AgLA06 said:

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BMX Bandit said:

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AgLA06 said:

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BMX Bandit said:

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Juan Lee Pettimore said:

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I saw that, but couldn't find anything else. Have you seen the current spread anywhere?

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i don't think there is one anywhere.

but it will be A&M somewhere between -1 to -3 (barring some crazy event)

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Explain how that makes sense.

They just got dismantled by a slightly less complete team than A&M. They lost to Florida. Should have lost to Kentucky and Miss. ST. And now they're playing an 11-0 #3 Texas A&M?

Any other team and that's a touchdown spread or more similar to our Missouri game.

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Not true at all.

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Well that clears it up.

Thanks.

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bookmakers aren't going to hang themselves by worrying about what ESPN or pundits say. If they did, they would get hammered by the sharps.

If they set the number at A&M -3, its because that is what they think it is. If the "real number" would be -7 for "anyone but texas" they would get absolutely crushed by syndicates betting -3.

Pumpkinhead said:

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The current spread for the Arkansas at Texas game this Saturday is Texas -10.5 points. I'm guessing the websites that the OP looked are simply showing the same Texas -10.5 spread for Arkansas as a spread versus Texas A&M.

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again, that was the preseason number you could bet. its no longer available.

Pumpkinhead said:

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I can tell you that the horn insider types over there are pretty worried right now about how their secondary with a lot of blown coverages got torched by Georgia on Saturday, and have been talking up a lot of concerns about what the A&M passing attack might do to them...because they all seem to agree that A&M's WR room is better than Georgia's.

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Add in our TEs to that passing equation

ironmanag said:

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I hope it stays that way. We play better when we are disrespected.

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And apparently on the road

LB12Diamond said:

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Who cares. As long as our team shows up focused. That's all that matters.

And my guess, is they will do just that one.

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I care. I'd love to get the Ags +double digit points. But there's no way that's available.

good gawd I hope they are favored by 30.....then when we destroy them in front of their own crowd it'll be so much sweeter

Rivalry game on the road

the game will open -3 A&M.

BMX Bandit said:

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AgLA06 said:

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BMX Bandit said:

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AgLA06 said:

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BMX Bandit said:

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Juan Lee Pettimore said:

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I saw that, but couldn't find anything else. Have you seen the current spread anywhere?

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i don't think there is one anywhere.

but it will be A&M somewhere between -1 to -3 (barring some crazy event)

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Explain how that makes sense.

They just got dismantled by a slightly less complete team than A&M. They lost to Florida. Should have lost to Kentucky and Miss. ST. And now they're playing an 11-0 #3 Texas A&M?

Any other team and that's a touchdown spread or more similar to our Missouri game.

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Not true at all.

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Well that clears it up.

Thanks.

---

bookmakers aren't going to hang themselves by worrying about what ESPN or pundits say. If they did, they would get hammered by the sharps.

If they set the number at A&M -3, its because that is what they think it is. If the "real number" would be -7 for "anyone but texas" they would get absolutely crushed by syndicates betting -3.

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That's not exactly true. Bookmakers don't set odds by the expected outcome, they set odds by the perceived expected outcome. Where the game should end up statistically is not as important as where bettors think it will end up because that is what drives their betting and where money is laid. Sharps may be able to make a ton of money on bad lines, but bookmakers don't care about sharps making money if there's a boatload of suckers on the other side funding it. It's all about having even money on both sides to guarantee the house profits no matter what.