Hmmmm.....

You and vegas agree. Should be a fun one.

Hell yeah! On to the semifinals vs Ohio State! Whoop!

So you're saying to bet the farm...

Phatbob said:

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So you're saying to bet the farm...

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Not if you're betting against the point spread. SpreadsheetAg and Vegas are both coming up with Ags -3.5.

Phatbob said:

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So you're saying to bet the farm...

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Lost the family farm on the Texas game. All I have left is the kids college money…time to dance!

There he is

Honest question, how often do you update your formula?

Annually? Week-to-week? How much tweaking is done here?

Thank you for doing this!!!

Also, thank you for doing this every week. I look forward to it always.

thanks, i'll take it!

Combined record 66-66

What a salty defense. Will we be able to run the ball?

This is the defensive end showcase game of the year. There will have been no other game played this year with edge rushers better then the combined A&M and Miami duos.

Howell is likely the best of the bunch, but Miami has a strong 1-2 punch, with Bain and Howell probably 1 and 2 in the nation. Stewart is excellent, not just as elite as the other 3.

Either team will have trouble coming from too far behind for the win with those pass rushes.

These are two very evenly matched teams.

If Moss is back and healthy, I give us a very slight edge.

We need some help from special teams and our defense to get points.

I fear that the game will come down to a missed A&M FG or two.

The one glaring weakness in Miami's schedule is that they have not had an away game anything like what they are going to get at Kyle on Saturday. Their biggest away game win this year was at Pitt.

I watched that game, and Miami looked to be susceptible to the deep ball if the QB had time. If Reed can pull out some Razzle-Dazzle scrambles into deep balls, that could break things open.

This is not a gimme win. This would be a huge win against a great team.

I like that this game features both teams that beat ND. And, we beat them in back-to-back games, which is pretty sweet.

Super, super excited.

Finally,...thank you

basically, your projection is in line with Vegas...

Should be a close one!

So what's been his record the last couple years?

The issue with FG kicking is about the only Elko move I think is a mistake. Zirckle is as shaky, if not more shaky, than Bond. Go back to the most experience and get him some visualization therapy if necessary.

Gonna be an interesting game.

Whewwwwww.

I have been waiting to see SA's analysis. I am thinking this will be a close game. Glad to see Spreadsheet Ag has the Aggies coming out on top.

Does SpreadsheetAg ever predict an A&M loss?
Or is he also posting for likes and views?

Either way, thanks for the work and it is fun to read.

I think we will beat Miami but lose to OSU.

Buzzkill said:

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Phatbob said:

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So you're saying to bet the farm...

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Lost the family farm on the Texas game. All I have left is the kids college money…time to dance!

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ETA when the hell did Imgur make it so damn difficult to link directly to a photo?

Look-a-like thread, check
Hotties thread, check
Spreadsheet thread, check

Where's Raptor?

infinity ag said:

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Does SpreadsheetAg ever predict an A&M loss?
Or is he also posting for likes and views?

Either way, thanks for the work and it is fun to read.

I think we will beat Miami but lose to OSU.

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2023 was a bummer of a season... I predicted 3 losses and we lost all 3

last year, predicted a loss to t.u. at home, and we lost

....

2022; however, was awful for the formula... predicted we'd beat SCe, UF, and Auburn - we lost all 3... predicted we'd lose to LSU and we won 38-23...

Zoinks!

Buzzkill said:

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Phatbob said:

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So you're saying to bet the farm...

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Lost the family farm on the Texas game. All I have left is the kids college money…time to dance!

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Yeah same here and I blame SSA

Team Records & Rankings: Texas A&M: 111, narrowly missed SEC title game.
Miami: 102, earned final CFP spot after beating Notre Dame.

Key Players: Texas A&M: Marcel Reed (QB), Rueben Owens (RB), KC Concepcion (WR), Taurean York (LB).
Miami: Carson Beck (QB), Mark Fletcher Jr. (RB), Malachi Toney (WR), Rueben Bain (DL not listed but a known impact player).

Statistical Matchups: A&M ranks top 10 in offensive efficiency and havoc rate on defense.
Miami boasts a top 20 scoring offense and a defense that allows the sixth-fewest points in FBS.

Predicted Outcomes: The image shows two formulas predicting a close game (2723 or 2724 in favor of Texas A&M), which aligns with betting lines and expert picks.
Vegas odds: A&M favored by 3.5 points, over/under ~51.5 Aggies Wire.

Rueben Bain (Miami DL) is a major defensive force but isn't listed in the image's defensive playmakers.

Both teams are evenly matched statistically so I went and checked the average rank of offenses and defenses faced by both programs and found they are roughly equal so these stats are definitely a good measurement tool.

Digging a little deeper, found:
A&M faced three offenses better than Miami and won all three; faced one defense (Mizzou) better than Miami and won it. Miami also faced three offenses better than A&M and won all three, they have not faced a defense as good as A&M (closest was ND).

Miami usually wins the turnover battle and both their losses happened when they also lost on turnovers. Of course, A&M lost the turnover battle to tu but the overall play of the team on both sides of the ball impacted the outcome more than turnovers.

Will be dogfight. Glad this is a home game for us!

Buzzkill said:

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Phatbob said:

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So you're saying to bet the farm...

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Lost the family farm on the Texas game. All I have left is the kids college money…time to dance!

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You're a stripper??