope Chas hits 3 HRs this series tonight!
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KTAG05
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11:16a, 10/31/22
AG
Astros stimulating the economy


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Beat40
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In reply to KTAG05 • 11:20a, 10/31/22
BCSGrubber said:
Astros stimulating the economy


Never heard that one before. Hoping to see a Houston, you have a problem sign today too. Would be creative!
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Ag_07
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11:20a, 10/31/22
AG
So original
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lil99chris
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11:23a, 10/31/22
AG
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The Porkchop Express
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11:25a, 10/31/22
AG
After the Bregman's baby / Kate Upton talk yesterday, what kind of effort could we see from some of the players if Verlander offered a free weekend with Kate, no questions asked, to whichever Astro is named World Series MVP?

For research purposes:





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CoachRTM
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11:29a, 10/31/22
AG
fivethirtyeight has us 65% to win the WS.

Game 3 : 56%
Game 4 : 57%
Game 5 : 54% (no pitchers announced, but assuming they put in Verlander and Nola, our odds will go up)
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bearkatag15
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In reply to CoachRTM • 11:31a, 10/31/22
AG
CoachRTM said:
fivethirtyeight has us 65% to win the WS.

Game 3 : 56%
Game 4 : 57%
Game 5 : 54% (no pitchers announced, but assuming they put in Verlander and Nola, our odds will go up)
Based on JV's previous WS performances, I imagine the odds will go down. I wouldn't be shocked if Philly is the favorite in game 5
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Ragnar Danneskjoldd
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11:32a, 10/31/22
AG
has anyone else noticed Biggio kept his prime real-estate behind home plate, but Bagwell got pushed off to the third base side.
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