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2025 StatSim - Texas A&M vs Miami (PLAYOFF Rd1)

8,588 Views | 48 Replies | Last: 1 mo ago by Cajun Ag 86
Buzzkill
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TxAg76 said:

Buzzkill said:

Phatbob said:

So you're saying to bet the farm...


Lost the family farm on the Texas game. All I have left is the kids college money…time to dance!




You're a stripper??


Might be by Saturday afternoon
agracer
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THE_CHOSEN_ONE said:

Hell yeah! On to the semifinals vs Ohio State! Whoop!

or maybe the quarterfinals?
EngrAg14
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SpreadsheetAg said:

infinity ag said:

Does SpreadsheetAg ever predict an A&M loss?
Or is he also posting for likes and views?

Either way, thanks for the work and it is fun to read.

I think we will beat Miami but lose to OSU.

2023 was a bummer of a season... I predicted 3 losses and we lost all 3

last year, predicted a loss to t.u. at home, and we lost

....

2022; however, was awful for the formula... predicted we'd beat SCe, UF, and Auburn - we lost all 3... predicted we'd lose to LSU and we won 38-23...



Hows the all time record since starting?
Jawbreaker
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IrishDave
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JohnClark929 said:

Both teams are evenly matched statistically so I went and checked the average rank of offenses and defenses faced by both programs and found they are roughly equal so these stats are definitely a good measurement tool.

Digging a little deeper, found:
A&M faced three offenses better than Miami and won all three; faced one defense (Mizzou) better than Miami and won it. Miami also faced three offenses better than A&M and won all three, they have not faced a defense as good as A&M (closest was ND).

Miami usually wins the turnover battle and both their losses happened when they also lost on turnovers. Of course, A&M lost the turnover battle to tu but the overall play of the team on both sides of the ball impacted the outcome more than turnovers.

Will be dogfight. Glad this is a home game for us!

You Aggie fans really need to have faith in your team. I do and I'm an Irish fan. In fact ....not like its gonna break any hearts on here.....but I'll stop posting on here if the Aggies dont win by double digits. They at least win by 10 or more. So ya'll will be rid of me if they dont.
Rider76
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thanks Spreadsheet
Now I rest a little easier until Saturday
Mallig91
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IrishDave said:

You Aggie fans really need to have faith in your team.


You must be new around these parts.
traco
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Not to take anything away from Miami's defensive line, but our offensive line is probably better than most they have faced.
Iraq2xVeteran
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Miami
Passing yards: 220
Rushing yards: 120
Total yards: 340
Turnovers: 1
Points: 24

Texas A&M
Passing yards: 250
Rushing yards: 160
Total yards: 410
Turnovers: 1
Points: 31
Hill08
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FWIW, the public AND sharps are on us big..
SpreadsheetAg
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Jason Ag
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Thanks for doing this! Miami with 4 starters that are 6yr seniors jumps out.

If we are able to run on them out the gate will be telling.
TheBonifaceOption
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BusterAg said:

What a salty defense. Will we be able to run the ball?

This is the defensive end showcase game of the year. There will have been no other game played this year with edge rushers better then the combined A&M and Miami duos.

Howell is likely the best of the bunch, but Miami has a strong 1-2 punch, with Bain and Howell probably 1 and 2 in the nation. Stewart is excellent, not just as elite as the other 3.

Either team will have trouble coming from too far behind for the win with those pass rushes.

These are two very evenly matched teams.

If Moss is back and healthy, I give us a very slight edge.

We need some help from special teams and our defense to get points.

I fear that the game will come down to a missed A&M FG or two.

The one glaring weakness in Miami's schedule is that they have not had an away game anything like what they are going to get at Kyle on Saturday. Their biggest away game win this year was at Pitt.

I watched that game, and Miami looked to be susceptible to the deep ball if the QB had time. If Reed can pull out some Razzle-Dazzle scrambles into deep balls, that could break things open.

This is not a gimme win. This would be a huge win against a great team.

I like that this game features both teams that beat ND. And, we beat them in back-to-back games, which is pretty sweet.

Super, super excited.

Gonna be that "SEC guy" but have the stats that back the Miami defense come from quality teams? Their SOS is very "meh."

There are lies, damn lies, and statistics. All Im saying is that national rankings always should be taken with a grain of salt. Remember the days of the B12 when everyone was putting up 600 yards of offense but when it came to bowl time and those squads looked very human and not worth the hype?
Cajun Ag 86
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From a broad reading of comments across the media, I believe Miami is underestimating the challenge they face playing an 11- 1 SEC team on the road. We will see how good their ACC competition really was, along with the road environment in that conference. Who did they lose to? What was their schedule strength? No one seems to highlight it.
FIGHT! FIGHT! FIGHT! FIGHT! FIGHT!...FIGHT! MAROON! & WHITE! WHITE! WHITE!
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