Agnzona said:
Winning the division isn't our goal.
Did I say that was the goal?
***** Official Houston Astros 2018 Season Thread *****
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Last: 6 yr ago by dshedd41
Did I say that was the goal?
There is zero reason Tony Sipp is still on this roster. I get the gattis hesitancy but still think we should either release him or DFA. But with the offensive struggles there is no point carrying Sipp and not bringing up white or Davis.
I doubt they do anything with gattis but he really serves no purpose if you are carrying Stassi. He's not good behind the dish, he's a bad full time DH, he strikes out a ton and hits into lots of DPs. Stassi is a better hitter and your backup catcher so gattis really serves zero purpose if he can't hit the baseball and DH even at a .250 clip.
Kemp, white, Davis would be better than anything we are seeing out of gattis this year...and especially Sipp. Zero role for that guy. Get two hitters up here who are hungry and want to fight for a roster spot
I doubt they do anything with gattis but he really serves no purpose if you are carrying Stassi. He's not good behind the dish, he's a bad full time DH, he strikes out a ton and hits into lots of DPs. Stassi is a better hitter and your backup catcher so gattis really serves zero purpose if he can't hit the baseball and DH even at a .250 clip.
Kemp, white, Davis would be better than anything we are seeing out of gattis this year...and especially Sipp. Zero role for that guy. Get two hitters up here who are hungry and want to fight for a roster spot
Agnzona said:
Winning the division isn't our goal.
First off it is every team's first and foremost goal.
This make you feel better?
Odds to Win WS
HOU - 23.2%
NYY - 14.4%
CLE - 12.6%
BOS - 12.2%
WAS - 9.9%
CHI - 9.2%
So after this 'rough' start the projections still point to us having the best chance to win it all.
Ag_07 said:Agnzona said:
Winning the division isn't our goal.
First off it is every team's first and foremost goal.
This make you feel better?
Odds to Win WS
HOU - 23.2%
NYY - 14.4%
CLE - 12.6%
BOS - 12.2%
WAS - 9.9%
CHI - 9.2%
So after this 'rough' start the projections still point to us having the best chance to win it all.
Here you go Nuke.
That's makes me feel better at least. .
According to Fangraphs "Baseruns" we are still the best or 2nd best team in the league. This and Pythagorean are both negative from our real record, suggesting our team is better than its record and has suffered from some sequencing bad luck.Nuke LaLoosh said:
Need Irish Pete to comfort me with some sequencing/career average numbers for our guys because I'm STARTING to get a little frustrated.
This offense is abysmal way too much, and we all thought losing Beltran would be addition by subtraction.
Surely there's something on fangraphs that can comfort me....?
The playoffs can be such a crap shoot with hot streaks and a little luck.
Just focus on winning your division, and let the chips fall where they may.
Just focus on winning your division, and let the chips fall where they may.
Bad luck is Such a small part of this start imo. I'm not freaking out at this point but when Harris and Giles blow games that's more than bad luck imo. And can't score runs in key situations
Even more...
Josh Reddick's BABIP is .243. That dude has had some real bad BABIP luck. He'll produce more.
The bad thing is... there is nothing when digging into the numbers that suggest Gattis, Marisnick, Fisher, or even Marwin are suffering from bad luck.
One glimmer of hope is that Derek Fisher's Hard contact % is actually the highest on the team, but he strikes out way too much and also hits the ball on the ground a ton. If he can just get the bat on the ball more and keep that up, good things will come.
Josh Reddick's BABIP is .243. That dude has had some real bad BABIP luck. He'll produce more.
The bad thing is... there is nothing when digging into the numbers that suggest Gattis, Marisnick, Fisher, or even Marwin are suffering from bad luck.
One glimmer of hope is that Derek Fisher's Hard contact % is actually the highest on the team, but he strikes out way too much and also hits the ball on the ground a ton. If he can just get the bat on the ball more and keep that up, good things will come.
W said:
the regression of the outfield has been dramatic.
last year Springer, Marwin, and Reddick combined for 70 HR's and 257 RBI.
and none of them played more than 140 games
I wouldn't push the panic button just yet. The first month-plus of baseball is not always an indicator of how a player's season will go.
March/April 2017
Springer: .230/.295/.494 7HR 14RBI 23K
Gonzalez: .204/.317/.500 5HR 12RBI 14K
Reddick: .297/.333/.419 1HR 8RBI 13K
March/April 2018
Springer: .267/.343/.483 6HR 19RBI 25K
Gonzalez: .232/.324/.347 2HR 16RBI 27K
Reddick: .233/.337/.453 6HR 16RBI 20K
Baseruns takes sequencing out of the equation for both pitching and hitting. It is currently at -2 games. So bad luck has been a part of it albeit small.Ags #1 said:
Bad luck is Such a small part of this start imo. I'm not freaking out at this point but when Harris and Giles blow games that's more than bad luck imo. And can't score runs in key situations
Some of that sequencing bad luck has likely happened to the bullpen, also... not just to our hitters.
Are you the bibloag of this thread ?
Ags #1 said:
Are you the bibloag of this thread ?
I do not know.
WelchAg said:Agnzona said:
Winning the division isn't our goal.
Did I say that was the goal?
You certianly implied winning 94 games and probably the division is good enough that we should all stop being worried and wanting changes.
Looks like I'm breaking out the ignore button early this season.
Agnzona said:WelchAg said:Agnzona said:
Winning the division isn't our goal.
Did I say that was the goal?
You certianly implied winning 94 games and probably the division is good enough that we should all stop being worried and wanting changes.
If that's what you got from my comments then you are just looking for something to be pissed about.
Wish he would've put a BIP to lower that average yesterday with no outs and a runner on third (and first).
dlance said:Agnzona said:WelchAg said:Agnzona said:
Winning the division isn't our goal.
Did I say that was the goal?
You certianly implied winning 94 games and probably the division is good enough that we should all stop being worried and wanting changes.
He didn't imply anything. You assumed something. And you know what they say about assuming...
Every time you assume, an angel gets its wings.
speaking of Angels...they have flown back into 1st place of the AL West
Keuchel on the hill tonight.
'stros just 2-5 in his 7 starts...and the 2 wins came against the Orioles (8-26) and White Sox (9-23)
'stros just 2-5 in his 7 starts...and the 2 wins came against the Orioles (8-26) and White Sox (9-23)
We've scored a total of 4 runs in DK's 5 losses. That's pathetic run support. He had quality starts in 4 of his losses.
Monday after Cinco De Mayo weekend coming at me like...
With Thursday being an off day, do you think they skip Morton this rotation (normal start would be Thursday)?
Verlander could throw Friday on normal rest or let Charlie have his start on Friday and Verlander on Saturday.
I have Saturday tickets and hope to see Verlander throw, but I think Charlie will get the week off.
Verlander could throw Friday on normal rest or let Charlie have his start on Friday and Verlander on Saturday.
I have Saturday tickets and hope to see Verlander throw, but I think Charlie will get the week off.
Why would Chuck get a week off?!?!?!
He having a baby or something?
He having a baby or something?
astros4545 said:
Why would Chuck get a week off?!?!?!
He having a baby or something?
Yeah I'm trying to figure out why exactly we'd skip Morton
Not sure if it makes a lot of sense.
But Chuck will show out. He's an ace. Not like you're missing Verlander to see a spot start from Hoyt.
At this point I'd be more concerned that you'll see a lineup with Gattis, Fisher, and Marwin in it.
But Chuck will show out. He's an ace. Not like you're missing Verlander to see a spot start from Hoyt.
At this point I'd be more concerned that you'll see a lineup with Gattis, Fisher, and Marwin in it.
irish pete ag06 said:Ag_07 said:Agnzona said:
Winning the division isn't our goal.
First off it is every team's first and foremost goal.
This make you feel better?
Odds to Win WS
HOU - 23.2%
NYY - 14.4%
CLE - 12.6%
BOS - 12.2%
WAS - 9.9%
CHI - 9.2%
So after this 'rough' start the projections still point to us having the best chance to win it all.
Here you go Nuke.
K this made my day.
Still though, are our hitters slumping or is this just who we are now?
irish pete ag06 said:According to Fangraphs "Baseruns" we are still the best or 2nd best team in the league. This and Pythagorean are both negative from our real record, suggesting our team is better than its record and has suffered from some sequencing bad luck.Nuke LaLoosh said:
Need Irish Pete to comfort me with some sequencing/career average numbers for our guys because I'm STARTING to get a little frustrated.
This offense is abysmal way too much, and we all thought losing Beltran would be addition by subtraction.
Surely there's something on fangraphs that can comfort me....?
Thanks. I need to finish reading before I post.
According to 538 it looks like this:Ag_07 said:Agnzona said:
Winning the division isn't our goal.
First off it is every team's first and foremost goal.
This make you feel better?
Odds to Win WS
HOU - 23.2%
NYY - 14.4%
CLE - 12.6%
BOS - 12.2%
WAS - 9.9%
CHI - 9.2%
So after this 'rough' start the projections still point to us having the best chance to win it all.
Yankees: 16%
Astros: 13%
Red Sox: 12%
Indians 9%
Cubs 8%
Cmon man we're trying to cheer Nuke up.
Genuine question: Is Reddick's BABIP so low because it's so easy to get him to hit a grounder into the shift? Most pitchers who don't suck can easily induce him to rollover a grounder.irish pete ag06 said:
Even more...
Josh Reddick's BABIP is .243. That dude has had some real bad BABIP luck. He'll produce more.
The bad thing is... there is nothing when digging into the numbers that suggest Gattis, Marisnick, Fisher, or even Marwin are suffering from bad luck.
One glimmer of hope is that Derek Fisher's Hard contact % is actually the highest on the team, but he strikes out way too much and also hits the ball on the ground a ton. If he can just get the bat on the ball more and keep that up, good things will come.
He's been pretty lost at the plate this year against the not-Orioles, not-Padres and not-White Sox. This coming after being totally irrelevant against good pitching in the ALCS and World Series last year. He's obviously not at the top of the list of our problems, but the trend of him raking against the bottom feeders and not showing up against the quality teams/pitchers is glaring.
6-9
Stassi has actually won me over a bit early on.
He's got an OPS of .753 and his .340 OBP is 100 points higher than his decent .249 BA.
That's not great but I can live with that from a young catcher. Plus he's done a nice job behind the dish. IIRC he even caught JV the other night and seemed to work well with him.
He's got an OPS of .753 and his .340 OBP is 100 points higher than his decent .249 BA.
That's not great but I can live with that from a young catcher. Plus he's done a nice job behind the dish. IIRC he even caught JV the other night and seemed to work well with him.
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