*****Official Houston Astros Offseason Thread*****

483,182 Views | 3879 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by AstroAggie15
TexAgs1992
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Decided to bite the bullet and purchase a 15 game mini plan today. If you're near section 108, come say howdy.
Harry Dunne
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SlimAG2 said:

I think they extend Cole and JV
I would be nervous extending JV. The late 30s have not been kind to most power pitchers not using PEDs.

I know JV is a different breed and I wouldn't be shocked to see him continue to be effective until he's 40 but it would be much more surprising to see him do better over the next 5 years than Cole, and I doubt we can keep both.
Farmer1906
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AG
If I'm putting bets down on who I want for the next 3-5 years, I'll go with Cole. He's younger and going to cost more, but I trust his age range so much more than JV. I doubt we can keep both. Especially with how strong our pitching prospects are. We have 1-2 prospects work out, extend Cole, Lance comes back, and then find more Charlie/Miley type.
ChAg1799
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AG
The Astros should extend Cole and Springer. JV may want to play the FA game. Correa may be gone in two years... but the team can slide Bregman over.

We need a 1st baseman....
iBrad
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AG
I used to be part of the let Springer walk group, but now I think he's a guy you lock up long term if he's willing. I just love what he adds to the team outside of his production.

Correa is the guy you probably let walk. With comments he's made in the past, he seems like a guy focused on the money. Is that what he's playing for? Are you going to get the same drive from him after he signs his big deal? Can he live up to the hype?

Obviously, my opinion can change over the next two years, but that's how I see it now.
irish pete ag06
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AG
iBrad said:

I used to be part of the let Springer walk group, but now I think he's a guy you lock up long term if he's willing. I just love what he adds to the team outside of his production.

Correa is the guy you probably let walk. With comments he's made in the past, he seems like a guy focused on the money. Is that what he's playing for? Are you going to get the same drive from him after he signs his big deal? Can he live up to the hype?

Obviously, my opinion can change over the next two years, but that's how I see it now.
I'm leaning towards Bregman & Springer also.
Farmer1906
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AG
We seem to overlook Springer with Altuve, Bregman, & Correa greatness.

Over the last 5 years his wRC+ of 129 is ahead of Correa, Lindor, Arenado, Cano, Cespedes, Machado, Beltre, and a who's who of great players.
astros4545
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AG
Farmer1906 said:

We seem to overlook Springer with Altuve, Bregman, & Correa greatness.

Over the last 5 years his wRC+ of 129 is ahead of Correa, Lindor, Arenado, Cano, Cespedes, Machado, Beltre, and a who's who of great players.


Cause arenado sucks
Ag_07
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AG
I don't think drive and work ethic is the issue with Correa.

I think it's gonna be a question of is he good enough to pay as much as he'll command.

He's got to put up numbers worthy of his expectations. That's yet to be seen but it needs to happen before I say don't let Correa play anywhere but Houston.
W
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AG
goal #1 for Correa in 2019 is to play 150 games
Farmer1906
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He 100% lived up to crazy high expectations in 2017. However, he got hurt again.

If he sniffs what he did that year and gets to ~550 AB then he'll be in the MVP race.
Beat40
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W said:

goal #1 for Correa in 2019 is to play 150 games


This is why I personally believe he should switch with bregman to 3rd base.
Marvin
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AG
Farmer1906 said:

We seem to overlook Springer with Altuve, Bregman, & Correa greatness.

Over the last 5 years his wRC+ of 129 is ahead of Correa, Lindor, Arenado, Cano, Cespedes, Machado, Beltre, and a who's who of great players.

He's been great, for sure, but I don't totally agree with the overlook part. I know that I tend to focus too much on his wild swings of hot and cold. He can get on fire for a while, and then slump for an extended time. HIs "standard deviation" is higher in my opinion (without any stats to back that up, but I bet there is one that you can reference, haha!!) and that might negatively reflect in discussion board conversations.

More to the point, I think we probably frame talk of Springer in terms of the future with respect to resigning this core group. Springer is the oldest and most likely the quickest to decline from his peak- with Correa's back as a potential caveat. That shouldn't detract from how good he's been. He and Keuchel were the foundation for the 17 title in many respects.
simplified
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AG
IMO Springer is the soul of the team. I think he was the catalyst for changing the culture of team from bottom dweller to where they are now. I'd hate to see him leave, and hope the astros find a way to extend him.
Bulldog73
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AG
I agree. Performance wise and ceiling wise, Springer is probably the lowest of the stars, but he brings so much to the heart of the team that I think it's important to keep him around.
AustinCountyAg
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order of priority Lock down list for the future....

1a. Cole
1b. Bregman
2. Correa (IF he can stay healthy, if he's out again for an extended time I let him walk when that time comes)
3. Springer
4. JV

edit: you pay Altuve. He should be considered a lifer
AgFan1999
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AG
I'd say the following:

1. Bregman
2a. Cole
2b Springer
3. Verlander
4 Correa

(Based on age, injury-proneness)
KTAG05
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AG
How much is Bregman going to want vs the Machado like deal that Correa is going to ask for?
JDUB08AG
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AG
I could be wrong, but Bregman seems like the guy who would take a little less money because he just wants to win.
WES2006AG
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AG
WelchAg said:

I could be wrong, but Bregman seems like the guy who would take a little less money because he just wants to win.
I highly doubt it. MLB salaries are a measuring stick for these guys. Bregs is going to want his money.
Farmer1906
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AG
BCSGrubber said:

How much is Bregman going to want vs the Machado like deal that Correa is going to ask for?


Are there any guys like this? Pretty everyone is going where the money is. Sometimes the money happens to come from winners.

We're going to have to grow the payroll and we're going to have to let some guys walk. Just be prepared. Marwin & Dallas is just the tip of the iceberg.
KTAG05
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AG
I thought Altuve's contract was reasonable.
03_Aggie
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Farmer1906 said:

BCSGrubber said:

How much is Bregman going to want vs the Machado like deal that Correa is going to ask for?


Are there any guys like this? Pretty everyone is going where the money is. Sometimes the money happens to come from winners.

We're going to have to grow the payroll and we're going to have to let some guys walk. Just be prepared. Marwin & Dallas is just the tip of the iceberg.


Especially since most of them now have a WS ring.

If they hadn't won it, then I could see some willing to stick together to conitnue to chase one.
ChAg1799
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AG
WES2006AG said:

WelchAg said:

I could be wrong, but Bregman seems like the guy who would take a little less money because he just wants to win.
I highly doubt it. MLB salaries are a measuring stick for these guys. Bregs is going to want his money.

If it comes down to Correa or Bregman, I would have pick the SEC guy....
AustinCountyAg
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BCSGrubber said:

How much is Bregman going to want vs the Machado like deal that Correa is going to ask for?
thats when you tell Carlos to pack his **** and GTFO.

Ag_07
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AG
Reading through this MLBTR bit on the projected payroll and I saw this


Quote:

Yuli Gurriel has underwhelmed somewhat since arriving from Cuba, and at 34, there's not much reason to think he'll improve dramatically going forward. He's solid as a regular, though Tyler White's offensive prowess could render Gurriel susceptible to losing some playing time.

What gives?

His first full season in 2017 he hit .299 with 18 HRs and 75 RBIs and got a smattering of ROY votes. Yeah last year his power was down but that was after his hammate surgery so it was expected. Still he hit .291 with 13 HRs and 85 RBIs and made a strong push to be an AS.

I think he's been about as expected or maybe even a bit more. I certainly wouldn't say he's underwhelmed.
Farmer1906
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AG
Ag_07 said:

Reading through this MLBTR bit on the projected payroll and I saw this


Quote:

Yuli Gurriel has underwhelmed somewhat since arriving from Cuba, and at 34, there's not much reason to think he'll improve dramatically going forward. He's solid as a regular, though Tyler White's offensive prowess could render Gurriel susceptible to losing some playing time.

What gives?

His first full season in 2017 he hit .299 with 18 HRs and 75 RBIs and got a smattering of ROY votes. Yeah last year his power was down but that was after his hammate surgery so it was expected. Still he hit .291 with 13 HRs and 85 RBIs and made a strong push to be an AS.

I think he's been about as expected or maybe even a bit more. I certainly wouldn't say he's underwhelmed.


Writer doesn't know what he's talking about and just looked at some stats.
Ag_07
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AG
But he did say this

Quote:

Are the Astros a Player for Bryce Harper?

I think that the Astros could be lurking in the shadows for Harper.

The team is smack in the middle of their window of contention, but having just lost Morton and (presumably) Keuchel from their rotation, they could use a boost. They currently have Brantley and Reddick manning the corner outfield spots, but Reddick is eminently tradeable. And that's why Harper could fit so easily. If Houston offloaded Reddick and a portion of his $13 million annual salary for 2019 and 2020, the cost of Harper would be mitigated. With Harper likely obtaining a contract with opt-out clauses starting in the early 2020s, signing him allows the team to maximize their current window without seriously jeopardizing their ability to keep Altuve, Correa, and Bregman together for a decade or more.

The luxury tax is a serious consideration, but it should be avoidable. I currently have the team's luxury tax payroll at $181.2 million. If the Astros followed the blueprint above, jettisoning Reddick and signing Harper for, say, $30 million per year, they still might be able to stay south of the tax line.
Deluxe
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bearkatag15
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AG
Ag_07 said:

Reading through this MLBTR bit on the projected payroll and I saw this


Quote:

Yuli Gurriel has underwhelmed somewhat since arriving from Cuba, and at 34, there's not much reason to think he'll improve dramatically going forward. He's solid as a regular, though Tyler White's offensive prowess could render Gurriel susceptible to losing some playing time.

What gives?

His first full season in 2017 he hit .299 with 18 HRs and 75 RBIs and got a smattering of ROY votes. Yeah last year his power was down but that was after his hammate surgery so it was expected. Still he hit .291 with 13 HRs and 85 RBIs and made a strong push to be an AS.

I think he's been about as expected or maybe even a bit more. I certainly wouldn't say he's underwhelmed.
Lord help this team if Tyler ****ing White supplants Yuli at 1B.


Quote:

Tyler White's offensive prowess

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

(deeply inhales...)

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!
DVC2010
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AG
bearkatag15 said:

Ag_07 said:

Reading through this MLBTR bit on the projected payroll and I saw this


Quote:

Yuli Gurriel has underwhelmed somewhat since arriving from Cuba, and at 34, there's not much reason to think he'll improve dramatically going forward. He's solid as a regular, though Tyler White's offensive prowess could render Gurriel susceptible to losing some playing time.

What gives?

His first full season in 2017 he hit .299 with 18 HRs and 75 RBIs and got a smattering of ROY votes. Yeah last year his power was down but that was after his hammate surgery so it was expected. Still he hit .291 with 13 HRs and 85 RBIs and made a strong push to be an AS.

I think he's been about as expected or maybe even a bit more. I certainly wouldn't say he's underwhelmed.
Lord help this team if Tyler ****ing White supplants Yuli at 1B.


Quote:

Tyler White's offensive prowess

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

(deeply inhales...)

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!

Good. There were a few things that worked last year, and I don't see any reason to stop doing them.
W
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AG
and what's interesting...is that often the decisions are easy ones, because the player's performance on the field declines. The Keuchel and Marwin situations pretty much took care of themselves.

it would be great for the 'stros if JV, Cole, Correa, AB, and Springer were awesome on the field in 2019. But more than likely 1 or 2 will have a down year and make the front office's decisions easier
Ag_07
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AG
Nevermind. Read that all wrong
irish pete ag06
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AG
Bearkat is not gonna like this but the sabernerds are bullish on Tyler White.
W
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AG
Yuli's problem areas last year were:

22 GiDP's and just 23 walks in 573 plate appearances
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