***Official Houston Astros 2021 Season Thread***

4,164,134 Views | 73542 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by Teddy Perkins
gougler08
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wangus12 said:

Surely that is a schtick and he doesn't actually sound like that. NY fan tears are so damn enjoyable. Plus I always love how sports podcast people look like they've never played a sport in their entire lives
He's definitely a pro D&D player
Jackal99
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That's the #1 All-NY Sports Podcast? Maybe #1 in his own house. Maybe.
Prosperdick
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Jackal99 said:

That's the #1 All-NY Sports Podcast? Maybe #1 in his own house. Maybe.
If he lives in NY he certainly doesn't live/own a house.
wangus12
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Prosperdick said:

Jackal99 said:

That's the #1 All-NY Sports Podcast? Maybe #1 in his own house. Maybe.
If he lives in NY he certainly doesn't live/own a house.


What?! You mean that $3500/month for 600 Sq. ft. isn't considered a house
Cromagnum
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Pretty sure this is the same kid who was *****ing about Altuve a couple years ago.

The Milkman
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https://www.reddit.com/r/baseball/comments/q29cb7/john_sterling_goes_into_his_marquee_hr_call_for/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3
Farmer1906
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Random Question - Is Adam Wainwright a HOFer?

No Cys, but after this year he should have 5 finishes at #2 or #3.
2K Strike Outs
Chance at 200 wins with a strong year next year.
Career ERA of 3.35
9 year prime (24-33) ERA 2.97
40.2 Career WAR
28 Postseason games (15 starts, 8 CGs)
Career Postseason ERA 2.89

I think if we solely base it off of the past entrants, the answer is no, but moving forward I think this is going to look like a yes. Outside of a small group of elite pitchers (Verlander, Scherzer, Greinke, Kershaw, deGrom) who else is really trending to make it in?
Marvin
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If Madeline Kahn and Fran Drescher spawned a mini-male, this dude would be it.
Marvin
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Farmer1906 said:

Random Question - Is Adam Wainwright a HOFer?

No Cys, but after this year he should have 5 finishes at #2 or #3.
2K Strike Outs
Chance at 200 wins with a strong year next year.
Career ERA of 3.35
9 year prime (24-33) ERA 2.97
40.2 Career WAR
28 Postseason games (15 starts, 8 CGs)
Career Postseason ERA 2.89

I think if we solely base it off of the past entrants, the answer is no, but moving forward I think this is going to look like a yes. Outside of a small group of elite pitchers (Verlander, Scherzer, Greinke, Kershaw, deGrom) who else is really trending to make it in?


Similar to Oswalt.
Mathguy64
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Hall of very good and consistent and pitched for a long time. Not HOF.

But I agree. Things like IP and other counts are problems for modern pitchers. No one is getting close to 300IP. Most don't get close to 200IP. So every other counting stat is reduced by that same 1/3.
strider98
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Prosperdick said:

jetch17 said:

man that guy is annoying AF
Wow...like fingernails on a chalkboard. Enjoy the loss dip****.
sounds like he works here
Mathguy64
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Anyone found JomBoy this morning? Did he make it?
Harry Dunne
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tjack16 said:


Gallo getting crapped on a lot, and I won't shed a tear over any Ranger/Yankee, but here are some facts:

1. The Yankees traded 4 prospects who are best described as "guys having a chance to be big leaguers" for a GG outfielder with a career .825 OPS who had a 4.6 WAR this season who is making only $6M and still under team control for another season. He fell apart in NY, but still had a .808 season OPS.

2. Uncle Mike makes $16M, had a 2.5 WAR and a .799 OPS.

3. Gallo gets that OPS & WAR in about as ugly a way as you can get it, but any team in baseball would love to have him at that price. We suddenly find ourselves with some OF depth, but Gallo would have been a clear-cut starter on any of the 100+ W Astros teams and he would have been a big overall improvement on Reddick post-2017 or on any DH prior to Yordan.

I would not trade the beloved Uncle Mike for dirty Gallo now or ever. It's true that a steady hitter who has been clutch in the playoffs is exactly what the Yankees are missing, and while he's perfect for us and all due respect to Mike, the last thing the Yankees need is an aging outfielder whose defensive skills are declining, misses a lot of time and makes a lot of money. They already have plenty of that.

So no, prioritizing players like Gallo (cheap, good value) over players like Uncle Mike is not the problem. Gallo's WAR is almost as much as Stanton and LeMahieu combined.
Ag_07
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For me the problem is not Gallo himself but how Boone and the Yanks used/relied on him.

I posted last night during the game that they should've just buried him in the 9 hole and let him get whatever production he can or at least walk and turn the lineup over.

But putting him with his skill set in the cleanup spot was a disaster waiting to happen and is a fireable offense on its own.
Mathguy64
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I have dug into Joey Gallo more than I have any other non-Astros player. I have about convinced myself he is a statistical outlier for things like OPS and more importantly WAR.

He hits just enough HR's to be valuable in WAR and his OBA is inflated and overvalues his walks by ignoring the fact that he doesnt actually generate hits other than HR's or do anything productive other than hit HRs. Those are nice. Dont get me wrong. But 1 non HR driven in run in 175 ABs is bad. Its 40 plus games of being completely unproductive.

Boone had him batting clean up last night. That is wasting Stanton and Judge getting on in front of him because he's not going to drive them in.
Harry Dunne
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Mathguy64 said:

I have dug into Joey Gallo more than I have any other non-Astros player. I have about convinced myself he is a statistical outlier for things like OPS and more importantly WAR.

He hits just enough HR's to be valuable in WAR and his OBA is inflated and overvalues his walks by ignoring the fact that he doesnt actually generate hits other than HR's or do anything productive other than hit HRs. Those are nice. Dont get me wrong. But 1 non HR driven in run in 175 ABs is bad. Its 40 plus games of being completely unproductive.

Boone had him batting clean up last night. That is wasting Stanton and Judge getting on in front of him because he's not going to drive them in.
I agree that some of the stats that are currently en vogue favor Gallo and that he might not be quite as good as those indicate, but the main point is that giving up 4 marginal prospects for a player of his caliber (whatever that actually is) making his salary is not anywhere close to the top of the list of Yankees bad moves/problems.

Yes I think you bat him 9th and live with the golden sombreros and enjoy his hot streaks. He wouldn't have done any worse than Reddick did for us in the playoffs but he might have gotten hot and changed the outcome any of the last 3 seasons the Yankees problem is not Gallo - he's one of the few moves they got their money's worth on. The problem is many other terrible moves that made them lean too heavily on him.
Cromagnum
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Definitely a cardinals fan today. What are the odds they pull it off and knock the Dojers out?
gigemJTH12
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Cromagnum said:

Definitely a cardinals fan today. What are the odds they pull it off and knock the Dojers out?
+200
Mathguy64
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Harry Dunne said:

Mathguy64 said:

I have dug into Joey Gallo more than I have any other non-Astros player. I have about convinced myself he is a statistical outlier for things like OPS and more importantly WAR.

He hits just enough HR's to be valuable in WAR and his OBA is inflated and overvalues his walks by ignoring the fact that he doesnt actually generate hits other than HR's or do anything productive other than hit HRs. Those are nice. Dont get me wrong. But 1 non HR driven in run in 175 ABs is bad. Its 40 plus games of being completely unproductive.

Boone had him batting clean up last night. That is wasting Stanton and Judge getting on in front of him because he's not going to drive them in.
I agree that some of the stats that are currently en vogue favor Gallo and that he might not be quite as good as those indicate, but the main point is that giving up 4 marginal prospects for a player of his caliber (whatever that actually is) making his salary is not anywhere close to the top of the list of Yankees bad moves/problems.

Yes I think you bat him 9th and live with the golden sombreros and enjoy his hot streaks. He wouldn't have done any worse than Reddick did for us in the playoffs but he might have gotten hot and changed the outcome any of the last 3 seasons.
He made the Yankees even more 1 note. They were already a team heavily weighted to the true outcomes. He made them even more extreme. At some point you need to MB's of the world to get on base for you and you need the Yuli Gurriel's of the world who generate runs via contact. Yes hes better than Reddick but nowhere close to the value of Tucker yet WAR for the season puts them pretty close. (bWAR of 5.7 versus 4.6). And WAR puts Yuli at 3.7.

He was free and if he had played at the level he did for the Rangers he would have been more help to the Yankees. But he turned into a 100% true outcome player for them. He's arbitration eligible one last time. It will be interesting to see the two offers if they go there. Boras will say "super value" and through the HR and BB stats out there. The Yankees I suspect would say just the opposite. Someone next year will pay him big bucks. IMHO its fools gold
strider98
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Harry Dunne said:

tjack16 said:


Gallo getting crapped on a lot, and I won't shed a tear over any Ranger/Yankee, but here are some facts:

1. The Yankees traded 4 prospects who are best described as "guys having a chance to be big leaguers" for a GG outfielder with a career .825 OPS who had a 4.6 WAR this season who is making only $6M and still under team control for another season. He fell apart in NY, but still had a .808 season OPS.

2. Uncle Mike makes $16M, had a 2.5 WAR and a .799 OPS.

3. Gallo gets that OPS & WAR in about as ugly a way as you can get it, but any team in baseball would love to have him at that price. We suddenly find ourselves with some OF depth, but Gallo would have been a clear-cut starter on any of the 100+ W Astros teams and he would have been a big overall improvement on Reddick post-2017 or on any DH prior to Yordan.

I would not trade the beloved Uncle Mike for dirty Gallo now or ever. It's true that a steady hitter who has been clutch in the playoffs is exactly what the Yankees are missing, and while he's perfect for us and all due respect to Mike, the last thing the Yankees need is an aging outfielder whose defensive skills are declining, misses a lot of time and makes a lot of money. They already have plenty of that.

So no, prioritizing players like Gallo (cheap, good value) over players like Uncle Mike is not the problem. Gallo's WAR is almost as much as Stanton and LeMahieu combined.
Bad stat home run hitters like Gallo and Chris Carter make hay against bad pitching. Good pitching will give them hell. So the playoffs is not where guys like that are gonna do any good. Pinch-hitting, maybe.
Frok
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The NL is crazy. First of all the Dodgers win 106 games and have to play one more game to get in.

Second, if they do win they already play the Giants right away in a 5 game series.

The Brewers sure got a friendly draw.
Deluxe
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The Yankees are in some pretty real trouble. I think they can probably stay relevant but they're not even close to being true World Series contenders.

They paid an ace 9/$325mm because they thought he was the missing piece of the puzzle. And he's been good, but no sticky stuff means he's not worth nearly they money they paid. He's also virtually untradable now without picking up a massive tab so they're basically stuck with him. The Yankees justified the rough economics on the back end with the idea that they're adding a top tier pitcher in the prime of his career in the middle of their "title window" (like how they justified the Sabathia signing in 2009). Now they're nearing the end of that window with no ring to show for it.

Judge is about to start getting expensive and they basically have to pay him. They're probably stuck with Stanton too (unless they're willing to pick up a massive tab). That will add up to $100mm+ long term on three players. If they want to keep Rizzo (which I think they do because they NEEEEED a lefty presence in their lineup), call it $125mm+ for four players.

It MAYBE could work if they had a plethora of young/cheap talent to supplement those guys. But their roster is UGLY beyond those four. Without the benefit of secret cameras around the ballpark hunting down pitcher tips, Torres, Urshela and DJ have gone from mashers in 2019 to very very average players. People look at the headliners in their lineup and instinctively think they have a great offense. Not true in the least. wRc+ of 101 this past year. They've very average. DJ 100. Torres 94. Urshela 96. Sanchez 99. Gardner 93. It's becoming increasingly clear that those mainstays were very dependent on the Yankees' extracurricular activities.

Their starting pitching/bullpen was good this year and adding a full season of Severino back into the mix should help. But rotation depth is lacking. Chapman will be another year older.

I just don't see it with the Yankees going forward. Maybe they can make another run or two at it, but with the Red Sox, Blue Jays and Rays on the rise in their division, I just don't see them as serious contenders. As of today I'd have them 4th in the AL East next year. Every year they try to make a run is just another year of pushing an inevitable rebuild down the road. They kinda remind me of the Astros "final run" in 2008 before the reality of a long rebuild set in. Patch work roster with some big names but tons of flaws.

Love every second of it.
Farmer1906
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Marvin said:

Farmer1906 said:

Random Question - Is Adam Wainwright a HOFer?

No Cys, but after this year he should have 5 finishes at #2 or #3.
2K Strike Outs
Chance at 200 wins with a strong year next year.
Career ERA of 3.35
9 year prime (24-33) ERA 2.97
40.2 Career WAR
28 Postseason games (15 starts, 8 CGs)
Career Postseason ERA 2.89

I think if we solely base it off of the past entrants, the answer is no, but moving forward I think this is going to look like a yes. Outside of a small group of elite pitchers (Verlander, Scherzer, Greinke, Kershaw, deGrom) who else is really trending to make it in?


Similar to Oswalt.
That is a strong comparison. I'd probably take Roy O at his peak (maybe), but Wainwright is doing it for a longer period. even if its not long enough to get the big win totals.
Farmer1906
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Deluxe said:

The Yankees are in some pretty real trouble. I think they can probably stay relevant but they're not even close to being true World Series contenders.

They paid an ace 9/$325mm because they thought he was the missing piece of the puzzle. And he's been good, but no sticky stuff means he's not worth nearly they money they paid. He's also virtually untradable now without picking up a massive tab so they're basically stuck with him. The Yankees justified the rough economics on the back end with the idea that they're adding a top tier pitcher in the prime of his career in the middle of their "title window" (like how they justified the Sabathia signing in 2009). Now they're nearing the end of that window with no ring to show for it.

Judge is about to start getting expensive and they basically have to pay him. They're probably stuck with Stanton too (unless they're willing to pick up a massive tab). That will add up to $100mm+ long term on three players. If they want to keep Rizzo (which I think they do because they NEEEEED a lefty presence in their lineup), call it $125mm+ for four players.

It MAYBE could work if they had a plethora of young/cheap talent to supplement those guys. But their roster is UGLY beyond those four. Without the benefit of secret cameras around the ballpark hunting down pitcher tips, Torres, Urshela and DJ have gone from mashers in 2019 to very very average players. People look at the headliners in their lineup and instinctively think they have a great offense. Not true in the least. wRc+ of 101 this past year. They've very average. DJ 100. Torres 94. Urshela 96. Sanchez 99. Gardner 93. It's becoming increasingly clear that those mainstays were very dependent on the Yankees' extracurricular activities.

Their starting pitching/bullpen was good this year and adding a full season of Severino back into the mix should help. But rotation depth is lacking. Chapman will be another year older.

I just don't see it with the Yankees going forward. Maybe they can make another run or two at it, but with the Red Sox, Blue Jays and Rays on the rise in their division, I just don't see them as serious contenders. As of today I'd have them 4th in the AL East next year. Every year they try to make a run is just another year of pushing an inevitable rebuild down the road. They kinda remind me of the Astros "final run" in 2008 before the reality of a long rebuild set in. Patch work roster with some big names but tons of flaws.

Love every second of it.
Inject this straight into my veins.

They had 7 players with OPS+ >100 this year.

3 only played a handful of games and don't count.

The other 4 Voit, Rizzo, Stanton, and Judge. Ages 30, 31, 31, 29. Not young players. No cheap players.

The only young guy they have is Torres and his stats offensive resemble an aging 2020 Josh Reddick, not a true core member of a playoff team.

iamtheglove
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Deluxe said:

The Yankees are in some pretty real trouble. I think they can probably stay relevant but they're not even close to being true World Series contenders.

They paid an ace 9/$325mm because they thought he was the missing piece of the puzzle. And he's been good, but no sticky stuff means he's not worth nearly they money they paid. He's also virtually untradable now without picking up a massive tab so they're basically stuck with him. The Yankees justified the rough economics on the back end with the idea that they're adding a top tier pitcher in the prime of his career in the middle of their "title window" (like how they justified the Sabathia signing in 2009). Now they're nearing the end of that window with no ring to show for it.

Judge is about to start getting expensive and they basically have to pay him. They're probably stuck with Stanton too (unless they're willing to pick up a massive tab). That will add up to $100mm+ long term on three players. If they want to keep Rizzo (which I think they do because they NEEEEED a lefty presence in their lineup), call it $125mm+ for four players.

It MAYBE could work if they had a plethora of young/cheap talent to supplement those guys. But their roster is UGLY beyond those four. Without the benefit of secret cameras around the ballpark hunting down pitcher tips, Torres, Urshela and DJ have gone from mashers in 2019 to very very average players. People look at the headliners in their lineup and instinctively think they have a great offense. Not true in the least. wRc+ of 101 this past year. They've very average. DJ 100. Torres 94. Urshela 96. Sanchez 99. Gardner 93. It's becoming increasingly clear that those mainstays were very dependent on the Yankees' extracurricular activities.

Their starting pitching/bullpen was good this year and adding a full season of Severino back into the mix should help. But rotation depth is lacking. Chapman will be another year older.

I just don't see it with the Yankees going forward. Maybe they can make another run or two at it, but with the Red Sox, Blue Jays and Rays on the rise in their division, I just don't see them as serious contenders. As of today I'd have them 4th in the AL East next year. Every year they try to make a run is just another year of pushing an inevitable rebuild down the road. They kinda remind me of the Astros "final run" in 2008 before the reality of a long rebuild set in. Patch work roster with some big names but tons of flaws.

Love every second of it.
And - if the Luxury Tax is lowered as discussed, they have even bigger issues.
Farmer1906
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But the Yankees are players for Correa, right? That'll solve everything.
Deluxe
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Farmer1906 said:

But the Yankees are players for Correa, right? That'll solve everything.
There's a strange part of me that's rooting for it to happen. If they think they're a 10/$300mm short stop away from winning it all, they're even more deranged than I thought.
Ag_07
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I think they are just because they have a hole at SS.

You're right...It won't solve anything but their MO is just throw money at a need and abracadabra!

IMO Correa is right in their wheelhouse of 'Hey we need to get better at his position and he's the biggest star available so let's get him'.
AustinCountyAg
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Farmer1906 said:

Deluxe said:

The Yankees are in some pretty real trouble. I think they can probably stay relevant but they're not even close to being true World Series contenders.

They paid an ace 9/$325mm because they thought he was the missing piece of the puzzle. And he's been good, but no sticky stuff means he's not worth nearly they money they paid. He's also virtually untradable now without picking up a massive tab so they're basically stuck with him. The Yankees justified the rough economics on the back end with the idea that they're adding a top tier pitcher in the prime of his career in the middle of their "title window" (like how they justified the Sabathia signing in 2009). Now they're nearing the end of that window with no ring to show for it.

Judge is about to start getting expensive and they basically have to pay him. They're probably stuck with Stanton too (unless they're willing to pick up a massive tab). That will add up to $100mm+ long term on three players. If they want to keep Rizzo (which I think they do because they NEEEEED a lefty presence in their lineup), call it $125mm+ for four players.

It MAYBE could work if they had a plethora of young/cheap talent to supplement those guys. But their roster is UGLY beyond those four. Without the benefit of secret cameras around the ballpark hunting down pitcher tips, Torres, Urshela and DJ have gone from mashers in 2019 to very very average players. People look at the headliners in their lineup and instinctively think they have a great offense. Not true in the least. wRc+ of 101 this past year. They've very average. DJ 100. Torres 94. Urshela 96. Sanchez 99. Gardner 93. It's becoming increasingly clear that those mainstays were very dependent on the Yankees' extracurricular activities.

Their starting pitching/bullpen was good this year and adding a full season of Severino back into the mix should help. But rotation depth is lacking. Chapman will be another year older.

I just don't see it with the Yankees going forward. Maybe they can make another run or two at it, but with the Red Sox, Blue Jays and Rays on the rise in their division, I just don't see them as serious contenders. As of today I'd have them 4th in the AL East next year. Every year they try to make a run is just another year of pushing an inevitable rebuild down the road. They kinda remind me of the Astros "final run" in 2008 before the reality of a long rebuild set in. Patch work roster with some big names but tons of flaws.

Love every second of it.
Inject this straight into my veins.

They had 7 players with OPS+ >100 this year.

3 only played a handful of games and don't count.

The other 4 Voit, Rizzo, Stanton, and Judge. Ages 30, 31, 31, 29. Not young players. No cheap players.

The only young guy they have is Torres and his stats offensive resemble an aging 2020 Josh Reddick, not a true core member of a playoff team.







pretty good summary. As a lifelong Yankee hater I willingly watched damn near all their games this year so I got a pretty good grasp on this team. Fact is, their offense is/was not built to sustain a season. Tons of high strikeout/power guys, with minimum contact. Essentially the opposite of the Astros. When they get hot they can be dangerous, but when they aren't hot they are BAD.
The lack of contact hitting on top of below average defense made them brutal to watch. Defensively, besides judge, and the late addition to gallo they were crap around the field. and I mean CRAP. I am still amazed they even made it to the wild card game.

Their bullpen effectively saved their entire season, thats even with an up and down Chapman this year. Nestor Cortez saved their ass for them in late July/August stepping into a starter role giving them some big time innings. Honestly, Cashman did a pretty good job finding cheap bullpen arms, but the offense he built was brutal and trash.

With all that being said I guarantee they sign Carlos, or are at least big time players in his next deal and would be a great fit for the team.



edit to add:....Boone is a trash manager and has no idea how to manage a bullpen. He effectively cost their team at least 6 wins over the course of the year with disaster decisions. He has no business managing ANY MLB team.
Deluxe
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Farmer1906 said:


Inject this straight into my veins.

They had 7 players with OPS+ >100 this year.

3 only played a handful of games and don't count.

The other 4 Voit, Rizzo, Stanton, and Judge. Ages 30, 31, 31, 29. Not young players. No cheap players.

The only young guy they have is Torres and his stats offensive resemble an aging 2020 Josh Reddick, not a true core member of a playoff team.
A few years ago there was Yankee fan talk about how Torres was the best young SS in baseball. Ya just hate to see his decline.

He went from never hitting more than 11 HRs in a minor league season to 38 bombs in 2019 with the big club. Nothing to see here.
Deluxe
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Yankee wRc+ dropoff from 2019 -> 2021. Nothing to see here obviously:

DJ: 136 -> 100
Torres: 125 -> 94
Urshela: 132 -> 96
Gardner: 115 -> 93
Sanchez: 116 -> 99
Tauchman: 128 -> 63

Part of me thinks the real reason the Yankees were/are so upset about the Astros getting "caught" is because of the league-wide crackdown that ensued. They had to abandon their methods and now the majority of their roster has been exposed as frauds.
tjack16
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I have a student who is a MASSIVE Yankees fan. He was very talkative about the game yesterday but sadly he's absent today so I cant ask him about it
Farmer1906
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Deluxe said:

Yankee wRc+ dropoff from 2019 -> 2021. Nothing to see here obviously:

DJ: 136 -> 100
Torres: 125 -> 94
Urshela: 132 -> 96
Gardner: 115 -> 93
Sanchez: 116 -> 99
Tauchman: 128 -> 63

Part of me thinks the real reason the Yankees were/are so upset about the Astros getting "caught" is because of the league-wide crackdown that ensued. They had to abandon their methods and now the majority of their roster has been exposed as frauds.
That is shockingly bad. An entire team doesn't just get 25% worse without something going on.
tjack16
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It's wild to me that the giants have won 107 games, best record in baseball, have won 3 titles in 11 years and are STILL getting overlooked by the national media when it comes to playoff picks

It's either Dodgers or Brewers according to most writers
wangus12
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tjack16 said:

It's wild to me that the giants have won 107 games, best record in baseball, have won 3 titles in 11 years and are STILL getting overlooked by the national media when it comes to playoff picks

It's either Dodgers or Brewers according to most writers
Hell I haven't even seen the Brewers. Its all Dodgers
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