Tjohnston91 said:

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All these people in this thread saying 6-6 and 7-5….what are you smoking?!?

---

While we should improve this year, many of our opponents will as well. Florida and South Carolina will be really tough outs at home. Lagway and Sellers are really good.

While Elko got the road monkey off our back last year, we have yet to beat a team that finished ranked on the road. LSU, ND, and Texas are likely to fall into this bucket, and we play Missouri later in the year, so they might get their feet under them before we get to them.

And as someone already pointed out, we have almost always struggled mightily against terrible Arky teams in Jerryworld… I can only expect the struggle will be harder in a true road game.

We could easily drop 4/5 road games and one at home

vander54 said:

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Seamaster said:

---

Wins:

Utah State
Miss State
Samford
Missouri
South Carolina
Auburn

Losses:

UTSA
Florida
Arkansas
Missouri
ND
LSU
Texas

---

WTF kind of prediction is this?

---

The kind that's built on 25+ years of closely watching the Aggies play football.

But I did have a typo. Missouri is a loss.

9 - 3

Seamaster said:

---

Wins:

Utah State
Miss State
Samford
Missouri
South Carolina
Auburn

Losses:

UTSA
Florida
Arkansas
Missouri
ND
LSU
Texas

---

You think we lose to Missouri and then also beat Missouri? We going to play them in a bowl game?

Seamaster said:

---

vander54 said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

Wins:

Utah State
Miss State
Samford
Missouri
South Carolina
Auburn

Losses:

UTSA
Florida
Arkansas
Missouri
ND
LSU
Texas

---

WTF kind of prediction is this?

---

The kind that's built on 25+ years of closely watching the Aggies play football.

But I did have a typo. Missouri is a loss.

---

You just have ptsd. You really think we'll go 5-7?!? Asinine.

Seamaster said:

---

vander54 said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

Wins:

Utah State
Miss State
Samford
Missouri
South Carolina
Auburn

Losses:

UTSA
Florida
Arkansas
Missouri
ND
LSU
Texas

---

WTF kind of prediction is this?

---

The kind that's built on 25+ years of closely watching the Aggies play football.

But I did have a typo. Missouri is a loss.

---

0.05% chance

7 wins and don't care about meaningless bowl hame.

10 wi…..EXCEPT we'll lose a stupid game so 9-3 and we'll be just out of the playoffs and everyone will be angry.

Also, we better hope that it's the case because next year looks pretty bad though I'm sure we'll be even more hyped, which will even make us more annoyed.

As for myself, I'm going to try to enjoy while I can until we Aggie it up again sometime late October/early November and knowing "winter is coming" next year.

Elko won't get fired this year unless complete dumpster fire like 0-fer in Sec or he commits some kind of ethical violation. He's ours through at least year 3.

the most cool guy said:

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33 said:

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5 Wins - UTSA, UT St, Auburn, Miss St, Samford

3 Tossups: Florida, @Arkansas, @Missouri

4 Losses - @Notre Dame, @LSU, South Carolina, @Texas

---

I would personally put Auburn in the tossup category. That will not be an easy game. Probably South Carolina too.

Honestly 8-4 in the regular season is really optimistic. I tend to think we go 7-5 and win a meaningless bowl game, but we could easily go 6-6.

---

8-4 is not "really optimistic".

33 said:

---

5 Wins - UTSA, UT St, Auburn, Miss St, Samford

3 Tossups: Florida, @Arkansas, @Missouri

4 Losses - @Notre Dame, @LSU, South Carolina, @Texas

---

We'll almost certainly be favored against South Carolina. Think we're going to beat Notre Dame.

ExtremeRush said:

---

the most cool guy said:

---

33 said:

---

5 Wins - UTSA, UT St, Auburn, Miss St, Samford

3 Tossups: Florida, @Arkansas, @Missouri

4 Losses - @Notre Dame, @LSU, South Carolina, @Texas

---

I would personally put Auburn in the tossup category. That will not be an easy game. Probably South Carolina too.

Honestly 8-4 in the regular season is really optimistic. I tend to think we go 7-5 and win a meaningless bowl game, but we could easily go 6-6.

---

8-4 is not "really optimistic".

---

Getting 5 wins out of our 9 non-cupcake games is going to be tough. 8-4 is not impossible, but it's certainly optimistic.

Seamaster said:

---

vander54 said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

Wins:

Utah State
Miss State
Samford
Missouri
South Carolina
Auburn

Losses:

UTSA
Florida
Arkansas
Missouri
ND
LSU
Texas

---

WTF kind of prediction is this?

---

The kind that's built on 25+ years of closely watching the Aggies play football.

But I did have a typo. Missouri is a loss.

---

m

In 25 years, we have lost to a utsa level team twice. Beaten about 25-30 of them.

We are 12-1 against Arkansas in the sec

This post is overly pessimistic even for our average. Let alone the fact that this team does appear better than many of our past teams. I think 8-4, as our standard, is very reasonable. I think predicting 6-6 is a little over the top

beerad12man said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

vander54 said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

Wins:

Utah State
Miss State
Samford
Missouri
South Carolina
Auburn

Losses:

UTSA
Florida
Arkansas
Missouri
ND
LSU
Texas

---

WTF kind of prediction is this?

---

The kind that's built on 25+ years of closely watching the Aggies play football.

But I did have a typo. Missouri is a loss.

---

m

In 25 years, we have lost to a utsa level team twice. Beaten about 25-30 of them.

We are 12-1 against Arkansas in the sec

This post is overly pessimistic even for our average. Let alone the fact that this team does appear better than many of our past teams. I think 8-4, as our standard, is very reasonable. I think predicting 6-6 is a little over the top

---

The following Aggie head coaches won 6 games or less in a season
Jackie Sherrill
R.C Slocum
Dennis Franchione
Mike Sherman
Jimbo Fisher

Sumlin escaped Aggie football history. I did not go any further than Sherrill, but the proof is in the pudding. This season's schedule is harder than last season's and we aren't catching anyone off guard with our QB situation anymore.

History tends to repeat itself which means, Elko will have a 6 win season (or less) while in Aggieland.

Im predicting its in 2025

Aggie Dad 26 said:

---

beerad12man said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

vander54 said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

Wins:

Utah State
Miss State
Samford
Missouri
South Carolina
Auburn

Losses:

UTSA
Florida
Arkansas
Missouri
ND
LSU
Texas

---

WTF kind of prediction is this?

---

The kind that's built on 25+ years of closely watching the Aggies play football.

But I did have a typo. Missouri is a loss.

---

m

In 25 years, we have lost to a utsa level team twice. Beaten about 25-30 of them.

We are 12-1 against Arkansas in the sec

This post is overly pessimistic even for our average. Let alone the fact that this team does appear better than many of our past teams. I think 8-4, as our standard, is very reasonable. I think predicting 6-6 is a little over the top

---

The following Aggie head coaches won 6 games or less in a season
Jackie Sherrill
R.C Slocum
Dennis Franchione
Mike Sherman
Jimbo Fisher

Sumlin escaped Aggie football history. I did not go any further than Sherrill, but the proof is in the pudding. This season's schedule is harder than last season's and we aren't catching anyone off guard with our QB situation anymore.

History tends to repeat itself which means, Elko will have a 6 win season (or less) while in Aggieland.

Im predicting its in 2025

---

Same.

And one loss WILL be UTSA. Hate to burst everyone's bubble.

For the love of God, I hope you're wrong and I don't have that as a loss or a potential loss

Aggie Dad 26 said:

---

For the love of God, I hope you're wrong and I don't have that as a loss or a potential loss

---

None of us thought Jimbo would lose to App State either.

Aggie Dad 26 said:

---

beerad12man said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

vander54 said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

Wins:

Utah State
Miss State
Samford
Missouri
South Carolina
Auburn

Losses:

UTSA
Florida
Arkansas
Missouri
ND
LSU
Texas

---

WTF kind of prediction is this?

---

The kind that's built on 25+ years of closely watching the Aggies play football.

But I did have a typo. Missouri is a loss.

---

m

In 25 years, we have lost to a utsa level team twice. Beaten about 25-30 of them.

We are 12-1 against Arkansas in the sec

This post is overly pessimistic even for our average. Let alone the fact that this team does appear better than many of our past teams. I think 8-4, as our standard, is very reasonable. I think predicting 6-6 is a little over the top

---

The following Aggie head coaches won 6 games or less in a season
Jackie Sherrill
R.C Slocum
Dennis Franchione
Mike Sherman
Jimbo Fisher

Sumlin escaped Aggie football history. I did not go any further than Sherrill, but the proof is in the pudding. This season's schedule is harder than last season's and we aren't catching anyone off guard with our QB situation anymore.

History tends to repeat itself which means, Elko will have a 6 win season (or less) while in Aggieland.

Im predicting its in 2025

---

That's along the lines, but the inverse of, the hot hand fallacy. Just because it's happened in the past doesn't mean it will continue in the future. Only one of those coaches had sustained success in Aggieland. The rest faltered. I just can't believe we will have a worse record than last year when almost everything has supposedly improved via our sources.

the most cool guy said:

---

ExtremeRush said:

---

the most cool guy said:

---

33 said:

---

5 Wins - UTSA, UT St, Auburn, Miss St, Samford

3 Tossups: Florida, @Arkansas, @Missouri

4 Losses - @Notre Dame, @LSU, South Carolina, @Texas

---

I would personally put Auburn in the tossup category. That will not be an easy game. Probably South Carolina too.

Honestly 8-4 in the regular season is really optimistic. I tend to think we go 7-5 and win a meaningless bowl game, but we could easily go 6-6.

---

8-4 is not "really optimistic".

---

Getting 5 wins out of our 9 non-cupcake games is going to be tough. 8-4 is not impossible, but it's certainly optimistic.

---

Not impossible? Vegas odds right now are 50% chance we win 8 games or more. If you think it's pretty unlikely we get to 8 wins, you should go bet on it. Seriously!

Seamaster said:

---

Aggie Dad 26 said:

---

beerad12man said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

vander54 said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

Wins:

Utah State
Miss State
Samford
Missouri
South Carolina
Auburn

Losses:

UTSA
Florida
Arkansas
Missouri
ND
LSU
Texas

---

WTF kind of prediction is this?

---

The kind that's built on 25+ years of closely watching the Aggies play football.

But I did have a typo. Missouri is a loss.

---

m

In 25 years, we have lost to a utsa level team twice. Beaten about 25-30 of them.

We are 12-1 against Arkansas in the sec

This post is overly pessimistic even for our average. Let alone the fact that this team does appear better than many of our past teams. I think 8-4, as our standard, is very reasonable. I think predicting 6-6 is a little over the top

---

The following Aggie head coaches won 6 games or less in a season
Jackie Sherrill
R.C Slocum
Dennis Franchione
Mike Sherman
Jimbo Fisher

Sumlin escaped Aggie football history. I did not go any further than Sherrill, but the proof is in the pudding. This season's schedule is harder than last season's and we aren't catching anyone off guard with our QB situation anymore.

History tends to repeat itself which means, Elko will have a 6 win season (or less) while in Aggieland.

Im predicting its in 2025

---

Same.

And one loss WILL be UTSA. Hate to burst everyone's bubble.

---

What information or evidence do you have that supports your prediction of going 5-6? History doesn't count because each coaching era is isolated…

Games we can't afford to lose under any circumstances

UTSA
Utah St
Samford

3-0

Games where we should be favorites and are kinda must win for a successful season
Auburn
Mississippi St
Mizzou

6-0

Games where we will be underdogs. Let's say we go 1-2 here.

LSU
Texas
Notre Dame

7-2


Games that will determine our fate. Let's say we go 2-1 here.
Arkansas
Florida
South Carolina

9-3

This is borderline trolling.

We were one play away from being in the SEC Championship Game last year and clearly have a better team this year and you have us going 5-7. There is a much, much higher chance of us going 10-2 / 11-1.

ExtremeRush said:

---

This is borderline trolling.

We were one play away from being in the SEC Championship Game last year and clearly have a better team this year and you have us going 5-7. There is a much, much higher chance of us going 10-2 / 11-1.

---

Statistically, but a lot more things have to go right to have the higher records, then to go wrong to have the lower records.

You lose your quarterback, one bad thing going wrong: you're 6-6.

Only time we've won 10 games in the last 25 years:

2012 Johnny football
2020 Senior Kellen Mond (would have won 10 games had they had a full season?)

Tjohnston91 said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

Aggie Dad 26 said:

---

beerad12man said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

vander54 said:

---

Seamaster said:

---

Wins:

Utah State
Miss State
Samford
Missouri
South Carolina
Auburn

Losses:

UTSA
Florida
Arkansas
Missouri
ND
LSU
Texas

---

WTF kind of prediction is this?

---

The kind that's built on 25+ years of closely watching the Aggies play football.

But I did have a typo. Missouri is a loss.

---

m

In 25 years, we have lost to a utsa level team twice. Beaten about 25-30 of them.

We are 12-1 against Arkansas in the sec

This post is overly pessimistic even for our average. Let alone the fact that this team does appear better than many of our past teams. I think 8-4, as our standard, is very reasonable. I think predicting 6-6 is a little over the top

---

The following Aggie head coaches won 6 games or less in a season
Jackie Sherrill
R.C Slocum
Dennis Franchione
Mike Sherman
Jimbo Fisher

Sumlin escaped Aggie football history. I did not go any further than Sherrill, but the proof is in the pudding. This season's schedule is harder than last season's and we aren't catching anyone off guard with our QB situation anymore.

History tends to repeat itself which means, Elko will have a 6 win season (or less) while in Aggieland.

Im predicting its in 2025

---

Same.

And one loss WILL be UTSA. Hate to burst everyone's bubble.

---

What information or evidence do you have that supports your prediction of going 5-6? History doesn't count because each coaching era is isolated…

---

Why UTSA beats the Aggies.

1) It's their Super Bowl
2) Traylor wants to prove the brass should have hired him
3) They finished strong last year and return 9 offensive starters
4) they have a McCown QB and that'd be poetic sense we had one the last time we won a conference
5) I'll be in attendance and the last time I saw the Aggies play an early season 11am game against a team we "should've beat" was App State '22

Cajun Ag 86 said:

---

Bottom line: If Elko is 8-4 again, or worse, he's a dead man walking. Have to move on to the next best option. We cannot be an 800 pound gorilla in NIL and a capuchin monkey on the field.

---

That is a stupid, ridiculous, crybaby mentality. Takes more than 2 years to build the program he wants. And no team / program ever improved or got to a high level by changing coaches every 2-3 years.

He'll be given 4 years regardless and I believe / hope he will do well.

Already in year 1 he went 5-3 in SEC which we had not done in a while and not very often since #2 was around. If we had played Purdue instead of ND and gone 9-3 the narrative would be much different.

Anyway, like every aTm season we will be anywhere from 10-2 to 7-5, with 9-3 or 8-4 the most likely outcomes. And the difference between 7/8/9/10 wins is usually something that happens in the game that the HC has no control over or has not coached up 1000 times and the players just didn't get it done.

zooguy96 said:

---

ExtremeRush said:

---

This is borderline trolling.

We were one play away from being in the SEC Championship Game last year and clearly have a better team this year and you have us going 5-7. There is a much, much higher chance of us going 10-2 / 11-1.

---

Statistically, but a lot more things have to go right to have the higher records, then to go wrong to have the lower records.

You lose your quarterback, one bad thing going wrong: you're 6-6.

Only time we've won 10 games in the last 25 years:

2012 Johnny football
2020 Senior Kellen Mond (would have won 10 games had they had a full season?)

---

In general, I agree. But we've lost our quarterback every season for the last 5 years and have finished better than 6-6 (except for one year).

ExtremeRush said:

---

the most cool guy said:

---

ExtremeRush said:

---

the most cool guy said:

---

33 said:

---

5 Wins - UTSA, UT St, Auburn, Miss St, Samford

3 Tossups: Florida, @Arkansas, @Missouri

4 Losses - @Notre Dame, @LSU, South Carolina, @Texas

---

I would personally put Auburn in the tossup category. That will not be an easy game. Probably South Carolina too.

Honestly 8-4 in the regular season is really optimistic. I tend to think we go 7-5 and win a meaningless bowl game, but we could easily go 6-6.

---

8-4 is not "really optimistic".

---

Getting 5 wins out of our 9 non-cupcake games is going to be tough. 8-4 is not impossible, but it's certainly optimistic.

---

Not impossible? Vegas odds right now are 50% chance we win 8 games or more. If you think it's pretty unlikely we get to 8 wins, you should go bet on it. Seriously!

---

Vegas odds aren't set to reflect true probability. And I have indeed placed a bet that we win sub-8 games in the regular season.

7-5
Losses to

ND
tu
LSU
Arkansas
Auburn or Florida

So the geniuses on predicting a loss to UTSA. With the spread being 22.5, what info do you have that Vegas does not. And before you say they are just trying to get bets, that may be true but they are not off by 22.5 points. Secondly anything in the past is irrelevant. Different players, different coaching staff, different mindset. Are you just people that wanted Jeff Traylor instead of Elko so you are hoping you can say see I told you.

the most cool guy said:

---

ExtremeRush said:

---

the most cool guy said:

---

ExtremeRush said:

---

the most cool guy said:

---

33 said:

---

5 Wins - UTSA, UT St, Auburn, Miss St, Samford

3 Tossups: Florida, @Arkansas, @Missouri

4 Losses - @Notre Dame, @LSU, South Carolina, @Texas

---

I would personally put Auburn in the tossup category. That will not be an easy game. Probably South Carolina too.

Honestly 8-4 in the regular season is really optimistic. I tend to think we go 7-5 and win a meaningless bowl game, but we could easily go 6-6.

---

8-4 is not "really optimistic".

---

Getting 5 wins out of our 9 non-cupcake games is going to be tough. 8-4 is not impossible, but it's certainly optimistic.

---

Not impossible? Vegas odds right now are 50% chance we win 8 games or more. If you think it's pretty unlikely we get to 8 wins, you should go bet on it. Seriously!

---

Vegas odds aren't set to reflect true probability. And I have indeed placed a bet that we win sub-8 games in the regular season.

---

A lot of people get burned when they think their read on something is better than Vegas. But you do you! I think you're going to lose your bet but you never know!

Should be 9-3 or 10-2 based on talent differential; that said...

UTSA - W
Utah St - W
@ ND - L
Auburn - W
MSSt - W
Florida - W
@ Ark - L
@ LSU - L
@ Mizz - W
USCe - L
Samford - W
@ dildos - L

7-5

Tjohnston91 said:

---

So the geniuses on predicting a loss to UTSA. With the spread being 22.5, what info do you have that Vegas does not. And before you say they are just trying to get bets, that may be true but they are not off by 22.5 points. Secondly anything in the past is irrelevant. Different players, different coaching staff, different mindset. Are you just people that wanted Jeff Traylor instead of Elko so you are hoping you can say see I told you.

---

I've seen one person predict that

Iraq2xVeteran said:

---

Ceiling: 10-2
Floor: 7-5
Prediction: 9-3 with losses to Notre Dame, LSU, and Texas

---

I've also got us at 9-3.......but we could get a win over Notre Dame and go 10-2

9-3

My hunch says we beat Notre Dame. Lose to LSU, tu, and Missouri or South Carolina.

7-5, we keep Elko because there is some cheap excuse for the poor result and "it's going to be amazing next year, this was a rebuilding year." Rinse, repeat, same rough result every year.