Let's Predict Jeremy Pena's #s for 2022.

MLB 2022
Games:
HR:
AVG:
OBP:
SLG:
OPS:


Fangraphs gives projections for 2022 from Depth Charts, ZIPS, Streamers, ATC, and THE BAT.

Here are the min, avg, and max.
Games: 91 - 100 - 110
HR: 9 - 14 - 17
AVG: .241 - .246 - .254
OBP: .296 - .302 - .304
SLG: .380 - .411 - .424
OPS: .684 - .713 - .728

AAA 2021
Games: 30
HR: 10
AVG: .287
OBP: .346
SLG: .598
OPS: .944

LIDOM 2021
Games: 30
HR: 2
AVG: .291
OBP: .364
SLG: .410
OPS: .774

Some Astros regulars get into the game tonight against the Mets pic.twitter.com/gqhCcquF8c

— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) March 22, 2022

Can the astros get Fine Young Cannibals to re-record "Good Thing" as "Goodrum" every time he bats?

It's odd to see a lot of the starters not playing in these games. Most other teams have been involving their everyday guys

tjack16 said:

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It's odd to see a lot of the starters not playing in these games. Most other teams have been involving their everyday guys

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Load management

They want to avoid "discomfort."

Farmer1906 said:

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Let's Predict Jeremy Pena's #s for 2022.

MLB 2022
Games:
HR:
AVG:
OBP:
SLG:
OPS:

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Those averages feel about right to me for Pena. I see a pretty wide range of outcomes tbh.

I think his upside case is ROY. There's a reason we were willing to let Correa walk without much thought and gift wrap him the job. He's a plus defensive short stop with power. Not a whole lot of short stops "look" like him. I could see .800 OPS with 15-20 HR if things go well.

But there's obviously risk. While his AAA/LIDOM stats are promising, we don't have a great extended sample of him the past couple years. I could see him getting off to a rough start and spend the latter part of next year in Sugar Land working on stuff. Bregman and Tucker both needed time to adjust to the show. Possible Pena will need that too.

My base case is that he gets off to a good start like Meyers last year, goes through a little slump as opposing pitchers figure him out, but then get things figured out and finish 2022 with .725 OPS and 10 HRs and display alot of promise heading into 2023.

Source: the Astros and reliever Josh James settled on an $800,000 salary, avoiding arbitration.

— Chandler Rome (@Chandler_Rome) March 22, 2022

Jeremy Pena predictions

MLB 2022
Games: 110 (Diaz gets other starts)
HR: 15
RBI: 50
AVG: .265
OBP: .315
SLG: .430
OPS: .745

I'm terrible about predicting OPS though

Pena

.250/.300/.400, 14 HR The .300 OBA may be optimistic. His minor league stats looks like he hardly ever walks.

If he ends the season with a 100 wRC+ i would say its a win..

Source: the Astros and utilityman Aledmys Díaz settled on a $4.45 million salary to avoid arbitration. This is Díaz's final year of arbitration eligibility. He's a free agent next winter.

— Chandler Rome (@Chandler_Rome) March 22, 2022

Is the game on any kind of TV today?

Source: Rafael Montero, Astros settle at $2.725 million, avoiding arbitration.

— Robert Murray (@ByRobertMurray) March 22, 2022

If you have MLB.tv, you can get it. It's the Mets broadcast

Spotrac's estimates:
Diaz - 4 M
Montero - 3.1 M
Stanek - 2.1 M
Maton - 1.4 M
Goodrum - 2.1 (looks like its already been updated to actual)

All these numbers look fair to me. I'm glad we're avoiding arbitration.

tjack16 said:

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Jeremy Pena predictions

MLB 2022
Games: 110 (Diaz gets other starts)
HR: 15
RBI: 50
AVG: .265
OBP: .315
SLG: .430
OPS: .745

I'm terrible about predicting OPS though

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I think this is on the slightly optimistic side, but I agree with it. I think the projections are sleeping on his avg and power somewhat.

CFTXAG10 said:

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2.1 M for Stanek seems like a pretty damn good bargain

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I agree, they should give him all of Josh James' 800k salary as a raise!

Farmer1906 said:

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tjack16 said:

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Jeremy Pena predictions

MLB 2022
Games: 110 (Diaz gets other starts)
HR: 15
RBI: 50
AVG: .265
OBP: .315
SLG: .430
OPS: .745

I'm terrible about predicting OPS though

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I think this is on the slightly optimistic side, but I agree with it. I think the projections are sleeping on his avg and power somewhat.

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Yeah I think he's a 20-25 HR guy if it's a 162 game stat line

tjack16 said:

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Farmer1906 said:

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tjack16 said:

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Jeremy Pena predictions

MLB 2022
Games: 110 (Diaz gets other starts)
HR: 15
RBI: 50
AVG: .265
OBP: .315
SLG: .430
OPS: .745

I'm terrible about predicting OPS though

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I think this is on the slightly optimistic side, but I agree with it. I think the projections are sleeping on his avg and power somewhat.

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Yeah I think he's a 20-25 HR guy if it's a 162 game stat line

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Not a significant drop from Correa if that's the case

helloimustbegoing said:

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. . . said:

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Source: the Astros and reliever Josh James settled on an $800,000 salary, avoiding arbitration.

— Chandler Rome (@Chandler_Rome) March 22, 2022

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That seems low, but if Josh James wants to pay the Astros $800,000 to let him pitch this year, so be it.

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I have a strong feeling that he won't be on the Astros 40-man by the end of the season.

https://nypost.com/2022/03/22/mlb-union-agree-to-temporary-28-man-rosters-shohei-ohtani-rule/

Quote:

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In addition, the deal also essentially has a Shohei Ohtani rule with the designated hitter becoming universal in the new collective bargaining agreement. The new rule stipulates that if the starting pitcher is also hitting in the lineup, then that player remains as the DH even if he is pulled from the start. Thus, if Ohtani, say, pitched five innings, he would still hit through the entire game. This rule is for the life of the new CBA, not just for 2022 and the hope is to promote more two-way players.

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Also ghost runners are back.

Degrom gets three strikeouts in the first on chas, goodrum, and Ted.

Odo goes 1-2-3 in the first.